Week 16 Prediction Games
We currently have 13 teams sitting single digits back of the final prediction contest playoff spot, with several more only a few points beyond that. A perfect prediction would vault somebody quickly up the rankings, but even just a solid weekly performance can easily get somebody back into the playoff race.
Prediction format and scoring rules are after the jump. As always, the times are pacific.
Detroit @ 49ers - Sunday 12/27 1:05pm
Minnesota @ Chicago - MNF 12/28 5:30pm
Dallas @ Washington - SNF 12/27 5:20pm
Houston @ Miami - Sunday 12/27 10:00am
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh - Sunday 12/27 10:00am
Denver @ Philadelphia - Sunday 12/27 1:15pm
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using Minnesota @ Chicago below, if you think Chicago will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
Minnesota @ Chicago: 14 - 24
If you think Minnesota will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
Minnesota @ Chicago: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (Minnesota @ Chicago: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
SCORING RULES
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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Detroit @ 49ers – 13-28
Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-9
Dallas @ Washington – 35-13
Houston @ Miami – 31-24
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 27-28
Denver @ Philadelphia – 27-24
Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner
That's my site. Check it out!
changed my picks
Detroit @ 49ers – 13-28
Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-9
Dallas @ Washington – 35-13
Houston @ Miami – 31-21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 27-28
Denver @ Philadelphia – 24-27
Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner
That's my site. Check it out!
Week 16
Detroit @ 49ers – 17 – 31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 28 – 10
Dallas @ Washington – 31 – 13
Houston @ Miami – 21 – 27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20 – 27
Denver @ Philadelphia – 13 – 31
Tim Tebow = 1,432,219 season tickets next year. Who wouldn't pick him in the 1st round with those projections?
Detroit @ 49ers – 6-31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 20-10
Dallas @ Washington – 28-10
Houston @ Miami – 13-20
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 31-27
Denver @ Philadelphia – 16-27
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
Mine
Detroit @ 49ers – 10 – 24
Minnesota @ Chicago – 23 – 14
Dallas @ Washington – 27 – 20
Houston @ Miami – 30 – 28
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 17 – 20
Denver @ Philadelphia – 10 – 35
Detroit @ 49ers – 20-27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-10
Dallas @ Washington – 13-16
Houston @ Miami – 31-17
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 31-23
Denver @ Philadelphia – 23-27
True knowledge is knowing you know, nothing!!
"I seen the ball was behind me and I can't go out like that"
Niners trade up in 2010 draft!!
Change my Detroit game
Detroit @ 49ers- 13-31
True knowledge is knowing you know, nothing!!
"I seen the ball was behind me and I can't go out like that"
Niners trade up in 2010 draft!!
Gettin' this out of the way
Detroit @ 49ers – 6 – 31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 16 – 17
Dallas @ Washington – 17 – 10
Houston @ Miami – 17 – 20
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20 – 24
Denver @ Philadelphia – 16 – 27
Merry Christmas to all!
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
60 points.. I mean it this time
Detroit @ San Francisco – 11-31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 27-9
Dallas @ Washington – 31-17
Houston @ Miami – 23-27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 16-17
Denver @ Philadelphia – 20-34
Picks
DET @ SF; 9-27
MIN @ CHI; 23-13
DAL @ WASH; 27-10
HOU @ MIA; 17-20
BALT @ PIT; 17-13
DEN @ PHIL; 17-27
Chris Cohan- YOU'RE FIRED!
Alright. Its go time
Detroit @ 49ers – Sunday 12/27 1:05pm 13-28
Minnesota @ Chicago – MNF 12/28 5:30pm 24-12
Dallas @ Washington – SNF 12/27 5:20pm 28-9
Houston @ Miami – Sunday 12/27 10:00am 24-28
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – Sunday 12/27 10:00am 28-10
Denver @ Philadelphia – Sunday 12/27 1:15pm 7-35
Week 16
Detroit @ 49ers – 14-31
Minnesota @ Chicago – 26-10
Dallas @ Washington – 24-27
Houston @ Miami – 21-28
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 18-20
Denver @ Philadelphia – 13-33
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
Week 16
Detroit @ 49ers – 10-35
Minnesota @ Chicago – 31-13
Dallas @ Washington – 35-10
Houston @ Miami – 24-27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20-23
Denver @ Philadelphia – 17-28
Wk 16 Prediction Games
Detroit @ 49ers – 13-24.
Minnesota @ Chicago – 27-17.
Dallas @ Washington – 20-23.
Houston @ Miami – 24-27.
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 16-13.
Denver @ Phialdelphia – 14-31.
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Dec 24, 2009 2:50 PM PST reply actions
16th week
Lions @ Niners : 13 – 20
Minn @ Chicago : 24 – 17
Dallas @ Wash : 10 – 13
Houston @ Miami : 28 – 27
Baltimore @ Pitts : 21 -17
Denver @ Philly : 13 – 24
Montana Week
Detroit @ 49ers – 10 – 27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 23 – 29
Dallas @ Washington – 38 – 24
Houston @ Miami – 16 – 21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20 – 17
Denver @ Philadelphia – 24 – 31
Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.
My Preds
Detroit@49ers – 13 – 31
Minnesota@ Chicago – 27 – 16
Dallas@ Washington – 21 – 19
Houston @ Miami – 24 – 16
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 30 – 28
Denver @ Philadelphia – 17 – 27
MURS for President!!!!!!!
Detroit @ 49ers – 24 – 16
Minnesota @ Chicago – 20 – 22
Dallas @ Washington – 31 – 17
Houston @ Miami – 17 – 23
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 28 – 27
Denver @ Philadelphia – 3 – 31
My picks
Detroit @ 49ers: 10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago: 31-13
Dallas @ Washington: 28-16
Houston @ Miami: 24-21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 24-27
Denver @ Philadelphia – 21-30
Looking like a long shot to make the playoffs...
but here goes.
Detroit @ 49ers – 10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-13
Dallas @ Washington – 24-17
Houston @ Miami – 22-26
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 17-21
Denver @ Philadelphia – 16-28
Week 16 picks
Detroit @ 49ers: 17-31
Minnesota @ Chicago: 21-10
Dallas @ Washington: 28-17
Houston @ Miami: 17-24
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 14-20
Denver @ Philadelphia: 17-31
Jason Hill is turning the corner!
picks
Detroit @ 49ers: 7-31
Minnesota @ Chicago: 17-21
Dallas @ Washington: 21-13
Houston @ Miami: 21-27
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 21-24
Denver @ Philadelphia: 10-21
Other kids may be sayin' hi-ho, but The Gooch just says yo.
All Winners.
Detroit @ 49ers: 7 – 35
Minnesota @ Chicago: 19 – 14
Dallas @ Washington: 17 – 20
Houston @ Miami: 14 – 16
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 31 – 27
Denver @ Philadelphia: 23 – 28
I don't know about that, to the groin.
Ev'rybody knows a turkey and some mistletoe / Help to make the predictions bright / Tiny tots with their eyes all aglow / Will find it hard to predict tonight
Detroit @ 49ers – 17-28
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-17
Dallas @ Washington – 26-20
Houston @ Miami – 27-24
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 20-23
Denver @ Philadelphia – 16-23
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
PERFECT!
thank you pittsburgh and baltimore!
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
Predictions
Detroit @ 49ers: 9 – 34
Minnesota @ Chicago: 30 – 24
Dallas @ Washington: 17 – 27
Houston @ Miami: 31 – 21
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 17 – 20
Denver @ Philadelphia: 17 – 24
just got back from Las Vegas and there is 2 feet of snow with 6 foot drifts YUCK!
Detroit @ 49ers: 17 – 26
Minnesota @ Chicago: 27 – 19
Dallas @ Washington: 24 – 20
Houston @ Miami: 21 – 26
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 23 – 21
Denver @ Philadelphia: 14 – 30
11-5... So I was overly Optimistic! Maybe Next year!
I WOULD LOVE TO SEE NATE "SAVE-US" DAVIS THIS WEEKEND CUT AND DRY. (BOOK-IT-DANO)
Detroit @ 49ers – 3 – 47
Minnesota @ Chicago – 21 – 17
Dallas @ Washington – 27 -31
Houston @ Miami – 17 -31
Baltimore @ Pittsburg – 31 -37
Denver @ Philadelphia – 27 – 47
16
Detroit @ 49ers – 10-21
Minnesota @ Chicago – 24-18
Dallas @ Washington – 21-14
Houston @ Miami – 21-24
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – 28-24
Denver @ Philadelphia – 18-27
I'm guessing I'll once again pick 4 or 5 winners but only get 4 points
Detriot @ 49ers 10-31
Minnesota @ Chicago 24-16
Dallas @ Washington 24-16
Houston @ Miami 20-25
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh 17-24
Denver @ Philadelphia 17-27
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
Reposted for ZeroIndulgence on Account of Decorum
Detroit @ 49ers – 10-27
Minnesota @ Chicago – 10-17
Dallas @ Washington – 38-10
Denver @ Philadelphia – 17-28
I don't know about that, to the groin.

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