Draft Tek Draft Review
For those that recall our pre-draft discussions, Draft Tek was a hot topic due to their continually updated 7-round mock draft. Warren and Draft Tek happens to be based in Alameda, so we've had some discussions about this and that over the last few months. With the draft completed, Warren has been working on putting together an analysis of the best and worst of the draft, including best/worst at filling needs and best/worst overall. His metrics have the 49ers 5th overall for first round value and #1 overall for best at addressing their needs.
To quickly summarize Draft Tek's analysis of filling our needs (followed by my rebuttal to Warren):
- We scored big at receiver getting Hill and trading for Jackson
- We lost points for not grabbing a guard
- We gained minimal points for picking Staley
- We gained big points at defensive tackle and defensive end because they were need positions
- However, we virtually zeroed out at linebacker because of our lack of an outside linebacker selection (more on that in a minute)
- We gained points with Dashon Goldson and we lost points with Tarell Brown.
- Even though Jay Moore played defensive end in college, he is going to be an outside linebacker for the 49ers, thus partially addressing that need and boosting our linebacker score.
- Although we grabbed defensive lineman, I don't think the need was necessarily filled as well as it could have been. If McDonald ends up having knee surgery, combined with Jay Moore not being a true DE for us, we end up with no defensive ends this season from the draft. As for Cohen, we've all realized he's going to be a backup that could eventually turn into something. I personally am not holding my breath with him, but I hope he works out.
- While I understand the poor grade for not grabbing a guard, I think the 49ers deserve a little more credit for trading up to grab Staley. However, for immediate results, we might not get them, which could apply to the Draft Tek formula. If we're assessing this draft for the next 5-10 years then Staley has a ton of value. If we're strictly looking at 2007, then obviously there's less value in the Staley pick for now (barring him forcing himself into the starting lineup immediately).
- Finally, even though corner isn't a huge need, I think the Tarell Brown is a very good pick based on the low risk and potential high reward. The NFC West is loaded with big, quality receivers and you can never have enough corners. Additionally, Walt Harris has to prove he can repeat last year's performance and Shawntae Spencer has to stay healthy. If there is a breakdown at the #2 CB, Brown could prove quite useful.
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Good points
That brings me to the defensive line. I think the picks of McDonald and Cohen were good picks. They may not be spectacular or flashy by any means, but they fill the 49ers current needs solidly. They even have the potential to fill the 49ers needs in the future. Who is to say that the 49ers won't use a 1st or 2nd rounder on a DE or an NT next season? If they did, it would keep McDonald or Cohen as backups, thus making them solid picks, still.
I don't see why guard was a need for the team going into the draft at all. I think that "offensive line" is a general need, but with all of the flexibility of the current players, any position drafted would have worked. Staley could be a franchise tackle, and I don't see why the team only gained "minimal" points for him. Picking him enables guys like Snyder to potentially focus on being a guard, thus filling that need. The offensive line depth on the 49ers is probably better than most teams in the league, and McCloughan even sees this.
OLB, in my honest opinion, because less of a need and more of a luxury after signing Banta-Cain. With Banta-Cain, Lawson, Haralson, and Green, it doesn't leave much room out there for anyone. As Fooch pointed out, Jay Moore will play OLB as well, forcing himself into an already crowded situation.
I like both DB picks. Both are low risk, and high rewards. Obviously, Brown is a REALLY high reward, but I can see Goldson developing into a solid backup FS, and possibly stepping in on passing downs (eventually). I doubt Brown will be ready to step in a #2 or #3 this year, but he could easily challenge Strickland for the #4, and definitely be #5.
by sfgfan on Jun 1, 2007 9:38 AM PDT 0 recs
Offensive line
by Fooch on
Jun 1, 2007 9:53 AM PDT
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Personally
by marcello on Jun 1, 2007 11:26 AM PDT 0 recs
As much as I'd like to see him gone...
He's pretty slow at dropping back and turning his hips/body/feet toward the outside power-rusher. Thats what gets him into tons of trouble. But when it comes to attacking and using force to help move a pile, he's a solid guy.
He also has a slight problem with grabbing onto people and not letting them go. But holding is such a funky penalty, as it happens on every play and every down.
by sfgfan on
Jun 1, 2007 1:00 PM PDT
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holding
by Fooch on
Jun 1, 2007 1:22 PM PDT
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Yeah..
by sfgfan on
Jun 1, 2007 1:56 PM PDT
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true
by Fooch on
Jun 1, 2007 1:58 PM PDT
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As do I.
by sfgfan on
Jun 1, 2007 2:01 PM PDT
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his personal stat book
by Fooch on
Jun 1, 2007 2:03 PM PDT
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From what I remember...
by sfgfan on
Jun 1, 2007 2:56 PM PDT
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Another reason
So why do people chastize Kwame?
Because we wasted a first round pick on him. If he was offering the same lack of production but was a 4th round pick nobody would really care. Based on the expectations of a 1st round pick Kwame is a "failure".
by methodrampage on
Jun 1, 2007 3:04 PM PDT
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Question
by gatling on
Jun 1, 2007 8:15 PM PDT
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I think...
by sfgfan on
Jun 1, 2007 11:22 PM PDT
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