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49ers sit as 4 point favorites over the Titans

According to the folks at Bodog, the 49ers are 4 point favorites against the visiting Tennessee Titans.  Originally I was going to title this "open as 4 points favorites," but I'm not so sure they opened as 4 points favorites.  While I keep an eye on Bodog, I also visit a site called Scores and Odds.  One thing I like about them is they track how the spread changes.  According to them, the 49ers opened as 5.5 point favorites, but they too currently have the 49ers at -4.  This would indicate a fair amount of money has come in on the Titans so far.

A 4 point spread is a tough one to handle.  However, if the spread opened at -5.5 as Scores and Odds has it, that might actually tell us a bit more.  It tells us the bookies aren't 100% confident in the 49ers, but they do seem them as the relatively clear favorite.  I'd imagine the money coming in on Tennessee has more to do with the fact that they just won their first game and people want to jump on the Vince Young express.

Scores and Odds also has the over/under in at 41 points, the lowest among all the games this weekend.  Are we in for a defensive battle?  Prior to this past week, Football Outsiders had the Titans dead last in defense against the pass but 9th against the run.  They had the 49ers 7th against the run and 13th against the pass.  The Colts put up a lot of yards, but not a lot of scores, so we'll see how that plays out in the rankings.  But it does have me wondering whether that over/under is easily attainable?  I could definitely see this turning into a bruising defensive battle.  We'll keep an eye on how the over/under and spread move during the week.

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I'ld take the 49ers giving up 4

The 49ers seem to be under estimated all the time. They were 10.5 point dogs in Indy and I believe they were 12 point dogs against the Vikings. The 49ers will easily win by more than 4.

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Nov 3, 2009 1:55 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Guess people focus more on the three losses and not how they played

And are in love with the highlights of Chris Johnson’s TD runs and the name value of VY, yet are missing that the Titans gave up two huge TD runs to MJD. Whatever.

And CBS is giving us their #5 broadcast team. Yet Seattle vs Detroit gets Fox’s #3 team. I just don’t understand most of what networks decide.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Nov 3, 2009 2:46 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Argh

This makes me want to take out a big loan. 4 points? Come on, the Niners better cover that.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 3, 2009 3:45 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I hope the 49ers...

… don’t share the same opinion most fans seem to be sharing about the Titans. I hope the 49ers treat them like they’re the Colts.

by sfgfan on Nov 3, 2009 4:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Well yeah

But I still expect them to win by more than 4 points.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 3, 2009 9:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Negative

I hope I don’t sound negative, BUT I think maybe it’s because when the 9ers have a small lead the play calling goes south. “Lets just be careful, run off time, and maybe score one more time if we can.”

by CorneliusJ on Nov 3, 2009 3:45 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I really don't like this match up . . . I'm saying it now

Chris Johnson is capable of breaking off a few home runs. Also the Titans pass defense is so horrible because of the secondary, not defensive line. With our LOLine on life support I question whether the 49ers can even take advantage.

I’m expecting an ugly, frustrating game and hopefully the 49ers pull this off. When I say ugly . . . like a Vince Young, Shaun Hill spiral competition . . . 1st to one wins and it may take 60 rounds.

by bignerd on Nov 3, 2009 4:08 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I agree for different reasons

It’s not the matchup. It’s that our team has put in some much work and effort only to lose close games the last two weeks. And they haven’t won in a month. Now here’s team they’re expected to beat but that has more experience than we do; how does a young team that has constantly made that one bad play instead of clinching play get up for an opponent they should beat? And how tight will they get if it’s a close game in the 4th? It’s imperative to break this losing streak and ride the wave into next Thursday night’s game.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Nov 3, 2009 8:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I kind of like the matchup

The run defense is great so they should hopefully be able to contain Johnson. FOrcing VY to throw is a good thing.

And then on offense I still see Smith having a good game and hopefully the Titans weaknesses against the pass will prevent Raye from getting too run happy.

by Brendan Scolari on Nov 3, 2009 10:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The thing I don't like..

Is when the 49ers are favored, and wind up coming out flat the 1st half. The 49ers have a problem letting teams hang around in games.

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Nov 4, 2009 1:33 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I Don't anticipate a flat start...

While the titans did play well last week and get a win against a better team they will have a hard time doing it two weeks in a row. The playoffs are on the line for the Niners starting Sunday and while I agree with most of what has been said, especially the concerns regarding slow starts, I don’t anticipate that happening. The Niners will look to score often and early in this one. Raye might be a bit boring right now, but he is not stupid and I imagine that we will see a lot of mid to deep passes on Sunday to Crabs, Davis and finally Jones to expose one of the leagues worst secondaries. Plus, our D is going to go ape s#!$ look for them to score at least one TD. Niners by two touchdowns at half time and a three touchdown lead to close the game.

by N.Y.C. Niner on Nov 4, 2009 6:55 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'm going to be the party crasher this week...

I know this is a game we should win but lets face it the only games that we should have won are games within our own division. We haven’t beat anyone else outside of it. I expect the same 3 and out performances we get from them every week. I’m willing to bet we keep it close to the end only to lose on another last ditch effort by the opponent. Your all gonna say it’s too early but I’m just hoping for a .500 record this year. I’m going Titans-28 49ers-17, not because the Titans are a better team, but because we are terrible at closing out games and always allowing teams to hang around into the 4th quarter. Also, I’m looking for another costly turnover by us that loses us the game. Now let all the hate mail begin. And for those of you who do leave me hate mail, since I most likely won’t return to this post to read your comments. I’ll just say phuck you in response.

by th3_jok3r_xx on Nov 5, 2009 3:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs


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