San Francisco 49ers 20 - Jacksonville Jaguars 3: Six second half sacks, red-zone follies foil Jaguars
EDITOR's NOTE: For those wanting to discuss Alex Smith in more detail, head on over to the official Alex Smith FanPost Here.
It certainly wasn't the best game the 49ers have played, but one could say it was the most complete. San Francisco limited the Jaguars to just three points, forcing 2 turnovers in the red-zone in the second half. Josh Scobee missed two field goals on the day, one a 21-yard attempt that bounced off the uprights. Jacksonville's second half hurry-up offense had the team moving and the Niners D reeling, but San Francisco was relentless and managed to force the Jags into key mistakes.
San Francisco's offense looked very productive for much of the afternoon, running a lot of shotgun formations with both Delanie Walker and Vernon Davis on the field. The tight ends took advantage of the opportunity; Davis scored his 9th TD of the year (6 catches, 69 yards) and Walker added 4 catches for 52 yards, and 11 yards on an end around. Alex Smith also capitalized out of the shotgun completing 65.9% of his passes for 232 yards and 2 TDs (the other to Frank Gore on a great grab in the end zone). Speaking of Gore, he struggled to gain much and was held to just 33 yards rushing and 14 receiving yards (on 7 receptions).
The 49ers defense was bending in the second half after stiffling the Jaguars in the first half. However, the unit came up big when it needed to most, sacking Garrard six times in the second half while forcing 2 fumbles in the red-zone (and recovering both). During the first half, the Niners didn't get as much pressure, but the coverage in the secondary prevented the Jaguars from getting much going (aside from a late drive that resulted in 3 points before the half ended). It was quite the opposite in the second half, as the Niners were pressuring Garrard often, but the secondary was getting beat just as frequently.
Overall, the team put forth a complete effort, never trailing in the game, and never in serious trouble of blowing a big lead. Alex Smith showed excellent poise in the pocket, and faced little pressure as the O-Line provided him with plenty of time to find his targets. Rookie Michael Crabtree had two drops, but also displayed his excellent Yard After Ctach ability as the 49ers handled the Jaguars and won the Time of Possession battle. Ahmad Brooks may be the unsung hero of the game, providing good pressure on Garrard for a good chunk of the game, seemingly the only one to do so in the first half. After the jump check out a drive by drive recap, and discuss your thoughts in the comments section.
1st Half Drive by Drive
The 49ers received the ball to start the game, and began their first drive on their own 20. San Francisco ran plenty of spread formations with 2 WRs, 2 TEs and 1 RB, marching down the field for 51 yards, settling for 3 points on a 46-yard field goald by Joe Nedney. Alex Smith only faced serious pressure once during the drive, resulting in an incomplete pass. Frank Gore had two carries out of the shotgun, and 2 receptions (18 rush, 10 receving yards). SF 3 - JAX 0
On the defensive side of the ball, the 49ers set the tone by allowing just one first down as Jacksonville came out in the shotgun formation for 3 of the 4 plays the team ran. Maurice Jones-Drew was stuffed on his first rush attempt, and a screen pass to the RB was also sniffed out and held to just 1 yard. The defense didn't get a lot of pressure, but managed to play tight defense and get the ball back in the offense's hands.
Receiving the ball on their own 6, the 49ers went three and out. Their lone run came out of the strong I formation, and Gore was hit for a 1 yard loss. On the 3rd and 8 play, Smith faced some pressure as protection on the left side broked down causing the incomplete overthrow. Andy Lee boomed a 55-yard punt, and a 2-yard return started the Jaguars second drive at the 37.
The defense responded again with a solid effort, limiting the Jaguars to just one first down. The Jaguars were out of the shotgun most of the drive, and the 49ers pressured Garrard nicely. Both Mark Roman and Kentwaan Balmer forced Garrard into a intentional grounding penalty, and Ahmad Brooks was in Garrard's face on the 3rd and 18. The Jaguars were forced to punt after a 5-play drive that gained 27 yards. A punt pinned San Francisco at their own 6.
The 49ers again came out spreading out the defense again, with two TEs in for most of the drive. San Francisco managed just one first down, and 15 of the teams 27 yards came on a facemask penalty. Andy Lee punted the ball 51-yards, but this time the coverage broke down and Jacksonville return man Witherspoon had a 42-yard return. The defense faced it's first real test of the afternoon, with the Jaguars starting in 49er territory at the 49.
On the first play of the drive, Manny Lawson nearly came away with a sack, but Garrard managed to shovel a pass off to MJD for 17-yards. The Jaguars then attempted a deep pass into the end zone out of 2 TE, 2 RB I-formation, but it fell incomplete, intended for Mike Sims-Walker. Jacksonville then attempted their next two plays out of the shotgun, but a great tackle by Michael Lewis stopped the Jags short on 3&9. Josh Scobee missed the 40-yard FG attempt, and the 49ers D came up big (with a bit of help) when facing their biggest test early in the game.
San Francisco took over on their own 30-yard and responded to defense's efforts by putting points on the board. The team went on a 10-play, 68-yard Touchdown drive that included 5 shotgun formations. The 49ers were utilizing the shotgun formation, by putting the TEs out wide. Delanie Walker had an 11-yard end around for a first down, and Vernon Davis capped off the drive with his 2-yard TD grab out of the heavy formation (2 TE, 1 T, 2 RB) off of a play fake. SF 10 - JAX 0
The Jaguars began their fourth drive of the game on their 22-yard line, looking to gain any momentum after falling into a 10-point hole. On 2nd and 7, Patrick Willis pressured Garrard up the middle, hitting the QB and forcing a wobbely pass that should've been intercepted by Manny Lawson. Lawson dropped the INT, but the defense held the Jaguars to 3 and out. After an 8-yard return the 49ers received the ball on the 35-yard line to begin drive #5.
San Francisco suffered their first 3 and out of the game, running two plays out of the shotgun. The lone play out of the I-Form heavy formation resulted in a Vernon Davis dropped pass, and on 3rd down Josh Morgan gained just 7 yards and the Niners were forced to punt. Andy continued to punt efficiently, drilling a 46-yarder inside the Jaguars 20-yard line. Mark Roman, however, was flagged for a 5-yd penalty for illegal touching, and the Jaguars started at their own 20.
What ensued next was Jacksonville's sloppiest drive of the half, which was another 3 and out. The team committed two penalties that prevented the Jags from getting anything going. Mike Sims-Walker pushed off of Tarrel Brown nullified what would've been a first down. While San Francisco didn't get much pressure on the drive, they were tackling well and held Rashad Jennings to 12-yards on a 3rd down screen pass. After a punt of 48-yards, Brandon Jones had a 13-yard return setting up the 49ers next drive.
San Francisco's sixth drive began on their own 41, and displayed an impressive offensive output that resulted in 7 points for the 49ers. The team ran six plays out of the shotgun (of the 9 plays), including 3 in the "goal-to-go" sitautions. Jimmy Raye called the 49ers best offensive play of the half on a 4th and 1 play that resulted in a 30-yard pass completion to Vernon Davis. The OC rolled the dice and instead of running, called a play-fake that left the stud TE open inside the Jaguars 10 yard line. Three plays later, Alex Smith found Frank Gore in the end zone who made a spectacular effort to keep both feet in bounds. Smith didn't face much pressure, and rolled out to buy time to cap off the drive with the TD. SF 17 - JAX 0
Jacksonville finally got on the board before half-time marching down the field to get into field goal range in just 4 plays that gained 60 yards. Mike Sims-Walker was a big target during the drive, catching 3 passes for 42 yards. The 49ers backed off of pressure, and the Jaguars capitalized to get 3 points before breaking at the half. HALF TIME SF 17 - JAX 3.
Second Half Drive By Drive
The Jaguars received the ball to start the second half and returned the kick-off to the 24-yard line. The Jaguars came out passing, and in the hurry up, driving into 49ers territory, first with a 30-yd pass to Ernest Wilford and a 12-yard pass to Mike Thomas. Dashon Goldson again displayed his poor tackling ability, letting Thomas slip by on an 18-yard quick hitter. The defense sured up it's tackling on the next play, holding MJD to a 2-yd loss on a screen pass. On 2nd and 12, Manny Lawson sacked Garrard and forced a fumble, which was recovered by Justin Smith for the first turnover of the game. Would the key red-zone turnover turn into points?
San Francisco began their 7th drive on their own 27-yard line, and needed to capitalize off the momentum-shifting play. The team marched 9 plays and 63 yards but had to settle for a field goal thanks to a Michael Crabtree drop in the end zone (his second of the drive). Crab's first drop came on a high pass from Smith, and responded on the very next play with a 20-yard reception that displayed the rookie's excellent YAC skills. After a 7-yd pass to Morgan that came up short on 3rd down, the 49ers settled for 3 points on a 27-yd FG by Nedney. SF 20 - JAX 3
The Jaguars responded with a lengthy drive of their own, trying to answer San Francisco's FG and get back into the game. The 49ers defense seemed to bending to the point of break during Jacksonville's 12-play, 77 yard drive. Garrard again had the offense in hurry up mode, and marched the team inside San Francisco's red zone. The 49ers couldn't stop MJD as he ran for 26 yards on the drive. Jacksonville had a nice mix of both shotgun and I formations, and the hurry up offense had the defense on it's heels. However, on a key 4th and 2 to begin the 4th quarter, Parys Haralson and Justin Smith sacked Garrard, who fumbled again in the red-zone. This time, Ray McDonald recovered the ball on the SF 21-yd line.
The 49ers couldn't turn this turnover into points as the offense responded with a 3 and out. San Francisco kept their shotgun strategy, but mustered just 2 yards on the drive. Alex Smith nearly threw an interception on 2nd and 10, but luckily the tipped pass fell to the turf. Andy Lee's fourth punt of the game went 43 yards to the JAX 21-yd line with no return.
Jacksonville again marched down the field and into the red zone, threatening to score and try to make a game of it. A big whiff by Dashon Goldson on MJD on a 4th and 3 gave the Jaguars life. Jones-Drew's effective running out of the shotgun put the Jaguards deep inside 49er territory. After Jacksonville lined up with MJD in the slot, Mike Singletary may have had the key play of the drive, sprinting onto the field to about the 15-yd line to call a timeout. The ensuing 3rd and Goal situation was swatted away by Shawntae Spencer, and the red zone follies continued for Jacksonville as Scobee doinked a 21-yd FG off the uprights. San Francisco took over at their own 20, looking to run out some clock and prevent any chance at a Jacksonville comeback.
The 49ers went on a 6-play, 5 yard drive that took some time off the clock, but didn't gain much of a field position shift. After gaining one first down, the 49ers went backwards losing six yards and forced another Andy Lee punt. Scott McKillop had a rare missed special teams tackle, and the Jaguars ended up with decent field position to claw back into the game.
Jacksonvilles 10th and final drive really didn't threaten much, as Parys Haralson, Takeo Spikes and Justin Smith all sacked Garrard during the Jags possession. Smith's sack came to seal the victory for the 49ers, and Ahmad Brooks' consistent disruption should not be overlooked on the drive either. Jacksonville ran 7 plays, gaining just six yards before turning it over on downs.
San Francisco's final drive needed at least one first down to ice the game, and they accomplished just that. Frank Gore ran for 13 yards on the final drive, and Alex Smith was able to kill out the clock after Gore's 6-yard run netted a first down after the 2-minute warning. We don't get to Smith take a knee often, but it was certainly an impressive way for the Niners to end the game, picking up a first down when they needed it. FINAL SF 20 - JAX 3
0 recs |
102 comments
|
Comments
Once the 49ers jumped up 10-0...
I knew they had this game. Garrard is horrid. JAX defense is also horrid. The 49er defense could bend all they wanted to. Garrard wasn’t gonna break that.
Well, we're waiting....
I'm normally not that confident either...
But it looked pretty obvious somehow. Maybe because JAX sucks that bad.
Well, we're waiting....
You know what would be cool?
More runs to the outside.
Failing that, more games like this one.
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
We still have issues
Lots of missed opportunities by the D for INTs, dropped passes all around, and no running game (though I don’t think we’ll get one behind this line).
Still we looked good, converted 3rd downs when we needed to, and most importantly didn’t play conservative.
yep
Gore looked pretty pedestrian, and the defense missed two opportunities for interceptions at the very least.
by Andrew Davidson on Nov 29, 2009 4:36 PM PST up reply actions
JAX defense also had missed...
Opportunities for INT’s as well. JAX has what, only 10 sacks from their defense also?
Well, we're waiting....
I blame it all on the play calling!!!!!!!!!!!
j/k
I thoroughly enjoyed this win over the glitter kitties
Hey, remember that one time when we were arguing and I was wrong? Yeah, me either.
no smog
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
that is called....
the hat trick lol…now we just need to hit the repeat button for 5 more weeks, and we will be golden
by sanfranfanmdk on Nov 29, 2009 5:19 PM PST up reply actions
Congratulation for the well deserved victory
I wish all the best for the remaining 5 games; maybe the Niners can catch the Cardinals and go to the playoff this time.
YYour team have the talent to do so!
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 29, 2009 5:03 PM PST reply actions
You're not going to call Mike Singletary a bum and accuse us of cheating?
WTF?
What we've got here is a failure to communicate.
by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 29, 2009 5:22 PM PST up reply actions
Because you were the better team
Executed well; the D played veeeery well; and scored when you can.
So No I not yelling anyhing to anyone’s head.
It was a well deserved 49ers victory. This was your team’s day! Totally (6 sacks? WOW)
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 29, 2009 5:53 PM PST up reply actions
Okey; I understand
We don’t yell to the winnewr team; I certainly don’t but I can speak for the other guys at BCC. The win was 1000%ly deserved; no debate on here.
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 29, 2009 6:57 PM PST up reply actions
I'd accuse the Refs of a little cheating
The Jags were burned by a few questionable calls.
classy man
thanks a lot. It was good chatting with you guys this week, good luck with the rest of the season.
"Pat is still just scratching the surface." - Coach Singletary on LB Patrick Willis
Thanks for you and the rest of the 49ers fanas and team
I wish the same!
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Nov 29, 2009 6:57 PM PST up reply actions
There is a big story here developing
the beat reporters knew this. I’m referring to the story you will hear about this week.
Niners demand Smith asserts himself – smith requests the spread be used more – Raye acknowledges it and is coaxed by the jags lack of pass defense – Niners actually utilize their talent for the first time in a long time!!!
Everyone on NN that has advocated for this approach has been right.
and Smith Haters Hide in their Humbled Holes
Hahaha
I was thinking the same thing!! I kept saying to myself, and on a post or two, that they need to just run the “spread”, actually score some points, and put less pressure on the D and the O-line to have to actually rely on run blocking lol
by sanfranfanmdk on Nov 29, 2009 5:09 PM PST up reply actions
For sure
What we've got here is a failure to communicate.
by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 29, 2009 5:22 PM PST up reply actions
It worked for one game..
So far. Against one of the worst defenses in the League.
Well, we're waiting....
Before we get too excited
As much as I want Alex to succeed, I was pretty afraid of his play today. People will say he had 0 INTs today, but the Jags had plenty of opportunities and just dropped them.
Not sure if the root issue has been addressed, but as long as the 49ers keep winning (and the cards keep losing) then all is well.
You can say that about a lot of QB's....
The Niners should have picked off Garrard a couple of times today, and had a pick 6 against Favre and Manning…but Alex showed what he can do when he has more than a second to throw the ball
by sanfranfanmdk on Nov 29, 2009 6:06 PM PST up reply actions
Vince Young
threw a pass that bounced off a lineman’s helmet, was up for grabs, and went for a completed pass to one of his receivers down-field.
Alex deserves a break now and then too.
In Seachicken land
I’m going to be there this week. Maybe I should do some interviews with Seachicken fans and pass it along.
I look foward to it
What we've got here is a failure to communicate.
by chikmagnet_565 on Nov 29, 2009 10:25 PM PST up reply actions
Sea chicken! lol
Yes, I'm sure Jerry Rice never dropped a single pass in his entire football career.
Arizona's to waste, but ours to keep - We must remember this
I’m incredibly ecstatic about that Titans ending – heck, anyone that follows football would have been floored about that last drive/play, but being a Niner fan gave me an excuse to roar my lungs out and jump like a maniac around the apartment too. Early Christmas present right there.
Focusing back at hand though (and on top of everything else good that happened today), the Seahawks are a happy team too. Them coming back home with a win finally after long road stints is pleasing to them, and there will be less vengence and want on their part to win. For our Niners though, they cannot turn this into a Cardinal watch show for the playoff opportunity to fall into laps.
The Seahawks are the objective, and the Niners goal now is to do what they can with the remaining schedule – carve out a non-losing record, and take it week by week. Don’t even think Cardinals until after next week. Don’t put the cart in front of the bird: think Seahawks, and how to roast them properly again. Seahawks now…Cardinals later. Simple as that in my opinion.
For today though, congratulations 49ers! Excellent day in the NFL!
yes, I totally agree
Focus on the Seahawks, it’s always tough to play in Seattle.
by Andrew Davidson on Nov 29, 2009 6:16 PM PST up reply actions
@ SEA
…the wk before vs. ARI, when ARI has to play the 10-1 vikes next wk…wow, this is seriously the ultimate trap game coming for the 49ers. i can just imagine them all thinking how the ARI game is going to be for the div because they’ll only be 1 game back, have the tiebreaker if they win, and be finishing up with 2 sure-fire wins vs. DET & STL.
they sure have fallen into the trap the past few yrs, so i think it’ll show a lot if they take care of business on the road against a div opp playing in the loudest stadium in the league. if singletary can keep their motivation high enough to get the W, he’ll deserve some serious freaking kudos.
by Florida Danny on Nov 29, 2009 6:29 PM PST up reply actions
If SEA is a trap game...
Then DET and STL could be trap games as well. I take this game as one game, facing a poor team where the 49er game plan worked. The offense is still a work in progress, and the 49ers haven’t shown consistency for long stretches these past 2 months.
Well, we're waiting....
I don’t think so. DET and STL finish the season, there’s no one to look past them to.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
If the 49ers still need those games...
For mathematical reasons, such as going 8-8 or WC, then it does mean something.
Well, we're waiting....
right
but usually “trap” games happen when a team is looking past a weaker opponent to an upcoming big game. I’m saying that if we have something to play for in week 16-17, they won’t be looking past those games, because those WILL be big games.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
well put
not much else to add to that.
by Andrew Davidson on Nov 29, 2009 7:10 PM PST up reply actions
I think we will destroy the Seahawks
Sing is going to keep us level headed, and think about Seattle instead of Zona
Us ?....
Sorry, but referencing the team in a “we” or “us” is a pet peeve of mine.
Well, we're waiting....
places like this
must drive you crazy then.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
It's like this...
For the person who says “We won today!! We Played Great!!”, then going by that, I can tell that person after getting blown out “Dude, you sucked hard today”.
Well, we're waiting....
Seachickens, Cardinals, Eagles
If we can beat all three birds, we win the division most likely.
by mountaindew77 on Nov 29, 2009 6:18 PM PST up reply actions
But yes
for now, it’s all about the ’Hawks
by mountaindew77 on Nov 29, 2009 6:18 PM PST up reply actions
Squab, Squab, Squab
Lets not think of the Falcons
just want to jump in for a sec and say...
…yeah, told you so in re passing/shotgun/early lead/not pulling foot off gas/defense being good closers/matchup preview/pretty much everything else i’ve said in the past 2 weeks
that's ok...
the strategy is pass early to score and take a lead, run late to burn clock and preserve a lead.
JR pretty much followed that to a tee except the were still passing every down with 10 mins left in the 4th qtr and a 17-pt lead. not going to complain about overagression from this OFF, but still, that’s when they need to shift to gore.
by Florida Danny on Nov 29, 2009 6:24 PM PST up reply actions
Raye gets 10
big thumbs up from me this week.
by mountaindew77 on Nov 29, 2009 6:28 PM PST up reply actions
well to be fair
Gore was largely ineffective.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
at the point in the game...
in which the niners need to go to gore, it doesn’t matter whether he’s effective or not. it’s about burning clock.
by Florida Danny on Nov 29, 2009 6:30 PM PST up reply actions
yeah but
if you’re going 3 and out, you don’t burn enough clock.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
3 drives in the 4th qtr...
up 17, running 3 times and then punting…you burn 6 of the 15 mins (2 mins per drive)…if JAX scores 3 TDs in 9 4th-quarter mins to win the game, then they deserve to lose anyway.
just to be clear, i’m talking specifically about a 17-pt 4th-qtr lead…so the MIN, IND, & TEN games are totally not applicable here. in those games, they should have kept trying to score because their lead was less than a TD (at most) during the 2nd half.
by Florida Danny on Nov 29, 2009 6:33 PM PST up reply actions
there was also
only one incomplete pass in the 4th quarter. And they kept a pretty even ratio throughout (5 pass, 7 run). I don’t like running 100% like that at all, it just reeks of “playing not to lose” to me. I’m not saying go out there and take a bunch of shots down the field, but don’t concede the 3 and out just because you MIGHT be able to milk an extra 40 seconds – 1 min.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
I REALLY hated
the screen call on 3rd and 15 too. Don’t mess around, put the dagger in. Sure, there’s a risk of an Int, but more than likely the worst outcome is that they have an extra timeout.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
risk of an "inc"
Looking to put San Fran*six-o* here some time soon!
right
they get an extra timeout. Big f’in deal. You make it, the game is, for all intents and purposes, over.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
well yeah there's that
but i’m talking about more in general.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
I REALLY doubt that giving them an extra 40 seconds is worth more in WP than getting the first down.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
You want them attempting to throw for a 1st down on 3rd and 15, backed up on their own end of the field with a 17 point lead?
yes.
You don’t necessarily have to throw it 15 yards though, can throw 10-12 and try to get some YAC, at least then you’re not conceding the down.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
What is the point?
Now taking the risk without a possible positive return.
well
you DO have the possible positive return. You’re MUCH more likely to get 15 yards when the receiver catches the ball 10 yards from the LOS than when they catch it BEHIND the LOS.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
So you are comparing very unlikely to very very unlikely.
There isn’t a good play in the playbook for 3rd and 15.
sure there are
they’re usually less effective than plays designed for 3rd and 2, but they’re still there, and still (somewhat) effective.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
I can’t even find percentages for 3rd and 15 conversions. I see 3rd and 10 has 30% chance of conversion and guessing the additional 5 yards drops the conversion percentage down at the least 10%.
according to advancednflstats.com, it’s 21%. So, let’s say a 60% completion , 21 success, 3% int chance, 5% QB tackled (sack or scramble).
so, 21% chance of essentially ending the game, a 44% chance of there being no difference, a 32% chance of giving them an extra 40s, and a 3% chance of a turnover. I like those odds.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
agree it was out of the question
but I bet Cinci thought they had that game against oak town. 40 sec on that? What about 9ers time mgt v. vikings? I would have liked to have had 40 less sec v. vikings…
Looking to put San Fran*six-o* here some time soon!
or
backs against the wall, teams play differently. Honestly in my years of watching football, I’ve not noticed a huge difference between having 1:30 to drive down the field, and having 1:00. The extra time/timout only gives you the opportunity for one extra play to the middle of the field. I’ll have to look at the numbers some more, but it’s really a risk/reward thing imo, and I like football coaches to be (smart) risk takers.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
actually
in this particular case, it makes next to no difference either way, simply because it’s pretty much impossible to come back from 3 scores down in 4 mins in the NFL.
Sharlon Schoop - de favoriete Nederlandse honkbalspeler van McCovey Chronicles.
You always have to be one step ahead of your drunk friends
--Daisy Owl
yeah...
obviously the point is to hold onto the ball and not have 3-and-outs…i was just saying that, even if they had 3 3-and-outs, it gives JAX only 9 minutes of 4th-qtr time to score 3 TDs.
i think the point is that your OFF needs to go from primarily pass to primarily run when up 17 in the 4th qtr…that’s not really a debatable point.
plus, this is making a mountain out of a molehill…i said that JR’s game plan was spot on and that this one little thing was the only thing i even had anything close to a beef with.
by Florida Danny on Nov 29, 2009 7:20 PM PST up reply actions
JR's gameplan
better look awfully similar for the remainder of the season. there were plenty of shotgun formations, but what I liked most was the use of 2 TE shotgun sets. Walker in the slot is pretty darn effective.
by Andrew Davidson on Nov 29, 2009 7:22 PM PST up reply actions
Vikes should win, so beat the Hawls and you got a real chance for the playoffs.
Bernard, Percy and AP oh my!
finally a good day
i thoroughly enjoyed that win and vince young’s heroics today. great day of football. he played better today, but i’m still not sold on alex smith at this point. other than smith, i’m pretty happy with the offensive weapons that we have. the jags played horribly today so i can’t be too excited about the win but it still feels good!
"There is no pressure. Pressure only exists when you're not prepared."
-The Samurai
From Field Gulls
Seattle won a game it was supposed to win. They are 4-7 and with 3 winnable home games they can finish 7-9 (although the Titans and Bucs are looking a lot better). Now we end our 4 day weekend watching our next opponent play the Jaguars and Favre tear up Chicago’s sorry franchise.
so they're already ceding
they can’t win on the road… God I hope we sweep seattle
Looking to put San Fran*six-o* here some time soon!
ok props to alex smith
i’ll admit, when alex smith was scrambling to the right and made that td throw by the sideline i was pumped. it was a cool moment.
"There is no pressure. Pressure only exists when you're not prepared."
-The Samurai
Smith
Jaguars are an average defense. Smith is an average QB SO FAR. While I’m an Alex Smith fan, I’ll be careful not to crown him this time around. He can probably do well against the seahawks. He might even hold his own against Arizona. If he can perform like this in Philli, I’ll be happy to eat sooooo much crow. for now, I’ll just enjoy the rare win for the red & gold, and hope Sing and Raye continue to conform to Alex Smith’s strengths. It is pretty obvious at this juncture that Alex is not a conventional NFL QB, but a gimmiky college spread QB. That, of course, is not a bad thing, as long as they let him run his type of game. That was fun to watch though! I just hope Sing & Raye learned something from it. Something that we’ve known for a while now.
49ers and TOOL live, my personal Heaven!!!
what do you think he could do if
he had a real offensive line that could maintain a pocket in a normal formation and run block?
True, the Jags are weak, but that just levels the playing field for our skill players who are often stymied by the ineffectiveness the oline.
While the St. Louis game was the team's biggest blowout this year...
I thought this game was more impressive considering Jacksonville is an above .500 team.
I wish we could get a more consistent running game but I don’t blame Gore for any of that. I can only imagine how frustrating it is for him right now.
Gore will forgive
As soon as he breaks into the War room come April to call in the 49ers 1st pick.

by 

























