Week 9 Prediction Games
by David Fucillo on Nov 4, 2009 11:37 PM PST
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We're back for Week 9 of the Prediction Contest. A slight adjustment this week. After the formatting rules after the jump, howtheyscored has provided a breakdown of how the scoring system works, along with some examples using games from week 7. And of course thanks to everybody for following the formatting rules.
Well, we'll see if we get another plethora of perfect predictions. Initially I wasn't seeing many great matchups, but as I look at the games now, it should be interesting stuff. Both prime time games in particular could be interesting battles. Baltimore/Cincinnati has become interesting with the Bengals resurgence, and of course we've all got the same rooting interest in Arizona/Chicago.
Also, just a reminder that as always all times listed are pacific. On to the games.
Tennessee @ 49ers - Sunday 11/8 1:15pm
Pittsburgh @ Denver - MNF 11/9 5:30pm
Dallas @ Philadelphia - SNF 11/8 5:20pm
Baltimore @ Cincinnati - Sunday 11/8 10:00am
Arizona @ Chicago - Sunday 11/8 10:00am
San Diego @ NY Giants - Sunday 11/8 1:15pm
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using San Diego @ NY GIants below, if you think NY Giants will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
San Diego @ NY Giants: 14 - 24
If you think San Diego will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
San Diego @ NY Giants: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (San Diego @ NY Giants: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
SCORING RULES
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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Tennessee @ 49ers – 20-28
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 27-13
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 27-35
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 20-18
Arizona @ Chicago – 24-27
San Diego @ NY Giants – 30-24
Check my 49ers blogs at Mining the Gold Rush and San Francisco 49ers Examiner
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17 – 31
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 17 – 20
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 27 – 34
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 16 – 24
Arizona @ Chicago – 24 – 27
San Diego @ NY Giants – 21 – 28
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers – 13 – 24
Pittsburgh @ Denver - 17 – 20
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 24 – 30
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 20 – 30
Arizona @ Chicago – 23 – 27
San Diego @ NY Giants – 24 – 21
I'm too lazy to bold
Tennessee @ 49ers – 10 – 31
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 20 – 21
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 14 – 41
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 28 – 14
Arizona @ Chicago – 20 – 23
San Diego @ NY Giants – 10 – 17
7
Week 9; Crabs get sTDs this week
Tenn @ SF- 16-27
Pitt @ Den- 24-20
Dal @ Phi- 17-31
Balt @ Cinci- 20-17
Ariz @ Chi- 20-30
SD @ NYG- 24-28
Chris Cohan- YOU'RE FIRED!
My Picks
Tennessee @ 49ers – 7-21
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 30-20
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 31-40
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 20-24
Arizona @ Chicago – 31-14
San Diego @ NY Giants – 17-30
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
Why, you ask?
Tenn-SF: Tennessee is 1-6 for a reason. That and the Niners offense sucks.
Pitt-Den: Both teams had bye weeks, and Bal showed Pit how to beat Denver last week.
Dal-Phi: neither team stops the other team, here, but Philadelphia’s offense shows more here.
Zona-Chi: weather should be decent in Chicago and Jay Cutler is the evolutionary Jeff George.
SD-NYG: Giants are at home and the Chargers D is not strong enough to stop Brandon Jacobs.
All predictions wrong or your money back!
Morgan breaks through in 2009!
They’ve been up since Tuesday night. http://www.ninersnation.com/2009/11/3/1113951/week-eight-prediction-games-the
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 5, 2009 9:23 AM PST up reply actions
Tennessee @ 49ers: 13-24
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 20-24
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 35-28
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 20-24
Arizona @ Chicago: 27-20
San Diego @ NY Giants: 24-20
You have been DFiBrillated.
by Dubs fan in Boston on Nov 5, 2009 9:24 AM PST reply actions
Yay! I got points last week!
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17-20
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 14-17
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 35-10
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 14-17
Arizona @ Chicago – 20-23
San Diego @ NY Giants – 31-23
Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!
tough picks this week!
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
I'm almost inclined to run out an "all home teams" week... but I'll have to wait see if I can upset special one of these.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 5, 2009 10:20 AM PST up reply actions
Oh, you.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 6, 2009 8:07 AM PST up reply actions
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17-24
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 20-14
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 24-35
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 24-21
Arizona @ Chicago – 21-17
San Diego @ NY Giants – 31-23
Trying to make a comeback, I only have so many weeks
Tennessee @ 49ers – 23-31
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 16-20
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 27-33
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 27-19
Arizona @ Chicago – Sunday 11/8 10:00am
San Diego @ NY Giants – Sunday 11/8 1:15pm
"Optimist Prime"
"Child Please" -Ochocinco
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers: 10-24
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 24-21
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 21-31
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 21-17
Arizona @ Chicago: 17-28
San Diego @ NY Giants: 14-24
"We want WINNERS!" - Coach Singletary
Week Niner
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17 – 20
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 23 – 16
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 31 -34
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 20 – 10
Arizona @ Chicago – 24 – 31
San Diego @ NY Giants – 19 – 28
Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers – 13-17
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 24-13
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 17-24
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 24-21 OT
Arizona @ Chicago – 17-20
San Diego @ NY Giants – 17-14
Predictions....
Tennessee @ 49ers – 28-34
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 14-17
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 28-35
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 28-24
Arizona @ Chicago – 28-21
San Diego @ NY Giants – 28-35
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers – 20-31
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 23-20
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 17-33
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 16-24
Arizona @ Chicago – 21-27
San Diego @ NY Giants – 20-28
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
Okay I Need To Have A Big Week
Tennessee @ 49ers- 13-31
Pittsburgh @ Denver- 24-13
Dallas @ Philadelphia- 20-30
Baltimore @ Cincinnati- 21-27
Arizona @ Chicago- 24-27
San Diego @ NY Giants- 17-28
The hardest ones had to be Arizona/Chicago and Baltimore/Cincinnati.
"Cannot play with them. Cannot win with them. Cannot coach with them. Can't do it. I want winners. I want people that want to win!!!"
by nocal81(Vincent) on Nov 5, 2009 2:46 PM PST reply actions
big day for goldson
Tennessee @ 49ers – 7-23
Pittsburgh @ Denver –31-17
Dallas @ Philadelphia –24-17
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 24-3
Arizona @ Chicago – 10-7
San Diego @ NY Giants – 17-28
4-4
Tennessee@49ers 17-27
Pittsburgh@Denver 27-14
Dallas@Philadelphia 31-44
Baltimore@Cincinnatti 27-24
Arizona@Chicago 28-38
San Diego@NY Giants 20-24
niners will catch fire!!
Tennessee @ 49ers- 13-28
Pittsburgh @ Denver- 21-16
Dallas @ Philadelphia- 28-34
Baltimore @ Cincinnati- 17-14
Arizona @ Chicago- 28-17
San Diego @ NY Giants- 18-21
My Preds
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17 – 27
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 24 – 21
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 20 – 31
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 21 – 14
Arizona @ Chicago – 20 – 24
San Diego @ NY Giants – 17 – 26
MURS for President!!!!!!!
I want to talk more about that Colts fan's opinion of Mike Singletary. That's cool, right?
Tennessee @ 49ers – 23-17
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 28-14
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 30-17
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 20-23
Arizona @ Chicago – 33-20
San Diego @ NY Giants – 26-20
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
Well, I always pick against the Niners because I’m NOT A TRUE FAN. As for the other ones, the Bears haven’t convinced me, the Giants have unconvinced me (though I’ve been pretty bad at picking their games this year so I’m sure they’ll actually win), even when I believed in Denver I didn’t believe in Denver, the Cowboys shouldn’t be bad yet because it isn’t December, and I think the Ravens are due to let down the world.
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
I was just...
… picking on you about the 49ers game. I think it’s possible they lose, too. I can definitely see Denver losing (I predicted the same).
Oh, I pick against them when it's not possible they'll lose
If the Niners had lost that Rams game, it would have been the worst 5 points ever.
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
NINER'S GOT TO PASS 80% AND RUN 20% SHORT PASSES TO GORE AND LET THAT BE THE RUNNING GAME
Tennessee @ 49ers: 3 – 37
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 31-21
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 24-34
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 31-17
Arizona @ Chicago: 17- 30
San Diego @ NY Giants: 17-28
Week 9
Tennessee @ 49ers: 13 – 21
Pittsburg @ Denver: 13 – 16
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 24 – 28
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 20 – 16
Arizona @ Chicago: 14 – 24
San Diego @ NY Giants: 17 – 21
If the Giants lose again this week, then I simply don't believe in them anymore.
Tennessee @ 49ers: 10 – 24
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 20 – 16
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 27 – 45
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 20 – 28
Arizona @ Chicago: 23 – 24
San Diego @ NY Giants: 17 – 31
Blah, my sucky predictions continue to not improve. I don’t like these.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
Wow. It just gets worse and worse.
Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.
by howtheyscored on Nov 8, 2009 8:40 PM PST up reply actions
Seriously.
The Ravens, Eagles and Giants are dead to me.
I had a prediction stain on my white t-shirt/she was killin me in that mini-skirt/skippin rocks on the river by the railroad tracks/she had a suntan line and red lipstick/I worked so hard for that first pick/and a heart don't forget a prediction like that
Tennessee @ 49ers – 20-24
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 27-21
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 23-28
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 21-24
Arizona @ Chicago – 21-26
San Diego @ NY Giants – 24-30
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
yea
Tennessee @ 49ers 13-20
Pittsburgh @ Denver 20-17
Dallas @ Philly 34-30
Baltimore @ Cincy 20-17
Arizona @ Chicago 28-20
San Diego @ NY Giants 30-34
If I gotta play, I'm gonna play 'till I win,
Since I gotta be here, I can´t wait to begin
Lets hope I keep up my trend
Tennessee @ 49ers – 10-38
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 14-23
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 17-28
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 24-21
Arizona @ Chicago – 27-30
San Diego @ NY Giants – 21-23
home teams all win
Tennessee @ 49ers: 13 – 24
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 17 – 21
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 27 – 38
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 12 – 17
Arizona @ Chicago: 23 – 24
San Diego @ NY Giants: 17 – 23
Week 9 - end the losing streak!
Tennessee @ 49ers – 13 – 24
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 23 – 20
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 20 – 34
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 20 – 21
Arizona @ Chicago – 20 – 23
San Diego @ NY Giants – 28 – 24
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Need to get more then one point this week
Tennessee @ 49ers – Sunday 11/8 1:15pm 14-31
Pittsburgh @ Denver – MNF 11/9 5:30pm 34-10
Dallas @ Philadelphia – SNF 11/8 5:20pm 20-38
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – Sunday 11/8 10:00am 24-20
Arizona @ Chicago – Sunday 11/8 10:00am 27-17
San Diego @ NY Giants – Sunday 11/8 1:15pm 24-31
week niner...
Tennessee @ 49ers: 9-17
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 28-10
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 24-17
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 24-17
Arizona @ Chicago: 21-29
San Diego @ NY Giants: 14-17
by nacho49 on Nov 7, 2009 11:56 PM PST via mobile reply actions
So drunk, wish I could do this in the moring . . .
Tennessee @ 49ers — 16-20 (they better win!)
Pittsburgh @ Denver — 20-18 (Broncos overpowered but stay close)
Dallas @ Philadelphia — 27-33 (my secret, vodka!)
Baltimore @ Cincinnati — 24-17 (2nd time the charm, Ray, get that pick)
Arizona @ Chicago — 23-28 (WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE, CROWN’EM!)
San Diego @ NY Giants — 26-30 (Chargers are charmin soft)
picks
Tennessee @ 49ers – 13 – 23
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 27 – 25
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 28 – 13
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 23 – 26
Arizona @ Chicago – 21 – 10
San Diego @ NY Giants – 10 – 17
Wk 9 Prediction Games
Tennessee @ 49ers – 20-17. Think the Niners will win,purely a tactical move!
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 24-16.
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 27-34.
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 24-27.
Arizona @ Chicago – 17-21.
San Diego @ NY Giants – 31-20.
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Nov 8, 2009 8:08 AM PST reply actions
Niners must win
Tennessee @ 49ers – 16-28
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 24-22
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 20-31
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 27-28
Arizona @ Chicago – 15-17
San Diego @ NY Giants – 35-17
J GO
Week 9 Picks
Tennessee @ 49ers: 13-24
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 20-23
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 21-27
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 20-24
Arizona @ Chicago: 21-26
San Diego @ NY Giants: 23-27
What in the wide, wide world of sports is a-goin' on here?
Almost forgot to get these in
Tennessee @ 49ers: 13 – 23
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 20 – 13
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 24 – 30
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 20 – 24
Arizona @ Chicago: 24 – 34
San Diego @ NY Giants: 24 – 34
Bolded winners
Tennessee @ 49ers: 13 – 23
Pittsburgh @ Denver: 20 – 13
Dallas @ Philadelphia: 24 – 30
Baltimore @ Cincinnati: 20 – 24
Arizona @ Chicago: 24 – 34
San Diego @ NY Giants: 24 – 34
by David Fucillo on Nov 8, 2009 9:25 AM PST up reply actions
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17-24
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 21-24
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – 21-28
Arizona @ Chicago – 17-21
I know I'm too late for 2 of the games but here's the rest
Tennessee @ 49ers 17-28
Pittsburgh @ Denver 16-24
Dallas @ Philadelphia 24-35
San Diego @ NY Giants 35-24
For what it’s worth, this is what I would have perdicted
Baltimore @ Cincinnati 28-21
Arizona @ Chicago 24-16
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
Just checked in on the games, I really didn't look before posting
Looks like I would have lost the Ravens/Bengals game, and I’ll probably be too far out in points in the Arizona/Chicago game, so my mistake might not end up costing me any points.
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
To late for 2 games also, oops.
Tennessee @ 49ers – 17-27
Pittsburgh @ Denver – 27-13
Dallas @ Philadelphia – 23-31
Baltimore @ Cincinnati – to late to perdict
Arizona @ Chicago – to late to perdict
San Diego @ NY Giants – 17-14 (my wife picked for me hope thats not braking the rules :-))
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