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49ers offense: Keeping J.T. O'Sullivan Alive 101

We're four weeks into the 2008 NFL Season and 49ers QB J.T. O'Sullivan has been sacked 19 times.  That puts him on pace for 76 sacks, which would tie David Carr's single season record.  That also happened in Carr's rookie season and while he had a couple decent seasons, he never really recovered from the beating he took.

The Patriots have struggled a bit, but even I was surprised by how poorly their defense performed against the Dolphins.  Even with the offense losing Tom Brady, that defense has a whole host of playmakers.  Coming off such a poor performance, I think it's safe to say the hooded one will have his defense chomping at the bit and looking for blood.

Accordingly, the 49ers offense is going to have figure out a way to protect J.T. O'Sullivan and keep him on his feet more often.  I realize the Martz offense is high risk high reward and the QB is going to be sacked fairly often, but the rate so far has been ridiculous.  Jon Kitna was sacked 63 and 51 times in the two season of Martz but that was the Lions who struggled to develop a running game and didn't exactly have thre greatest offensive line in the world.

The problems so far seem to be threefold: 1) The offensive line struggles to provide JTO with time to pass, 2) When the line gives him time, JTO will hold onto the ball too long, and 3) Some of the play-calling leaves a little something to be desired.

I think the first two are areas that are both self-explanatory and I don't think much can be added to the conversation.  As far as the line is concerned there are certainly some replacement options available.  We've got some potential fill-ins and could shake things up but I'm not sure how much of a difference it would make.  As for JTO, well clearly he needs to learn to either throw away the ball or gallop along for a few free yards.  Pretty straightforward.

The play-calling is what I want to address.  We've been over and over and over the Vernon Davis problems.  What I don't understand is why Martz doesn't run more screen passes and short, quick passes to him?  Those passes drastically increase the chances that he won't drop the ball and he has proven time and again that if he gets the ball in his hands he will more often than not make some thing out of it.  If I had every game on tape I could probably point to numerous times when he gets the quick screen or quick hitches and turns up field for a first down or more.  I realize many would prefer Vernon Davis be running deep and making plays that way, but I really don't understand why they don't run specific plays just to get the ball in his hands.  Am I the only one?  Is there a reasonable explanation?

The second issue in play-calling is Frank Gore.  This past Sunday, Frank Gore ran the ball or had a pass thrown in his direction (both complete and incomplete) a total of 10 times in the first half.  In one situation, Gore ran on first and second down for 9 yards setting up a 3rd and 1.  The next play was an incomplete pass to Isaac Bruce.  I realize you don't want to force the running game if it isn't there, but if you don't think Gore can get you 1 yard from Frank Gore, there is clearly a problem.

I was never a fan of Mike Tice's "Randy Ratio" up in Minnesota.  However, in the case of Frank Gore, I think you have to come up with a minimum number of times you want him to touch the ball and then do whatever it takes to reach and exceed that number.  He's a bull of a running back who can shimmy through the smallest of holes.  A struggling offensive line will not completely hold him back.

I realize much of what I'm stating would qualify as "the obvious."  But if it's so obvious, wouldn't the coaches realize this too?  The Patriots defense presents numerous dangers, particularly coming off an embarrassing performance.  The 49ers will have to adjust to keep JTO on his feet and making plays.  All I ask is for more quick stuff to Davis and some kind of Gore ration (we can call it the "Frank Factor").

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Film and Davis

I know that the 49ers keep him in for pass protection from time to time, but how often does that happen? It’d be nice to have access to the coaches’ film, as I’d like to see where the problem with Davis is. I highly doubt that he isn’t running short routes in addition to his intermediate routes that Martz likes so much. While it’s easy to say that the offensive playcalling isn’t helping Davis out, it’s VERY possible that Davis just doesn’t run good enough routes, yet.

The system is very timing oriented. With that said, Davis HAS to be at a certain spot at a certain time. If he runs poor routes, it’s VERY understandable that O’Sullivan loses faith in Davis. A large part of their success together will depend on the mutual trust between to two. Davis trusting O’Sullivan to get the ball to where it should be and O’Sullivan trusting that Davis will be there when he needs to be. Right now, everyone can clearly see that the timing is off between the two of them. Heck, they even took an extra practice session to work on timing and such.

Davis will appear with time, how much time that’ll take will totally depend on how long it takes for him to develop into a better receiver.

As for Gore, I agree that he was underused a bit this week. I think part of it is because they may have kept him in for blitz pickup (because he’s also good at that) quite a bit int he second when the heat got turned up by the Saints. Without watching the film (or TiVo, I can’t say for sure. It’s no excuse, but it’s definitely a somewhat valid reason.

by sfgfan on Sep 30, 2008 11:12 AM PDT   0 recs

all I want to know is

where’s Howie with those results?

Still defending Rich Aurilia, and the Niners' classic unis

by wjackalope on Sep 30, 2008 11:21 AM PDT   0 recs

slight delay

There’s a slight delay this week due to some work busy-ness. He told me they’ll be a day later than usual. Also, won’t have the 49ers Year-by-Year this week and will pick that up again next week.

Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Sep 30, 2008 11:33 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

oohahagrhrgrh

I hate it when Howie’s real life gets in the way of my curiosity about the prediction game!!! I hate delayed gratification!!! I don’t have the patience for this. I thought doing the prediction game was his job! Woe is me.

Still defending Rich Aurilia, and the Niners' classic unis

by wjackalope on Sep 30, 2008 11:56 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Play calling...

It’s clear to me that we need to be calling more play action, for two simple reasons…

1. Gore’s average carry has been pretty good, so the defense MUST respect that.

2. A play action makes the pass rush hesitate a bit just to make sure Gore didn’t actually get the hand off. Clearly, when opponent’s defenses can rush straight ahead towards our QB, our offensive line just can’t handle it. So we need to put them off balance more often.

In our first few games, some of our biggest plays have come off of play action calls. I agree that we need to call more screens, which will also begin to make defenses hesitate from just running straight after O’Sullivan.

-- Jay T.

by jaytierney on Sep 30, 2008 1:47 PM PDT   0 recs

Balance

It’s tough to balance out the Gore situation. I am firmly in the camp that he needs more touches. I worry about the Frank Factor and having a predetermined minimum number of carries, regardless of success rate. I haven’t heard Gore complaining, so it’s clearly different, but I’d hate to see a situation like T.O. in Dallas where the whole offense suffers as you try to get one player enough touches.

Never forget: I am a complete idiot

by Exhibit G on Sep 30, 2008 3:55 PM PDT   0 recs

TO and touches

I agree in that regard. Gore hasn’t complained. I think my argument is more just that he’s been our most effective weapon over the last couple seasons so why not force the issue. I definitely think there can be problems if he were getting shut down but I figure keep going to the well until it’s dried up.

Niners Nation - The premier 49ers blog on the Internet!

by Fooch on Sep 30, 2008 6:01 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

3rd and 1

I’m in total agreement that Gore should have gotten the ball again on 3rd 1. It’s just that the whole “touches” subject always gets a little sticky. Gore getting touches isn’t really indicative of winning but winning is more indicative of Gore getting touches.

by methodrampage on Oct 1, 2008 3:58 PM PDT   0 recs

I’ve been wanting to bring this up, but I also get tired of repeating myself.

And you said it in far fewer words than I would have. Nicely put.

My Dave Righetti is better than your Dave Righetti.

by howtheyscored on Oct 1, 2008 8:44 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

You two...

… are the authors, editors, and distributors of the “touches isn’t really indicative of winning but winning is more indicative of getting touches” newsletter. One I happily subscribe to.

by sfgfan on Oct 2, 2008 8:56 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Agreed

I’ve been meaning to bring this up as well… the truth is, while running is important in the NFL, you win and lose with the passing game, which is why QB has always been the most important position. As I watched the last game, I didn’t have an problems with the play calling in terms of run vs. pass so much as I did with the specific plays (wanted more play action and screen passes).

-- Jay T.

by jaytierney on Oct 2, 2008 10:04 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Plus...

A good number of those screen passes would be to Frank Gore, which would in fact get him the ball more.

-- Jay T.

by jaytierney on Oct 2, 2008 10:04 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

WORD

O’Sully is getting beat up already and it’s only Week 5. In order to minimize the sacks, JT needs to feed the rock to Gore more often. I’m not saying this because he’s on my team in our fantasy league, but this will definitely open up the play action. Plus, the defense will be on the sideline longer, which can be beneficial this week especially with Manny sitting. Martz should incorporate some kind of “smashmouth” playcalling, ala Bill Parcells, which grinds down the opponents D and at the same time keeps your D fresh. The long ball may be glitzier, but small ball is smarter. The Niners have a premier player for that.

by SuperFly on Oct 3, 2008 1:03 AM PDT   0 recs

Lawson

He’s been sitting a lot anyway.

by sfgfan on Oct 3, 2008 8:51 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Let's see

what TKO Spikes has left in his tank…

by SuperFly on Oct 4, 2008 12:25 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

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