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A little more mockery 2/7/07


A few weeks ago we introduced a feature that looked at a mock draft to see who that day's newest 49er would be.  At the time NFL Draft Countdown projected Ted Ginn.  As of February 6, they're projecting everyone's favorite 19-year old defensive tackle, Amobi Okoyeyour.

However, in scanning our fellow SB Nation blogs, I came across a diary at Field Gulls, the Seahawks blog, that mentioned a site called Draft Tek.  As their site describes it,

Draft Tek uses a computer model to generate a simulated projection of the 2007 NFL Draft.  As team needs and player rankings change over the next 3 months, Draft Tek will be the first out of the block with updated projections - on a daily basis if events warrant.

With that in mind, I plan on providing their updates at least once a week until the draft.  The most obvious changes will occur after free agency starts, which will make it interesting to see how big the changes are.  Also, since compensatory picks have not been determined yet, Draft Tek does not show the extra pick we have in the 3rd and 4th rounds.  

Until then, here are the projections.  Part of their formula involves determining team needs, a lot of which comes from a combination of the media and message boards.  All team needs can be seen here at Draft Tek.  Basically, the lower the number under the position, the more the position is needed.  The link for each player is to NFLdraftscout.com.  They have a premium section that is $25 right now, but they also offer some basic info for free.

Round 1 #11 - Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville
Round 2 #43 - Jonathan Wade, CB, Tennessee
Round 3 #75 - Ray McDonald, DE, Florida
Round 4 #100 - Chansi Stuckey, WR, Clemson
Round 4 #106 - Juwan Simpson, OLB, Alabama
Round 4 #122 - John Wendling, FS, Wyoming
Round 5 #138 - DeShawn Wynn, RB, Florida
Round 6 #170 - Mansfield Wrotto, OG, Georgia Tech

And for the Michael Bush crowd, he's projected to the Jets with the 5th pick of the 2nd round.

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what exactly are the jets doing with that 5th pick in the second round?  trade up now!  i do like what their projections for the most part.  i really like our 4th round picks minus simpson and i'm not much of a wynn fan.

by methodrampage on Feb 7, 2007 8:48 PM PST reply actions  

norv
so norv stays and wade become dallass's next coach.
who threw da snowball at da kicker?

by creekside on Feb 7, 2007 11:00 PM PST reply actions  

draft tek
one big "WOW" i see is houston passing on adrian peterson.  and then the rams taking him.  i could see green bay trying to make a serious move up to take him.

by methodrampage on Feb 8, 2007 7:27 AM PST reply actions  

self reply
and the jets passing on lynch for hughes seems a bit odd to me.

by methodrampage on Feb 8, 2007 7:30 AM PST up reply actions  

looks like a good haul
other than the guy from Wyoming all those players come from goo teams and/or very good programs.  That always makes me a little more confident in a guy (although sometimes the no-name schools produce the best players, see Rice, Jerry, and O, T.)
Bring back the classic Uni's!

by wjackalope on Feb 8, 2007 10:13 AM PST reply actions  

and of course
by goo teams I mean good teams
Bring back the classic Uni's!

by wjackalope on Feb 8, 2007 10:14 AM PST up reply actions  

what team they come from
has little to do with anything.  i could easily come up with a list of guys that came from goo or good schools that bombed and guys that came from small schools or what your considering ba or bad schools that thrived.

by methodrampage on Feb 8, 2007 12:18 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah I agree
and I wrote about that in another thread, and basically totally contradicted myself.  I still feel more confident in a guy from a big program in general, just because I know they were facing the top competition all the time.
Bring back the classic Uni's!

by wjackalope on Feb 8, 2007 1:53 PM PST up reply actions  

but 90%
of the guys drafted are from school whose names you're going to recognize.  georgia tech and clemson those programs are no were near elite and alabama's is garbage right now.  you can feel confident in two guys from a national championship team.  but no team drafts all guys from MAC, WAC, Mountain West, or Sun Belt conferences.

by methodrampage on Feb 8, 2007 3:40 PM PST up reply actions  

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