Week 11 Prediction Games
by David Fucillo on Nov 18, 2009 12:19 PM PST
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PrintThis week the 49ers are playing a normal Sunday game, so we won't have the wild card option. After some discussions with howtheyscored we definitely want to use the wild card option in the future, but given that the season is over halfway done, we're going to save it for next season. If you have other ideas for improving/adjusting the prediction contest, we'll have a separate thread at the end of the season. If you don't want to forget them, feel free to email me (ninersnation@gmail.com).
So, for this week, make sure and provide predictions for all six games. As always, after the jump I've got the formatting rules and howtheyscored's breakdown of the scoring system. As always, all times are pacific.
49ers @ Green Bay- Sunday 11/22 10:00am
Tennessee @ Houston - MNF 11/23 5:30pm
Philadelphia @ Chicago - SNF 11/22 5:20pm
Atlanta @ NY Giants - Sunday 11/22 10:00am
Indianapolis @ Baltimore - Sunday 11/22 10:00am
San Diego @ Denver - Sunday 11/22 1:15pm
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using Philadelphia @ Chicago below, if you think Chicago will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 14 - 24
If you think Philadelphia will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (Philadelphia @ Chicago: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
SCORING RULES
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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Week 11
49ers @ Green Bay – 27 – 24
Tennessee @ Houston – 28 – 24
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 21 – 17
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 14 – 17
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 20 – 24
San Diego @ Denver – 24 – 27
Week 11
49ers @ Green Bay – 24-34
Tennessee @ Houston – 31-30
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 17-20
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 23-30
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 27-28
San Diego @ Denver – 35-14
we could use the wild card for the thanksgiving games!!!
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
I hope everyone is paying attention to my formula for mediocrity
49ers @ Green Bay – 19 – 13
Tennessee @ Houston – 24 – 22
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 23 – 9
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 27 – 33
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 14 – 17
San Diego @ Denver – 26 – 17
"Pat is still just scratching the surface." - Coach Singletary on LB Patrick Willis
Week 2 1's
49ers @ Green Bay- 20-17
Tennessee @ Houston – 24-26
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 27-13
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 14-20
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 13-16
San Diego @ Denver – 21-28
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
Picks
SF @ GB; 22-17
TEN @ HOU; 30-20
PHIL @ CHI; 21-28
ATL @ NYG; 17-24
INDI @ BALT; 23-16
SD @ DEN; 20-13
Chris Cohan- YOU'RE FIRED!
49ers @ Green Bay – 21-17
Tennessee @ Houston – 24-31
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 27-10
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 17-9
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 18-13
San Diego @ Denver – 30-17
Check my 49ers blogs at Mining the Gold Rush and San Francisco 49ers Examiner
Here we go....another week like last week.
49ers @ Green Bay- 21-17
Tennessee @ Houston – 28-21
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 21-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 14-21
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 28-14
San Diego @ Denver – 35-14
5-5
49ers@Green Bay- 23-14
Tennesse@Houston- 24-34
Philadelphia@Chicago 28-17
Atlanta@NY Giants 20-31
Indianapolis@Baltimore- 31-37
San Diego@Denver 30-23
Week 11 - hard week this week yo!
49ers @ Green Bay – 24 – 21
Tennessee @ Houston – 28 – 27
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 31 – 27
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 17 – 20
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 30 – 20
San Diego @ Denver – 17 – 24
The week for away teams...hopefully
49ers @ Green Bay- 20-17
Tennessee @ Houston – 24-17
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 27-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 20-10
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 30-24
San Diego @ Denver – 24-13
6-0 here i come LOL
49ers @ Green Bay- 24-20
Tennessee @ Houston- 23-20
Philadelphia @ Chicago- 34-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants- 20-27
Indianapolis @ Baltimore-23-27
San Diego @ Denver-30-23
Man these are hard games
"Cannot play with them. Cannot win with them. Cannot coach with them. Can't do it. I want winners. I want people that want to win!!!"
by nocal81(Vincent) on Nov 18, 2009 7:31 PM PST reply actions
Week Ocho Ocho
49ers @ Green Bay- 16 – 27
Tennessee @ Houston – 23 – 35
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 34 – 31
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 24 – 27
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 20 – 14
San Diego @ Denver – 27 – 10
Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.
Wow! This is a Hard week!
Okay On a few games I am just picking by what I see will help us get into the playoffs via Wild card if it happens
49ers @ Green Bay – 20 – 13 (makes both teams 5-5/ 49ers would hold the Tie Breaker vs. the packers)
Tennessee @ Houston – 16 – 27
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 17 – 20 (loss makes philly 5-5/week 15 game could decide wild card!)
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 21 – 24 (we need to end with a better record than Atlanta for wild card spot!)
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 27 – 14
San Diego @ Denver – 31 – 17
11-5... My 49ers pre-season prediction!
Fooch is out to get me and sfgfan with these games. I’m finished with Philly, but Chicago is terrible!
I’m done with the Giants, but Michael Turner might not even play on Sunday!
I don’t want to pick San Diego, but I’m beginning to think they’re starting to play up to their talent while Denver is starting to play down to theirs.
At least I don’t have to pick Baltimore.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
speaking of sfgfan I haven't seen him around here posting in a while
I’m beginning to think he could care less about us!
"Pat is still just scratching the surface." - Coach Singletary on LB Patrick Willis
You won’t bait me this time!
Nicely done, though.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 19, 2009 10:14 AM PST up reply actions
Eh.
I think I’ve reached the point in the season where my optimism is starting to wain. Similar to Fooch’s front page post about the point spread this coming weekend: I really don’t know what 49ers team will show up at any given moment, let along game.
I’m also starting to lose faith in the coaching staff as a whole, but primarily in Singletary and Raye. It’s not that I don’t think that Singletary is a good coach, it’s just that I think he’s just doing it all wrong. Basically, I think he’s making the same mistaken Mike Nolan made in his years coaching in San Francisco: injecting too much opinion in an area he knows little to nothing about.
Why do I feel that way? I’m too lazy to go in depth, but it basically comes down to the coaching staff not preparing the offense to play to it’s “strengths.” I know Smith is no world beater, but it’d be nice to at least see the coaching staff WANT to put the ball in his hands to start a game off, rather than wait until they’re backed against the wall every time.
In any case, I’m lurking. I just don’t have the energy (or desire) to discuss my points, so I just leave them out of the discussion.
Seriously.
I’m glad I didn’t have to pick Baltimore, either.
that's what I thought when I saw the games
then I picked them anyway. What is wrong with me!?
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
Good picks this week...tough matchups
49ers @ Green Bay – 17-28
Tennessee @ Houston – 31-34
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 17-20
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 31-27
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 31-20
San Diego @ Denver – 31-10
Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!
by ZeroIndulgence on Nov 19, 2009 11:25 AM PST reply actions
i think i forgot to make picks last week. i guess i've got some catching up to do:
49ers @ Green Bay – 17-16
Tennessee @ Houston – 20-34
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 19-24
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 21-20
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 35-26
San Diego @ Denver – 24-10
I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.
home field advantage?
49ers @ Green Bay- 20-16
Tennessee @ Houston – 35-28
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 27-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 38-23
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 27-20
San Diego @ Denver – 17-13
Week 11
49ers @ Green Bay: 31-28
Tennessee @ Houston: 23-27
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 17-23
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 24-28
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 35-17
San Diego @ Denver: 20-14
"We want WINNERS!" - Coach Singletary
PLEASE START NATE "SAVE-US" DAVIS, SMITH IS NOT GOING TO DO THE JOB. CUT AND DRY. BOOK IT DANO
49ers @ Grean Bay: 13-10
Tennessee @ Houston: 31-23
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 42-10
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 17-24
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 17-24
San Diego @ Denver: 31-17
The Giants are going to win this week and I'm going to explode when they do.
49ers @ Green Bay: 17 – 9
Tennessee @ Houston: 24 – 30
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 24 – 21
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 20 – 17
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 14 – 28
San Diego @ Denver: 38 – 7
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
Your format is wrong for the Indy game
And there are a bunch of games this week that I just have no idea on.
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
Holy crap, you’re right!
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 28 – 14
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 19, 2009 11:09 PM PST up reply actions
Giants are going to Win you say
But you have them losing to Atlanta?
11-5... My 49ers pre-season prediction! <--- Hey It could still happen!
Which is why I'm going to explode.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 20, 2009 8:29 AM PST up reply actions
Well, the Giants made me explode
But I think I have a decent shot at 10 points from the Philly and San Diego games. We’ll see. It would take a perfect for the Philly to beat me there, but there’s some wiggle room for some jerk to move in on my San Diego score. It should still be pretty good, though.
Now go Houston! Matt Schaub can win me points here AND he can win me my fantasy matchup at the same time. Go Matt Schaub Team!
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Nov 23, 2009 9:35 AM PST up reply actions
49ers @ Green Bay- 17-20
Tennessee @ Houston – 34-31
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 17-24
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 20-24
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 27-20
San Diego @ Denver – 39-38
I’m gonna milk the competitive advantage as long as you leave it there, muahahah! And the San Diego score is for Ed Hochuli.
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Nov 20, 2009 12:10 AM PST reply actions
we got this
49ers @ Green Bay – 17-13
Tennessee @ Houston- 27-13
Philadelphia @ Chicago- 21-24
Atlanta @ Giants- 20-28
Indianapolis @ Baltimore— 31-27
San Diego @ Denver – 24-30
like a Smith & Wesson in a cave--6 shots in the dark, loudly
49ers @ Green Bay- 18-14
Tennessee @ Houston - 17-24
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 31-24
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 21-24
Indianapolis @ Baltimore - 28-34
San Diego @ Denver – 21-24
Jason Hill is turning the corner!
49ers @ Green Bay: 24-17
Tennessee @ Houston: 24-31
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 17-10
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 24-21
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 24-17
San Diego @ Denver: 38-14
Man. As much as I didn’t want to pick the Eagles, I just don’t see how they can lose. If they lose, I will definitely steer clear from here on out. I’m finally making good on my previous statements about the Giants and Ravens, though.
Again, my apparent favoritism for the visiting team shows.
If you Price Is Right me this weekend, that’s -35 points.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 20, 2009 10:04 AM PST up reply actions
Week 11 brings .500
49ers @ Green Bay – 21 – 13
Tennessee @ Houston – 30 – 27
Philadelphia @ Chicago - 23 – 27
Atlanta @ NY Giants - 16 – 24
Indianapolis @ Baltimore - 26 – 28
San Diego @ Denver – 27 – 20
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Chicken Dinner
49ers @ Green Bay- 23 – 17
Tennessee @ Houston – 28 – 21
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 24 – 10
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 20 – 33
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 28 – 31
San Diego @ Denver – 24 – 20
Looking to put San Fran*six-o* here some time soon!
49ers @ Green Bay- 21-20
Tennessee @ Houston – 20-30
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 13-14 (almost went with a Tie in this one)
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 20-28 (atlanta with a missed extra point)
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 28-23
San Diego @ Denver – 17-21 (why so many people picking SD with a huge win?)
Well
To answer your question about the Chargers, and even easier now that the game is over lol. I picked the big San Diego win because of Chris Simms starting and how horrible he did last week. I didn’t expect to see Orton. But that obviously didn’t make a big difference.
Yeah
It was a combination of: Denver has been fading, San Diego has been hot, and Orton got injured.
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
makes sense
Not a good week for me anyway ;)
I want to pick the 49ers....but it's really getting to the point where I just don't feel like we can beat talented teams.
49ers @ Green Bay – 13 – 24
Tennessee @ Houston – 13 – 31
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 24 – 16
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 17 – 14
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 28– 21
San Diego @ Denver – 24 – 27
"It came down like a punt, Coach!" - Josh Morgan
picks
49ers @ Green Bay: 24-20
Tennessee @ Houston: 27-21
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 10-28
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 31-21
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 17-14
San Diego @ Denver: 7-23
Other kids may be sayin' hi-ho, but The Gooch just says yo.
here we go
49ers @ Green Bay- 27 – 7
Tennessee @ Houston – 16 – 27
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 31 – 17
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 24 – 22
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 20 – 9
San Diego @ Denver – 28 – 15
Couldn't you throw in the Cardinals-Rams game? These are hard.
49ers @ Green Bay- 24-14
Tennessee @ Houston – 23-16
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 28-20
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 17-27
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 31-17
San Diego @ Denver – 27-6
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
That’ll teach you for picking the 49ers.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Nov 23, 2009 9:42 PM PST up reply actions
They learned me good.
(At about 9:45 on Sunday morning, I was like “Oh shit, I should have picked the Packers” but it wasn’t urgent enough for me to actually turn my computer on and change my pick)
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
Eh...
You’ll be pretty pleased with the way things shook out, anyway.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Nov 23, 2009 10:35 PM PST up reply actions
Predictions
49ers @ Green Bay: 23 – 20
Tennessee @ Houston: 24 – 34
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 20 – 27
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 17 – 20
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 30 – 23
San Diego @ Denver: 20 – 27
They say the heart of rock and roll is still predicting / And from what I've seen I believe 'em / Now the old boy may be barely breathing / But the heart of rock and roll is still predicting
49ers @ Green Bay- 17-23
Tennessee @ Houston – 23-26
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 26-20
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 26-24
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 20-23
San Diego @ Denver – 27-21
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
Here we go
49ers @ Green Bay- 31-17
Tennessee @ Houston – 34-28
Philadelphia @ Chicago -28-20
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 20-26
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 16-22
San Diego @ Denver – 31-13
Don't call it a come back
49ers @ Green Bay 20-26
Tennessee @ Houston 31-37
Philadelphia @ Chicago 24-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants 27-33
Indianapolis @ Baltimore 25-19
San Diego @ Denver 23-17
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
Week 11
49ers @ Green Bay – 18-24
Tennessee @ Houston – 21-26
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 24-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 21-28
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 24-21
San Diego @ Denver – 24-28
week 11
49ers @ Green Bay -28-24
Tennessee @ Houston-31-21
Philadelphia @ Chicago -21-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants-17-10
Indianapolis @ Baltimore -24-31
San Diego @ Denver-24-21
Singletary's signature game as 49ers coach
49ers @ Green Bay — 30-17
Tennessee @ Houston — 31-27
Philadelphia @ Chicago — 23-21
Atlanta @ NY Giants — 20-28
Indianapolis @ Baltimore — 20-24
San Diego @ Denver — 24-17
Yes, I’m sticking with Philly and Baltimore. Not having Westbrook scares me but the Bears passing defense is still awful and cannot expect a mild upset. Indy got away with fooling people again last week. This week the Ravens should finally expose them since the 49ers, Texans and Pats all failed to finish . . . if Cam Cameron’s play calling doesn’t lose another game for the Ravens. People think Jimmy Raye is horrible, Cam Cameron has a SB team headed to not even making the playoffs.
Wk 11 Prediction Games
49ers @ Green Bay – 17-27.
Tennessee @ Houston – 27-24.
Philadelphia @ Chicago – 34-20.
Atlanta @ NY Giants – 20-23.
Indianapolis @ Baltimore – 21-23.
San Diego @ Denver – 24-13.
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Nov 22, 2009 9:00 AM PST reply actions
My Preds
49ers @ Green Bay: 23-21
Tennessee @ Houston: 24-28
Philadelphia @ Chicago: 28-17
Atlanta @ NY Giants: 20-30
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: 24-18
San Diego @ Denver: 24-17
MURS for President!!!!!!!
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