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What yesterday did - and didn't - tell me

One of the frustrating things about internet discussions is that anybody who tries to be a realist gets ridiculed as a naysayer. In another recent thread, for example, some of us tried to make reasoned arguments about why we're not drinking the Shaun Hill kool-aid, and "middle grounders" accused us of being the nay-sayers with as little logic as the guys saying "Shaun Hill Rullz."

This isn't an "I told you so," post, but rather it's a chance to take a look at a bad game, where we got some real unlucky breaks, and use it to help us take an honest assessment of this team. 

1) Let's start with Shaun Hill. People have wanted to hype his record while ignoring the teams he played, but here's the simple truth: it's not clear that Shaun Hill has ever beaten a good team. Hill was terrible today. I'm not even that upset by the INT, which we could have recovered from. (Anytime a ball is tipped and becomes an INT, bad luck was involved. That being said, when the ball is tipped by the intended receiver, the QB's accuracy comes into question).  But Hill just didn't get it done today. Under 50% passing. A 5.2 YPA even when you account for the long pass to Morgan (where Morgan created most of the yards after-the-catch). This was a truly bad performance. 

2) The defense. I'm less worried about this defense that some will be, after giving up 45 points, but that's partly because I didn't believe the hype. Look, Clements isn't a shut-down corner, and never has been. He's not going to magically become one at this point in his career.There will be renewed calls for Manny Lawson's head, but that's typical fan short-sightedness. No, he wasn't good today, but people were calling for his head after the preseason, praising him like mad after four games, and are going to be calling for his head again today. But he's learning a new skill set, and that's going to come in fits and starts. Freaking out about the pass-rush, against a team with a great pass-blocking OL, is scapegoating.

 I really think what happened here is that our guys got dispirited in the second quarter, and that's a real concern. Of course, it's hard for them to get their mojo back when the offense keeps putting up 3-and-outs. It would have been nie to see some veteran leadership stand up, but what this defense really needed after the bad breaks of the int and the fumble was for the offense to say "hey, we're still in this thing," and they couldn't deliver. 

I'm mostly concerned about the NT situation. If this defense can't stop the run, it's going to struggle against everybody, and the Falcons just had too much room to run wherever they wanted today. 

3) The coaching. This one hurts, because today the team looked a lot like it did when coached by Nolan. The total inability to handle adversity. I'm still digesting Kawakami's diagnosis (that Sing is getting out-tacticed by opposing coaches) which bears thinking about, but essentially we saw, today, the team that had the same personality we'd seen for the last couple of seasons. Despite Sing's exhortations, these guys got punched in the face and they didn't get back up. Now, in my opinion Sing is entitled to his rookie-coach mistakes, just like anyone else, so the whole timeout thing isn't that big a deal - no way anyone could have anticipated that crucial a blown call - but the abject failure of his coaching philosophy in this game is a cause for concern, to say the least.  

4) The lack of maturity. I'm not the only one who wants to strangle Dre Bly right now. Coffee's a rookie, so he gets a pass this game, but wow.

What I'm not worried about:

1) The run game. No, Coffee's 3.8 average isn't exciting, but the truth is we had to get away from the running game because we fell behind. 

2) Josh Morgan. After his drop last week, a lot of people seemed to be giving up on him - but anybody who puts more stock in that drop then they do in his 61 yarder is crazy. That 61-yarder was something HE created, after the catch. That's special. With Hill forced to throw long deeper because of the scoreboard, Morgan put up his best numbers of the year. This guy is a keeper, who, at the moment, is not on a team that's going to showcase his talents that well. The same will be true of Crabtree if he gets onto the field this year. As with VD last year, you have to look beyond the stats to see if they're delivering, and not just call them disappointments because of low catch totals. 

Morgan has done a lot to convince me that he's going to be one of our long-term staters at WR. 


Where do we go from here?

Maybe we should call this section "Playoffs? You want to talk to me about playoffs?"

The truth is that we can still win our division pretty easily, and earn the right to get demolished in the playoffs. And I guess that's progress. Our biggest needs right now are o-line and QB. The problem, of course, is that it's not so easy to pick a QB. With so many young QBs playing well right now, it's really easy to forget about Russell, Smith, Leinart, and Young - drafting a QB in the first round is still a very expensive crapshoot. 

I'd rather see the team focus on the lines in the first two rounds. Get me a great OT (honestly, I understand why we grabbed Crabtree, but Oher would be a shoo-in for rookie of the year if linemen could get a fair shot at those prizes). Get me a NT or a guy who can get to the QB. We've got two first round picks next year, which are both likely to be top 15. Let's solve the big problems. A quality QB may slip to the second round, let's grab him then. 

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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I don’t our pick is going to be top 15 probably in the 20’s.

by 49erSalvatrucha on Oct 12, 2009 10:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I still see it in this perspective

It’s one of those days where every 50/50 call and play went against us. The Falcons deserved most of that due to having better execution and playing smarter. Everything we did right went wrong:

Morgan’s long catch should’ve been a TD but he cut inside instead of staying in a straight line which also slowed him down. That move almost cost us a TD but did cost us a T.O. that was needed – and cost our D seven points.

We’re in FG range after the fumble recovery but get sacked on 3rd down. Cost our offense three points.

Non-fumbled K.O. – that not only lead to 7 more points but cost good field position after the K.O. (39 yd line) and the opportunity to score and/or use up clock. Atlanta scored 14 more points in the half from that point, which plays into their desire to be a ball control team.

Opened the 2nd half with a big pass play but missed a FG.

Willis forced two fumbles but we recovered neither.

Bly’s INT that he fumbles back to ATL, resulting in 3 points for them and missing a chance to give us field position to score.

Dahl continually hitting some of our guys after whistle with no flag, but we called for a person foul along the sidleine.

Everything done right still went wrong. No doubt we can play better and smarter, starting with Richal and extending to Gore getting back. For now I chalk this up to being a day where what could go wrong did go wrong.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 12, 2009 10:29 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Morgan’s long catch should’ve been a TD but he cut inside instead of staying in a straight line which also slowed him down he’s really freaking slow.

Fixed it!

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Oct 12, 2009 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This.

I don’t know where people get the idea that Morgan is some kind of burner. He’s a VERY average WR with respect to speed and other physical talent. He gets by with being a better route runner than most people expect and with VERY solid hands (most of the time, at least).

by sfgfan on Oct 12, 2009 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do people think he's a burner?

 I don’t. He’s got good WR speed. Probably as fast as John Taylor. His strength is supposed to be his size and perhaps, as you say, route running. He still should not have been caught from behind on that play. He may have slowed up but his cut inside gave the DB an angle he otherwise did not have. That was dumb so I can only guess he assumed he wasn’t being chased closely.. like Bly. I bet he won’t make that mistake again.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 12, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personally, I think he was getting tackled either way on that play. He was lumbering and the DB was closing very fast.

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Oct 12, 2009 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm with you

The cut didn’t matter.

Wow, was he slow on that play. Brit Miller looked faster on that preseason catch and run. He had at least a 10 yard head start with 50 to go.

by hammystyle on Oct 12, 2009 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know, man.

You say he is probably as fast as John Taylor, and if that’s true, Taylor wasn’t really fast, either. I know it’s impossible to know for sure, but I’m thinking most of Taylor’s big plays were because he already beat the DB(s) that were on him. Morgan wasn’t that far ahead of the DB, and he doesn’t have good speed.

by sfgfan on Oct 12, 2009 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Taylor didn't get caught due to his size

He was tough to tackle and had tremendous strenght and balance which is why he was a great punt returner (and I believe still holds the SB record for longest punt return).

But his and Morgan’s speed were/are WR level. You don’t get caught from behind with a straight line head start unless you’re injured, slowing up or chased by Deion Sanders. Morgan made bad cut that gave the DB an angle. Think of Rice; he wasn’t the fastest but he made sure to always take the correct angle when running away from people.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 12, 2009 3:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You don’t get caught from behind with a straight line head start unless you’re injured, slowing up, [slow], or chased by Deion Sanders Patrick Willis.

Fixed it!

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Oct 12, 2009 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You don’t get caught from behind with a straight line head start unless you’re injured, slowing up or chased by Deion Sanders.

You seriously believe this? That just because he’s a WR, he shouldn’t be caught from behind?

by sfgfan on Oct 12, 2009 3:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well to be fair, he slowed down near the end there

Maybe he got tired….maybe he had a Dre Bly moment.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 12, 2009 4:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes I do

If you are a wide receiver that’s not aged like Bruce, you should not get caught from behind on a straight line unless some defender with top speed (such as Willis noted above by howey) is chasing you. And he had his head start with at most 50 yards to go. I was at the game and saw the TV replay. He started to lose momentum by looking over his shoulder, then we cut inside he lost all speed. Had he stayed straight or cut to the right he’d have scored. Not looking over his shoulder also would have sufficed.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 12, 2009 4:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

People are missing the point...

Morgan is slower because of his size, BUT his size is the reason he was able to break the tackle in the first place. So, if we was smaller, but faster, he gets tackled and there is no big play.

The lack of speed is offset by his size, which is the only reason he broke that tackle. Do I wish he was T.O. (in his prime), with both? Of course, but he’s not.

by Quiet Fool on Oct 13, 2009 7:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So, if we was smaller, but faster, he gets tackled and there is no big play first down. And we have to punt.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This
We’re in FG range after the fumble recovery but get sacked on 3rd down. Cost our offense three points

If we run here then were pissin andmoanin get rid of Raye. Why is it that no one comes back and say, “i see why Raye plays so conservatively”

"Optimist Prime"
Come along and ride the muthaship!

by rlott#42 on Oct 12, 2009 7:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So true

I read today, I think on Kevin Lynch’s blog, that sack came vs a three man rush when Pashos and Rachal miscommunicated a blocking assignment. Think about that: a three man rush. At worst that should’ve been an incomplete pass with a FG for three points. No wonder Raye has little trust for the guys up front.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 12, 2009 9:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, a miscommunication is what happens when ...

… you’re subbing out your starting RT because you’re not sure he’s good enough.

OLmen really need to work together and know each other. Miscommunications shouldn’t be happening, but it’s not surprising that if they are, Pashos is involved.

by Ronaldinho on Oct 12, 2009 10:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This wasn't supposed to be THE YEAR anyway

But we came out looking pretty strong the first four games and got excited. After years of being tragically subpar, taking a little bit of hope and running with it is only natural for a Niner fan.

It was a rude awakening, and it makes me a bit sad to wake up from the dream of a miracle season. But ah well….

Yesterday we lost bad, but I do not think we were outclassed. I think we have the skills to have competed in that game.
What happened is we came out sloppy and undisciplined, which is something that hasn’t happened this year.
That’s a coaching issue,and the players aren’t the only ones that should be learning from Sundays loss.
But like you said, Coach Sing is a rookie himself, and I do give him a lot of credit for turning this team in the right direction in the relatively short time he’s had to do it.

 Yesterday told me that heart and determination can’t win every game every week.
But I still have a lot of hope that Samurai Mike is the future and is taking us towards success.

As to our QB situation, of course Shaun isn’t going to be what we need to get that ring. But we still have Davis developing, and who knows, he could turn out to be #16 reborn
(I think I’ll hold onto that dream.)

by Krowley on Oct 12, 2009 10:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not that I'm saying Davis should be put in now

I don’t want to actually see him until next year

by Krowley on Oct 12, 2009 10:57 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very...

… interesting, but accurate, way of describing the situation.

by sfgfan on Oct 12, 2009 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol...........rec'd

"Optimist Prime"
Come along and ride the muthaship!

by rlott#42 on Oct 12, 2009 7:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Huh?...

The 49ers are still under the same parents that can’t decide what gender they are to dress them for school.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 13, 2009 11:41 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

This...

Just Priceless! Sad, but true… Rec!

by MX49er on Oct 15, 2009 7:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

we can still win our division pretty easily, and earn the right to get demolished in the playoffs

The team needs some humility, us fans too. We need to see ourselves in right size. We’re better than some teams and not as good as others. We’re heading in the right direction but things are still lacking: chestry for instance

by dalien82 on Oct 12, 2009 11:56 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow

Great fanpost Ronaldinho. Some thoughts:

1. Completely agree on Hill.

2. No, the defense won’t be elite. But I still think the run defense can be. It’s the pass defense that concerns me. The pass rush has been mostly non-existent other than against the Cards and Rams horrible offensive lines. The secondary is fine but especially now that Lewis is hurt and out indefinitely it still leaves a lot to be desired.

3. I’m going to try to re-watch the Falcon game (Yeah, it’s going to be tough) because I was mostly following other games once the score got out of hand. Sing definitely got outcoached though, but I think he had done pretty well the rest of the season.

4. Bly’s showboating was totally ridiculous but at least he apologized. I expect it to be a non-issue going forward.

5. I am not really worried about the running game, mostly because I’m resigned to it being bad. Outside of Gore’s two 80 yard runs we’ve averaged 3.0 yards per carry (372 yards on 124 carries) which would be 31st in the league. You can’t completely discount those runs, but still, the running game has been pretty miserable. It should improve somewhat once Gore comes back though.

6. Agreed, Morgan looks pretty good.

7. Agreed, we can definitely still win the division.

8. I think people overestimate how risky 1st round QB’s are. Sure there are lots of busts but you can say that about every other position too. I do think the bust rate is marginally higher, but the reward is much higher. Imagine how much better the Dolphins would look right now if they had drafted Matt Ryan instead of Jake Long.

9. This goes along with #8, but I think all of the QB’s you listed (Russell, Smith, Leinart, and Young) had clearly recognizable flaws. Granted, there are other guys like Brady Quinn who I thought would be really good out of college but drafting a QB who isn’t a very good passer (Russell or Young) but can throw the ball far or scramble well is just dumb. This is a passing league, being able to make quick reads and throw the ball accurately should be priorities # 1, 2, 3, and 4 when evaluating a QB. I’m not saying to draft a QB no matter what, but if Sam Bradford is there when the Niners are up and they think he can be the guy then they should take him.

10. I think OT should be the top priority as well, assuming there’s no QB the Niners are really high on when it’s their turn to pick. Getting a pass rusher looks more and more like a big priority as well, and I’d definitely go after a NT if Franklin doesn’t re-sign. The only problem there is that the only true NT who looks like a 1st rounder at this point is Terrance Cody, and some people think he’s overrated.

Again, great fanpost, thanks for sharing.

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 12, 2009 3:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Idk Henne looked pretty good today and Long was a monster up front.

by gbears16 on Oct 12, 2009 9:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Long

He’s a beast.
In fact, that entire O-line is awesome.

There’s a team that truly plays to it’s strengths.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 12, 2009 10:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Henne is far from a known commodity, but so far at least:

Yet another example of what an at least semi-talented young quarterback can do when you put him in an system that runs the ball well and offers a little bit of protection while playing solid defense.

In the last couple years: Ryan, Flacco, Sanchez, Henne. Go back a little and you’ll see Roethlesberger (and I’m sure countless others). Man, that’s way better than the Alex Smith / JaMarcus Russell developmental curve.

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Oct 12, 2009 10:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

also

a great example of how a strong arm does more than allow you to make plays down the field.

Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl

by Viliphied on Oct 12, 2009 11:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Notice how the Dolphins seem better with Henne instead of Pennington?

Yeah, me too.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 12, 2009 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pennington was really good last year

But we’ll see how Henne does when defenses adjust.

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 12, 2009 11:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pennington looked "meh" in his first few games.

And especially terrible in the playoffs.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 13, 2009 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He only played one game in the playoffs

But yeah, he hadn’t looked great this year. I’m glad they’re playing Henne.

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 13, 2009 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did you hear the announcers say what Parcells' criteria was for college QBs?

Graduating senior, three year starter who won at least 23 games. I guess Henne fit all those. And in year two he may be heir future and present. Davis could be the same for us.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 12:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Unsure

But next year he will be a second year QB who sat for a year, had a successful college career and would replace a weaker armed “game manager” QB who will (I believe) have taken his team to the playoffs.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We'll see

I personally don’t see Davis playing next year (I think that’s what you were implying), but hopefully Hill will help the NIners get to the playoffs this year…

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 13, 2009 8:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep, I was implying that

Just looking for a positive parallel. I’ll certainly take the playoffs this year and worry about next year at that time.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 8:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No

He was a junior when he entered the draft.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 13, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yet another example of what an at least semi-talented young quarterback can do when you put him in an system that runs the ball well and offers a little bit of protection while playing solid defense.

Agreed 100%. Which is why we need to shore up the line first. We’ve got the defense thing down pretty well, but our line is terrible, they can’t protect and can’t get any drive off the line for the running game. We don’t want another Alex Smith or David Carr. Get the line in order and then bring a QB.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's what they said for the Falcons though too

As for why they shouldn’t have picked Ryan. If the QB sits for a year we’d have time to build a line anyways. Also, we have two first rounders so potentially we could get both in the same draft.

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 13, 2009 8:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who said anything about sitting somebody?

I certainly didn’t… The Falcons figured out a way to protect Ryan from day 1. They did give up 47 sacks in 2007, I suppose, but they had another first rounder that year and another early second rounder from the previous year. I don’t know. Since 2005, they’ve invested 2 second rounders and 1 first rounder on offensive linemen (Staley, Rachal, and Baas). Only one of those seems to have panned out. We’ll see what happens in this year’s draft and who drops to our draft slot. Either we’ll be in the playoffs or have two top 15 draft picks. I’m at least excited about the future. I do still think we make the playoffs.

Does it make sense to wait another year to see if Rachal develops a bit more? Have we determined that Baas is not starter material? Is Staley the answer at LT? Do they just need another year playing together to “gel?”

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 14, 2009 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most people here

Seem to think any QB should have to sit for a year. Sorry, didn’t mean to group you with them. I agree with your assessment.

I’d give Rachal another year, but he certainly hasn’t been very impressive this year. At this point I don’t think Baas is any good, at least not in the Niners system. Staley needs to improve his run blocking to be a long term answer IMO.

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 14, 2009 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just read the LOLfensive LOLine

Great read.

The bit about the O-Line coach is telling. And given that Chilo’s mistakes seem to be very mental, I suspect that either the system is either too complicated or Chilo’s just a meathead who can only block the guy in front of him. Now that he’s being asked to do more than that, he’s just confused.

I’d like to see one or two linemen drafted in the first 2 rounds this year (3 picks), unless we make picks we have to. A QB if it makes sense, but also a nose tackle. Basically, we need to control the line of scrimmage. That was the biggest failure against Atlanta. Maybe the D-line had a bad day, but at least the O-line has had trouble with that all year long. Something’s gotta give.

I like the “Staley-Wragge-Heitmann-Snyder-Pashos” idea, I like the “get rid of the Oline coach” idea for short term. Neither of those ideas can produce any worse than what they’ve been doing.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 14, 2009 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree about Rachal

I’m not at all pleased with is play and would bench him now but would not give up on him. How long did it take before Dahl became good? Four seasons and a few stays on the practice squad? He could still be solid long-term and perhaps losing his starting job will get his mind and technique right.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 14, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

He should be focusing on technique and whatnot, being a starter is probably forcing him to think about the next game and what schemes he should be watching out for. He’s not equipped for that yet. He needs to get equipped before trying it out in the game. Hopefully he’ll become good at some point, but now is not the time and leaving him out there to get killed and subsequently chewed out by Sing every game cannot be good for his development.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 14, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wasn't impressed with Long

against the Colts at all, he was schooled all day. He did look good tonight though. Still, Ryan is perhaps the most valuable player in the entire league at this point.

by Brendan Scolari on Oct 12, 2009 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So....

Willis for Brady is a maybe, but Willis for Ryan is a “GOGOGO!!!”? I still say we need a line before a QB, but I’d take Ryan over Brady at this point too.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

I’m with you almost all the way down the line here. Great fanpost.

Morgan breaks through in 2009!

by grantmp on Oct 12, 2009 9:02 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Offense cann't be fix until the Ol is

It’s a plain fact that if your Ol cann’t move the defense or pass protect, you’re done. Then the Defense dicates what the Offense can do.
 This not a surprise to me when I consider what the OL has done in the past couple of years. You cann’t move players around and think you’ll get better results They’re fooling themselves if they think it will work. So far, they proven it !!! Fooling themselves, that is ! I’m so sick of them ( McC ) casting a blind eye to the serious problem we have.
 At the beginning of the FA or trade Market, I was yelling for a Pro quality Lineman and before the Draft, I was hoping to pick up a 1st or 2nd early round OL men. But many of you didn’t agree with me.In fact, some of you thought I had a serious head injury.
 When I look at all the really good teams like the Giants, Indy, Minn. and Phil., even though they have some great players, the one thing I see is how good the Front Line is. Without them, thoses players may not be has good.
 Some may want to blame the QB, WR,or even the RB, but the real truth is, if you don’t have a good line, none of those other players can do a thing !!!!!
  

by LASVEGASNINER on Oct 13, 2009 4:26 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

It’s a plain fact that if your Ol cann’t move the defense or pass protect, you’re done. Then the Defense dicates what the Offense can do.

I’m a full fledged proponent of this theory. The reverse is also true: If you don’t have a D-Line that can defend the run or get to the QB, you’re done.

First, this post is not to defend the poor play from the entire team, offense, defense, QB, RB, LB, WR, DB, coaches, etc. On Sunday, everybody played poorly. But it starts up front on both sides of the ball:

Passing issues -
Hill didn’t have any time and it showed. On top of that, he did an absolutely horrible job of adjusting to the pressure. Forget the same page, he wasn’t even in the same genre as VD on what looked like 7 drop offs that good QBs don’t make. VD never realized he needed to turn around, and even if he had, he would have been tackled for a 3 yard gain, whoppie! Hill never found an open man with room to run, and just seemed rattled the whole game. When he had time, he usually found somebody, but again, that’s what any QB will do. The difference between a top notch QB and a run of the mill QB is how they perform under pressure. There’s a reason people say “you don’t blitz Peyton Manning,” it’s not just that his line is usually able to give him an extra half a second, it’s because he knows exactly where the weak spot of the defense is and can hit his receivers there. Without a QB like that and with our line, we’re going to get creamed by anybody with the guts to blitz often.

On the flip side, Matt Ryan seemed to have 7 aligators to find anybody he wanted on any given play. We got zero pressure on him because his line beasted our D line every play. If we traded QBs, we still lose 35-17 (at best). If we traded offensive and defensive lines, we probably win 30-17.

Ryan is definitely a better QB, no doubt, but a line that gives you that much time is a big time difference maker (2 sacks in 4 games is crazy good, and at least this past Sunday that wasn’t a result of him getting rid of the ball quickly. He just had to be patient and wait for his receivers to get open).

This has an effect on the secondary because after 5 straight passes where you’ve had to defend for 7 seconds, you’re not going to feel like you have to take a risk to make a play instead of being conservative and expecting that the line will help make a stop. That’s how you get burned.

Rushing issues – On every running play, our D-line was 2-3 yards downfield which either resulted in a 3-4 yard gain at worst and often having our LBs getting caught up in the cluster and not being able to plug the holes (i.e. a 8-30 yard gain).

On the flip side, our O line got no push, usually gave up penetration to a D-linemen, let alone a linebacker, and we only gained yardage when we fooled them or Coffee made a play (see the tense goalline series after Morgan’s catch that only worked out because they weren’t expecting the flip and Coffee then beat two guys to the corner. Note that this was 15 yards away from any offensive lineman). Our O line cannot get it done.

Again, don’t get me wrong, Shaun Hill and the rest of the team played poorly today, but a lot of that is the panic mode that set in. Everything went against us, and the team kept making boneheaded play after boneheaded play.

They took Atlanta’s best shot in the first quarter, clawed back, got a turnover in Atlanta territory with a good chance to take the lead, screwed it up, pinned ATL in deep, earned a 3rd and medium to long with a chance to get the ball back AGAIN in Atlanta territory, but instead gave up a TD (on which Josh Morgan would have been caught at the 50), and had used our timeouts and couldn’t challenge the stupid call on the ensuing kick off. At that point, the D was a bit rattled (could have used a TO to gather the troops), gave up a 30 yard run on first down and then another TD. In literally 90 seconds, we’d gone from having momentum with a chance to take the lead to down 18 and dead in the water. After that, we played poorly, we were playing a better team, and we still kept getting the short end of the luck stick.

Where do we go from here? First, that game isn’t a real good measuring stick. For a quarter and a half, we played Atlanta tough. Would it have lasted without the fiasco? Maybe… probably not.

The thing that stands out most is that our lines were useless. That can’t continue. Without better line play, nothing else much matters. Is Shaun Hill “the answer,” as I’ve repeatedly said, “no,” but he’s at least played acceptably until this week (and you can’t excuse Lawson’s one bad game without excusing Hill’s the same way) and we have bigger fish to fry (if you can’t tell from above, I think that’s OL & DL). Unless we can magically get Peyton Manning, a better QB is not going to have much of an effect unless we can keep him off his behind. Hill had a dud this week, which happens, and he can certainly be improved upon, but we have bigger fish to fry. The quickest way to improve the team, and the surest way to improve the team is to shore up the deficiencies on the lines.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Next year's QBs are risky...

Unfortunately, each of them have flaws more apparent than probably Ryan or Quinn coming out, even if they amount to nothing. Locker is an athlete who is just adding the passing tools (though he looks good), Bradford runs a spread offense (shudder), McCoy runs an offense that is heavily reliant on underneath passing for inflated stats, Tebow runs a spread and has accuracy concerns.

The most well-rounded guys, IMO, are Clausen (who has shown me a lot so far, even if I think he’s a tool) and Max Hall from BYU. Those are guys who I think will be late 1st-rounders at best.

Personally, I’d rather our first round picks focus on a RT, pass rusher, or safety (Mays anyone?). I say that first pick we address one of those positions, and then we just wait on our next 1st rounder to see whether Bradford falls, or go with another position. I’m not crazy about any of these QBs.

Unfortunately, my dreams of sending a 1st to Cincinnati for Palmer have evaporated now that he’s shown he’s back from his injury (it was still haunting him).

by Quiet Fool on Oct 13, 2009 7:43 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I like Max Hall

Not a flashy QB, but really solid. His completion percentage averages 65% over his three years of college. (60% 2007, 69% in 2008 and 69% so far this year). This from a throw happy BYU offense, so you know he’s got some good skills.

Granted he does play in the MWC, where he doesn’t see a lot of good defense. However, against Florida State which whupped BYU this year and has a pretty good passing defense he was 21 of 30 for over 300 yards.

He’ll probably go late in the second round nfldraftscout.com ranks him the 10th best QB in the league and projects 6th round for him—I think that’s unreleastic and I expect late second or early third.

by smileyman on Oct 13, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’d rather see the team focus on the lines in the first two rounds. Get me a great OT (honestly, I understand why we grabbed Crabtree, but Oher would be a shoo-in for rookie of the year if linemen could get a fair shot at those prizes). Get me a NT or a guy who can get to the QB. We’ve got two first round picks next year, which are both likely to be top 15. Let’s solve the big problems. A quality QB may slip to the second round, let’s grab him then.

I agree with this 100% and most of everything else you said in the article. Some things seem solely based on your personal perception but overall pretty accurate.

The team played with their heads in the clouds. There were a number of mental errors that contributed to the 45-10 stomping. The turning point was at 6:59 left when Roddy White went 90 yards for the score. Up until that point, I thought we were actually going to come back and make it an exciting game. As that TD happened, it deflated the crowd and you could hear a pin drop in there. With the crowd out of it, it made it that much easier for Ryan and the rest of their offense to pick apart a demoralized defense. The defense is extremely talented. I think your assesment of Clements is off. On the specific play that you mentioned, he thought he would have help over the top from Roman, hence why he took a chance. If Roman didn’t take that stupid angle, it would have been a 15 yard gain…still bad, but not deflating.

Anyway, I don’t think it’s that the Falcons are that much better, I think the Niners defeated themselves with the mental errors. We can beat them when we’re playing the way we did against Minnesota, Seattle, Arizona, and the Rams. We have the ability to beat good teams, IMO

by Drew K on Oct 13, 2009 12:18 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

If Roman didn’t take that stupid angle, it would have been a 15 yard gain…still bad, but not deflating.

Terrible, terrible angle.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The turning point was at 6:59 left when Roddy White went 90 yards for the score.

In the 2nd Qtr

by Drew K on Oct 13, 2009 12:25 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd say it came the prior possession

When Rachal allowed his man to go free for a sack vs a three man rush. We were in FG range and may have extended that drive for a TD (and the lead). 13-14 or 17-14, we’re feeling good and even if ATL still scores again, the entire flow and possession management changed.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

True

that probably was the starting point… Roddy’s TD was a cap on that

by Drew K on Oct 13, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That was brutal, but Andy Lee pinned them, so it wasn’t disastrous.

The Walker fumble was the turning point imo, because we couldn’t challenge it.Then again that was because Morgan arguably slowed up on his long catch, which then led to us burning a timeout cuz Coffee didn’t get on the field fast enough.

Anyways I blame Mark Roman for everything.

by znk916 on Oct 13, 2009 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What was Coffee doing anyway

Was he getting a drink of water? I think I mat have been away from the TV when that happened. My brother just said Coffee cost us a TO and I didn’t question it then

by Drew K on Oct 13, 2009 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Heard on the radio

He assumed Morgan scored and went to the sideline. Then Hill gets the play and they’ve only got ten men, no RB. I read SIng’s lips when he yelled at Coffee during the T.O. “Wake up!”

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sigh...

It’s more than Coffee though, there had to be 30 other guys standing around who noticed Coffee getting water and didn’t say anything. Is Coffee at fault? Yes. Could somebody else have done something about it? I think so, but maybe it would have been too late wrt huddle rules.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

With...

… so much going on in terms of personnel changes that happen play-to-play, you can’t blame his teammates for that. Coffee should know his assignment and when he needs to be on the field. With the next call not yet in, his teammates don’t know if he’s part of the next package, or not.

by sfgfan on Oct 13, 2009 3:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My guess

Having never been on an NFL sideline, everyone is excited from the play. Only offensive guys would know what package is being called and which back is going in, so for all most guys knows Coffee was pulled out for someone else. That whole Belicheck motto of “do your job” and not worry about other guys. I see that as all on Coffee because once it’s detected he’s not there, the 40-second clock is likely half gone at best and you now have to get him out there, call the play and line up. I put that all on him but predict that will never happen again in his career.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 3:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ha!

I beat you by a few split seconds.

In all seriousness, I obviously agree with your hypothetical assessment.

by sfgfan on Oct 13, 2009 3:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fair assessments.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL.. Saw that

We agree. Ahh, great minds…

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rachal's error was the rain starting to fall

Roddy’s TD was the crack in the dam, and the fumble was the dam overflowing. Without those three plays, who knows what would have happened. Without Rachal’s error, we’re kicking off down 1. Without Roddy’s TD, we’re either getting the ball back with good field position or still have them pinned deep. Without the fumble, we’ve got good field position only down 11.

And seriously, does anybody else think they need to give the refs some help here? I felt like they had a meeting, and everybody said “Hey, I didn’t see it,” and they just made the call one way or the other knowing that it’d be challenged anyways. There needs to be some way for the refs to say “I don’t know” without forcing one side or the other to challenge it. Maybe have a 30 second “ref challenge” where the just call up to the replay official and have them verify something.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yea, lost in the T.O. issue

Was how the refs missed something that everyone watching live, both on the sidelines, in stadium and on TV saw as down by contact. What the heck was that about? As you said, we’d have been at the 39 yd line down by eleven. Instead the defense goes right back out and when the offense returns, we’re down 18 with worse field position. That was game.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 13, 2009 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And in reality

It wasn’t completely Rachal’s fault. I remember thinking that Hill had ample time to do… something, but he just stepped up and got sacked.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hill was our leading rusher

that should speak on how well the line was doing. he was running for his life on most plays. One play where Rachal blocked a guy out of several and the majority being the opposite.

How pissed was Hill at them (Baas, Chilo, and Snyder)? I haven’t seen him get like that ever. Didn’t think he had it in him.

by Drew K on Oct 13, 2009 11:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

???

At this point, it should be expected that Rachal never finishes a block. The failures of the line are known commodities, and both Hill and the coordinator should know this. It looks like they do, given the awful “hot read” to VD that Hill used 5 times this week (I am going to refer to this play as “hot potato” from now on).

Rachal is expected to fail. You can’t blame Hill’s failure on Rachal’s success… that’s just stoopid. Either it was the coordinator’s fault for calling a play without an emergency valve in the area of the field where any loss of yardage is lost points or it was Hill’s fault for taking a sack where a simple incompletion is worth 3 points.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 14, 2009 10:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The most disheartening aspect of this loss was the fact that we lost a total heartbreaker in Minnesota, then came out and bounced back with a convincing win against the Rams. One week later, we come out looking horrible (overconfident to start, then just completely lost after Matt Ryan started tearing apart our secondary, led by the horrible overrated and unreliable Nate Clements).

In terms of next year’s draft, I’m dreaming of Taylor Mays. That’ll probably change as the college season develops, but at the moment, he’s number one on my “most wanted” list, and the reason I pay attention to Carolina each week.

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008
2009: The return of Los Galacticos!

by Useful_Idiot on Oct 13, 2009 3:33 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I can’t stop thinking about Taylor Mays! Anyone, anyone?

Wall-E for Best Picture 2008
2009: The return of Los Galacticos!

by Useful_Idiot on Oct 13, 2009 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"I can’t stop thinking about Taylor Mays!"

Now that’s a great quote to take out of context.

I see your Taylor Mays and raise you one Eric Berry.

"I wish the Seahawks were back in the AFCW so we didn’t have to face Willis and Gore twice a year."

by Fearless Frog on Oct 13, 2009 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

As I said above
(overconfident to start, then just completely lost after Matt Ryan started tearing apart our secondary, led by the horrible overrated and unreliable Nate Clements)

Anybody can look good/bad given good/bad line play. You make Champ Bailey or Deion Sanders in his prime defend somebody for 10 seconds and they’ll have a tough time. You give Shaun Hill 10 seconds, and he’ll look pretty good too. Is Clements as good as Bailey? Not as a cover corner, but he’s not thaaat far off. Is Hill as good as Ryan? No, certainly not, but this week was a bit of an outlier.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 13, 2009 3:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Honestly? That Rams game wasn't that convincing.

Our defense looked good, but our offense was terrible.

Part of the problem might be that everybody – including the players – is only thinking about the final score and saying, “wow, you don’t lay a beat like that on somebody unless you’re pretty good” but our offense didn’t score that many points, and the turnovers-turned points are great, but not the sort of thing you can bank on every week.

by Ronaldinho on Oct 13, 2009 5:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The offense...

Is still near the bottom of the League. How does that bode well going into OCT and NOV?

This game showed how.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 13, 2009 11:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Great post

Can’t agree more. I read the whole Shaun Hill discussion, and I didn’t even want to share an opinion, when every argument was responded back with “He’s a winner, see his record”… The games were won by the team, not because of Shaun Hill having a good game, he’s just an average QB, not as bad as JTO, for sure, but I wonder if the “he’s a winner” idea, will help us to beat teams like Indianapolis this season. And I mean him, carrying the team, passing for a decent AVG.

Even in the interviews, I just don’t see everything other guys see in him… Maybe I’m just a bad fan, since I don’t like him that much.

Great post, again.

by MX49er on Oct 15, 2009 7:05 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe I’m just a bad fan, since I don’t like him that much.

That doesn’t make you a bad fan dude.

I actually like Shaun Hill as a side-kick on the Joe Show, however….

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 15, 2009 9:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

lookin at '10

Pike and Locker might available in 2nd round. I’d stay away from McCoy. Bradford will be gone.
Go NT and OL with 2 1st rounders. OL in 3rd, then all D to finish off day 2 of the draft.

by SJ49 on Oct 16, 2009 7:27 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Pike just got hurt

I do agree McCoy sucks.

It does us no good that he and Bradford will get all sorts of hype because of the upcoming game.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 16, 2009 9:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Better now than later...

Regardless, the end of college season is 3+ months before the draft and there are plenty of workouts, combines, Mel Kiper BS, etc. to go between now and then. If anything, this game will produce one loser who’s “draft stock” will take an ever so slight hit.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 16, 2009 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wish McCoy would get exposed for the wimpy QB he really is

But Oklahoma doesn’t have the defense to do it.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 16, 2009 8:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He did

And they still won.

How bout those Gator refs!

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 17, 2009 11:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How bout those Gator refs!

God that was disgusting.
Seeing all of those horrible calls ruined my day.

On McCoy: They still won but I stopped watching after the 3rd quarter.
Oklahoma lost all their will to fight and stopped harassing McCoy…lame

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 18, 2009 12:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Those refs were awful

4th Q, Florida trails, uh-oh. Have to make sure UF stays undefeated and Tebow remains a hero. Horrible.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 18, 2009 1:21 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope Florida drops in the rankings soon.

Alabama is obviously the better team.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 18, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really wish he would stay for his Senior season

He would really benefit from it.

But there’s no way he’ll risk $ by staying in school.
With the new CBA and whatnot.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 16, 2009 8:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I do too, but especially with Bradford's injury,

can’t blame a guy for not wanting to pass up 25 million guaranteed.

"Mayhap a hidden door lurks nigh. Let us search the environs."

by Fearless Frog on Oct 17, 2009 4:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yep

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 17, 2009 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He would really benefit from it.

Can you quantify this? I mean, what can’t he learn in the NFL that he can learn in college (besides calculus, duh)? Mostly curious… but I’ve heard the “he should stay in school” argument a lot, but never any reasoning behind it.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 17, 2009 11:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No reasoning?

How long did Matt Ryan stay in college?
Joe Flacco?
Peyton Manning?

Or
Alex Smith?
Jamarcus Russell?

I thought some guy posted a fanpost on here looking at the success rate of QBs that stayed in college for at least 4 years vs the QBs that stayed for only 3 years.

As for Locker: He still seems like he needs to work on reading defenses prior to the snap.
Experience,experience, experience.
Can’t get the same experience sitting on the bench…

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 18, 2009 12:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

As for Locker: He still seems like he needs to work on reading defenses prior to the snap.

Thanks. College defenses are typically not as sophisticated as NFL defenses… maybe it’s like taking algebra before calculus.

How long did Matt Ryan stay in college?
Joe Flacco?
Peyton Manning?

Or
Alex Smith?
Jamarcus Russell?

Lists that contain the names of 3 guys do not mean anything. Case in point:

How long did David Carr stay in school?

Or

Aaron Rodgers?

Are there really that many instances of QBs foregoing their senior year? I couldn’t really find many other instances of guys skipping their senior year (though you forgot Ryan Leaf). I’d be interested to see the numbers and any other hypotheses. Certainly, there’s something to be said for learning to walk before you can run, but… I don’t know.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 18, 2009 10:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah dude I'm not doing all the research

I’m almost 80% sure some guy did do the research and posted it on the site.
Although I can’t find it….

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 18, 2009 10:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

eh...

I almost thought this was a great post. I enjoyed reading it up until the point where you ask, “Where do we go from here?” 5 games into the season and you’re already talking about next year’s draft. Goodness-gracious-great-balls-of-fire.

I’d much rather put faith in Coach Sing’s ability to reconstruct his O-line in preparation for the game against Houston, then to put faith in Scot Mcloughan’s ability to pick the right players in next year’s draft.

When talking about Shaun Hill’s performance, I think we still have to give him some more time. Fans can say, “If he has it, then he should have already shown it.” Well, that’s like saying Hill can never improve his game, and that what you see now is what you’re gonna get. Every time I come across this, I look back at guys like Rich Gannon, Jeff Garcia, and Kurt Warner. All three blossomed late in their careers. Not that I’m saying Hill is going to be like those guys, but what I AM saying is that he can be better than what we’re seeing now. You mention how it’s not clear whether Hill can beat a very good team, but when you say that, I think you also have to ask yourself, “how many opportunities has he been given to play against top tier teams?” And further, “In those opportunities, how strong was his offensive line, and how did his receiving core look like?” It’s like what people say, a coach is only as good as his players. I think we can say the same about Shaun Hill. You honestly think Hill can put up great performances if his O-line insists on breaking apart after each snap of the ball? Give him some time, and we’ll see how he does. When you look at the good throws that Hill has made (e.g. 50 yarder to Bruce; the 30 yarder to Morgan; the long bomb to Morgan that he dropped, etc.), they’ve all been a result of the O-line giving him enough time.

So when you say something like, “Hill just didn’t get the job done today”, I think you should also mention how “the O-line just didn’t get the job done today”, because clearly they didn’t. Wrong or right? One last thing. The INT was a result of a falcon’s linebacker tipping the ball, not the receiver. And further, contrary to what the analysts keep saying, that ball wasn’t intended for Davis. When you look at the replay (as I did because I recorded the damn game), Hill checked down and the ball was intended for Bruce.

I’d respond to your other points, but I’ve already written so much. So I’ll stop here.

by Waiting4JoshMorgan on Oct 16, 2009 5:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Same argument

Could be applied to Alex Smith!

by CorneliusJ on Oct 16, 2009 6:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

The same could be applied to Smith, and every other quarterback for that matter. But! I’ve seen enough of Smith in the 3 years that he played to determine that he just doesn’t have the accuracy needed to be successful. I’ve seen plenty of awkward looking plays where Smith was given ample time, and he simply couldn’t deliver the ball to the player. Again, we’ve seen 3 years of Smith already, so let’s not go there.

by Waiting4JoshMorgan on Oct 24, 2009 5:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh man.....
Well, that’s like saying Hill can never improve his game

I thought we all agreed on this.
How in the world can Shaun Hill ever get better?
He peaked in Mike Martz’s system. That’s as good as he’s ever going to be.

I look back at guys like Rich Gannon, Jeff Garcia, and Kurt Warner.

Jeff Garcia has always been a player (he tore it up in Canada), Kurt Warner had tons of upside because of his strong arm.

what I AM saying is that he can be better than what we’re seeing now.

Not unless they bring back Mike Martz and roll out the 5 WR sets to spread out the defense.

"how many opportunities has he been given to play against top tier teams?"

2008 @ Dallas: Played well at the start but eventually cooled off and couldn’t rally the team back (had success in garbage time).

2009 @ Minnesota: Threw a weird INT, fumbled, threw a pick in the redzone that was negated because of a delay of game (yeah I remember that) and other than that pick he was pretty good in the redzone (although VD was the guy that made the big plays and took a beating over the middle).

2009 vs Atlanta: Completely broke down and lost all confidence in his protection, threw passes too early because he didn’t trust his linemen and looked like he shitted his pants on every snap.

Give him some time, and we’ll see how he does

The game @ HOU should be a perfect gauge of Shaun HIll’s skills.
HOU sucks at getting after the QB and is pretty terrible against the pass.

When you look at the good throws that Hill has made (e.g. 50 yarder to Bruce; the 30 yarder to Morgan; the long bomb to Morgan that he dropped, etc.), they’ve all been a result of the O-line giving him enough time.

The 50 yarder to Bruce was terribly underthrown and would have been a TD if Hill had put more oomph into it.
The 30(wasn’t it 24?) yard TD to Morgan was a HORRIBLE pass that should have been picked off.
The long bomb that Morgan dropped (“It came down like a punt!” was actually pretty good, I’ll give you that.

So when you say something like, "Hill just didn’t get the job done today", I think you should also mention how "the O-line just didn’t get the job done today"

When I see a person critique Shaun Hill and the offense they always mention how bad the O-line sucks.
No one is putting all the blame on Shaun.

Note: I feel I should include this in my post because for some reason a lot of people LOVE to misunderstand what I’m trying to say.
I understand that Shaun Hill is the best QB we have on the roster and I am NOT calling for him to be replaced. I am, however, trying to point out his limitations.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 16, 2009 9:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry

It’s been a while. This thread is probably dead, but you’ll have to excuse my late response because school is a trip.

First, I have no idea how y’all quote the stuff up there. I haven’t looked at the formatting stuff here on ninersnation. The red highlighting looks cool though.

Anyway, I’m not sure what you mean when you say “we all agreed” on Hill’s inability to ever improve on his game. Saying so is utter nonsense. Before we all bash Hill and his potential, give him a full freaking season why don’t you! Man oh man, you guys and gals are rough as nails!

The reason I brought up Garcia, Gannon, and Warner was to make the simple point that those guys blossomed late in their careers. Listen, those guys didn’t make it big in the league after coming out of college FOR A REASON. They simply weren’t good at the time and needed extra years to mature their games. When you say Hill can’t improve his game, what are you basing that on? The fact that he doesn’t have a strong arm and can’t make the deep throws? A 50 yard completion is still a 50 yard completion no matter how you look at it. He got it there, didn’t he? The ball that Morgan missed that looked like a punt was still there wasn’t it?

Coach Sing said it best the other day when talking to Murph and Mac. Shaun Hill is a good quarterback when the O-line gives him time.

by Waiting4JoshMorgan on Oct 24, 2009 5:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well I guess you saw the game today

See the difference?

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 25, 2009 7:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hypothetical's..

When your offense is in the bottom of the League, without a running game…

Your passing offense sucks ass. Why?

Because the QB isn’t a threat.

Explain to me how Hill is a threat. Against winning teams.

Tell me.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 17, 2009 1:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hummm....

Let’s see, the rushing offense sucks ass, the passing offense is bad, but not completely useless. What’s the common denominator here? Oh, right, the LOLine. Again, 11 guys on offense, all failing together.

The LOLine can’t run or pass block and don’t open any running lanes or give the QB any time because the defense doesn’t have to respect the deep ball because the QB isn’t a deep threat and the running game sucks, which means all they have to focus on doing is controlling the line of scrimmage, no matter whether it’s a passing or running play, which is really easy because it’s a crappy LOLine that’s easy to push around and beat giving the crappy QB and crappy RBs less time and running room and putting them in bad positions all the time. Meanwhile, our wide receivers are old and/or slow and aren’t a deep threat either, nor can they get open very easily because they lack speed, experience, and/or young lithe bodies, which makes it even harder for the mediocre QB to get them the ball because they can’t get open very well and the DBs don’t have to give them any space because the WRs can’t beat them deep, and even if they could, the QB probably wouldn’t get them the ball because he can’t throw it deep, which all leads to everybody failing at running an efficient and effective offense because everybody is not super great.

You get my point? Everything is synergistic. The entire offense sucks. Give Hill Walter Jones, Steve Hutchinson, TO, and Adrian Peterson, and you’d have an effective offense. Give Hill Adam Snyder, Chilo Rachal, Isaac Bruce, and Glen Coffee, and you don’t. Give Snyder, Rachal, Bruce, and Coffee Matt Ryan, and you’d have a more effective offense, but still nothing great because the defense would just have to guard the pass, easily apply pressure, and not worry about the running game.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 17, 2009 11:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Give the 49ers a real QB..

First. Then you can rebuild an entire offense around him.

That’s my point to which led ot you laundry list of excuses for Hill.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 18, 2009 2:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

excuses for Hill

Said like a true “All credit/blame should fall squarely on the shoulders of the QB” proponent. Fantabulous.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 18, 2009 9:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not parsing the entire blame on Hill..

That’s what you think, and that’s where you fail.

One of the problems is, and everybody knows this:

Hill is not a threat that defenses will fear. You don’t fear “Game Managers”. Sooner or later a QB will have to take an offense on his back, and be able to compete against the better defenses in the League. That’s what makes a Pro-Bowl QB.

Of course, you don’t think so, because you’re making this more about me than the reality of Hill.

Nice to see how you work.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 18, 2009 10:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Give the 49ers a real QB..

First. Then you can rebuild an entire offense around him.

If you give this line a “real QB” the defenses still won’t have to respect the deep ball because the QB won’t often have enough time to go deep. If you give a real QB this running game, he’ll still be in 2nd and long, and 3rd and long all the time.

Sooner or later a QB will have to take an offense on his back,

Like in the 4th quarter of close games?

You don’t fear "Game Managers".

You also don’t fear offenses that you can easily stop the run AND get pressure with 4 man fronts.

Of course, you don’t think so, because you’re making this more about me than the reality of Hill the team’s collective offensive ineptitude.

I already knew how you worked.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 19, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wrong
If you give this line a "real QB" the defenses still won’t have to respect the deep ball because the QB won’t often have enough time to go deep.

Aaron Rodgers anyone?
?

I know he has badass WRs but even with no time he still manages to make plays.
The same with Ben Roethilisberger last year.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 19, 2009 9:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They throw all the time

GB is running the Mike Martz offense this year. I actually think Rodgers and the Packers are better throwing the short passes.

by bignerd on Oct 19, 2009 9:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did you see Phillp Rivers Monday Night?...

He was getting harassed all game long, took 5 sacks, and still was able to make plays with his arm. Hill has even less pocket presence than Rivers, and much less of an arm.

If you can’t run the ball, that means the defense has keyed on the opposing offense’s strength, and they will make the QB beat you with his arm.

Hill doesn’t have that arm, and Hill doesn’t have the luxury of playing the NFCW for 16 games out of the year.

This is still a QB driven League. Hill isn’t in the top tier of QBs, and maybe just in the bottom of the middle tier. That’s the Reality. That’s the point. The only reason why he starts for the 49ers is beacuse they don’t have any other QBs who can. The only reason why he is a starter in the NFL is because he is on the 49ers.

It’s not like the League won’t catch up to Hill. A guy with that many limitations is easy game plan on.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 19, 2009 11:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mmmm . . .

Didn’t Kyle Orton “the game manager” have a better game than Rivers?

It seemed to me the more the Chargers passed the ball the more it favored the Broncos.

Take away special teams the Broncos still won 20-16. Orton only threw for 220 yards and the run game was 49ers like. He played conservative, relied on his defense and only made a handful of difficult throws.

I get your argument, but I think this game is more of an argument for Hill than against.

by bignerd on Oct 19, 2009 11:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Orton's O-line

Was tremendous. As they were last season protecting Cutler. What was that stat they showed on the screen; only seven negative run plays all year? Amazing. Imagine if our RBs had that kind of running room and our QB had that protection and running yardage to support him. We’d be 4-1 or also undefeated.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 20, 2009 12:54 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Gotta credit defense...

and the injuries to SD’s defense. One thing I notice is how crisp a team is on either side of the ball. One thing I notice about the 49ers is that they are not very crisp on defense, and they are horrid on offense.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 1:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not naysaying

But can you define “crisp?” Are you just talking about the finishing plays/tackles vs. letting the opponents fall forward for an extra yard? Are you talking about pre-snap stuff?

As for Denver/SD, SD had no linebackers, but the “only 7 negative running plays” stat is against the all of their opponents, including Cincy, NE, and an at least half decent Dallas team. Also, Orton has been sacked 9 times, good for 7th in the league (it should be noted that the Falcons, Colts, Giants, and Saints are 1,2,3,4 in that stat. Combined record of 19-2 with one of those losses coming in a Saints vs. Giants contest).

Clearly, both of Denver’s lines have been able to control the line of scrimmage. What’s that lead to? 6-0.

As for the Niners, at least against Atlanta, our lines got manhandled, both of them.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 20, 2009 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

sigh...

Here it is: if the line doesn’t get any better, chances are your limited QB won’t either.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was genuinely interested in what you meant by "crisp"

So I could watch for it in the next game. I agree with what you’ve just stated, but I kinda think you’re just repeating what I said to get me to shut up. In any case, please do explain what you mean by “crisp.” No dumb penalties? No easy plays for the opponents? Just asking…

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 20, 2009 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go read Danny's latest..

That can probably tell you a few things there. You obviously have a Red Ass when I post here, and if you can’t identify crisp execution, then I sure as hell don’t want to waste my time here with you.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 4:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You are a ridiculous human being

I suspect you have no idea what crisp execution actually looks like, and just base your opinion on whether a play goes well or not. Others have posted theories and ideas that are backed up with actual data, experience, and reasoning. You, I’ve never seen any backing for your opinions. I ask you for something once and you stiffen your back and call me names. Whatever… enjoy the game.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 20, 2009 10:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just don't fell like arguing the obvious..

into minutiae. Danny’s article pretty much explains how effective the 49ers have been through 5 games, and I correlate crispness with effectiveness.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 11:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

But...

I’d take Orton over Hill. Why? Because he can make throws.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 1:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh and the point...

The point is that even under duress and under a collapsing pocket, Rivers’ delivery was still over the top throws that he made just a split second before he got hammered. Rivers’ still stood in the pocket, and his arm strength still made a completion to Gates even though his arm got hit. Hill against a defense like DEN’s? Buried. He’d pull the ball down and take 4 more sacks than River’s did.

Heck, if anyone knew Hill’s tendencies, it would be Nolan, and even that’s a stretch.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 1:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rivers’ still stood in the pocket, and his arm strength still made a completion to Gates even though his arm got hit.

Are you referring to the play at the end where the ball fluttered up (much like Hill’s tipped ball against ATL) and Gates came back to grab it (instead of a defensive player) and then proceeded to bowl through the D for a first down? Or are you referring to another play where Rivers actually delivered a dart on the money with a defender draped all over him?

I didn’t notice TONS of pressure until the final few drives when Denver’s defenders had their ears pinned back. Before that point, Rivers was a master of moving around in the pocket. He made a lot of really good plays doing that, but also ended up getting hit and taking some sacks he probably didn’t need to (and fumbled the ball twice). I’d certainly rather have Rivers over Hill, but I’d much rather have an at least competent offensive line than what we’ve got.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 20, 2009 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think I just reffered..

a play here. Are we into “Splitting Hairs” mode now?

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think I just reffered.. a play here.

That doesn’t even make sense here. You say “Rivers’ still stood in the pocket, and his arm strength still made a completion to Gates even though his arm got hit.”

Yet, in the play I think you’re referring to, he was hit, the ball flew up in the air, and it was anybody’s ball. Usually, that ball is picked off rather than corralled by the TE who bulls forward for a 1st down. It’s not splitting hairs, it’s calling you on BS.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 20, 2009 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here it is:...

Even though the ball fluttered after he got hit, the ball still had enough velocity to go forward to where the receiver still made a play on it.

You can call BS all day long. Just keep posting more of it.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 4:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fluttered is an understatement. It flew in the air, it would have landed 5 yards behind Gates. 7 times out of 10, that ball gets intercepted. I’m not debating that Rivers has good arm strength or that he’s a better QB than Hill. I’m suggesting that you, drummer, are using a terrible example to prove your point.

Take a look here. Select the Kurt Warner highlights and jump to the 0:53 second mark. Kurt Warner got a pass off in week 1 while getting hit and still threw it 25 yards! Talk about arm strength! That was an awesome play! We’ll ignore the fact that it ended up nowhere near the intended target, but awesome nonetheless.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 20, 2009 9:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Again..

The point is HANGING IN THE POCKET UNDER DURESS UNTIL THE VERY SECOND UNTIL A DEFENDER IS ON HIM WHILE THROWING WITH A PROPER OVER THE TOP RELEASE AND WHILE TARGETING THE AREA WHICH HAD A HOLE IN IT THAT PROBABLY WAS INTENDED FOR GATES YET GOT HIT AS HE THREW IT WHILE HIS EYES WERE DOWNFIELD AND STILL EVEN BY LUCK MADE A COMPLETION IS A QB MAKING A PLAY WITH HIS ARM INSTEAD OF TAKING A SACK BECAUSE THAT QB IS THERE TO MAKE PLAYS WITH HIS ARM BECAUSE THAT’S WHY THEY DRAFTED HIM IN THE FIRST PLACE EVEN THOUGH THEY HAD DREW BREES.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 20, 2009 10:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ah, my eyes....

Make it stop….

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 21, 2009 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Again

QBs that get hit while making throws don’t typically complete them. It typically falls to the ground for an incompletion or floats in the air for an interception. I can point to numerous instances where QBs that got hit as they were releasing the ball and a “proper over the top release while targeting the area which had a hole in it” and threw interceptions.

You’re arguing a stupid and ridiculous point. Everybody knows Rivers is a better QB than Hill. You’re just using a terrible, terrible example for explaining why.

I’ll give you the benefit of the doubt because clearly you’re not used to using actual evidence to back up your opinions and are probably a little rusty. But I fully support your efforts to do so. Congratulations on the progress!

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 21, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

PS

What Chik said. ALL CAPS DO NOT MAKE YOUR POINT, IDEAS, OR OPINIONS MORE VALID!!! IT JUST COMES ACROSS AS IMMATURE YELLING!!!!!!

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 21, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL, thanks for backing up my point..

But, check this, it’s not like Rivers had someone holding his arm by the wrist and he attempted to throw it with his arm held. It was a slap on the arm that took off some velocity and accuracy but it was still going forward to the target zone, with his eyes on it. If Hill had been in the same situation, his duck throws would have been even more dead, yet we would never know because he would have gotten the happy feet, or dumped it off.

But thanks again for proving my point. The added benefit is that my “immature” post in caps brought an equally immature response from you.

Win win for me.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 21, 2009 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

BTW...

If the point is “stupid and ridiculous”, why are you so adamant on arguing it in the first place?

=)

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 21, 2009 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

From the looks of it...

They might have to. Raye isn’t helping build an offense, rather, he is spackling the holes in the dike. The run game isn’t even a strength. The pass game is predictable.

I dunno, the offense sucks, and the 49ers seem to have neglected the offense for years, and that’s due to they coddling Smith for years.

When you bring in Dilfer solely as a backup to mentor Smith, then you will have problems in the future.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 18, 2009 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Smith had one interesting year. If they weren’t completely sold on him in 2008 (and they shouldn’t have been), they should have started moving in another direction (Chad Henne was the only guy in the early rounds) or even put in a back up plan (Booty, Flynn, Josh Johnson, etc.). Putting all your marbles in Alex Smith and old guys was not a good decision.

Other contributing factors are a complete lack of direction (a new offensive coordinator every year??!?!!) and whiffed draft picks.

The FO gave an unproven QB too much leeway, didn’t put in a back up plan, drafted poorly, and constantly changed systems. Not a recipe for success.

It should also be noted that in the last 10 years, we’ve only spent 4 first day picks on offensive linemen our of 33 picks. Those players are: Rachal, Staley, Baas, and Smiley. To me, that’s a vast oversight. Granted, for a lot of that time we needed everything, but you’ve got to control the line of scrimmage.

You have been DFiBrillated.

by Dubs fan in Boston on Oct 19, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The reason why we can't expect Hill to improve

Usually, the part of a QB’s game that improves is the mental part. The guy with the canon arm learns to read defenses, learns pocket presence, learns to take what the defense is giving him, stops forcing the ball, etc.

You pretty much never see the opposite: the guy with the mental skills suddenly learning how to throw the ball better. But that is what we would need to have happen for Hill to improve. He has the mental part of the game down pat. There’s just not much room for improvement there.

So the only way for him to improve is for his physical tools to get better, and that just really doesn’t happen.

by Ronaldinho on Oct 18, 2009 10:34 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

This....

One thing that maybe favor’s Hill is that he knows his limitations, but that also can hinder him as far as being tentative. It’s also easier for a defense to focus on a limited QB than a QB who is more dynamic. Anybody can see after today that it’s still a QB driven League.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 18, 2009 10:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

statistically

He’s never going to do much better.

And it’s pretty interesting how we’re on pace to give up more (?) sacks this year than we did last year.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 17, 2009 12:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

Prior to the Falcon game his stats were already better than under Martz. I’m not expecting Drew Brees here but I’m confident the grass can get slightly greener without Mike Martz.

by bignerd on Oct 17, 2009 12:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

His YPA was better?

Really?…..

From what I’ve seen these past two years, Shaun HIll really benefited from spreading out the defense and dinking and dunking.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 17, 2009 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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