summary of NFL Experts picking 49ers to win or lose this season

by fortyniners on Nov 7, 2009 11:57 AM PST Comment 14 comments

Week 9 update against Titans:

Looks like about 75% of all the experts picks are for 49ers to win. Out of the 42 experts and consensus selections, 9 of them are either 7-0 or 6-1 picking in the 49er past seven games. Out of those 9, 6 of them have chosen 49ers to win against Titans. Another pattern is that 49ers are chosen to win 85% of the time but the best experts (best experts are the top 14 out of the 42).

Post explained:

I have compiled NFL expert picks for the 49ers games, including from 6 different major websites and 30+ sports analysts from those sites, and other projection selections.

These are only for the 49er games, to give us an idea how the experts predict in games that the 49ers play. For example, Chris Mortensen (ESPN) and Steve Greenberg (Sporting News) were the only two that are 5-0 (after 5 weeks in the season), picking 49ers to win in their 3 games and lose in 2 games.

Additionally, after the 49ers pick record, I listed the number of times the expert has chosen the Niners to win a game. So Mortensen and Greenberg both chose the 49ers 3 times. As a 49er fan I would pick the 49ers 5 times through 5 games, but then would have a 3-2 record.

Maybe later in the season these standings would give a better idea of which "experts" are best at analyzing the games that the 49ers are playing in. I've included their overall records aswell predicting all of the NFL games. I'm sure many of yours and my picking winning percentage in our pick-em leagues are higher than some of these experts, but also I'm sure our picks are biased in the 49ers games, and many of us would be 3-2 (after 5 weeks of football). This way we can see what the best-of-the-experts are predicting in good matchups that offcourse we all would optimistically say the 49ers would win. I think these standings will make more sense later in the season.

Let me know if there are any good sources that I forgot or if anyone has an idea to upgrade this for future posts?...

Format of post is in this order for all of the tables below-

Source and link, (for example ESPN)

Sports writer and winning percentage of all NFL games, (Chris Mortensen 81-35)

Selection of 49ers or opponent Week 1 through current, (49ers, next row 49ers, next row Vikings, etc)

record of picking in 49ers games, (for example, if expert picks 49ers three times in the first three games of the season, the record would be 2-1)

number of times selected 49ers to win.

ESPN http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

Allen 73-43	Golic 77-38	Hoge 79-37	Jaworski 74-34	Mortensen 81-35	Schefter 80-36	Schlereth 78-38	Wickersham 75-41	Accuscore 82-34	Pickem 81-35
Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	49ers	Cards	Cards	49ers	Cards	Cards
Seattle	49ers	49ers	Seattle	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	Seattle
Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	49ers	49ers	Vikings	Vikings
49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
49ers	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	Falcons	49ers	49ers	Falcons	49ers	49ers
Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans	Texans
Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts
Titans	Titans	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	Titans	49ers	49ers	49ers
4-3	6-1	6-1	5-2	7-0	5-2	4-3	6-1	5-2	4-3
2	2	2	1	3	3	4	4	3	2

Sporting News.com http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/picks

Vinnie Iyer 81-35	Greenberg 80-36	Brown 78-38	Todd Wright 18-8	RealScouts 81-35	Lande 74-42	Dillon 80-36
Cards	49ers	Cards		Cards	Cards	Cards
49ers	49ers	49ers		SEA	SEA	49ers
Vikings	Vikings	Vikings		Vikings	Vikings	Vikings
49ers	49ers	49ers		49ers	49ers	49ers
Falcons	Falcons	49ers		Falcons	49ers	49ers
Texans	49ers	Texans	Texans	49ers	Texans	Texans
Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts
Titans	Titans	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
6-1	6-1	5-2	2-0	4-3	4-3	5-2
2	4	3	0	2	2	3

Yahoo http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/pickem

Jason Cole	Charles Robinson	Michael Silver	Yahoo! Users*
76-40	80-36	79 - 37	81 - 35
ARI	ARI	ARI	ARI (88%)
SEA	SFO	SFO	SEA (59%)
MIN	SFO	SFO	MIN (80%)
SFO	SFO	SFO	SFO (96%)
SFO	ATL	ATL	SFO (55%)
HOU	HOU	HOU	HOU (60%)
IND	IND	IND	IND (97%)
SFO	SFO	TEN	SFO (79%)
4-3	5-2	5-2	4-3
2	3	3	2

CBS Sports http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/prisco/picks

Pete Prisco (% win all NFL games this week)	CBS Sports Fans (% choosing team)
70 - 46
ARI 31-20 (75%)	ARI (91%)
SEA 27-24 (43%)	SF (52%)
MIN 24-13 (56%)	MIN (86%)
SFO 21-10 (78%)	SFO (99%)
ATL 27-20 (78%)	SFO (64%)
HOU 31-20 (61%)	HOU (69%)
IND 37-21 (46%)	IND (99%)
SF 23-10	SFO (83%)
5-2	5-2
1	3

Nfl.com playbook http://blogs.nfl.com/2009/10/14/which-winless-team-will-prevail-our-experts-weigh-in/

Badinger	Sharpe	Theismann
ARI	ARI	ARI
SFO	SFO	SFO
MIN	MIN	SFO
SFO	SFO	SFO
ATL	SFO	ATL
HOU	HOU	HOU
IND	IND	IND
SFO	SFO	SFO
6-1	5-2	5-2
2	3	3

MSN Fantasy http://msn.foxsports.com/fantasy/story/7169674

Rotter 79-37	Harmon 80-36	Juhasz 77-39	Ritt 77-39	WhatifSports 81-35	Kennedy 74-42	Halpin 67-49	Wilson 78-38	Hasenmayer 77-39	Consensus 79-37
Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	49ers*	Cards
SEA	SEA	49ers	SEA	49ers	SEA	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
MIN	MIN	49ers	49ers	MIN	MIN	MIN	MIN	49ers	MIN
49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
ATL	ATL	49ers	ATL	49ers	49ers	ATL	ATL	49ers	ATL
HOU	HOU	HOU	HOU	HOU	HOU	49ers	49ers	49ers	HOU
IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND
49ers	49ers	TEN	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	TEN	TEN	49ers
5-2	5-2	4-3	4-3	5-2	5-3	5-2	5-2	4-3	6-1
1	1	4	2	3	3	4	4	6	2

MSN NFL http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/10224322/Week-6-expert-picks:-Two-for-one-winners

Glazer 76-40	Marvez 72-44	Czarnecki 86-30	Schein 77-39	Schrager 77-39	Hasenmayer 71-45
Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards	Cards*
Seattle	Seattle	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
Vikings	Vikings	Vikings	49ers	Vikings	49ers
49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers
49ers	49ers	Falcons	49ers	49ers	49ers
49ers	HOU	49ers	HOU	HOU	49ers
Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts	Colts
49ers	49ers	49ers	49ers	TEN	TEN
3-4	4-3	5-2	4-3	5-2	3-4
3	2	3	4	3	5

Barry Wilner

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/qws/ff/qr?Submit=S&term=Barry+Wilner&st=s

Barry Wilner

80 - 36

SF 21-20

SF 17-14

MIN 16-7

SFO 17-9

ATL 24-21

SF 17-16

IND 30-14

SF 20-16

6-1

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

0 recs | Comment 14 comments

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Comments

formatting is weird

trying to figure out if I can edit it nicely…

by fortyniners on Oct 18, 2009 12:12 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Ok.

I’ve been trying for an hour how to post and make formatting not screw up the whole page and still can’t get it. How do I post something basically from Excel or form a table format?

by fortyniners on Oct 18, 2009 1:22 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

would it have been possible

to make the formatting correct using an application, then take a screenshot, then crop and save the picture as a jpg or similar and then post the picture in the thread?

by danknerd49 on Oct 18, 2009 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

I'll try that

thanks

by fortyniners on Oct 18, 2009 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

You could also copy/paste the cells you want into MS Word, add borders wherever you want to make sure it looks nice, and then use the SBN MS Word paster tool.

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Oct 22, 2009 8:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Hmmm...

Chris Mortensen has had us pegged.
except that we should have won that Viks game, so Wickersham wasn’t so bad either.
The only two guys to pick us in week 1.

by Krowley on Oct 18, 2009 9:05 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

I like this segment

Why all the different tables? It might help solve your formatting issues if you combined all into one table.

by bignerd on Oct 22, 2009 7:38 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Thanks

Next week I’ll try to improve the formatting. If its all one table I’m not sure how the text wrapping will go, plus will be harder to separate out the different websites/networks that way. Pasting it into word does something weird and tag endings mess up and distorts the whole page. I think it’s decent now just doesnt have any lines.

Anyway MSN just updated their picks for week 7 and looks like we’re getting a bit more love from them (as opposed to ESPN with all 10 of their selections going for Texans).

by fortyniners on Oct 23, 2009 7:48 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Nice. Now we just need a computer programm( or someone very motivated) to weigh every pick based on past accuracy and give us the winner.

ESPN has the Niners losing across the board this week. The only other week ESPN was unanimous was the Niners over the Rams. Are the Texans so much better than the Niners that we deserve the Rams treatment by ESPN?

Amy Mainzer my brain thinks your brain is HOT!

by cybermaldonado on Oct 24, 2009 11:18 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

No.

But remember that 8/10 from espn picked AZ to beat us and 8/10 picked Minnesota, obviously feeling we had little to no chance in either game. I wouldn’t expect them to know much about our team compared to the usual heavy hitters. We have yet to earn that type of status but a win on Sunday would put us back into approaching that type of attention.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Oct 24, 2009 12:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Yes except that

against the Falcons were were picking up the hype and 50% or even more of picks were for 49ers winning.

So a win this Sunday will definitely get us back to that extremely respectable 4-2 zone. But it seems with each game everything is on the bubble, unless we build a good winning streak.

by fortyniners on Oct 24, 2009 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

zOmg!!

t3h 49ers R g00d. S0meone said so!!

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Oct 25, 2009 2:45 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

It pains me to have Mortensen as the best. Of course none of these guys really know that much. It would be interesting to have the picks of the real pros in Las Vegas.

If Bochy coached the Warriors Bengie Molina would start every game at PG.

by cybermaldonado on Nov 8, 2009 10:02 AM PST reply actions 0 recs