Crabtree Contract Prediction Game
by grantmp on Oct 3, 2009 12:56 PM PDT
27 comments
I know that there have been myriad Crabtree-related posts recently, but the whole contract stalemate has dragged on long enough that we might as well find some way to have some fun with it. So I give you the Crabtree Contract Prediction Game! The rules will try to follow those of the weekly Prediction Game. This Game assumes that Crabtree will sign before the November 17 deadline (maybe a bogus assumption, but we'll make it for the purposes of having some fun).
You need to predict four things:
a) the date Crabtree will sign
b) the amount of guaranteed money Crabtree signs for (in millions of dollars)
c) the total base value of the contract Crabtree signs (again, in million of dollars)
d) the potential value of the contract Crabtree signs with incentives
Remember to take into account the length of the contract you think he'll sign. So if you think he'll sign a 4 year deal, adjust the length of the contract down, or if a 6 year deal, adjust it up.
Your score will be determined by how close you are to the actual date he signs, and the amount of difference between your dollar predictions and what he actually signs. Whether you're over or under on your prediction doesn't matter.
For example, if I predict that he signs Monday (Oct 5) and he signs on October 10, that'd be 5 points. If I predict he'll sign for $16 mill guaranteed and he signs for $18 that'd be 2 points. If I predict he'll sign for a base amount of $24 and he signs for a base salary of $23, that'd be 1 point. If I'm right on i predicting a total max value with incentives of $27, and his contract could go up as high as 30, that would be 3 points. That would make a total of 11 points. The lower the score, the better. If there are tie-breakers necessary, it will come down to the decimal points in the millions of dollars on the guaranteed and maximum amounts of the contract.
So? What are your thoughts? Contest closes on Tuesday, October 6.
You MUST format your answer like this:
Date: October 5
Guaranteed: 16
Base Salary: 24
Maximum: 27
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
2 recs |
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My Own Prediction
Date: October 13
Guaranteed: 17.1
Maximum: 26.5
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
by grantmp on Oct 3, 2009 12:59 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Edited Prediction
Date: October 13
Guaranteed: 17.1
Base Salary 21:
Maximum: 26.5
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
by grantmp on Oct 3, 2009 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Date: Nov 17
Guaranteed: 16 million
Maximum: 20 million
But with incentives it could total 26.5 million
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
by urnext on Oct 3, 2009 1:11 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Sorry, I'll have to edit this:
I’m going to add a category:
Date, Guaranteed, Base salary, Maximum with incentives. Feel free to repost (I’m going to!).
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
by grantmp on Oct 3, 2009 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Date 10/14
Guarunteeed: 17 million
maximum: 34 with unobtainable incentives to stroke his ego
by dalien82 on Oct 3, 2009 2:20 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
edit: what's your predicted base salary?
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
by grantmp on Oct 3, 2009 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He won't sign with the niners but nonetheless if he does...
Date: November 1
Guaranteed: 15
Base Salary 20
Maximum: 24
by Iwantwinners on Oct 3, 2009 4:01 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Date: Never
Gauranteed: Idiot
Base: head
Maximum: 0 from the niners.
Proud father of Dallas Mcpherson. If you have any information leading to the arrest of the person responsible for the kidnapping of my son please contact me immediately. Reward if found!
by The Thrill on Oct 3, 2009 8:56 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
rec'd
What we've got here is a failure to communicate.
by chikmagnet_565 on Oct 3, 2009 9:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i lol’d
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
by grantmp on Oct 4, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i doubt he signs at all, but just in case:
Date: November 16
Gauranteed: 18
Base: 24
Max: 27
I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.
by these3words on Oct 3, 2009 9:17 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
He won't sign at all!
Does that work?
BKA optimist prime- Got the Semi runnin' on 49er koolaid!!
Blasphemous beings, the NINERS will never forget!!
Eric Berry anyone?
by rlott#42 on Oct 3, 2009 10:23 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
My Prediction
We’ve all already lost.
Contract Amount Figures: Who Cares.
Potential 2009 Production: About Nothing
Opportunity Costs: Through the {site decorum} roof
by bignerd on Oct 3, 2009 11:07 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
No Deal
1. Goes back into the Draft.
2. No trade, why when you can get him w/o trading.
3. He ends up a bust !
by LASVEGASNINER on Oct 4, 2009 9:01 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
What a waist
Date: Nov. 12
Guaranteed: 22.5
Base: 8 million
Maximum: 28 million
Tom will never be as cool as Joe
by wader251 on Oct 4, 2009 11:50 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
my prediction
Date: Nov. 1
Guaranteed: 20
Base Salary: 24
Maximum: 28
J GO
by youngbuckeroo on Oct 4, 2009 12:02 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Shouldn't lenth of contract be noted?
I mean a contract with any of these numbers is going to seem kinda foolish at 4 years but possibly reasonable at 6.
by ChesapeakeBay9er on Oct 4, 2009 12:02 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Maybe I am wrong...
but isn’t everyone’s base salary way too high?
Tom will never be as cool as Joe
by wader251 on Oct 4, 2009 12:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
base value = guaranteed money +yearly salary
i guess that was a little unclear. Feel free to repost.
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
by grantmp on Oct 4, 2009 5:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Date: November 15
Guarantee: 18
Base: 24
Maximum: 28
by gbears16 on Oct 4, 2009 6:26 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Just in case
Date- Nov 16
Guarantee-18
Base-27
max 34
they will have to pay up, I think the Cowboys got to him!
BKA optimist prime- Got the Semi runnin' on 49er koolaid!!
Blasphemous beings, the NINERS will never forget!!
Eric Berry anyone?
by rlott#42 on Oct 4, 2009 8:13 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
My picks
Date: 10/19
Guarantee: 17 million
Base: 27 million
Maximum: 30 million
I predict that the compromise we reach is to give him a four year contract but pay him less guaranteed money than he wants.
by smileyman on Oct 5, 2009 9:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Crabtree Contest
DATE: Never (I hope)
GUARANTEE: $ 0
BASE: Basic Unemployment
MAXIMUM: 26 weeks
I never want to see that diva in red and gold. If the Niners sign him, I hope that they trade his greedy but as soon as they can.
by Jabberwokky on Oct 5, 2009 9:40 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Forget him
Too much of a Headache.. Let him go back in the draft and be somebody elses headache. I say this off season we make a big bid for a Proven Warrior in Boldin.. He could be our future #1.. =)
by Degenerate on Oct 5, 2009 11:30 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I really don’t think he will sign with us, I think we will trade him for a #2 and #4 pick, but that wouldn’t be fun in this game so here is my picks
Date: October 14
Guaranteed: 17.5
Base Salary: 28
Maximum: 32
by 49RFAN on Oct 5, 2009 12:17 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
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