Official Michael Crabtree predictions
by David Fucillo on Oct 24, 2009 8:00 AM PDT
in San Francisco 49ers News
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PrintAlright folks, tomorrow is the big day. The debut of the 49ers prized first round pick, WR Michael Crabtree. At this point I really have no idea what to expect from him. However, I know folks would like to make their own predictions. So let's just cut to the chase and let folks throw out predictions for what will happen in this first game. In fact, if you want to make predictions for the rest of the season for Crabtree specifically, you can definitely do that as well in this thread.
Bodog put together odds and have given the following over/unders for Crabtree's performance tomorrow and for the full season:
Michael Crabtree - Total Receiving Yards in the 2009 NFL Regular Season
Over/Under 349.5
Michael Crabtree– Total TD's in the 2009 NFL Regular Season
Over/Under 2.5
Who will have more Receiving Yards in the 2009 NFL Regular Season?
Darrius Heyward-Bey Even
Michael Crabtree -130
I'd imagine it's a sucker bet at this point to think DHB will finish with more yards than Crabtree. DHB may develop into a fine receiver but it has definitely not happened yet. And it may be quite a while given the Raiders many problems.
Also, the predictions can be either straight stats for tomorrow and the season, or more descriptive in nature. It's up to you. I personally need to think on this. At this point I think people could put just about anything and it could be reasonable or insane. We really have very little to base our predictions on, other than his impressive numbers in college and theocal support he's received from 49ers coaches and players. So have at it.
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game odds
For those interested Bodog set odds for Crabtree tomorrow. The over/under on receptions is 3. The over/under on yards is 45.5.
are you sure that wasnt for the receiving corp as a whole?
I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.
3 rec, 18 yrds
Not a big believer in the Crabman.
This guy is going to have to show me a lot, for me to jump on the back of the hayride.
I hope I’m wrong.
I think the early start and all the buzz and hype coming out of practice about this guy, is all for the sake of the Texans. We’re making sure that they have to consider our passing game.
Gore will be the hero tommorrow.
nope to gore
Silly niners, Why does everyone love this Gore guy so much, he is just going to get injured again. You need someone durable like AD. As for Crabtree, he will be terrible. He might have a decent game here and there, but never a good one. Minnesota’s Percy Harvin is the best WR to come out of the draft. He is currently in the running for rookie MVP. You all might as well join the Vikings quest for victory
"You thought you could beat my team, but yours decided to go have ice cream. Bow to my awesomeness" Brad Childress
by packerslayer on Oct 25, 2009 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions
Trust
Mike Singletary:
I think, for us, Crabtree coming in the way that he’s come in, a tremendous attitude, a tremendous work ethic, been doing everything he can to get on the field and I think the most important thing for us is to get him out there as soon as we can and as much as we can and see what he can and cannot do.
Shaun Hill:
Yeah, I can see that he has special talents without a doubt. He brings a lot of playmaking ability, he brings a big target and I’ve been pretty impressed in the way that he’s been able to pick up everything as well.
OC Jimmy Raye:
He conceptualizes football extremely well. He’s a quick study that way. It’s just a matter of him and the total flow of the call and the quarterback having some feeling that he knew what he was doing and we hasten that process a little bit by giving him a little more because he showed that he could handle a little more.
CB Tarell Brown:
He’s got real strong hands and he fights for the ball. I like that about him. Great receivers have strong hands and they really fight for the ball, so I think he’s on the right path.
Trust what the coaches and players are saying.
5 receptions, 80 yards, 1TD,
and yeah, I’m probably overly optimistic.
I'd be satisfied
with 5 or 6 receps, around 60 yards. What I’ll be watching more closely is how much attention he gets from the defense. If he can draw enough focus to help free up Bruce/Davis/Morgan, I’ll consider it a good performance. ..if Hill can get the ball to them. Also, if he helps loosen the defense enough to help Gore.
In short, despite all the hype, I’m hoping Crabtree can be a productive addition to the offense. He doesn’t need to be the star (at this point), just a cog in a better machine.
Key to the game: Score More
Back to earlier predictions...
I still think these numbers will hold true. I see something like this as his 2009 stat line:
nce 1994, average stats for Biletnikoff winners who started at least one game: 9 starts, 729.9 yards, 6.5 TD
As for tomorrow only, I am predicting 3 receptions for 45 yards but a lock for a TD.
nice
I mean it’d be nice if he threw up a 1460 yard, 13 TD season (which, prorated for 11 games would equal about 1000 yards and 9 tds). Of course we know that that’s not going to happen with Jimmy Raye as coordinator.
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
Don't you mean with Hill as QB?
"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco
It's the Shogun of no fun
Season Predictions for Mr. Crabtree
600 receiving yards (in other about 60 per game) and 4 or 5 TDs on about 45-50 receptions.
I’d love to see him get around 800 yards and 7 TDs, but I’ll settle for 600 and 4 or 5.
Tomorrow, I think Crabtree will have about 60 yards receiving and find his way into the end zone in his debut and I think it will be on the team’s first possession.
by Andrew Davidson on Oct 24, 2009 9:59 AM PDT reply actions
i don't...
have any predictions. however, am i the only one that thinks we should be mortgaging our houses to bet on over 2.5 TDs? this is found money, no?
by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Oct 24, 2009 10:20 AM PDT reply actions
Crabtree vs. Heyward-Bey
I’d bet that Crabtree has more receiving yards than Heyward-Bey after this week’s game alone.
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
57 Receptions, 1,408 yards
calling it now.
Why do San Francisco teams insist on having terrible offenses? Frank Gore and Pablo Sandoval can't do it all.
Isn't that being a bit conservative for a two time Biletnikoff winner?
I am thinking the OLine is going to play better so that Crabtree and Gore will both get at least 1500 yards… and we can’t forget V Davis with his 24 TDs
Actually i think 4 to 6 receptions a game and at least 1 TD every other game would work.
That would work out to around 55 receptions and 5 or 6 TDs.
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
I'm not talking about a season
I’m talking about this sunday.
Why do San Francisco teams insist on having terrible offenses? Frank Gore and Pablo Sandoval can't do it all.
humm
…i’m more hopeful that the shuffled o-line can work, and gore is completely healthy…
but i’m an optimist, so tomorrow, 8 targets, 5 catches 54 yards, no tds though…in hopefully a winning effort.
Bodog is usually clueless. So, just because someone has to do it… prediction for tomorrow: 6 catches 118 yards 2 TDs.
Amy Mainzer my brain thinks your brain is HOT!
by cybermaldonado on Oct 24, 2009 10:58 AM PDT reply actions
I'm a bit more pessimistic
5 targets – 3 catches – 41 yards. He gains the majority of his yardage on one beautiful play that we will all be salivating over for the following week while dreaming of things to come.
As much as I’d like to think that Crabtree will revolutionize the niners passing attack, I don’t see that happening in one game. Should take him a few weeks (at least) to get his legs back. I look to the Titans game, which would be his week 3, for him to have a big game.
Crabtree- 3 catches for 70 yards with his longest being a 40 yarder to the house. 1 TD
Bruce- 5 catches for 30 yards
V. Davis- 4 catches for 50 yards 1 TD
Gore- 4 catches for 40 yards
Morgan- 1 catch for 10 yards
Gore- 20 carries for 90 yards 1 TD
Norris- 2 carries 10 yards
Coffee- 1 carry for 3 yards
Nedney 2/2 (31,42)
Anyhow, that’s my total prediction including Crabtree
I think Vernon eclipses 100 yds though and Hill can hit 300 ........."IF"
We see Morgan, Crabtree, and Jones at least 10 times at 3 wide….Gore can get 100 then
"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco
It's the Shogun of no fun
His high is 209 in week 1 if he can't throw for that against the Texans DB's
We are gonna have some issues this year
"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco
It's the Shogun of no fun
It would also be awesome if aliens came to earth and gave us all Ferrari's and beer....
About the same odds though…..
"An open mind is like a fortress with it's gates unbarred and unguarded."
The ROSENFAIL : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAKAKE-uq-8&feature=related
by TexansForever on Oct 24, 2009 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions
You mean they haven't?
I am still waiting for them to deliver my Ferrari … oh, and for them to reinburse me for all this beer …
"This could be another Very Special Team" ... Superbowl winning Niners lineman Dan Audick ...
same odds?
Yeah right……check mark homerism!!
"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco
It's the Shogun of no fun
U don't think Coffee gets more than one carry?
I’m thinking with Gore coming off an injury, they’ll be sure to split a few more of his plays with Coffee. I’m thinking Gore gets 20 and Coffee gets 5 or 6. If we’re winning, we’ll be running in the 4th and will have more TOP all game.
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Blowout
If the ball bounces our way a few times and those few times lead to 7 each time and it’s a blowout (blowout meaning beating them by 21 or more), he may see 5-10. I see your concern with the injury but if Gore is 100% Sing will keep the best 11 on the field 99% of the time assuming it’s a close game. To compromise having Coffee on the field…particularly that he’s our primary KR guy now, doesn’t see too probable if Gore is doing well. He may come in a couple times to give Gore a breather if he bust a few long run’s out though.
I thought Sing stated yesterday that Walker is still the primary KO returner?
Coffee had 9 carries at AZ so I’m thinking he’ll get at least a handful in a close game or game that we lead late. I believe Gore is healthy but I don’t see Sing wanting his first action in four weeks to require him carrying 25+ times in addition to receptions.
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Yeah maybe
I didn’t hear that about Walker. Where did you read or see that he was still going to be doing the KR’s?
Here's the link
http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2009/10/lewis-wont-play-third-qb-wont-travel.html
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Gee, Drew K, do I need to watch the game?
What the hey, I’ll watch anyway.
by Bob In Beaverton on Oct 24, 2009 5:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Week and Season predictions
5 catches for 60 yards. This includes a couple really short 3-8 yard passes, a couple 10 yard gains, and a beautiful 25-30 yard gain that everyone will be excited about. Also there will be atleast one block he’ll make that we’ll see Gore run by the defensive back with Crabtree blocking. I don’t expect any penalties from him but maybe 1 drop early in the game, with a defender really up in his face. I think VD, Morgan, and Gore will get any of the touchdowns this game.
Season- there’s no reason to think that these stats will not continue on. They will average out per week even much higher. Whatever he gets this game has a good chance of being the lower end of his production. So I think 55 catches, 880 yards, 7 touchdowns for the season is good.
It won't be just his catching that will be interesting to watch ...
… but also his blocking, which might even be one of the reasons he’s been rushed into action as a starter so soon after signing. I remember a great line from Matt Maiocco, even before Crabtree ended his hold-out, when MM said that if the Niners could get MC signed, they would have a WR that blocked like a TE, and a TE (VD) that blocks like a left tackle. So in a run-first, run-second, offense, you wonder if his receiving ability is not the only reason they want him in so soon.
"This could be another Very Special Team" ... Superbowl winning Niners lineman Dan Audick ...
3 catches for sure
I mean, they’ll have at least one bubble screen, one slant and one of some other type. I’ll be conservative and say 3 catches for 29 yards. My hope is he helps to open up single coverage on Davis and Morgan, pushes that eight and ninth man out of the box for Gore’s running, and maybe Jason Hill gets some reps and has a catch or two.
I see us winning and that likely means a successful running game with 30+ team carries and efficient passing game that spreads the ball around.
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Prediction
Early injury,like sprained ankle will occur and crabtree will be watching Vernon Davis from the sidelines
??..You're a 49ers fan?
That’s questionable
"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco
It's the Shogun of no fun
I Predict Gore will have a career high rushing
And hopefully crabtree wont get hurt this year,but he needs to show me he is worth the money and yet to do so,anybody predict the loss to atlanta?49er fan for 40 years and not a predictor either though i guessed a10-6 record this year,i predict 73commercials during game,can’t them and prove me wrong.."Show Me,Don’t tell Me,words to live by.
What?
No one has predicted 2009 Rookie of the Year!
He’ll get a Heisman and a Cy Young.
Why do San Francisco teams insist on having terrible offenses? Frank Gore and Pablo Sandoval can't do it all.
Ha Ha...
Give him Obama’s Nobel Peace Prize too, while you’re at it.
by FiveAlarmFreddy on Oct 24, 2009 9:05 PM PDT up reply actions
This all depends on the O-line
if Hill has time to throw this time around. If Hill doesn’t drift into sacks. If, if if fififififififififif
Crabs…..5, 4, 3, ummm 5 catches for…… 92 yrds 1 TD
I don't do well predicting, but
I really hope that he gets a nice reception early on that sucks a few of those DBs away from the box.
by Bob In Beaverton on Oct 24, 2009 5:52 PM PDT reply actions
Anyone Who Thinks DHB
is going to have more catches then Crabs i will give you my # and we can bet LOL.
Crabtree against Houston: 5receptions-83yards-td
Crabtree 2009 season: 47 receptions-654 yards- 6td
"Cannot play with them. Cannot win with them. Cannot coach with them. Can't do it. I want winners. I want people that want to win!!!"
by nocal81(Vincent) on Oct 24, 2009 9:07 PM PDT reply actions
is anybody starting crabtree in fantasy?
who would you start steve smith (carolina) or mr crabs?
GeT Ya Popcorn ReadY
The Last Names Ever, First Names Greatest.
Assuming this LOLine can become a OLine sometime soon this season
Crabtree:
in the Houston game: 3 receptions, 43 yards, no TD
For the season:
Yards: 510
Receptions: 46
TD: 5
What in the wide, wide world of sports is a-goin' on here?
I Predict...
against Houston alone… 315 YDS, 5 TDs
Michael
Its just going to be so cool to finally see him in 49er red and stretching the defense..You know that Houston has to try to figure out a way to deal with him..
5 catches, major YAC, 110 yds, I TD
You better tune in for his first game..You won’t want to miss it..
I'll take
Over, over, and Crabtree on the Bodog bets. For tomorrow I’ll say he has 4 receptions for 46 yards.
On the season he has 48 receptions for 630 yards and 4 TD’s,
by Brendan Scolari on Oct 24, 2009 10:30 PM PDT reply actions
I remember the VD predictions his first year...
Like I remember Steve Martin’s retort to a heckler:
“I remember when I had my first beer…”
Well, we're waiting....
I'm picking the under for the game, but the over for the year
My Predictions:
Crabtree’s stats for this game:
2 receptions, 29 yards, 0 TDs
Crabtree’s stats for the year:
29 receptions, 375 yds, 4TDs
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
I guessing
3 catches, 43 yards. 1 drop
I think one of the first passes they get to him will be a short slant, or a sort of WR screen just to get his hands on the ball and to hopefully get those first pass jitters out of him.
the bottom line is the niners are not ready to be a playoff team they just are not getting it done in a lot of areas ( game plan, pass rush, big plays on defense down field,running game) mediorcre teams do what they want with the niners that is not a playoff team 7-9 at best again
I think they are adjusting and Mike Singletary is aware that changes
need to be made when they should be made. So the team is improving and has talent and drive in most of the positions to be a better than average team. Plus there are pieces in there that make it a way better tha naverage team with some of the defensive athletes and offensive playmakers.
So as long as they are improving, that will change your prediction about them every week or 2. So if they are able to win the division at 9-7, they don’t have to be 14-2 to reach the super bowl, as long as they get everything going at the right time, which is in 2 months+.
A couple of really close predictions by some of us. Good job (except that no W)
This will make it much more interesting for next game since now we see what I think is his lower end of the production from this game, as he will only get better. Plus after we know who the starting QB and what the offensive strategy will be…
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