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Why the 49ers are next.

When you look at the recent Super Bowl Champions in the NFL, they all have one thing in common: smart drafts.

Much has been made about the new regime under Mike Nolan, and while some have been skeptical of game management and the use of both the 4-3 and 3-4 defense, I'm a supporter of Nolan and the new 49ers.

With that being said, the 2007 draft is a pivotal weekend for the 49ers. We are hanging in the balance as a team that could contend for the NFC West Title, or fall back to a 5-11 team quite easily. The team has many needs that must be filled wisely this year.

As for myself, I am quite publicly hoping for Ole Miss LB Patrick Willis in the first-round and Sidney Rice in the second. In the third round it is my opinion that the team looks to add a free safety or defensive lineman if possible.

Day Two should be all about depth. Adding young talent to the offensive line, secondary and defensive line are key targets for this team.

Star-divide

With that said, here is my website's scouting report on Patrick Willis:

Name: Patrick Willis

School: Mississippi

Best Fit Position/Role: Inside Linebacker

Ideal Scheme/Role: 4-3, 3-4 ILB Run Stuffer

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 242 lbs

Jersey #: 49

40 Time: 4.37

Bench Press: 22 reps

Vertical Jump: 39"

Wonderlic: N/A

Teams Interested: Arizona Cardinals, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City, Chiefs, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers

General Traits

Athletic Ability - A powerful athlete with sideline-to-sideline speed, solid lateral mobility and good redirection ability.

Character - Extremely mature young man who excelled despite a dysfunctional and abusive home life. A dedicated participant in community service.

Competitive Nature/Leadership Ability - An extremely hard worker and a true leader on and off the field. However, there are times where his motor seems to wane, usually due to the Ole Miss defensive line simply being blown off the line of scrimmage.

Football Intelligence - Instinctive in the running game with good ball awareness, but still learning the in's and out's of the game.

Size - Outstanding frame with close to prototypical height-weight. Has broad shoulders, a thick torso, and long muscular arms. Good bubble. Lacks great bulk in his lower body. Seems a little top heavy.

Toughness/Durability - Extremely tough costumer who plays through pain. Has suffered various nagging injuries that warrant some concern.

Work Ethic - A self-motivated worker who has improved throughout his career.

Position Specific Traits

Coverage - Has the speed to match up against most running backs in the passing game, but may have trouble with the fastest. Has the tools to match up with tight ends. A little tight in the hips, which will keep him from being an eraser. Lacks good ball skills. Gets good depth in the middle third of the field, but needs to improve his drop technique.

Instincts/Recognition - Diagnoses run/pass quickly. Sifts through traffic and has solid ball awareness. Can be occasionally fooled by misdirection plays, but does a solid job of maintaing gap control.

Pass Rush - Rarely used as a blitzer, but has the potential to be very effective. Can jolt blockers with his hands and has an excellent downfield burst.

Pursuit - Usually takes good angles to the ball carrier and has the range to make plays sideline to sideline.

Shedding Blocks - Plays with inconsistent technique. Needs to sink his hips lower and play with a flat back in order to consistently stack and shed in the phone booth. When he plays with good technique, he is extremely hard to block. Speed - Plus speed, especially for a man his size. His speed is somewhat deceiving, as he doesn't look particularly fast on his first step, but he closes exceptionally well.

Tackling - Capable of unloading upon ball carriers. Gets low and drives through his tackles. Really explodes into running backs. Very capable of making tackles in open space.

General Comments:

An extremely productive and talented SEC defender, Patrick Willis has the tools and mentality to be a dominant run defender in the NFL. It's unlikely he will make a lot of plays in coverage, but his combination of size, speed and strength make him a deadly tackler from sideline to sideline and in between the hashes. If he can be coached into better technique, he will definitely be an All-Pro performer at the next level.

Injury Concerns:

Suffered a variety of injuries throughout his career, particularly during the 2005 season. Played through a broken middle finger on his right hand, a sprained left knee, a right mid-foot sprain, and an AC joint separation of his right shoulder. Only played in nine complete games that season. Managed to stay healthy throughout the 2006 campaign.

Reminds You Of: Al Wilson, Denver Broncos

Projected Round: 1st

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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Good ideas.
I've been a pretty open supporter of taking Willis @ #11.  If he is indeed the selection, a defensive lineman in the third round (in the form of Paul Soliai) would be a smart move.  

I agree that this draft is pivotal in the team's return to "glory", but for different reasons.  While I acknowledge they have some needs for depth (and future starters) on the defensive line, linebacker corps, and wide receiver, those needs aren't SO dire as to sacrifice quality for "need".  

I think taking a safety in the third is fairly unnecessary.  The team does lack a "true" free safety, but their current cast is more than capable of playing that position.  The third round is a nice spot to pick up a solid backup (and potential backup) offensive lineman, a stud backup for Gore (if Bush is available), or a stout NT (if Soliai is available).

As I've said before, wideout in the second round could make sense.  Rice is a great player whose potential (and probability of realizing it) is not far off (if at all) from the likes of Meachem, Bowe, Jarrett and Ginn (who are all slated to go before him).  However, if someone like Kalil, Grubbs, Ugoh, or Sears is available as well, I'd go with one of them.

Basically, all I'm saying is that the 49ers "needs" are pretty equal all the way across the board (with the exception of DE/DT, but quality at those positions is thin in this draft).  This allows the team to look more for the "best player available" at a particular pick, rather than going out of their way to fill a need.  

by sfgfan on Apr 17, 2007 12:17 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks
I agree that I'd love to see them grab an interior lineman in the 2nd or 3rd round. I'm a big fan of Ryan Kalil (USC) and Kyle Young (Fresno State) at center.

Taking a free safety in the third may seem unnecessary, and I agree that it could easily be pushed down the board, but I long for the days of Merton Hanks, Tim McDonald and Ronnie Lott roaming the secondary. When you look at past success in SF, we've always had a play making presence at safety.

You are absolutely right that there many "needs" that are even across the board, but with so many picks in the '07 lottery, draft day should be a lot of fun.

by MattMiller on Apr 17, 2007 1:00 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A lot of fun...
... indeed.  That ticker on the main page can't count down any faster.

Of the safeties you listed, two of them (the free safties, Hanks and Lott) started their careers, or were drafted, as corners (if I'm not mistaken).  I'm no expert in defensive back conversions, but I'd imagine that probably contributed a large amount to their playmaking ability.

I keep waiting for someone to come in and take that position by storm like they did.  Thats partially why I was such a big fan of Mike Rumph when he was drafted.  I saw him as a pretty good corner who would probably make an even better FS.  He had size, coverage ability and hitting potential.  Sucks how things don't always work out.

That waiting is also why I hope Landry falls to #11.  Wishful thinking, as he will never get past Atlanta, but a thought nevertheless.

by sfgfan on Apr 17, 2007 1:57 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We don't need Bush !
Bush is an excellent prospect, but for 1 he is hurt so taking damaged goods in the third round is a mistake, and secondly the third round is too high to even think of a backup, when we just invested big money in Gore, drafted Robinson in the 4th last year (give him a chance to develop) and Hicks has also proved his value. All we need in the RB department is a goal line back, and those can be had in the late RDs.

We can fill a needed hole in the third round. Our talent pool is not deep at all, so why use a high pick on an injured backup?

I love the moves this off season and we are sitting in a great position in this year draft. (numerous extra picks)

by alliyah1122 on Apr 17, 2007 7:51 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

For the record
I think this goal line back thing is crap. Gore's fumbling problems disappeared in the second half, and that was the only reason he was held out of short yardage situations. He's more than capable of doing that.

But for the investment we put in him we have to be very interested in protecting his health, and that means an honest to goodness adequate backup. I'm a well documented Michael Robinson detractor and Hicks's greatest value is not in the backfield, but on special teams.

Gore cannot take all the snaps if we are serious about keeping him healthy, and since he is our greatest offensive asset I think that drafting a guy to spell him is a pretty darn good investment.

But this mostly comes down to our varied opinions on Michael Robinson. I think he's kinda crap, even as a project. Since you don't think that, if I'm reading right, it makes perfect sense that you don't want to spend a third round pick on a RB.

I will point out this has us taking him in the fourth round, though. I don't suppose that changes things, but it's a technicality.

However, the short yardage argument will not fly with me. Others may disagree, but I don't believe it and I don't think it makes sense.

I keep reliving the moment when Steve Young almost fell down... over and over...

by howtheyscored on Apr 17, 2007 8:07 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree.
The argument that Gore can't run in short yardage situations is total bull.  The guy is probably one of (if not THE) hardest runner in the league.  As HTS noted, his fumble problems practically disappeared during the second half, and he is supposedly continually working on holding on to the rock.  Gore should (and WILL) be in there for short yardage situations this year, and beyond.

Now, I'm not a Robinson detractor.  Nor do I think he's "kinda crap", but I do think his value may be best served as third down back.  As a former QB, he should have a better sense of picking up blitzes than Gore does.  So if he works on his pass blocking (and blitz picking) technique, he should become a real solid third down back.  He's shown on various occasions he knows where to go with the ball when he gets it.  He also has decent hands.  All he lacks is pass blocking technique.

I'm not suggesting Bush to completely wipe out Robinson.  But when it comes to pure running, a team with a "run-first" mentality surely needs two capable running backs in today's NFL.  Bush and Gore could provide the 49ers with two #1 HBs, or a #1 and a really good #2.

Bush has a broken leg.  It's not like he has torn/shredded ligaments (see: Frank Gore).  He is determined to be a good back, and I have little doubt he will be.

by sfgfan on Apr 18, 2007 8:55 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Where
has Hicks proved his value?  You're right we don't NEED Bush but a it's hard to pass up on a talent like that in the 3rd.  This teams goes from one pushing for a playoff spot with a healthy Gore but if Gore goes down this team probably won't win a game he misses.  

Are we going to be drafting a clear cut starter in the 3rd?  Maybe but probably not.  So you're looking at adding depth and RB is one position where our depth is the weakest.

by methodrampage on Apr 18, 2007 8:31 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Exactly.
If Hicks has really proven his value:
  • the team wouldn't be looking for a kick returner, still
  • the team would have actually offered him a deal, rather than tendering him the minimum
I know how the RFA game works, and so does Nolan.  Nolan had Gore for another three year's (potentially), but chose to extend him because he fit into the plans.  He chose to only minimum tender Hicks.  I'm not saying Hicks is in the cellar, but it's obvious Nolan isn't sure he fits into their long-term plans.

by sfgfan on Apr 18, 2007 8:58 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We aren't good enough for luxury picks in the 3rd.
If Bush doesn't play WR, Tackle, or on the D-line we can't draft him in the 3rd. We are a season away from being a legitimate contender and drafting a guy who will only get a few touches a game and plays behind a 1600 yard 3rd year back is too risky right now. I think the Niners can get a solid back with one of the 4 fourth rounders and keep their top four picks for major need positions.
 

by jjham15 on Apr 20, 2007 9:24 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If...
... Bush was taken, he would get more than a "few touches a game".  I guarantee it.

by sfgfan on Apr 20, 2007 10:55 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Touches
I agree he would get more than a few touches, but I think the point is that there are more important areas that need to be addressed.

You could look at it one of two ways.  Those in favor of Bush see that if Gore goes down we're screwed.  Those who would rather wait figure we need impact players at other positions and there seem to be some decent running backs later.

Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Apr 21, 2007 8:52 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Decent backs.
I have nothing really against backs later in the draft.  But if you could get a first round caliber talent that has no character issues and should have no drawbacks due to his injury in the third round, I say you should go for it.

But that may just be me.

by sfgfan on Apr 21, 2007 7:11 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nope
I'm also a convert to the Michael Bush-mania

And to think I thought I'd used the phrase Bush-mania for the last time...

I keep reliving the moment when Steve Young almost fell down... over and over...

by howtheyscored on Apr 22, 2007 10:50 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We could also
take a 2007 version of Brandon Williams.  Would you rather have Gore going into the playoffs with 1600 yards under his belt or 1100 yards and Michael Bush with 500 of his own?  To me, if available, Bush represents the biggest can't miss pick in the 3rd.  

He may not play WR, OT, DL but he's also not going to be Brandon Williams (WR Wisc), Derrick Hamilton (WR Clemson), Andrew Williams (DE Miami) or Saleem Rasheed (ILB Alabama).  Those are 4 of our last 5 3rd rounds picks.  We can, I mean we have done a lot than taking Bush in the 3rd.

by methodrampage on Apr 23, 2007 8:04 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oooo
NICE use of recent history. Convincing me more by the day BN.
I keep reliving the moment when Steve Young almost fell down... over and over...

by howtheyscored on Apr 23, 2007 11:04 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That should read
"we have done a lot worse than taking Bush in the 3rd."

But seriously, those have to be some of the worst 3rd round picks ever.  I think Rasheed and Williams are out of the NFL, Hamilton appears to be in the ATL, behind a bunch of guys that can't catch the ball and Brandon Williams hasn't caught a pass in the NFL yet (I think the 3rd round is too high to draft a mediocre kick returner).

by methodrampage on Apr 24, 2007 7:28 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Rasheed.
I just don't understand some players.  He had all the physical tools to become a solid LB.  He had quite a bit of athletic ability.  He was quick, fast, and agile enough to go sideline to sideline.  He just never developed the mental aspect of the game, or perhaps never developed a "drive" to succeed.

It's not like he made a lot of money as a 3rd rounder.  At least not enough to sustain the rest of his life, so I don't understand why players like him quit or have no desire to learn.

by sfgfan on Apr 24, 2007 9:51 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I just can't do it
that mass of wordage at the end of the diary is just too intimidating for me.  I need paragraphs.

by methodrampage on Apr 18, 2007 10:30 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I didn't bother, either.
Instead, I went here and looked up Willis.

It appears to just be a copy and paste from there, except the original (from that site) is easier on the eyes.

by sfgfan on Apr 18, 2007 10:52 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Sorry....
Sorry for the formatting on the original post guys, didn't see a way to do HTML.

by MattMiller on Apr 18, 2007 11:17 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

formatting
Maybe just make each segment it's own line/paragraph?  So character is a line, then leadership ability, etc, etc...  Just a thought.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Apr 18, 2007 11:59 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yep
That's how it is formatted. There should be line breaks.

by MattMiller on Apr 18, 2007 12:12 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

formatting
I know over here you either need to plug

or
to break up lines sometimes...When I create an initial story it will usually break it up, but when I edit it I have to enter those...let me see if I can adjust it on my end.

Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Apr 18, 2007 12:19 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Fixed
And there we go.  I just had to add in

at the end of each section and after each heading.  Also, I bolded and underlined some stuff to make it stick out.

Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Apr 18, 2007 12:25 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks Fooch!
Can't wait to talk football tonight.

by MattMiller on Apr 18, 2007 12:37 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Very Nice
But what exactly is a "good bubble?"  

by methodrampage on Apr 18, 2007 1:07 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Bubble....
Bubble refers to a player's muscle, and sometimes exclusively their rear. In this case the report references his bulk. It's a term I don't prefer to use, but there's not really another way to say it.

by MattMiller on Apr 18, 2007 1:38 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I thought it might
have something to do with his da-donka-donk.

by methodrampage on Apr 18, 2007 4:13 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Bush
With his agent and surgeon saying he is 99% healthy, I don't think we'll have the chance to take him in the 3rd. He'll most likely be gone by then.

I do agree that a solid backup for Gore is not a "luxury pick", but one that must be addressed in the first four-rounds.

by MattMiller on Apr 22, 2007 12:24 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Bush/McGahee
Do you see Bush and his agent getting something done like Rosenhaus did for McGahee?  I'm not saying a first round pick, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him go quickly in the second.  All it takes is one team to stop a slide.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Apr 22, 2007 1:41 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Re:
I don't know if it's just because the real draft is coming and I'm getting nervous, or what.  But I really feel like the 49ers will miss on Soliai if they don't take him with the first pick in the third.  Similarly, I can totally see Bush going early in the second, maybe even the bottom of the first to a team like NE (or any other team that trades up to pick up a second first rounder).

by sfgfan on Apr 22, 2007 2:29 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Bush/NE
Obviously you're speculating, but I don't see New England taking Bush.  They did well with the dual running back, but I'd think they'd be more likely to take a veteran to offset Maroney, rather than another youngster.  Just my 2 cents though.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Apr 22, 2007 2:58 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oh yeah.
I'm just speculating.  I think its more likely a team would trade up to take him (which is already unlikely) in the first than it would be for NE to take him.  I'm just saying, a team with two first rounders would definately be considering him.

A more realistic possibility is a team with two second rounders.  This would be especially true if they had an early one and a late one.

by sfgfan on Apr 22, 2007 3:10 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oh yeah.
I'm just speculating.  I think its more likely a team would trade up to take him (which is already unlikely) in the first than it would be for NE to take him.  I'm just saying, a team with two first rounders would definately be considering him.

A more realistic possibility is a team with two second rounders.  This would be especially true if they had an early one and a late one.

by sfgfan on Apr 22, 2007 3:11 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Third round
I'm all for grabbing Bush if he is there in the third-round. He's the ideal complementary back to Gore, who thankfully has been very healthy thus far.

by MattMiller on Apr 23, 2007 11:00 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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