Thanksgiving is coming up on Thursday, which means we've got three Thursday games this week. Even though the 49ers aren't playing that day it's always a highlight of the season. One of the games has big playoff implications (NYG/Den), so I've decided we'll have a wildcard option this week. We did this Week 10 when the 49ers played on Thursday night.
The way it works is 5 games are locked in for everybody. Then, for your sixth game, you can either predict the NYG/DEN game, OR, you can predict the CAR/NYJ game. If you pick BOTH games ahead of time, you'll only get credit for the NYG/DEN game. If you pick the Thanskgiving game but want to save your other predictions for later, you must submit those scores by replying directly to your NYG/DEN prediction (instead of posting a new comment at the bottom of the page). If you have any questions about this, please ask so we can make sure there is no confusion.
Prediction format and scoring rules are after the jump. As always, the times are pacific.
NY Giants @ Denver - Thursday 11/26 5:20pm - ***THANKSGIVING WILDCARD GAME***
Jacksonville @ 49ers- Sunday 11/29 1:05pm
New England @ New Orleans - MNF 11/30 5:30pm
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore - SNF 11/29 5:20pm
Indianapolis @ Houston - Sunday 11/29 10:00am
Arizona @ Tennessee - Sunday 11/29 1:05pm
Carolina @ NY Jets - Sunday 11/29 10:00am - ***WILDCARD GAME***
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using Pittsburgh @ Baltimore below, if you think Baltimore will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore 14 - 24
If you think Pittsburgh will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (Pittsburgh @ Baltimore: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at email@example.com.