2009 49ers Free Agents: Should they stay or should they go
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A little over a week ago we took a look at the 49ers free agents signings from 2008 and how they performed. Now we move onto who the 49ers own free agents will be this offseason. It's been discussed in a variety of context, but I thought for this I'd take each potential free agent and look at reasons for and against keeping them. I'll conclude with my prediction of whether they'll actually be resigned. It will mix in some draft and other free agency discussion, but for now it's a matter of focusing on the guys we can negotiate with for now.
LB Takeo Spikes
Stay: It's been discussed over and over again, but Spikes was a big spark-plug for the defense. He made plenty of big plays and provided a mentor type of player for the younger guys on the team. Even though he's getting up there in age he can still bring it week in and week out as a full-time player. Furthermore, he really wants to come back and seems to have great motivation heading into 2009.
Go: All I can think of is that he's getting up there in age. There are some decent younger options out there, although they most of them would cost a hefty sum. Unless they shell out for Maualaga (USC ILB), they could select someone a little later in the draft with a bit of cost-control.
Verdict: Stay - He'll get no more than a 2-year deal, but he provides a cushion of time and mentor for them to develop a younger ILB of the future to pair with Bamm Bamm.
WR Bryant Johnson
Stay: Although Johnson struggled early, he closed out the season pretty strong and brings a veteran presence. He's clearly a talented receiver, but he simply had early injury problems that threw off the timing of everything. Given a healthy offseason and training camp, he could turn into a potential #1. Given his poor performance in 2008, the 49ers would be able to sign him to a relatively inexpensive deal.
Go: Josh Morgan seemed to pass him on the depth chart during training camp and would likely have been the starting #2 if not for injury. Johnson may be talented but he's never stepped up to be "the guy" as much as he may want to. The 49ers younger receivers took big strides in their development once Shaun Hill took over, and to resign Johnson would possibly stunt that growth. Furthermore, Johnson would probably only sign a 1-year deal and if he did have a huge year he'd be gone just as quickly.
Verdict: Go - I think it's more worthwhile to see what Morgan, Jason Hill and Dominique Zeigler can do with no Johnson around. If there is any injury issue, there are plenty of receivers on the market who can do what Johnson did this past season.
RB DeShaun Foster
Stay: While there are better running backs on the free agent market, all would cost significantly more than Foster. Foster struggled when he was only getting a couple carries a game, but once he began getting more than a handful of carries, his numbers improved. Given that Frank Gore needs to keep his workload from getting out of hand, a bigger workload would bring out the efficiency of a guy like Foster
Go: The Free Thomas Clayton crowd would be the first argument. However, beyond that, Foster is starting to get up there in age (turned 29 this year) and the 49ers would be better finding another younger guy in the draft. As talented as Foster is, there is an argument that the counter to Frank Gore should be a bigger back. Foster isn't tiny, but maybe more along the lines of a bruising Brandon Jacobs type (obviously not exactly Jacobs).
Verdict: Go - This is a really close one, but I am thinking Foster will be let go. The Panthers let him go and added rookie Jonathan Stewart (obviously a high draft choice), but it shows that a team can have confidence in a young running back duo. I think I'm falling more and more in the camp of grabbing a running back in the middle rounds of the draft and having him compete with Clayton come training camp.
KR/PR Allen Rossum
Stay: When healthy he was an absolute beast in the return game, ranking among the league's elite in creating phenomenal field position for the offense. Even if the 49ers wanted to develop somebody else for the role, a veteran like Rossum would be perfect to have around to mentor them, similarly to what I mentioned about Spikes. Right now, the 49ers don't have that future answer and since Rossum doesn't seem to have lost anything, might as well bring him back. Oh, and like Spikes, he wants to return next season.
Go: He's getting old and it's time to hand the keys over to a younger guy. The injury problem creates inconsistency in having different guys back there on a part-time basis. The team can find somebody in the draft and take their chances from there.
Verdict: Stay - He's indicated he wants back and I see plenty of reason to bring him back in 2009. If he can stay healthy, he could be a key cog in the continued development of the 49ers offense (due to field position).
CB Donald Strickland
Stay: Strickland has never been a big name player, but in his three seasons with the team, Strickland has made numerous big plays as a backup cornerback. He's filled in for injured players and been quite solid as an extra nickel back. I don't have any proof of it, but I'd imagine he's a locker room favorite.
Go: While he's never been spectacular, he's done just enough to maybe create a small bidding war for his services; one which I don't see the 49ers getting involved. More importantly, they need to further develop Tarell Brown and Reggie Smith. Strickland is a solid option, but he's only blocking their way.
Verdict: Stay - This is a tough one because given some of his highlight style plays, it's entirely possible someone overpays for Strickland. If that's the case, I don't see the 49ers getting in a bidding war. Consider this prediction more of a "hope for" type of situation.
DT Ronald Fields
Stay: Well, if he wants to come back, I'd imagine the team could sign him pretty cheap. If Aubrayo Franklin really is taking a step up, as he did over the last half of the season, Fields could fit in as a role player as the backup nose tackle.
Go: He didn't do a whole lot of much, and I personally would rather try and grab another big body in the draft and see what can be developed from that. Fields has been in the league for 4 years and hasn't done much of anything in that time.
Verdict: Go - The only reason I see him staying is a) it's a cheap price tag and b) Nolan was down on him for some reason and Singletary likes him for some reason and wants to give him a chance. Of course, seeing as he didn't get much of a chance once Singletary took over, I don't see that happening.
I've run out of room, so the last few free agents are after the jump (as you can tell, most of these front page ones are the more important free agents, in my opinion).
QB J.T. O'Sullivan
Stay: He showed sparks of talent, even if he was a turnover machine most of the time. He's got a great arm and a gun-slinger mentality, that if harnessed properly could be something that motivates the team. That's about all I've got.
Go: He's a turnover machine and he never really seemed to be respected as a leader in the huddle like we seem to see on occasion with Shaun Hill. He was brought in because of Martz and should just be let go of in the same manner. A newly-drafted QB probably has more upside than O'Sullivan considering the amount of time he's spent in the league.
Verdict: Go - I'd be stunned if he came back for another year. And actually, I think he showed enough that some team will actually roll the dice on him to compete with whomever their QB is in training camp.
OLB Roderick Green
Stay: Green has been released and re-signed over and over again, so it wouldn't be surprised if the 49ers continue to bring him back. He put up 3.5 sacks and at times could create havoc in the backfield. At worst he's training camp fodder that can be re-signed at a relatively low cost.
Go: He's a "pass rush specialist" who doesn't do all that much in the grand scheme of things in the pass rush. The 49ers would be better suited grabbing some OLB/DE help in the draft and developing those youngsters while continuing with Haralson as that pass rush specialist.
Verdict: Go - I think it's 50/50 that he's around come training camp but I think come opening day he's definitely gone, or at the very least inactive.
TE Billy Bajema
Stay: He's a very solid blocker when they go with their big formations. And with 2 catches for 34 yards, he actually had the second highest YAC on the team. Way to go Billy.
Go: He made $927,000 last season. Given Vernon Davis's blocking prowess, is it worth bringing him back at north of $1 million?
Verdict: Go - If he was restricted for one more year I'd see him coming back, but I don't think it's wise to sign him to a multi-year deal that would likely be at more than $1 million a year. Or is a straight blocking specialist worth that kind of money?
OT Damane Duckett
Stay: As Maiocco pointed out at one point, he stuck around the team's facility while on IR this past season so maybe the team wants to see what he can do? He won't cost much and maybe he could become a long term answer on the offensive line.
Go: He was hurt all year and the upside of a converted defensive lineman can't be any more than a younger draft choice.
Verdict: Stay - I think the team signs him to a cheap deal so they can see what he can do.
TE Sean Ryan
Stay: Given that he was signed off the street midway through the season, Ryan was a halfway decent option as a TE/fullback option.
Go: It's probably more worthwhile to grab a younger guy in the draft.
Verdict: Go - He was inactive the last game of the season and at 28 is not getting any younger.
QB Jamie Martin
Verdict: Go - Sorry, no other breakdown for Jamie. The team will likely grab somebody in the draft to battle with Alex Smith and Shaun Hill or a veteran and Shaun Hill.
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my 2 cents
Takeo Spikes- Stay only outspoken defensive leader
Bryant Johnson- Stay but If there is any injury issue I say go.
DeShaun Foster- Stay since he has one more year in his contract, right?
Allen Rossum- Stay
Donald Strickland- Stay: good back up CB with experience
Ronald Fields: Go
J.T. O’Sullivan: Go!!
Roderick Green- Go
Billy Bajema: Go, usually teams don’t hold on to 4 TE
Damane Duckett: Go
Sean Ryan: Go (see Bajema)
Jamie Martin: Go, Martz is gone and so is Jaime
Joe and Steve were under the same system for years... don't expect Smith to be super so soon.
by bayboy on Jan 14, 2009 8:11 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Not officially a free agent
but what about Alex Smith?
I’ve argued to myself both ways about him. If you let JTO go (okay) and Martin go (yup) you’ve got to count on Smith, out with a bad shoulder all year and with at best mediocre numbers for his stay here, to come back and play well. On the other hand, depending on the OC and his system, would it make a difference having Smith learn yet another offense or bring in a free agent out there.
Tangentially, I heard and read in a couple of places that McNabb was going to be a free agent. Not so.
Have we had a post on the quarterbacks this week?
by Bob On The Coast on Jan 14, 2009 8:12 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
QBs
Yesterday I did the review/preview of the QB position.
by Fooch on Jan 14, 2009 8:40 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
JTO and Martin
both, IMO, will be let go. I’d say we’ll keep Smith because we’ll need some sort of backup (depth, if you wanna call it that, but smith isn’t really.. well…. deep), and because of the ridiculous contract he got (i would assume the buyout would be pretty astronomical). I wouldn’t be surprised to see Singletary and crew stick with Hill, keep Smith, and try and get someone like Nate Davis (Rutgers), Hunter Cantwell (Louisville), Mike Teel (Rutgers), Graham Harrell (TTU), or even J.P. Wilson (Alabama). Any of these guys are suspected to go somewhere between the 3rd and 7th round. I don’t think it’d be so bad at all to have Nate Davis or Graham Harrell. I really think Graham Harrell can be a premiere QB if he receives the coaching he needs.. ‘Cause he really needs to learn how to read defenses a lot better. Anyway, that’s my two-cents.
by samhitch on Feb 8, 2009 11:23 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Foster
3.1 yards a carry. And most of that came at the end of the year when the line was blocking better.
by Bob On The Coast on Jan 14, 2009 8:14 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I pretty much agree with fooch and his analysis...
With Strickland however, you are right when you say as it stands now if they keep him he will hinder the development of Smith and Brown, which the 49ers cant let happen. I was impressed with Stricklands play so if they do keep him it will have to be at the expense of Harris or Spencer or both.
Brown should be given the opportunity to start this year if he performs well in training camp, possibly moving a progressively slower Harris to Nickel. And with Spencer, Hudson, and Strickland around, where does that leave Smith? Hudson is fine at the bottom of the depth chart and on special teams but I think at their current price tags we could possibly see two of three (Harris, Spencer, Strickland ) not coming back.
by 49er4life on Jan 14, 2009 8:51 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
so in reality...
if they want Strickland back it may be as a fifth or even sixth corner, and he probably won’t resign if that is the situation.
by 49er4life on Jan 14, 2009 8:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think someone did one of these a while back, but here goes anyway.
LB Takeo Spikes: Stay. I think he surprised a lot of people (myself included) when he showed he can still play. If he’s open to a fairly decent short-term deal (i.e. about the same monetary terms as his contract from last season, except maybe for two years instead of just one).
WR Bryant Johnson: Go. My opinion(s) on Johnson have to do with him as a player just as much as it does with Jason Hill and Josh Morgan showing what they can do. Johnson couldn’t stay on the field last season and really wasn’t anything special when he was. I definitely want to see more of Morgan and Hill, and the best way to accomplish that is to let Johnson walk.
RB DeShaun Foster: I think he has another year on his deal from last year.
KR/PR Allen Rossum: Stay, but only to compete against anyone the 49ers bring in during the offseason that can return kicks as well. I don’t think it’ll happen, which means Rossum will likely take up a roster spot.
CB Donald Strickland: With guys like Reggie Smith and Shawntae Spencer riding the pine, I don’t see the 49ers getting into a bidding war for Strickland (as Fooch mentions). I think Strickland finally agreed to terms with the 49ers pretty late last offseason, didn’t he? If the same lack of interest is shown in him again this season, it’s likely he’ll be back with the 49ers (hometown being Sacramento and all).
DT Ronald Fields: Go. The guy doesn’t fit in the 3-4, really. Even if the team switches to a 4-3, they have plenty of 4-3 DTs already with Balmer, Franklin, and Sopoaga.
QB J.T. O’Sullivan: Go. Martz is gone, so why would he stay?
OLB Roderick Green: Stay. Demand for Green has been fairly low the last two years and I don’t think he’s done anything to warrant and increase in that. Green will basically be the 49ers “on-demand” pass rusher again this year. He may not make the final roster at the end of August, but he’ll be on the roster at some point next season.
TE Billy Bajema: Go. His salary is getting pretty high for a blocking specialist.
OT Damane Duckett: Stay with the likelihood of going. What does that mean? No team is going to take a chance on him before training camp, which means he’ll open camp with the 49ers (so they can see how he’s progressed). The only way he makes the roster is if he’s finally coming into his own as a OT, unload Jennings, and the 49ers don’t acquire anyone else. That’s a lot of “ifs”.
TE Sean Ryan: Stay. I think that he’s got a higher likelihood of staying than Bajema. If he can show that he’s capable of catching a pass and is decent at run blocking, he can double as a third string TE and a backup FB.
QB Jamie Martin: Go. The 49ers will (or should) probably go with youth as their emergency QB. Even if Alex Smith is let go, I don’t see a guy like Martin sticking around and learning a new system.
I guess I pretty much agree with Fooch (and most everyone else) on this (save for a couple of players).
by sfgfan on Jan 14, 2009 9:34 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
My Thoughts...
TKO Spikes: Seems, everyone is in agreement that he should stay, pretty much a no-brainer.
Bryant Johnson: My thinking is that if you can sign them cheap with no cap repercussions (as I imagine we can) then a team should almost always resign a player. You know exactly what you’re getting and if you find something better during camp, they can be let go without any penalties. While the Niners need to build in certain areas, we aren’t so far away from being a good team that we should pass up good young-ish talent for unproven talent. There’s no harm in keeping BJ for another year if he’s productive and then clearing room. Furthermore, Morgan and Hill have proved injury prone and at this point having extra WRs is good. Too, the coaches can determine how many practice and camp reps to give him versus the young guys. Wow, I guess I had a lot more to say about BJ than I thought.
DeShaun Foster: I’m torn between wanting to find a back in the draft and feeling like Foster is very good in his role. True his avg was down but our o-line was undergoing some well documented struggles. He’s a good receiver and blocker and I feel like it may be better to keep him unless something more productive (and bigger, I agree we need a smashmouth back) comes our way. He may be harder to keep and then cut than BJ, though, in which case I say cut him, because I feel that Clayton is ready to step into a back up role on the off chance we cut Foster and don’t draft another back.
Allen Rossum: Yes he’s old but clearly still effective. The fact that Ziegler was our top choice to return kicks does not bode well for other returners on the roster, and unless we draft a dynamite return man (Brandon Tate, holy crap, please draft Brandon Tate), and really even if then, I say keep Rossum for one more year. Plus, who else saw him sprain his ankle? That was a freak accident and he didn’t take longer than normal to recover or anything.
Donald Strickland: I’m not as high on him as some of you are I think. I feel like he makes the occasional solid play but too often I see him getting burned on in and slant routes which should not happen to the nickel corner. I’m also a big fan of T-Brown and want to see what he can provide. I say let Strick walk, let him get his money elsewhere (and perhaps become one more in a long line of failed niners’ corners who go on to success elsewhere, couch joeslio Hansen cough).
Ronald Fields: Like BJ, sign him cheap cut him in camp if you find something better. Though, I have to say I do feel like he’s improved every year he’s been with the team
JTO: gone baby gone. Impressed that Fooch managed to mention that he was a turnover machine in both the stay and go categories, well done
Rod Green: not worth the space probably, but, like Fooch recommended, sign him till you got something better and bring him back if that guy gets injured
Billy Bajema: I like Bajema a lot, but $1 mil is too much for a second blocking TE. My hope is that VD will be better used this coming season and we may yet need a blocking TE. I’m not really up to date on how this works but at some point, if we let bajema walk and no other team signs him for above his last contract, can we bring him back for less? How do veteren contracts work like that?
Damane Duckett: Injured too much to judge, sign and cut if need be. He has the tools.
Sean Ryan: I’d love to see us sign Moran Norris again, but Ryan did do a decent job. I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t get re-signed but if we can sign him cheap, do so and then cut him if we don’t find a better one. As much as I appreciate Keasey (and his hair) he’s not a good FB
Jamie Martin: Gone, he’s a Martz guy from the ram days, only brought him in since he knew the system. Surprised no one mentioned that
by foosball4949 on Jan 14, 2009 6:24 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

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