Week 16 Prediction Games

by Fooch on Dec 23, 2009 7:37 PM PST Comment 46 comments

We currently have 13 teams sitting single digits back of the final prediction contest playoff spot, with several more only a few points beyond that. A perfect prediction would vault somebody quickly up the rankings, but even just a solid weekly performance can easily get somebody back into the playoff race.

Prediction format and scoring rules are after the jump. As always, the times are pacific.

Detroit @ 49ers - Sunday 12/27 1:05pm

Minnesota @ Chicago - MNF 12/28 5:30pm

Dallas @ Washington - SNF 12/27 5:20pm

Houston @ Miami - Sunday 12/27 10:00am

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh - Sunday 12/27 10:00am

Denver @ Philadelphia - Sunday 12/27 1:15pm

IMPORTANT NEW RULE

Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:

Using Minnesota @ Chicago below, if you think Chicago will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:

Minnesota @ Chicago: 14 - 24

If you think Minnesota will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:

Minnesota @ Chicago: 24 - 14

If you'd like you can bold the winner (Minnesota @ Chicago: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.

If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.

SCORING RULES

Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.

As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).

For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.

Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.

The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.

The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.

The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.

Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.

If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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Detroit @ 49ers – 13-28

Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-9

Dallas @ Washington – 35-13

Houston @ Miami – 31-24

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 27-28

Denver @ Philadelphia – 27-24

Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner

That's my site. Check it out!

by PHUT! on Dec 23, 2009 7:41 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

changed my picks

Detroit @ 49ers – 13-28

Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-9

Dallas @ Washington – 35-13

Houston @ Miami – 31-21

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 27-28

Denver @ Philadelphia – 24-27

Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner

That's my site. Check it out!

by PHUT! on Dec 24, 2009 9:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Week 16

Detroit @ 49ers – 17 – 31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 28 – 10
Dallas @ Washington – 31 – 13
Houston @ Miami – 21 – 27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20 – 27
Denver @ Philadelphia – 13 – 31

Tim Tebow = 1,432,219 season tickets next year. Who wouldn't pick him in the 1st round with those projections?

by Drew K on Dec 23, 2009 8:08 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers – 6-31

Minnesota @ Chicago – 20-10

Dallas @ Washington – 28-10

Houston @ Miami – 13-20

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 31-27

Denver @ Philadelphia – 16-27

GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.

by groug on Dec 23, 2009 8:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 27-14

GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.

by groug on Dec 26, 2009 6:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

lolgroug

GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.

by groug on Dec 27, 2009 4:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Mine

Detroit @ 49ers – 10 – 24

Minnesota @ Chicago – 23 – 14

Dallas @ Washington – 27 – 20

Houston @ Miami – 30 – 28

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 17 – 20

Denver @ Philadelphia – 10 – 35

by danknerd49 on Dec 23, 2009 8:59 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers – 20-27

Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-10

Dallas @ Washington – 13-16

Houston @ Miami – 31-17

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 31-23

Denver @ Philadelphia – 23-27

True knowledge is knowing you know, nothing!!
"I seen the ball was behind me and I can't go out like that"
Niners trade up in 2010 draft!!

by rlott#42 on Dec 23, 2009 10:52 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Change my Detroit game

Detroit @ 49ers- 13-31

True knowledge is knowing you know, nothing!!
"I seen the ball was behind me and I can't go out like that"
Niners trade up in 2010 draft!!

by rlott#42 on Dec 24, 2009 11:11 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers – 19 – 33
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24 – 17
Dallas @ Washington – 13 – 19
Houston @ Miami – 21 – 20
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 26 – 23
Denver @ Philadelphia – 14 – 24

"The Football The 49ers Team has The excitement of the bear, the velocity of the deer and strenght of the buffalo.

by 49erLou on Dec 24, 2009 1:04 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Gettin' this out of the way

Detroit @ 49ers – 6 – 31

Minnesota @ Chicago – 16 – 17

Dallas @ Washington – 17 – 10

Houston @ Miami – 17 – 20

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20 – 24

Denver @ Philadelphia – 16 – 27

Merry Christmas to all!

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Dec 24, 2009 1:19 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers -10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-12
Dallas @ Washington – 28-10
Houston @ Miami – 23-17
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh -20-17 (OT)
Denver @ Philadelphia – 24-27

Joe and Steve were under the same system for years... don't expect Smith to be super so soon.

by bayboy on Dec 24, 2009 7:29 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers -17-24
Minnesota @ Chicago –34-14
Dallas @ Washington –31-14
Houston @ Miami – 14-20
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh -27-35
Denver @ Philadelphia – 27-24

by DuikeBuike on Dec 24, 2009 10:07 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

60 points.. I mean it this time

Detroit @ San Francisco – 11-31

Minnesota @ Chicago – 27-9

Dallas @ Washington – 31-17

Houston @ Miami – 23-27

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 16-17

Denver @ Philadelphia – 20-34

by mountaindew77 on Dec 24, 2009 10:30 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Picks

DET @ SF; 9-27
MIN @ CHI; 23-13
DAL @ WASH; 27-10
HOU @ MIA; 17-20
BALT @ PIT; 17-13
DEN @ PHIL; 17-27

Chris Cohan- YOU'RE FIRED!

by bonbrillio on Dec 24, 2009 11:18 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Alright. Its go time

Detroit @ 49ers – Sunday 12/27 1:05pm 13-28

Minnesota @ Chicago – MNF 12/28 5:30pm 24-12

Dallas @ Washington – SNF 12/27 5:20pm 28-9

Houston @ Miami – Sunday 12/27 10:00am 24-28

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – Sunday 12/27 10:00am 28-10

Denver @ Philadelphia – Sunday 12/27 1:15pm 7-35

by jpgarfunkle on Dec 24, 2009 11:56 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Week 16

Detroit @ 49ers – 14-31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 26-10
Dallas @ Washington – 24-27
Houston @ Miami – 21-28
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 18-20
Denver @ Philadelphia – 13-33

49er faithful since July 11, 1985

by J2daZ on Dec 24, 2009 12:33 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Week 16

Detroit @ 49ers – 10-35
Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-13
Dallas @ Washington – 35-10
Houston @ Miami – 24-27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20-23
Denver @ Philadelphia – 17-28

by mpotter14 on Dec 24, 2009 2:00 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Wk 16 Prediction Games

Detroit @ 49ers – 13-24.
Minnesota @ Chicago – 27-17.
Dallas @ Washington – 20-23.
Houston @ Miami – 24-27.
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 16-13.
Denver @ Phialdelphia – 14-31.

by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Dec 24, 2009 2:50 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

16th week

Lions @ Niners : 13 – 20
Minn @ Chicago : 24 – 17
Dallas @ Wash : 10 – 13
Houston @ Miami : 28 – 27
Baltimore @ Pitts : 21 -17
Denver @ Philly : 13 – 24

by LASVEGASNINER on Dec 24, 2009 4:08 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Montana Week

Detroit @ 49ers – 10 – 27

Minnesota @ Chicago – 23 – 29

Dallas @ Washington – 38 – 24

Houston @ Miami – 16 – 21

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20 – 17

Denver @ Philadelphia – 24 – 31

Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.

by YoungWillis on Dec 24, 2009 9:39 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

My Preds

Detroit@49ers – 13 – 31
Minnesota@ Chicago – 27 – 16
Dallas@ Washington – 21 – 19
Houston @ Miami – 24 – 16
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 30 – 28
Denver @ Philadelphia – 17 – 27

MURS for President!!!!!!!

by jtoj on Dec 25, 2009 2:16 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers – 24 – 16

Minnesota @ Chicago – 20 – 22

Dallas @ Washington – 31 – 17

Houston @ Miami – 17 – 23

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 28 – 27

Denver @ Philadelphia – 3 – 31

by JoeO on Dec 25, 2009 3:59 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

I knew someone would try to vulture some points out of a possible facepalm-inducing Niners loss.

GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.

by groug on Dec 25, 2009 10:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Admittedly, it would typically be me.

GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.

by groug on Dec 25, 2009 10:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

My picks

Detroit @ 49ers: 10-27

Minnesota @ Chicago: 31-13

Dallas @ Washington: 28-16

Houston @ Miami: 24-21

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 24-27

Denver @ Philadelphia – 21-30

by Rabbit T on Dec 25, 2009 5:58 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit@49ers – 9– 28
Minnesota@ Chicago – 34 – 21
Dallas@ Washington – 21 – 24
Houston @ Miami – 21 – 28
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 24 – 28
Denver @ Philadelphia – 18 – 27

I want winners! I want people that WANT to win!

by Iwantwinners on Dec 25, 2009 10:55 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers – 10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-27
Dallas @ Washington – 17-24
Houston @ Miami – 20-17
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 21-20
Denver @ Philadelphia – 10-31

by ro128487 on Dec 25, 2009 1:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers 13-24
Minnesota @ Chicago 27-20
Dallas @ Washington 17-21
Houston @ Miami 20-14
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 17-24
Denver @ Philadelphia 17-28

by illini49er on Dec 25, 2009 8:54 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers: 10 – 28
Minnesota @ Chicago: 17 – 6
Dallas @ Washington: 28 – 14
Houston @ Miami: 23 – 27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 20 – 17
Denver @ Philadelphia: 20 – 27

"We want WINNERS!" - Coach Singletary

by cassusriff on Dec 26, 2009 2:33 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Looking like a long shot to make the playoffs...

but here goes.

Detroit @ 49ers – 10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-13
Dallas @ Washington – 24-17
Houston @ Miami – 22-26
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 17-21
Denver @ Philadelphia – 16-28

by etb2 on Dec 26, 2009 3:26 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers: 13 – 28
Minnesota @ Chicago: 14 – 21
Dallas @ Washington: 24 – 27
Houston @ Miami: 27 – 21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 17 – 21
Denver @ Philadelphia: 20 – 28

I want me some Buster

by gbears16 on Dec 26, 2009 6:31 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Week 16 picks

Detroit @ 49ers: 17-31
Minnesota @ Chicago: 21-10
Dallas @ Washington: 28-17
Houston @ Miami: 17-24
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 14-20
Denver @ Philadelphia: 17-31

Jason Hill is turning the corner!

by grantmp on Dec 26, 2009 9:36 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers – 13-24
Minnesota @ Chicago – 34-20
Dallas @ Washington – 17-23
Houston @ Miami – 23-27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 16-10
Denver @ Philadelphia – 34-31

by snowweasel30 on Dec 26, 2009 10:00 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

picks

Detroit @ 49ers: 7-31
Minnesota @ Chicago: 17-21
Dallas @ Washington: 21-13
Houston @ Miami: 21-27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 21-24
Denver @ Philadelphia: 10-21

Other kids may be sayin' hi-ho, but The Gooch just says yo.

by whobob on Dec 26, 2009 11:34 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers: 10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago: 31-6
Dallas @ Washington: 31-17
Houston @ Miami: 24-20
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 14-17
Denver @ Philadelphia: 13-27

by sfgfan on Dec 26, 2009 12:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

All Winners.

Detroit @ 49ers: 7 – 35
Minnesota @ Chicago: 19 – 14
Dallas @ Washington: 17 – 20
Houston @ Miami: 14 – 16
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 31 – 27
Denver @ Philadelphia: 23 – 28

I don't know about that, to the groin.

by howtheyscored on Dec 26, 2009 1:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Ev'rybody knows a turkey and some mistletoe / Help to make the predictions bright / Tiny tots with their eyes all aglow / Will find it hard to predict tonight

Detroit @ 49ers – 17-28

Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-17

Dallas @ Washington – 26-20

Houston @ Miami – 27-24

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20-23

Denver @ Philadelphia – 16-23

A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.

by wjackalope on Dec 26, 2009 4:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

PERFECT!

thank you pittsburgh and baltimore!

A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.

by wjackalope on Dec 27, 2009 4:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Predictions

Detroit @ 49ers: 9 – 34
Minnesota @ Chicago: 30 – 24
Dallas @ Washington: 17 – 27
Houston @ Miami: 31 – 21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 17 – 20
Denver @ Philadelphia: 17 – 24

by Fooch on Dec 26, 2009 4:49 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

just got back from Las Vegas and there is 2 feet of snow with 6 foot drifts YUCK!

Detroit @ 49ers: 17 – 26
Minnesota @ Chicago: 27 – 19
Dallas @ Washington: 24 – 20
Houston @ Miami: 21 – 26
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 23 – 21
Denver @ Philadelphia: 14 – 30

11-5... So I was overly Optimistic! Maybe Next year!

by Ten-Man on Dec 26, 2009 7:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

I WOULD LOVE TO SEE NATE "SAVE-US" DAVIS THIS WEEKEND CUT AND DRY. (BOOK-IT-DANO)

Detroit @ 49ers – 3 – 47
Minnesota @ Chicago – 21 – 17
Dallas @ Washington – 27 -31

Houston @ Miami – 17 -31
Baltimore @ Pittsburg – 31 -37
Denver @ Philadelphia – 27 – 47

by BEETLE49715 on Dec 26, 2009 9:22 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

16

Detroit @ 49ers – 10-21
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-18
Dallas @ Washington – 21-14
Houston @ Miami – 21-24
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 28-24
Denver @ Philadelphia – 18-27

by beecharmer on Dec 26, 2009 9:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

I'm guessing I'll once again pick 4 or 5 winners but only get 4 points

Detriot @ 49ers 10-31
Minnesota @ Chicago 24-16
Dallas @ Washington 24-16
Houston @ Miami 20-25
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 17-24
Denver @ Philadelphia 17-27

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Dec 26, 2009 11:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Detroit @ 49ers: 13-27
Minnesota @ Chicago: 23-14
Dallas @ Washington: 24-13
Houston @ Miami: 23-20
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 23-26
Denver @ Philadelphia: 17-24

What in the wide, wide world of sports is a-goin' on here?

by leaping_larry on Dec 27, 2009 12:47 AM PST reply actions 0 recs