Week 17 Prediction Games
by David Fucillo on Dec 29, 2009 11:09 AM PST
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PrintWe enter the final week of the regular season prediction contest. Howtheyscored will have a FanPost explaining a lot of the playoff details, but for now, the top 12 at the end of week 17 will advance to an elimination playoff bracket that will culminate in the Super Bowl. We have a bit of a log jam around the 12th spot, meaning we could have a tie. We're working on various tiebreaker options, one of which would include total combined yards of offense.
If you think you have a chance to be tied for the last playoff spot, please predict the total yards of offense for the Bengals-Jets game. This will not be the #1 tiebreaker at this point. I need to speak with howtheyscored about it first. If it were to become the #1 tiebreaker, I'll make sure and post something on the front page, so people know to make the yardage prediction if they haven't yet.
For those who do not make the final 12 (playoff teams can compete in this as well), we'll also have a free-for-all where you pick every game during the postseason and highest total score (based on the same scoring as during the regular season) wins, with the next spot or two likely getting a prize as well. But we'll have more on that in the coming days.
Prediction format and scoring rules are after the jump. As always, the times are pacific. There's no Monday Night Football, so all the games are Sunday.
49ers @ St. Louis - Sunday 1/3 10:00am
Cincinnati @ NY Jets - SNF 1/3 5:20pm - NET YARDS TIEBREAKER
Pittsburgh @ Miami - Sunday 1/3 10:00am
NY Giants @ Minnesota - Sunday 1/3 10:00am
Baltimore @ Oakland - Sunday 1/3 1:15pm
Philadelphia @ Dallas - Sunday 1/3 1:15pm
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using Pittsburgh @ Miami below, if you think Miami will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
Pittsburgh @ Miami: 14 - 24
If you think Pittsburgh will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
Pittsburgh @ Miami: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (Pittsburgh @ Miami: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
SCORING RULES
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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No chance at Playoffs but need to see how I do
49ers @ St. Louis – 31-10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 27-17 – 741 combined net yads :)
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 17-23
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 24-16
Baltimore @ Oakland – 23-10
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 38-35
Good chance to play spoiler and to hone your skills for the upcoming free-for-all playoff games, though!
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 30, 2009 9:09 AM PST up reply actions
49ers @ St. Louis – 28-3
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 24-27… 799 NET yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 31-17
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 28-17
Baltimore @ Oakland – Sunday 34-9
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 40-30
Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner
That's my site. Check it out!
Week 17
49ers @ St. Louis – 24 – 10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 20 – 24
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 20 – 27
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 17 – 31
Baltimore @ Oakland – 20 – 10
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 29 – 23
Tim Tebow = 1,432,219 season tickets next year. Who wouldn't pick him in the 1st round with those projections?
The Final Week
49ers @ St. Louis – 31 – 14
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 17 – 26
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 24 – 21
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 16 – 27
Baltimore @ Oakland – 21 – 13
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 26 – 30
11-5... So I was overly Optimistic! Maybe Next year!
8-8
49ers@St. Louis 30-13
Cincinnati@NY Jets 23-16
Pittsburgh@Miami 20-17
NY Giants@Minnesota 17-38
Baltimore@Oakland 27-23
Philadelphia@Dallas 28-24
Hit like Berry, Score like Jerry.
irrelevant predictions of the week
49ers @ St. Louis – 34-13
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 17-20
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 24-16
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 27-23
Baltimore @ Oakland – 27-14
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 33-30
.500
49ers @ St. Louis – 31-17
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 24-20 659 yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 14-16
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 27-23
Baltimore @ Oakland – 28-27
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 33-24
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
Week 17
49ers @ St. Louis 27-14
Cincinnati @ NY Jets 17-23 625 net yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami 31- 21
NY Giants @ Minnesota 24-27
Baltimore @ Oakland 24-10
Philadelphia @ Dallas 27-30
picks to the end
49ers @ St. Louis – 27 – 7
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 20 – 24, yards 340 – 300
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 17 – 20
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 17 -10
Baltimore @ Oakland – 31 – 17
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 28 – 35
Since we’re going combined yards, that’s going to be 640.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 30, 2009 8:54 AM PST up reply actions
tie breaker
You said above that the Steelers/Miami was the tie breaker but in the list of games show the bengals/ jets game as the tie breaker. I’m a little confused.
Everybody thusfar has used the Bengals – Jets game for the tiebreaker, so I’m going to edit the post to reflect this consistently.
Use the Bengals – Jets game.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 30, 2009 8:52 AM PST up reply actions
One last week to make an epic move...
I think I’ll need like two or three perfects. Ah well, I’m due!
49ers @ St. Louis – 27-6
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 20-17 – Net yards 594
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 34-24
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 35-38
Baltimore @ Oakland – 17-20
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 24-38
Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!
49ers @ St. Louis – 31 – 19
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 27 – 21 – Net Yards – 577
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 23 – 20
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 9 – 20
Baltimore @ Oakland – 17 – 6
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 33 – 13
"The Football The 49ers Team has The excitement of the bear, the velocity of the deer and strenght of the buffalo.
Already the end?
49ers @ St. Louis – 35 – 3
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 17 – 13 – Total Net Yards: 528
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 24 – 20
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 21 – 31
Baltimore @ Oakland – 23 – 13
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 30 – 24
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
No chance at playoffs but anyway here goes nada...
49ers @ St. Louis – 26-9
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 13-23 NO FLYING IDEA ABOUT YARDAGE
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 28-23
NY Giants @ Minnesota - 14-27
Baltimore @ Oakland – 30-13
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 31-27
Cann't believe it's almost over. I need more !!!
Niners @ Rams : 24 -13
Cinn. @ Jets : 27 -20 net yardage : 645
Pitts @ Miami: 27 -20
Giants @ Minn. : 21 -31
Balt. @ Oakland : 24 -13
Philly @ Dallas : 35 – 27
Good Luck everyone and have a Happy New Year !!!!
picks
SF @ STL; 23-10
CINCI @ NYJ; 16-20- 706 YDS COMBINED
PIT @ MIA; 26-17
NYG @ MIN; 17-27
BALT @ OAK; 20-12
PHI @ DAL; 24-18
Chris Cohan- YOU'RE FIRED!
I control my own destiny...
49ers @ St. Louis – 27 – 21
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 20 – 23 – 604 yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 17 – 20
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 28 – 24
Baltimore @ Oakland – 24 – 13
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 30 – 20
Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.
I'll bet I end up in fifth and get knocked out in the first round of the playoffs
49ers @ St. Louis – 27-6
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 20-17 with 703 yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 23-26
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 23-13
Baltimore @ Oakland – 26-10
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 23-30
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
My Preds
49ers @ St. Louis – 35 – 17
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 17 – 27
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 28 – 17
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 16 – 28
Baltimore @ Oakland – 24 – 13
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 31 – 30
MURS for President!!!!!!!
Final Week
49ers @ St. Louis: 28 – 6
Cincinnati @ NY Jets: 20 – 10
Pittsburgh @ Miami: 23 – 10
NY Giants @ Minnesota: 24 – 31
Baltimore @ Oakland: 31 – 14
Philadelphia @ Dallas: 34 – 30
"We want WINNERS!" - Coach Singletary
Well, this might actually be a first for me.
49ers @ St. Louis: 28 – 9
Cincinnati @ NY Jets: 17 – 9; NET YARDS: 705
Pittsburgh @ Miami: 27 – 13
NY Giants @ Minnesota: 31 – 21
Baltimore @ Oakland: 24 – 3
Philadelphia @ Dallas: 45 – 20
I don't know about that, to the groin.
just go ahead and write these scores in the books.
49ers @ St. Louis – 24-3
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 0-17 – 494 net yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 27-20
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 14-34
Baltimore @ Oakland – 21-20
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 45-10
I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.
Wk 17 Prediction Games
49ers @ St Louis – 24-17.
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 13-20. (565yards)
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 27-20.
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 23-27.
Baltimore @ Oakland – 23-20.
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 34-30.
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Jan 2, 2010 8:28 AM PST reply actions
Mine
49ers @ St. Louis – 24 – 10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 27 – 17 – (535 yds)
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 20 – 21
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 23 – 24
Baltimore @ Oakland – 20 – 14
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 31 – 24
Predictions
49ers @ St. Louis: 30 – 6
Cincinnati @ NY Jets: 14 – 23; NET YARDS: 526
Pittsburgh @ Miami: 20 – 27
NY Giants @ Minnesota: 17 – 27
Baltimore @ Oakland: 20 – 23
Philadelphia @ Dallas: 31 – 34
49ers @ St. Louis – Sunday 1/3 10:00am 28-10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – SNF 1/3 5:20pm – NET YARDS TIEBREAKER 24-17 700 yards
Pittsburgh @ Miami – Sunday 1/3 10:00am 20-17
NY Giants @ Minnesota – Sunday 1/3 10:00am 10-30
Baltimore @ Oakland – Sunday 1/3 1:15pm 17-3
Philadelphia @ Dallas – Sunday 1/3 1:15pm 35-31
Predictions
49ers @ St. Louis – 28-10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 14-21 (612 yards)
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 21-24
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 20-28
Baltimore @ Oakland – 24-10
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 28-26
We two have run about the predictions / and picked the daisies fine / But we've wandered many a weary foot / since auld lang syne.
49ers @ St. Louis – 24-17
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 14-23
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 27-24
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 21-27
Baltimore @ Oakland – 24-17
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 26-23
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 14-23 (605 yards)
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
Down to the wire
49ers @ St. Louis – 30-10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets – 13-17
Pittsburgh @ Miami – 27-15
NY Giants @ Minnesota – 26-21
Baltimore @ Oakland – 27-14
Philadelphia @ Dallas – 35-30
Jason Hill is turning the corner!
Time to score 10 points and sneek into the playoffs
49ers @ St Louis 27-9
Cincinnati @ NY Jets 10-20 (619 yards)
Pittsburgh @ Miami 27-17
NY Giants @ Minnesota 20-31
Baltimore @ Oakland 27-10
Philadelphia @ Dallas 31-24
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
Week 17
49ers @ St. Louis 28-10
Cincinnati @ NY Jets 24-21 (643 yds)
Pittsburgh @ Miami 24-21
NY Giants @ Minnesota 17-27
Baltimore @ Oakland 21-24
Philadelphia @ Dallas 24-27
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