Hot Reads: Answer TO or Continuation OF our problems?
Over the years, I really feel like the Madden and college football video games have gotten so overly complex that it's taken some of the fun out playing. You can run audibles for everything from a single player to your offensive line. You can run stunts and move your defense around. It's gotten insane. Maybe this is a sign I'm starting to get old, but "back in my day" (primarily college from 1997-2001), the games had a level of complexity but were relatively simple compared to today's games. However, one thing I have always loved is the "hot read." Even before you could audibilize individual receivers I usually had a receiver in a given set that I was comfortable throwing to quickly if I picked up a blitz. For instance, in one of those college football games I ran a 5-receiver set that included a swing pass to one of the receivers that was simply a money play 9 times out of 10.
What does this have to do with the 49ers? Well, the last few days, as the media has gotten their last crack at viewing OTAs, Maiocco and Barrows have been discussing a dramatic change: 49ers QBs are utilizing hot reads instead of adjusting blocking assignments on the fly. I definitely see positives and negatives to the use of hot reads. When you have a specific play set up, or audibled to, you clearly think that specific play will work against the defense in place. With that in mind, the negative to using hot reads is that if you're forced to change on the fly, you might be playing into the defense's hands and either forced into an incompletion or a possible turnover. The positives to a hot read? Well a quicker pass would possibly be a shorter pass than previously planned, which might lead to a higher percentage of completions. A hot read takes some of the thinking out of the play. If you are instructed that on a blitz you are to throw to a specific receiver no matter what, a quarterback won't outthink himself or try to make too much happen.
So the question then is how well will this work with the 49ers quarterbacks? This would certainly lead to a decrease in sacks, which is always a good thing. Of course, if a receiver is not disciplined in his route and he's the hot read, if he's a yard or two the wrong way, it could lead to an increase in interceptions. So here's a relatively weak prediction: An increase in interceptions in the preseason. Nolan indicated he wanted this to carry over into the exhibition season (not exactly shocking news), and I would think as the QBs and WRs are learning the importance of precision in the Martz offense, there will be plenty of mistakes early on. I only hope that Nolan is patient enough to let Martz do his thing and work through the mistakes. If this was a young, inexperienced OC that would be a problem. However, I'd imagine Nolan has plenty of trust in the things Martz is trying to institute with the offense.
After the failures of the offensive line last year (most 49ers sacks allowed this decade), count me as at least intrigued to see how this helps in the protection of Smith/Hill/O'Sullivan. Furthermore, how the passing game develops accordingly. Considering all the changes being instituted, if the passing game is a success it will probably be hard to pinpoint one specific reason (other than "Mike Martz"). However, I think the use of hot reads could play a big role in any potential success.
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Comments
Careful
While hot reads are definitely a good thing, they can definitely damage a QB’s development as well. As we all know, Shaun Hill was getting rid of the ball so quickly because he was so quick to check down. If I’m not mistaken, people have criticized him for it as well, as it doesn’t allow the play to develop. In contrast, Smith tried too hard to let the play develop and that resulted in many plays just dissipating into thin air. Smith has been criticized for holding onto the ball too long for this.
So to a QB like Smith, who (it appears) naturally wants the play to develop more, the hot read may actually be a good thing. As long as he learns to use it properly. Shaun Hill, on the other hand, had no problems checking down last season and a hot read is just another reason for him to want to check down if he sees something he thinks is out of whack. This could be a problem for him because it can develop into, sort of, a crutch.
Of course this is all speculation, but I sure hope that just because the hot reads are there that the QBs don’t just automatically fall back to them EVERY time they see something that looks like a blitz.
by sfgfan on Jun 18, 2008 2:26 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
(primarily college from 1997-2201)
Fooch, what the hell college are you going to that you’ll be somewhere around 220 years old when done???
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on Jun 18, 2008 3:39 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
whoops
Thanks for pointing that out. Maybe it’s the kind of school that gets you a whole lot of professional degrees.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!
by Fooch on Jun 18, 2008 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or maybe...
... it’s a school that has a fountain of youth!
by sfgfan on Jun 18, 2008 4:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fooch Everlasting, a college by Natalie Babbit.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Jun 18, 2008 10:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Booooo, you changed it!
Now my post makes no sense, and I look like an idiot!
And no, there was probably no helping that to begin with.
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on Jun 18, 2008 5:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
striking it
I tried to draw a line through it but it was screwing up…At least in your head you know you’re not an idiot!
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!
by Fooch on Jun 18, 2008 5:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ummm... About knowing that...
Sometimes, I’m not so positive… But thanks for the backup!
"He called the sh** POOP!" -- Adam Sandler
by JRPhillips on Jun 19, 2008 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ruination
I won’t ruin this conversation or I’ll look like an idiot!
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 18, 2008 9:58 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
On Another Thought...
I’ll ruin the conversation as long it focuses on the idiocy of Niner subsersives. Just kidding.
On the “hot reads” issue, I think it is one of the jewels of Martz’s “The Show” offense. It can draw a defensive player out of position and it opens up downfield plays because, the defense may think twice about blitzing. Nothing basically worked for Alex Smith since he has been drafted, with a marginal improvement under Norv Turner’s tenure with the 49ers. But Martz’s offense may work for Smith, and the hot reads option will be a good tool for him.
Doing a “hot read” is not necessarily based on pure reaction. There are schematics behind it, a whole game plan. There is a purpose behind every hot read throw, most NFL quarterbacks can get rid of the ball quickly, however, doing a hot read is not about getting rid of the ball. It’s really about taking advantage of blitzes. It teaches the quarterback not to rely on the offensive line but to run the show. This Martz-installed offense allows the starting quarterback to do more things, if it is Alex Smith, it will allow him to mature as a quarterback. After learning Martz’s offense, he is at the point of no return.
It’s like “Have been here and have been there.” With Martz’s offensive scheme which takes a great deal of studying, it also forces Smith to give his mechanics an overhaul. Hot reads is an advantageous option and while other quarterbacks may not utilize it intelligently, Smith has to understand the hot read scheme in order to make the hot read exactly how it is supposed to happen.
Martz will leave a signature on Alex Smith’s forehead as he grows into a true NFL quarterback. Once having been there, there is nothing that will deter Smith from succeeding in the NFL.
Higher QB ratings? Maybe. And we have players who can accrue yards after the catch.
Show time.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 9:14 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Not true.
It’s hard to believe that once Smith experiences success, it’ll be hard to not stay there. If Martz leaves, it leaves Nolan and Smith in quite the bind, as there won’t be many (if any) talented offensive coordinators around. That’s not to mention the fact that Smith would again have to learn a new system.
by sfgfan on Jun 19, 2008 9:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lovin' To Contradict
I know you love to contradict me, but Smith will go from his experience under Martz an improved quarterback. Keep in mind that if Smith doesn’t succeed under Martz, his 2 yr contract extension will expire., and he won’t be learning a new system here.
If Martz is happy where he is, he may sign on for an extension himself, which I hope if the 49ers are successful under him. I don't know if Martz has the ambition to become a head coach again, but that is the least of my worries.
All I want is a championship.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Luvin' to Contradict
I am re-doing this comment due to font peculiarism. Disregard the first one above this comment.
I know you love to contradict me, but Smith will go from his experience under Martz an improved quarterback. Keep in mind that if Smith doesn’t succeed under Martz, his 2 yr contract extension will expire, and he won’t be learning a new system here. The successor will.
If Martz is happy where he is, he may sign on for an extension himself, which I hope if the 49ers are successful under him. I don’t know if Martz has the ambition to become a head coach again, but that is the least of my worries.
All I want is a championship.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 10:04 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Well.
I never said Smith won’t succeed under Martz. My point was that if Smith succeeds, he’s likely going to start all over again at the end of the season, as Martz will probably leave. But lets say he does fail, as you mention, why would his 2 year extension expire? He’ll still be here for two more years, so he WILL learn a new system.
I don’t pull it out of a magic hat that Martz would leave at the end of the season. He’s said before the he’d be interested in coaching again. He had loads of success doing it (I forget what his fairly good win percentage is), so why not? Regardless of how happy he is with the 49ers, a head coaching gig is a head coaching gig. No amount of money will hold him here. Just ask Norv Turner.
by sfgfan on Jun 19, 2008 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Two Years
I believe Martz is here to stay for the next two years. We don’t expect for the 49ers, Martz, and Smith to pull out any rabbits out of the hat in one year. Smith has 2 years left in his contract, so if he doesn’t do well, he won’t be learning a new system under a different OC with the 49ers; it will just be with another team. The 49ers picked up a 2 year option on Smith because they believe in him and because of the addition of Martz who can bring Smith’s game to a new level.
In the next two years, the 49er’s offense will be Martz’s offense, whether Smith is the quarterback or not.
After two years, a head coaching gig is Martz’s to worry about.
I don’t know about Norv Turner, he didn’t finish what he started with the 49ers.
Maybe Martz will.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 11:25 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Rabbits.
I don’t think Martz needs to pull any rabbits out of a hat in order to garner interest from other teams. Turner didn’t do a whole lot with Smith and he got San Diego’s attention. It’s very likely that after this coming season, the 49ers may be out two assistant coaches: Singletary and Martz.
by sfgfan on Jun 19, 2008 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Optimist We Are..
As for pulling rabbits out of a hat, I was speaking of doing it (implementing new offense successfully) in one year, it was not about showcasing what Martz can do to garner interest from other teams.
But if I am to agree with you on one thing, it’s possible the 49ers could be out Singletary after this coming season. Martz, no, he will be here to stay as he has a 2-year project. I sincerely believe after being out 4 offensive coordinators in 4 consecutive years, the 49ers brass when interviewing Martz made sure to spread out the two years in instilling Martz’s offense. His offense is not that easy to learn, so with that kind of system, it won’t be a hit and run.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 12:46 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Still.
It’s not like Martz has always been the most likable character. It’s not like he can’t break any “promise” he made to the team. I just find it unlikely that he promised to them that he would stay a second year, as that kind of hindering of your career is just unheard of. There’s nothing holding Martz to the 49ers. Heck, if a team were to fire their head coach right now and want to hire Martz, he’s free to go.
So what if his system takes two years. I’m sure there is nothing in his contract that says he has to finish the project he’s taking on.
by sfgfan on Jun 19, 2008 4:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Integrity, Not Money (Or Opportunities)
Really, it’s about integrity, not about money or opportunities. Nolan and Martz can leave anytime they want to, it’s just the level of commitment I am interested in. Nolan has showed his, he doesn’t want to be fired without bringing the 49ers to the playoffs. He has a project he wants to finish.
As for Martz, he has been head coach before, and for years. Which makes me sure he wants to finish the project he is taking on, regardless of his contractual obligations.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 4:46 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Apparently...
... you don’t understand how coaching works. Integrity is all fine and dandy to throw out there, but there’s also furthering your career. You don’t hinder that at the expense of picking up someone else’s pieces, and the 49ers would understand that.
Minor correction to what you say above: Nolan can’t leave. He can’t leave until his contract is gone or he’s fire. The reason Martz can leave is because an assistant can leave if it’s for a job that’s “higher in stature,” or basically, a promotion.
by sfgfan on Jun 19, 2008 5:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Taken for a Neanderthal
What I meant by Nolan or Martz leaving anytime is by being released from their contractual obligations, Nolan does have to finish out his contract (I hope he gets an extension), but after that, even if the 49ers succeed during Nolan’s tenure, he can leave. My point was, are they committed to bringing success to the 49ers over a period of several years, unlike Norv Turner, who was the OC for only one year?
Martz can only leave if the 49ers give permission to interview him while he is under contract, for a job in higher stature.
By the way, I was born many years later than the Neanderthal was.
Sometimes language can be tricky or wordy but it’s not a reason to think I don’t understand things.
Sometimes I may not be understood by the way I write comments. It’s the language.
But I am in the process of refining my NFL football language, so have a little more patience.
"We Have a God who delights in impossibilities."
by 16to80endzone on Jun 19, 2008 10:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Permissions
If it’s an OC interviewing for a head coaching gig, the 49ers don’t need to give permission for him to interview. He’s free to go. If that was the case, the 49ers would have barred Turner from San Diego and last year’s debacle may not have been so bad.
Remember, Turner also signed a two year deal when he hopped on the bus. As I previously alluded to, the length of an assistant’s contract means nothing. If he’s in line for a promotion, the contract is as good as terminated.
by sfgfan on Jun 20, 2008 8:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You do need permission
Let me first say that I could be wrong about this but I am pretty sure that you need permission from the team to interview coordinators for head coaching positions. I think it is treated as a formality in 99% of the cases since a team doesn’t want to develop a reputation for not allowing their coordinators to interview for head coaching jobs. I tried to fnd a hard and fast rule to link to stating this but I could find anything. My best evidence that you are misstating the rule is that every story about a coordinator interviewing for a head coach position starts with “Team X has given Team Y permission to interview Cooridinator Z.” I am not sure where you came up with this rule about being able to leave if its a promotion because there have been cases of teams refusing to let coordinators talk to teams about head coaching jobs and position coaches about coordinator jobs.
Tom will never be as cool as Joe
by wader251 on Jun 20, 2008 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know...
... I think that I’m not entirely correct. I remember that the 49ers couldn’t stop Turner from going. I also remember that the 49ers couldn’t interview assistants around the NFL for the coordinator job.
Maybe they don’t need permission if the promotion is going from lower ranks to head coach, but permission IS needed for any other position. I’ll peruse the Maiocco archives and see if I could find Maiocco’s notes on the Turner thing last season.
by sfgfan on Jun 20, 2008 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Blurb
This is a blurb from a Maiocco blog entry prior to Turner actually leaving:
The request of permission is a formality in the NFL, as teams are not allowed to block any of their assistant coaches from an opportunity to be an NFL head coach.
In a blurb from another Maiocco blog entry immediately following Turner’s departure, it sounds like teams can withhold assistants interviewing for coordinator (or other assistant) positions:
Bengals coach Marvin Lewis, for instance, granted permission for QB coach Ken Zampese to interview with the Panthers and Dolphins earlier this offseason. But at this late stage, there is no guarantee that teams will allow assistants the opportunity to interview for the 49ers’ offensive coordinator position.
So my understanding of the rule involving all promotions was originally wrong, as the only promotion that can’t be blocked is one to a “head coach.” For the purposes of this particular discussion, though, Martz is still free to go as long as another team shows interest in him.
by sfgfan on Jun 20, 2008 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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