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Know thy Enemy: New Orleans Saints - Sunday, October 28


As we roll along this offseason, I decided to add an offseason feature called "Know thy Enemy." There will surely be plenty of discussion concerning our divisional foes.  In the meantime, I wanted to start looking at some of our other opponents outside of the division and outside of the conference.  Once we approach the individual matchups, we'll have more in depth discussion, but this is more of an overview.  We'll look at offseason transactions, brief previews, and a quick look at the respective SB Nation site, if one exists.

We'll start with everyone's Cinderella last year, the New Orleans Saints.  After a long wait, the Saints finally have a home here at SB Nation at Canal Street Chronicles, written by Sunil.

Overview
The Saints bounced back from Hurricane Katrina to become America's team.  They were led by Drew Brees, Reggie Bush and many others to a 10-6 NFC South title and a berth in the NFC title game.  Coming off a major injury, Drew Brees threw for over 4,400 yards, finishing 3rd in DPAR and 4th in DVOA among all quarterbacks at Football Outsiders.  Reggie Bush combined with Deuce McCallister for 1,622 yards and 16 TDs, while Bush also led the team in receptions with 88.  Marques Colston, a no-name 7th rounder out of Hofstra surprised many fantasy owners with 1,038 yards and 8 TDs.

While the team was flattened by Chicago in the NFC title game, they did take our 49ers behind the woodshed with a 34-10 whuppin (although it primarily fell apart in the 2nd half).

Additions
The team had an interesting draft, adding Robert Meachem, arguably the 3rd or 4th best wide receiver available.  In addition they snagged RB Antonio Pittman to an already explosive running attack.

In free agency, the Saints added my personal favorite 49er, Eric Johnson, who if healthy, I think could add a whole new element to that passing game, which makes them all the more scary.  

The team was rather porous on defense and thus made a few additions that should help them.  Usama Young, a third round pick out of Kent, is a guy that New Era Scouting says could make some contributions as a nickel back early on, but could also be a guy who benefited from a Pro Day and might not nail down the job.  Their biggest splashes on the defensive side of the ball would probably be Brian Simmons, a 9-year linebacker from Cincinnati and Jason David, a rather short 3-year pro from Indianapolis...so that's not saying much.

Subtractions
The biggest loss would have to be Joe Horn, which considering his age is not that big a loss.  Robert Meachem will not be Joe Horn coming out of the gates, but should be able to contribute as much as Horn did in his final season, a robust 37 catches for 679 yards.  The team was able to retain Charles Grant at defensive end and Jon Stinchcomb at offensive tackle.  Combine that with the rest of the returning players and the Saints are in good shape.

2007 Questions & Answers
Over at the World Wide Leader's Ultimate Depth Charts, the Saints are getting all sorts of love, as Hoge and Theismann both pick them as the best team in the division and I would definitely have to agree.  The Falcons are a bit of a mess, although if Vick could get his crap together they could challenge the Saints.  The Panthers certainly have the talent to compete, but were wildly inconsistent, which could very well carry over to this year.  The Buccaneers are simply rebuilding and the only way they are in it is if Cadillac and Sims completely bounce back, or the Garcia magic works wonders again.

The talent on offense is clearly there for the Saints to repeat as NFC South champions.  Drew Brees seemed to make the leap this past season, so obviously one question is whether he can put up a repeat performance, or even close to a repeat.  Marques Colston came out of no where to have a phenomenal season.  Can he repeat those numbers or was it a fluke?  Can Reggie Bush take the next step in the running game as Deuce continues to age and what role will Antonio Pittman have in the offense?

@ 49ers
Considering the 49ers early season schedule, this will be a big matchup.  If things come together, I'd be happy if the 49ers were 4-2 heading in to this game.  Personally, I think a 49ers win would be an upset, although clearly not as big as it would have been last season.  While a win would be nice, I see something along the lines of New Orleans 27 - 49ers 21.  Competitive and close, but the Saints outlast the Niners.  Feel free to throw out your own analysis and prediction.

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A couple of quick notes
If Eric Johnson stays healthy, he could be a huge addition to that offense and especially to Drew Brees who learned to throw in the NFL by throwing to his Tight End.

This team is stacked from top to bottom. Colston's sophomore season is going to be extremely interesting. I wish some people with knowledge could give me an idea of how these second seasons tend to go, particularly after strong rookie campaigns, and possibly some comparables.

My only concern with this team has to be the coaching. I'm well documented regarding my opinions of Sean Payton and the job he did in New Orleans last season. The short version is that he think he was extremely overrated and should have had a 12-14 game winning team without much effort. The amount of talent on that team last year was disgusting, and they only won 10 in the NFC?

I think it's an unbelievably talented team that it sure seems only got better. But they won't be riding the emotional high that they were after coming back to the Superdome last year, and I fear that Payton - a guy who I don't consider to be that great a coach based on last year - will have a sophomore slump of his own.

But man the team is good. They should win 12-14 games easy.

I keep reliving the moment when Steve Young almost fell down... over and over...

by howtheyscored on Jun 25, 2007 11:57 PM PDT reply actions  

Defense
This team need defensive help and they didn't really get it.  To me adding Meachem and Pittman made little sense when the defense needed so much more help then their already potent offense.

I think they may have over achieved last year and I don't think they will win 12 games.  They'll most likely make the playoffs but probably with a 10 or 11 win season.

by methodrampage on Jun 26, 2007 7:33 AM PDT reply actions  

i agree...
the saints are in desperate need of some defensive help. i really didn't get their off-season moves (free agency and the draft) because they really didn't try to go out and get any players to help them on that side of the ball. i mean, this team was 1 win away from the super bowl...had they gone out and gotten a player or two on defense (like the niners did) then that would have probably made up for that 1 game difference.

this team is going to win by relying on their offense...and you can't do that and win 12 or more games. i see them as an 10-11 win team, but a dangerous team during the playoffs.

plus, this team snuck up on a lot of teams early in the season last year. that won't happen again this time as everyone will be eyeing the saints right from the beginning of the season when they take on the colts in the opening game.

by coachAJ on Jun 26, 2007 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

Not sure if it's true
But I think the guy running Canal Street Chronicles (Saints Blog) said that Theismann rated the Saints' defense as the best in the NFC South.  

Seriously, dude, is this guy serious?

And actually when I looked back at the Saints defense it was pretty solid, more legit than I've given them credit for.  

But there is no way that their defense is better than the Panthers.  I mean, J-Pep, come on.  Nothing against Alex Smith, but why couldn't Julius Peppers have been born a couple years later and been our #1 pick?

by methodrampage on Jun 27, 2007 11:01 AM PDT reply actions  

For the record
I think this is a pretty cool feature, Fooch, and I'm actually very surprised that it hasn't gotten more comments. I think this is the kind of thing that could really get a nice discussion going, and I'm not sure why it hasn't yet.

Anyway, I'm excited to see some of the future Know Thy Enemys. Particularly ones like Pttsburgh, Baltimore, Minnesota, and Cincinatti.

I keep reliving the moment when Steve Young almost fell down... over and over...

by howtheyscored on Jun 27, 2007 12:08 PM PDT reply actions  

Good stuff
I appreciate the feedback.  I still want to discuss the other teams with their respective SB Nation site, but that's something I'd probably do once the season starts and we're starting to match up with them.  Always interesting to know what people think of other teams and not just the 49ers.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by David Fucillo on Jun 27, 2007 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah seriously
Where's sfgiantfan when you need him?  I'm sure he would have wrote a dissertation on the Saints.

HowTheyScored, do you keep reliving the moment over and over or is it the moment when Steve Young almost fell down over and over?

by methodrampage on Jun 27, 2007 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

sfgfan
I'm assuming busy with work or something...Once football season starts I'll definitely be setting aside more time in my daily schedule to post.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by David Fucillo on Jun 27, 2007 2:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good question
and unfortunate grammatical confusion for me, personally.

It's the first one. The reliving it one. Man, that play stops my heart even when I watch the replays. Although the latter tickles me enough as a thought that I might just leave it there, flaw and all.

I keep reliving the moment when Steve Young almost fell down... over and over...

by howtheyscored on Jun 27, 2007 3:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Saints
I like their offense as it's set up right now.  All they may be missing is another wide receiver who can step up and keep defenses honest in covering Colston.  They have two above average backs, one of which should become a fantasy football staple in a year or two.  They have the young, but productive wide receiver in Colston.  They now have an above average pass-catching tight end who knows how to block in Eric Johnson (when he is healthy).  But most importantly, they have a QB who knows how to manage a game and definitely knows how to use a pair of HBs, a good TE, and an okay set of WRs.

The offense will definitely win the team games if the defense can keep them in them.  The problem is just that, though.  Can this defense keep them in games?

As others have pointed out, they didn't really get any defensive help.  Even so, their defense (at least the front seven) looks fairly solid.  Their secondary, in my opinion, is terribly weak.  Their safeties are young and fairly inexperienced.  Their corners (a couple of them anyway) are getting up there in years and are on the downward end of their careers.

Considering they play more of a man defense than a cover-2, that doesn't really bode well for the secondary.  Jason David, whom they acquired this offseason to play cornerback, has thrived in the cover-2 confines of Indianapolis.  Can he play man?  Can the other DBs be fast/physical enough to play man?  Many people don't believe he (or they) can.

It'll be interesting to see how their defense opens the season.  If the secondary can show that they can hold their own, then the team could do big things.  If the secondary struggles, however, Saints fans may be in for some disappointment.

by sfgfan on Jul 2, 2007 11:09 AM PDT reply actions  

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