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Week 10 NFL Rookie Review

Percy Harvin (12) has made an immediate impact on the Minnesota Vikings.  (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

by Keith Srakocic - AP

Percy Harvin (12) has made an immediate impact on the Minnesota Vikings. (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

Since this week marks the halfway point in the season, I thought it would be a good time to take a look at some of this year's crop of first round picks. We all know how much money NFL teams spend on their first round picks and making the wrong choice can really set a franchise back. Conversely, teams like the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots have shown that drafting well is the best way to be successful in the NFL. So what teams are getting a good early return on their first round investments?

QB Mark Sanchez (New York Jets) - The 5th overall pick has certainly had his share of ups and downs during his short stay with the New York Jets, but overall he has been fairly effective. If you take out two dismal performances against the Saints and the Bills, Sanchez has posted a quarterback rating of over 80 in every game this season. The USC alum has the Jets in second place in the AFC East, and if he has a strong second-half they could sneak into the playoffs. Obviously Sanchez has benefited greatly from New York's running game and he has not yet shown the ability to win a game with his arm. But more often than not he has been able to effectively manage the game and give the Jets a chance to win, and that's all you can realistically ask of a rookie quarterback.

WR Michael Crabtree (San Francisco 49ers) - Despite the fact that Crabtree missed the first five games of the season and has yet to score a touchdown, there is no denying his impact on San Francisco's offense. Since the arrival of Crabtree, the 49ers have started to open things up a little bit more and shown the ability to move the ball with the passing game now that Alex Smith is back at quarterback. With the additions of Crabtree and Smith, San Francisco now has the ability to spread the defense out and attack through the air, something they weren't able to do during the beginning of the season. While it remains to be seen whether or not the 49er's new look offense will be able to reverse the club's fortunes, San Francisco has shown a commitment to getting Michael Crabtree the ball and I think that bodes very well for the second half of the season.

DE Brian Orakpo (Washington Redskins) - In a year that has been marred by disappointment, rookie defensive end Brian Orakpo has been one of the lone bright spots for the Redskins. The former Texas Longhorn has lined up at both strong side linebacker and defensive end this season, and while he is still adjusting to rushing the passer from his linebacker position, Orakpo leads all rookies with 5.5 sacks. He has also logged 26 tackles and a pass breakup. A lot of people felt that San Francisco might draft Orakpo to help improve their meager pass rush, but they passed on him when Crabtree was still available. Had he been drafted by the 49ers, his 5.5 sacks would lead the team. But, he is in Washington and I expect him to continue to improve as he gets more and more comfortable in the second half of the season.

We look at a few more rookies after the jump...

Star-divide

OLB Brian Cushing (Houston Texans) - Coming into Week 10, Cushing is second in the league with 78 combined tackles. He has been hampered by several injuries during his rookie year, but has continued to play at a high level. Cushing's best game came in Week 6 against Cincinnati, when he forced three turnovers and helped Houston beat the Bengals. He recorded the franchise's first safety in seven years against Oakland in Week 4, and has also made two interceptions. As the second linebacker taken in the 2009 Draft, Cushing has outperformed 4th overall pick Aaron Curry by a wide margin and his propensity to make big plays has already made him an integral part of the Texans' defense.

WR Percy Harvin (Minnesota Vikings) - Without a doubt, Percy Harvin has been the most explosive player drafted in the 1st round. This rookie may only be 5'11", but he has already made a big impact both on offense and on special teams. As a receiver, Harvin is a work in progress but he has already developed a good rapport with his future Hall of Fame quarterback Brett Favre. On the season he has recorded three receiving touchdowns, including one last week at Green Bay. But Harvin's biggest contribution has been on kick returns. He is currently tied for first with Josh Cribbs with 860 return yards, and his 30.7 yard average is the 4th best in the league. Harvin is tied with Ted Ginn Jr. with two return touchdowns. I expect him to continue to grow as a receiver, but his value as a kick returner has already made Harvin a great asset to the Vikings.

OT Michael Oher (Baltimore Ravens) - Oher was another guy that many personnel experts had going to San Francisco before the 2009 Draft, but concerns about his reserved temperament caused him to fall down the board to the Ravens at number 23. Since arriving in Baltimore, Oher has done nothing but impress. Despite his huge 6'5" 310 lb frame, Raven's beat writer Mike Preston has been quoted as saying, "He (Oher) has some of the quickest feet I've ever seen." Preston, who is regarded as an expert on offensive linemen, went on to say that he could envision Oher making the move over to left tackle if need be. That's exactly what happened when LT Jared Gaither went down with a neck injury against New England in Week 4. Oher performed well filling in for Gaither, but has since moved back over to his right tackle spot. His power and versatility have solidified Baltimore's offensive line and helped them get off to a strong start offensively.

WR Hakeem Nicks (New York Giants) - After the departure of Plaxico Burress, New York needed to add to their young receiving corp. While this Tar Heel has by no means replaced Burress' production he, along with Mario Manningham and Steve Smith have done an admirable job so far this season. Despite splitting time with Manningham at split-end, Nicks has already caught 26 passes for 407 yards and three touchdowns.  While New York has struggled in the red zone, Nicks has shown the ability to make big plays in the passing game from anywhere on the field. The 21 year old has already caught nine passes of over twenty yards, and he could see his targets in the red zone increase due to his height and ability to win jump balls. He will most likely not be among the league leaders in receiving due to his limited playing time, but he has already proven himself to be a valuable addition to the Giants receiving corps.

Is there anybody else you feel should have been on this list? Even though it is still too early to be sure, what picks look like a potential bust to you?

Poll
Knowing what we know now, who would you have drafted with the 49er's 10th overall pick?

  648 votes | Results

0 recs  |  Comment 49 comments  |  Add comment |

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Comments

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I'd like to see someone break down Matt Stafford or Aaron Curry.

Or even Jason Smith, Eugene Monroe, Andre Smith?

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 11, 2009 4:20 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Too early to judge Stafford. That Lion team is still horrible top to bottom but I do wonder what happened last week with him and Calvin Johnson.

by bignerd on Nov 11, 2009 7:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

They broke down Sanchez....

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 11, 2009 11:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Aaron Curry is the worst LB drafted in the 1st day.

That’s all I have to say about that.

"Mayhap a hidden door lurks nigh. Let us search the environs."

by Fearless Frog on Nov 11, 2009 8:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Man you haven't posted on here in a while

I mention Aaron Curry and all of a sudden you show up.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 11, 2009 11:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

There's no point in Andre Smith and Monroe.

Andre Smith is out of shape, hurt a lot, Monroe is hurt and sucks. Jason Smith has been great, however.

You can never resist the game... nor could I... we're the same, so don't even try.

by Ninjames on Nov 11, 2009 4:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

That's my first reply fail.

You can never resist the game... nor could I... we're the same, so don't even try.

by Ninjames on Nov 11, 2009 4:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Jason Smith has been great?

What makes you say that? Everything I’ve heard has said he’s been struggling pretty badly, and he was hurt earlier in the year too.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 11, 2009 8:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Looking at our o-line

I would say the Niners should have drafted Oher. Don’t get me wrong, Crabtree is doing really well, but the Niners could have gotten by with the receivers they had before him, but are desperately in need of good linemen

by sanfranfanmdk on Nov 11, 2009 4:50 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

And...

a better offense leads to a better defense (lower turnovers and being on the field more so the defense has a chance to rest)

by sanfranfanmdk on Nov 11, 2009 4:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hell to the yeah

"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco

by rlott#42 on Nov 11, 2009 5:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

no doubt Oline is our biggest need but

I think Crabtree will be an exceptional impact player. Crabtree was to good to pass on at “10”. He should have never fallen that low. It wasn’t our biggest need, but next year we’ll be glad.

I agree Oher would have helped us more this year, but for the long term (6 years) i prefer Crabtree.

That said, now I agree we desperately need oline and would even like to see a package (1 and 3?) put together so that we could get Okung or …

by zacksf on Nov 11, 2009 8:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Trading down is what I would have done (although I selected Oher)

And if the Lions wanted to part with their 20th overall pick and 33rd overall pick for that 10th, then I would have taken Oher which ended up falling that far, still get to trade that pick to Carolina and on top of that add Darius Butler or Clint Sintim

"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco

by rlott#42 on Nov 11, 2009 5:19 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Looks great, but the question is.. would the lions have wanted to that.

"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"

by Eastbayjim on Nov 11, 2009 5:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

If not Oher was the pick. I am sure some team would have given a lot for Crabtree. He looks to be a good posession WR, but a 1 dimensioal downfield WR with good return skills would have been more beneficial.

"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco

by rlott#42 on Nov 11, 2009 5:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think the Lions wanted the #10 pick. I think they were looking to improve the pick to number 12-19 but couldn’t go higher because they had to pay Stafford so much money.

by bignerd on Nov 11, 2009 7:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No

I sincerely doubt it. Who would they have taken at #10? They passed on Oher at the #20 spot so they didn’t want him, and they already have Calvin Johnson (and have drafted liek 4 1st roudn WR’s the past 5-6 years) so there was little chance they’d want Crabtree.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 11, 2009 8:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

EVEN AFTER COMPLAINING....

WE STILL WANT CRABS HAHA LMAO

"Be more concerned with your character than your reputation, because your character is what you really are, while your reputation is merely what others think you are"

by Bo$$Ixta! on Nov 11, 2009 5:31 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I never did

But he is a Niner so I root for him

"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco

by rlott#42 on Nov 11, 2009 5:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No I am saying I never waned him

"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco

by rlott#42 on Nov 11, 2009 7:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I know

I was responding to the poster who thought it was humorous that the poll results showed most people wanting Crabtree instead of Oher.

by smileyman on Nov 11, 2009 8:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Tough Call

I preferred Oher and the argument that he was only the 4th best OT prospect as a reason to pass on him just made my blood boil. Oher has played very well this season but so has Crabtree.

I’d like to argue the decision could be made by who plays the premium position but ultimately Oher is probably a RT and Crabtree is probably a possession WR. Neither which you draft at the #10 pick unless the pick turns out to be perennial Pro Bowler, but it looks like both might be. The final verdict depends on whether the 49ers ever find that complimentary OT.

I was pretty much wrong on everything about Crabtree except he is a possession WR and his upside is Michael Irvin. BTW, that’s how the Bears scouting report describes him. Mc Boo Foo compared Crabtree to Anquan Boldin. I’m still trying to figure that one out.

by bignerd on Nov 11, 2009 6:56 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

The game against Jared Allen would say diff, and at a 23rd pick overall why not?
Oher is probably a RT

He can be a Franchise LT, he was easily the best Tackle in the draft.

"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco

by rlott#42 on Nov 11, 2009 7:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree he is the best Tackle in the draft. I thought he might be which is a reason why I wanted him on the team.

He can be franchise LT too, no argument there. I prefer him at RT because he could potentially be one of the best run blocking OTs of all time and usually teams run to the right side. I feel he could make a bigger impact playing RT.

by bignerd on Nov 11, 2009 7:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

I’ve heard that Oher has looked lost at times—particularly this last game against the Ravens. Maybe he’s the best tackle in the draft, but he sounds like a guy that is displaying some of the same inconsistency that dogged him in college. Having a LT that is out of it for even 5% of your plays is enough to get your QB killed.

Jason Hill is turning the corner!

by grantmp on Nov 11, 2009 7:53 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The last game against the Ravens?

He plays for the Ravens….

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 11, 2009 11:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

my bad--I meant against the Bengals.

Jason Hill is turning the corner!

by grantmp on Nov 12, 2009 2:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He can be a Franchise LT, he was easily the best Tackle in the draft.

Based on…?

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 11, 2009 8:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know why people think Sanchez has been effective

He has been downright bad this year, even with a decent group of players around him. His -20.0% DVOA is ranked 30th of 38 qualifying QB’s, behind such luminaries as Jason Campbell, Trent Edwards, Marc Bulger, and Jake Delhomme. Yes, Jake “Turnover” Delhomme has been better on a per play basis than Sanchez!

For those of you who like traditional stats, Sanchez is 3rd in the NFL in interceptions with 10, behind only Delhomme and Stafford, and tied with Jason Campbell for first in the NFL in fumbles with 7. He’s got the 4th lowest completion % among qualifying QB’s at 53.6%, ahead of only Josh Johnson, Derek Anderson, and Jamarcus Russell. That’s two guys who have lost their jobs and one who’s probably the worst player on the Raiders, which is saying something. It’s not like Sanchez is airing it out all the time either, he’s only attempting about 29 passes per game.

The “Sanchize” can probably take over the crown for most overrated player in the NFL. He needs to improve a ton and he’s nowhere near the level Joe Flacco was last year, let alone Matt Ryan, who simply laughs in Sanchez’s face.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 11, 2009 8:22 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I think that you are failing to take into account that Sanchez has had two of the worst games ever for a quarterback. IMO those games are not indicative of his true talent level. Thus, he is not as bad as his overall statistics may indicate.

by Josh Branco on Nov 11, 2009 9:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

So you think

We should ignore the fact that he was utterly terrible for a quarter of his games thus far?

Obviously he’s not as bad as those games, but that’s why it’s an average. Cumulatively, he’s been terrible. You can’t only subtract his worst performances when judging him. Sanchez has only had one game the whole year where he completed even 60% of his passes, what has he done well so far? Handing off to Thomas Jones and watching your defense dominate from the sideline doesn’t count.

John Morgan of Field Gulls was talking a week or two ago about Sanchez already busting and I certainly won’t say anything like that, I liked him as a prospect and still think he has a chance to be a very good player, but saying he has been anything but bad at this point is folly.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 11, 2009 10:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You're completely right about Sanchez

I’m forced to watch near all NY games being from CT. They simplified the offense down to screens and quick slants the first couple of games. Now they’re opening up the playbook with Sanchez and even with one of the better running teams in the NFL he still isn’t much of a factor. Jets have a far superior OL, RB, and WRs than the Lions. Stafford last game though threw some passes that he had no business throwing and was very inaccurate as well. You can tell his confidence was shattered when he walked out for a drive in the 4th which could have taken the lead. Instead threw his 4th INT of the game.

Still I’d take Stafford over Sanchez any day. Far more upside.

by supraman on Nov 12, 2009 6:45 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Not me...

…I think Stafford will be another big-armed inaccurate bust.

by Bigmouth on Nov 12, 2009 9:49 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Too football smart and too talented

For Sanchez fans
Think about the field position their defense and special teams would give Sanchez early in the season. Their D didn’t give up an offensive score for 9 quarters to begin the year.. ST with Leon Washington KRing and Brian Leonhard was top tier.

Forgot to add Dustin Keller’s name.. whose production has dropped off, but he’s still a mismatch vs majority of LBs.

by supraman on Nov 12, 2009 10:47 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Aaron Curry.

I hope nobody is surprised with how underwhelming he’s been so far.

"Mayhap a hidden door lurks nigh. Let us search the environs."

by Fearless Frog on Nov 11, 2009 8:33 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'm surprised

Wasn’t he supposed to be the most “NFL-Ready” player in the draft?

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 11, 2009 10:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder

How many players with a last name that is also a food have been really good?

Well… Jerry Rice, obviously…. but other than him?

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Nov 12, 2009 9:09 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

This is making me hungry. Rice and curry is delicious.

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Nov 12, 2009 9:10 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Not successful, exactly, but: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/C/ChicFr20.htm

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Nov 12, 2009 9:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You just don’t see anybody with the last name Chicken born after 1888. Shame.

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Nov 12, 2009 9:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hm

David Cone? I like ice cream…

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 12, 2009 3:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

before the draft I wanted Oher

I didn’t think Crabtree would fall. I glad we got him. Its not like we couldn’t have drafted any O-lineman in the other rounds.

Go 49ers

by iaalexeeff on Nov 11, 2009 10:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I don't get it

Oher went 23rd to the Ravens, not 11th to the Bills.

I know the team needs a RT, but seriously? A guy that dropped 13 spots after the Crabman? Maybe I’m just looking at this from my Red-Raider-Tinted Sunglasses, or the fact the 49ers haven’t had a bon-a-fide #1 WR since that famous #81 left town?

The holdout is long gone, and Crabtree is here for 5 seasons minimum. I can’t be happier. We’ve got cap room in the offseason to sign an Incredible Hulk at RT, or two first round draft choices should we opt to get one via the class of 2010.

by Andrew Davidson on Nov 12, 2009 7:58 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

TACKLE TACKLE TACKLE

We need to protect the QB! That is still our biggest problem. I think Jason Hill, Morgan and Jones could have bridged us for one more year. Dez Bryant would have looked great in a Niners jersey as would Benn and Damien Williams. Oher should have been the pick with our second pick. We still need a dominant pass rusher therefore I would have picked Orakpo first and Oher second.

by Charles W on Nov 12, 2009 8:48 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I wanted Orakpo...

…but I think Oher would have been the right pick in retrospect. That said, Crabs has become an impact player sooner that I expected, so I’m pleased.

by Bigmouth on Nov 12, 2009 9:46 AM PST reply actions   0 recs


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