Week 1 Prediction Game
by David Fucillo on Sep 6, 2008 5:08 PM PDT
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PrintEDITOR'S NOTE 9/6 5:05PM - If you haven't gotten your predictions in, make sure you do soon. If you miss out on the morning games, you can still get predictions in for the afternoon/evening games and even tomorrow's game. This is a season-long cumulative score contest, so every pick helps.
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Since the end of last season we've gained a fair number of new regular readers. For the new folks (and for those who don't remember the specifics), I present the 2nd annual Niners Nation Prediction Game (quite the original name, I know).
Each week I will select six games for you guys to predict the winner and final score. The six games will always include the 49ers game, as well as the national Monday night and Sunday night games. Beyond that, I try and just make some random picks based on interesting matchups. Also, unless the 49ers are playing a Thursday game, I usually try and avoid those matchups (except maybe at Thanksgiving).
I'm going to have howtheyscored share the details (since he handles the scoring), but I'll lay out some basics. The scoring involves a combination of how close you were in the scoring differential, combined with how close you were to the to total points scored will give you a score. Ignore the info below. Howtheyscored has posted the rules in the comments.
I initially included some old rules, but they were dated, so howtheyscored has the rules posted at the top of the comments.
So, onto this week's matchups (and all times are Pacific):
Arizona @ 49ers - Sunday 9/7 1:15pm
Chicago @ Indianapolis - Sunday 9/7 NBC Game 5:15pm
Minnesota @ Green Bay - Monday 9/8 4:00pm
Denver @ Oakland - Monday 9/8 7:15pm
Seattle @ Buffalo - Sunday 9/7 10:00am
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans - Sunday 9/7 10:00am
We've got some realluy good matchups in Week 1. And if you don't get your picks in before the Sunday morning games, you can still get in any picks for later games. The points will accumulate over the course of the entire season. At the end of the season, we'll take the top people (it was 8 or 16 last season) and they will form a playoff bracket for the real postseason.
If you have any questions, post them in the comments and myself or howtheyscored will respond.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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Comments
I was just going to jump in and mention that. Fooch accidentally posted an outdated scoring system. We played around with the one above during the playoffs two years ago, but really nailed down a good system (the 3-2-1 with 10 for perfect) shortly before last season.
I go over the official rules here: http://www.ninersnation.com/2008/8/8/589856/niners-nation-2008-season
And the relevant portions from that post look like this:
Scoring is based on two metrics: point totals and point differentials. The idea is that you get one score for predicting the point totals and one score for predicting the point differentials, and the combination of those scores is your final mark. The closer to zero your final mark is, the better your prediction was.
So, if a game ends 14-13, and you predict the game 27-0, then you will score a zero in the point totals category (for being zero points off the total). However, the point differential in the actual score will be 1, and the point differential in your prediction is 27, so your score in the point differentials category will be 26 (since you were 26 points off). Your total mark for the game will be 26 (since 0 + 26 = 26)
Essentially, the closer you get to the actual score, the closer both your point totals and point differentials will be to the actual score.
Rankings for the week are based on these individual marks. The person who gets closest to zero in one game will be awarded 3 points. Next closest gets 2 points. Next closest gets 1 point. And everybody else gets zero. There will be ties. Everybody tied for first get 3 points. Everybody tied for second gets 2 points. And everybody tied for third gets 1 point.
In the rare event that somebody predicts a score exactly, perfectly on the nose (and we’ve seen in practice that it IS rare – less than 10 in over 1000 predictions last season), that person gets 10 points for the game.
Which is more long-winded than it needs to be, but that’s just how I roll. If ANYTHING doesn’t make sense in the above, I’m happy to explain.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 3, 2008 12:27 AM PDT up reply actions
And furthermore, contrary to what is blockquoted above, if NOBODY picks so much as the correct winner for a particular game, then NOBODY gets any points for that particular. There’s no reward here for being the best at being wrong.
That’s how my dad did it. That’s how America does it. And it’s worked out pretty well so far.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 3, 2008 3:34 AM PDT up reply actions
Also
Since this is the first week, I just wanted to ask that anybody making predictions posts their scores in away – home order, regardless of winner (for example, if you pick the 49ers win 0-100 this week, which is a good pick if you ask me, typing that as “100-0 49ers” would be the opposite of my request). The reason for this is that, as official scorekeeper, it makes it a lot easier for me when I’m inputting everything into my spreadsheet, which then also greatly reduces the risk of human error on my part.
Even if you don’t do this, I’m smart enough and careful enough to know which team you picked to win and to do the scoring the right way, but like I said: it just makes it easier.
I won’t hold it against you if you don’t, but I will hold it away from you if you do. Which… I mean… you should just assume that’s a good thing.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
Ah, week one: when I know nothing and make crap predictions. All hail week two, when this pattern may or may not change!
- Arizona @ 49ers: 24 – 27
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 7 – 20
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 25 – 14
Denver @ Oakland: 19 – 13
Seattle @ Buffalo: 17 – 23
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 13 – 35
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
Predictions
Here are my week one predictions
Arizona @ 49ers: 17-27
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 13 – 24
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 27 – 24
Denver @ Oakland: 20 – 13
Seattle @ Buffalo: 34 – 23
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans 31- 28
a journey of 1000 miles starts with one step
Arizona 20 @ 49ers 21- Niners 21-20 (I’ll pick them this one time. Once they lose it’s over)
Chicago 17 @ Indianapolis 27 – Colts 27-17. Peyton gets my fantasy team (not my NN team) off to a good start
Minnesota 21 @ Green Bay 17 – Vikes 21-17. The Pack’s favored but I think Rogers struggles in his first start.
Denver 21 @ Oakland 16 – Broncs 21-16. JaMarcus isn’t good, yet.
Seattle 17 @ Buffalo 20 – Bills 20-17. JP Losman?
Tampa Bay 20 @ New Orleans 23 – Saints 23-20. They come in amped up after the Hurricane.
Still defending Rich Aurilia, and the Niners' classic unis
Is Losman starting? I know Edwards has been a little hampered by a thigh bruise, but I would have thought he’d be over it by opening day.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 3, 2008 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions
probably not
thus the question mark. I think Edwards is listed as probable. But you never know.
Still defending Rich Aurilia, and the Niners' classic unis
and if Losman were starting
I’d probably be picking Seattle
Still defending Rich Aurilia, and the Niners' classic unis
Call me Mr. Crystal Ball!
Arizona @ 49ers – 13-27
Chicago @ Indianapolis – 14-24
Minnesota @ Green Bay – 20-13
Denver @ Oakland – 13-20
Seattle @ Buffalo – 17-20
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – 28-20
Joe and Steve were under the same system for years... don't expect Smith to be super so soon.
Seattle Going Down!
Arizona @ 49ers: 17 – 24
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 13 – 28
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 17 – 21
Denver @ Oakland: 21 – 17
Seattle @ Buffalo: 14 – 20
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 17 – 27
Next year will be our year! (copyright 2003*, been used each of last five years)
by StrictlyFootball on Sep 3, 2008 9:57 AM PDT reply actions
My Preds (I continue my every-week-pick-the-49ers campaign)
That’s 18 in a row.
Arizona @ 49ers; 14-24
Chicago @ Indianapolis; 13-23
Minnesota @ Green Bay; 21-17
Denver @ Oakland; 13-17
Seattle @ Buffalo; 27-13
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans; 23-31
MURS for President!!!!!!!
FIP (non-baseball division) - Follow Instructions People
Arizona @ 49ers - 17 – 23
Chicago @ Indianapolis - 12 – 27
Minnesota @ Green Bay – 24 – 21
Denver @ Oakland - 13 – 23
Seattle @ Buffalo - 18 – 20
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans - 14 – 31
Neglectful father of David Quinowski
I guess I'll try
Arizona @ 49ers : 20-24
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 13 – 30
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 28 -21
Denver @ Oakland: 13 – 10
Seattle @ Buffalo: 17 – 14
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans : 14 – 27
Here goes nothing
Arizona @ 49ers: 20-21
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 10-28
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 21-17
Denver @ Oakland: 21-17
Seattle @ Buffalo: 20-21 (upset of the week, James Hardy pulls down the game winner)
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 20-28
"So's your mom"-David Sloane
I don’t see anybody picking against the 49ers. I don’t see anybody picking against the Colts, either, so there’s an upset win just waiting for somebody feeling lucky this week.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 3, 2008 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions
Prediction
If JT O sullivan plays up to the hype, the niners will win 31-14.. if JT O sullivan goes bust the niners will lose 24-9
J GO
Failure time!
Arizona @ 49ers
Niners, 28-21
Chicago @ Indianapolis
Colts, 35-6
Minnesota @ Green Bay
Packers, 17-15
Denver @ Oakland
Broncos, 21-10
Seattle @ Buffalo
Seahawks, 30-27
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
Bucs, 14-13
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com. It's not being updated right now. Hope for more at your own risk.
Oh, fine howie
Arizona @ 49ers
21 – 28
Chicago @ Indianapolis
6 – 35
Minnesota @ Green Bay
15 – 17
Denver @ Oakland
21 – 10
Seattle @ Buffalo
30 – 27
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
14 – 13
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com. It's not being updated right now. Hope for more at your own risk.
Predictions
Arizona @ 49ers – Niners 24-7
Chicago @ Indianapolis – Colts 35-10
Minnesota @ Green Bay – Green Bay 21-17
Denver @ Oakland – Denver 20-17
Seattle @ Buffalo – Seattle 23-13
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – Saints 28-17
Predictions
Week 1 so im basically just guessing haha
Arizona @ 49ers: 10 – 20
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 14 – 28
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 21 – 17
Denver @ Oakland: 21 – 6
Seattle @ Buffalo: 17 – 14
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 21 – 17
Predictions
Arizona @ San Francisco:13- 24
Chicago @ Indianapolis:7-27
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 23-17
Seattle @ Buffalo:24-10
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 21-31
According to the comminsioner of the nfl, 104 people retired last year. 7 due to age, and the rest because of Patrick Willis
*Predictions
Forgot about Denver vs Oakland
27-14 Denver
According to the comminsioner of the nfl, 104 people retired last year. 7 due to age, and the rest because of Patrick Willis
My Predictions
Arizona @ 49ers – 17-24
Chicago @ Indianapolis – 10-35
Minnesota @ Green Bay – 24-14
Denver @ Oakland – 28-10
Seattle @ Buffalo – 17-21
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – 14-28
My predictions
Arizona @ San Francisco – Niners 24-21
Chicago @ Indy – Colts 27-13
Minnesota @ Green Bay – Vikings 19-17
Denver @ Oakland – Raiders 20-13
Seattle @ Buffalo- Seahawks 34-28
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – Saints 27-24
Fooch, when the aliens land and say, "Take me to your leader," I'm taking them to you!
Week 1
Arizona @ 49ers – 49ers, 24 – 20
Chicago @ Indianapolis – Indy, 24 – 16
Minnesota @ Green Bay – Minny, 21 – 16
Denver @ Oakland – Denver, 17 – 13
Seattle @ Buffalo – Bills, 20 – 17
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – Saints, 23 – 13
I think I pulled my swagger muscle...
Better than The Swami's picks
SF – 31 AZ – 13
IND – 30 CHI – 7
MIN – 16 GB – 9
DEN – 24 OAK – 10
SEA – 20 BUF – 13
NO – 34 TB – 17
I’m still surprised that Gore fell to me at #11 on our Fantasy Draft. He’ll have a field day against the AZ defense with 125+ yds rushing and a pair of TD’s while Vernon will be a beast with a TD of his own. The Revival at the ’Stick has just begun…..
Mine
Arizona @ 49ers: 20-27
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 13-38
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 23-17
Denver @ Oakland: 20-10
Seattle @ Buffalo: 31-10
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 24-27
Looks like HTS’s got his work cut out for him this season (tons of participation already).
My Predictions
SF-24 AZ-13
Stoolies-10 IND-33
MN-17 GB-14
DEN-24 OAK-27
SEA-17 BUF-24
TB-20 NO-35
I second sfgfan, wish there was some sort of site or format for us to enter our scores and automatically receive results and save HTS and/or Fooch all the work.
prediction contest
I’ll see if I can find an online option. Yahoo has a prediction contest but it’s just winners and losers, no scores.
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!
by David Fucillo on Sep 6, 2008 9:12 AM PDT up reply actions
Picky, picky
Arizona 20 @ 49ers 23
Chicago 16 @ Indianapolis 30
Minnesota 17 @ Green Bay 23
Denver 21 @ Oakland 13
Seattle 27 @ Buffalo 20
Tampa Bay 27 @ New Orleans 31
"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK
by Josh from Hollywood on Sep 6, 2008 1:53 PM PDT reply actions
These picks remind me of the kind of picks that Sprint Right Option would have made.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 6, 2008 3:57 PM PDT up reply actions
I miss that guy.
"I been waitin' a long time for this! I been waitin' since the f**kin' amateurs!" --WILL "THE THRILL" CLARK
by Josh from Hollywood on Sep 6, 2008 11:13 PM PDT up reply actions
He was easily the best of us.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 6, 2008 11:32 PM PDT up reply actions
mine
Arizona @ 49ers – 49ers 28-17
Chicago @ Indianapolis – Indy 28-14
Minnesota @ Green Bay – Minn 24-21
Denver @ Oakland – Denver 17-14
Seattle @ Buffalo – Seattle 28-24
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – NO 21-17
Seems like a fun game
Arizona @ 49ers: 20– 24
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 9– 24
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 17-14
Denver @ Oakland: 20-14
Seattle @ Buffalo: 16-10
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 17-20
Week 1 Predictions
ARZ @ SF 24-27
CHI @ IND 10-27
MIN @ GB 17-20
DEN @ OAK 24-6
SEA @ BUF 20- 17
TB @ NO 17-24
Week 1 Predictions
Arizona @ 49ers: 27 – 31
Chicago @ Indianapolis: 6 – 27
Minnesota @ Green Bay: 20 – 24
Denver @ Oakland: 24 – 16
Seattle @ Buffalo: 24 – 34
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 20 – 34
Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!
Week 1 Predictions
Arizona @ 49ers 17 – 24
Chicago @ Indianapolis 13-31
Minnesota @ Green Bay 28-10
Denver @ Oakland 31-28
Seattle @ Buffalo 17-21
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans 14-24
The bases were drunk, and I painted the black with my best yakker. But blue squeezed me, and I went full. I came back with my heater, but the stick flares one the other way and the chalk flies for two bases. Three earnies! Next thing I know, skipper hooks me and I'm sipping suds with the clubby.
I just want to break in and say......
I’m proud that no one has picked against the 49ers.
Being the guy who’s picked our 49ers for 18 straight games and counting, it was rare to see a goose egg for the Cards..
Gotta wipe a tear too.
MURS for President!!!!!!!
predictions
49ers vs Cardinals 31-14
Bears & Colts 10-28
Viks & Packers 24-14
Broncos & Raiders 27-16
Sea Hawk & Bills 20-17
Bucs & Saints 17-23
J GO
Week 1 Predictions
Arizona @ 49ers – 24-31
Chicago @ Indianapolis – 9-35
Minnesota @ Green Bay – 24-13
Denver @ Oakland – 16- 10
Seattle @ Buffalo – 27- 10
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – 20-34
12-4
Week 1
Arizona @ 49ers - 17-27
Chicago @ Indianapolis - 10-23
Minnesota @ Green Bay - 13-17
Denver @ Oakland – 17-14
Seattle @ Buffalo – 21-17
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – 14-13
by the numbers
35-1
31-5
28-2
27-6
24-13
23-2
21-4
20-2
13-1
The number on the left is the amount of points the niners are supposed to score according to us (the fans)
The number on the right is the number of us that picked that score.
The Niners offence averaged just under 14 points a game last year. 24 points was picked the most by us for the season opener ( and we all picked the niners to beat the cardinals). That is a 10 point a game gain.
If that were true we would have ended the season 8-8 and would have been second in our division.
Nolan wouldn’t be on the hot seat and Alex would be our starter and there would be no Martz.
I love the optimism
Go Niners
12-4
To be fair, we did average 29 PPG against the Cardinals last year (25.5 if you don’t want to count the overtime points). So 24’s not an upgrade over that.
Trent Kline: Decentish. Also, my website is called ChatterBalks Dot Com. It's not being updated right now. Hope for more at your own risk.
Neither is 13….
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 7, 2008 6:36 PM PDT up reply actions
Wk 1 Prediction Game
Arizona @ 49ers – 27-30 Chicago @ Indianapolis – 10-31
Minnesota @ Green Bay – 20-17
Denver @ Oakland – 13-17
Seattle @ Buffalo – 24-17
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans – 13-24
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Sep 7, 2008 8:54 AM PDT reply actions
Predictions sure to go Wrong!!!
Arizona 24 49ers 31
Chicago 17 Indy 30
Minnesota 31 GB 13
Denver 27 Oakland 13
Seattle 16 Buffalo 10
Tampa Bay 17 New Orleans 31
by Niner Fan Lost in WI on Sep 7, 2008 8:59 AM PDT reply actions
Breaking news on the contest: Nobody gets any points for the 49er game.
It took me hours to calculate,
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
did anyone pick this bears game….i am freakin out man
Simply by pulling on both ends, Patrick Willis can stretch diamonds back into coal
Nope, and not even AFTER I mentioned that it would be an easy to win upset pick.
Man, you fools are making my job easy.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 7, 2008 9:21 PM PDT up reply actions
I was actually speaking of the Indy game here, While today’s 49ers game was an easy to win “upset” pick, I never suggested that anybody pick against the Niners.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 7, 2008 9:31 PM PDT up reply actions
Let’s just say that wjackalope and 408 won the NO game, and 408 won the BUF game.
Complete results to come, I would expect, on Tuesday morning.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
Oops.
I mean PHUT! won the BUF game. Not 408. Don’t want 408 to be surprised on Tuesday morning when I say he didn’t win that game.
My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.
by howtheyscored on Sep 7, 2008 10:22 PM PDT up reply actions
should have skipped to the bottom
I just scanned through all the scores in order to discover what you had already written here.
Still defending Rich Aurilia, and the Niners' classic unis
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