Week 14 Prediction Games
by David Fucillo on Dec 9, 2009 11:05 PM PST
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PrintWith the season starting to wind up (4 games left), the playoff push in our prediction contest is slowly gaining speed. I've been making a bit of a push, although I'd imagine I'll come up short in the end. For those that are curious about the playoffs, howtheyscored will have an update in a couple weeks with some tweaks we're making to the playoffs.
Prediction format and scoring rules are after the jump. As always, the times are pacific.
Arizona @ 49ers - MNF 12/14 5:30pm
Philadelphia @ NY Giants - SNF 12/13 5:20pm
Green Bay @ Chicago Sunday 12/13 10:00am
Cincinnati @ Minnesota - Sunday 12/13 10:00am
Miami @ Jacksonville - Sunday 12/13 10:00am
San Diego @ Dallas - Sunday 12/13 1:15pm
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using Cincinnati @ Minnesota below, if you think Minnesota will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
Cincinnati @ Minnesota 14 - 24
If you think Cincinnati will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
SCORING RULES
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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carry on my wayward predictions, there'll be points when you are done
Arizona @ 49ers – 27 – 28
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 28 – 38
Green Bay @ Chicago – 35 – 23
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 24 – 28
Miami @ Jacksonville – 17 – 13
San Diego @ Dallas – 35 – 20
"Pat is still just scratching the surface." - Coach Singletary on LB Patrick Willis
Alex Smith
346 yards
3 TDS
1 rush TD
0000000000000 INT
I mean if he keeps getting better what comes next…..
predictions
This is actually for predicting the games above. You can make other predictions but they won’t be counted towards this.
by David Fucillo on Dec 10, 2009 12:01 AM PST up reply actions
Read the post. That’s not how it works.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 10, 2009 8:14 AM PST up reply actions
Week 14 - where the standings tighten
Arizona @ 49ers – 34 – 35
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 23 – 17
Green Bay @ Chicago – 20 – 21
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 24 – 19
Miami @ Jacksonville – 23 – 20
San Diego @ Dallas – 24 – 28
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
There must be some secret to this...
I mean, I’m doing ok, but I’m not yet dominating. Well, lets give it another try, shall we?
Arizona @ 49ers – 27-20
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 23 – 20
Green Bay @ Chicago – 31 – 20
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 17 – 23
Miami @ Jacksonville – 20 – 24
San Diego @ Dallas – 38 – 27
Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!
Week XIV
Arizona @ 49ers – 23 – 26
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 27 – 20
Green Bay @ Chicago – 31 – 17
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 13 – 21
Miami @ Jacksonville – 16 – 10
San Diego @ Dallas – 28 – 34
Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.
by YoungWillis on Dec 10, 2009 1:27 AM PST via mobile reply actions
Week... I don't care anymore the niners aren't going to the playoffs. :(
Arizona @ 49ers: 20 – 24
Philadelphia @ NY Giants: 31 – 21
Green Bay @ Chicago: 27 – 14
Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 24 – 17
Miami @ Jacksonville: 23 – 13
San Diego @ Dallas: 28 – 31
"We want WINNERS!" - Coach Singletary
Week 14
Arizona @ 49ers – 24 – 27
Philadelphia @ NY Giants - 21 -24
Green Bay @ Chicago – 30 – 17
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 23 – 21
Miami @ Jacksonville – 18 – 15
San Diego @ Dallas – 28 – 31
Arizona @ 49ers 17-21(the 49ers excel in games at the end of the year after the season is lost and the games have no meaning, not that I’m bitter or anything)
Philadelphia @ New York Giants 24-17
Green Bay @ Chicago 21-13
Cincinnati @ Minnesota 24-31
Miami @ Jacksonville 17-13
San Diego @ Dallas 28-20
picks
Arizona @ 49ers – 24 – 33
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 27 – 13
Green Bay @ Chicago Sunday – 30 – 13
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 23 – 28
Miami @ Jacksonville – 17 – 6
San Diego @ Dallas – 31 – 21
A 60 point week is possible.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 10, 2009 10:08 AM PST up reply actions
Going this Monday-night, prepared for the cold, just please no side-ways rain
AZ v. SF; 17-24
PHI v. NYG; 30-20
GB v. CHI; 20-13
CINCI v. MIN; 17-24
MIA v. JAX; 23-16
SD v. DAL; 34-20
Chris Cohan- YOU'RE FIRED!
Arizona @ 49ers: 31 – 17
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 31 – 20
Green Bay @ Chicago – 31 – 14
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 12 – 17
Miami @ Jacksonville – 16 – 21
San Diego @ Dallas – 24 – 21
Check my 49ers blogs at Mining the Gold Rush and San Francisco 49ers Examiner
I Need a Miracle week!
Arizona @ 49ers…23 – 28
Philadelphia @ NY Giants…24 – 27
Green Bay @ Chicago…35 – 13
Cincinnati @ Minnesota…20 – 30
Miami @ Jacksonville…11 – 20
San Diego @ Dallas…21 – 24
11-5... So I was overly Optimistic! Maybe Next year!
Week 14
Arizona @ 49ers – 24 – 27
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 35 – 20
Green Bay @ Chicago – 28 – 16
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 28 – 30
Miami @ Jacksonville – 13 – 19
San Diego @ Dallas – 21 – 31
If you can't be kind, at least have the decency to be vague.
week 14 picks
Arizona @ 49ers -27-31
Philadelphia @NY Giants -24-28
Green Bay @ Chicago-28-7
Cincinnati @ Minnesota-24-17
Miami @ Jacksonvile -24-17
San Diego @ Dallas -38-14
6-7
Arizona@49ers 21-27
Philadelphia@NY GIants 23-16
Green Bay@Chicago 20-31
Cincinnati@Minnesota 31-27
Miami@Jacksonville 24-14
San Diego@Dallas 35-20
Okay, I haven't done these ever before. Just for fun I guess
Arizona @ San Francisco: 27-30
Philadelphia @ NY Giants: 24-20
Green Bay @ Chicago: 31-14
Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 17-24
Miami @ Jacksonville: 23-17
San Diego @ Dallas: 31-27
6 wins?
Arizona @ 49ers – 21-26
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 17-20
Green Bay @ Chicago Sunday – 22-18
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 20-16
Miami @ Jacksonville – 26-21
San Diego @ Dallas – 31-14
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
Not that it's relevant, but I'm not picking the Steelers again this year. Disgusting.
Arizona @ 49ers – 27-21
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 30-17
Green Bay @ Chicago 29-10
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 21-16
Miami @ Jacksonville – 16-23
San Diego @ Dallas – 31-20
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
Beautiful. Go Raiders.
"Lisa, Vampires are make-believe, like elves, gremlins, and eskimos." - Homer Simpson
"Aren't we forgeting the true meaning of Christmas? You know, the birth of Santa?" - Bart Simpson
"Make crime pay. Become a Lawyer." - Will Rogers.
60 point week here
Arizona @ 49ers – 31- 20 they have all the momentum and we have none
Philadelphia @ NY Giants - 19- 20 Giants pull out another one
Green Bay @ Chicago Sunday 12/13 – 31- 10
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – Sunday 12/13 10:00am
Miami @ Jacksonville – Sunday 12/13 23-16
San Diego @ Dallas – Sunday 12/13 -31-27
True knowledge is knowing you know, nothing!!
Blk Sand Ninja-
Change to the Eagles game.
Philadelphia @ NY Giants 27-17
True knowledge is knowing you know, nothing!!
Blk Sand Ninja-
Week 14
Arizona @ 49ers: 27-23
Philadelphia @ NY Giants: 31-34
Green Bay @ Chicago: 21-17
Cinncinati @ Minnesota: 27-25
Miami @ Jacksonville: 21-14
San Diego @ Dallas: 31-24
Arizona @ 49ers: 17 – 27
Philadelphia @ NY Giants: 24 – 20
Green Bay @ Chicago: 14 – 28
Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 30 – 21
Miami @ Jacksonville: 7 – 17
San Diego @ Dallas: 38 – 35
I don't know about that, to the groin.
Oooh, pretty patterning.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 11, 2009 2:30 PM PST up reply actions
Holy... crap.
Not good.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 14, 2009 8:09 AM PST up reply actions
4 weeks to Go !!!
Cards @ S.F. – 28 -17 Heading in 2 directions
Philly @ N.Y. – 28 – 24
G.B @ Bears – 24 -17
Cinn. @ Minn. – 24 -21
Miami @ Jacksonville – 23 – 20
S.D. @ Dallas – 28 -24
I check my prediction / you need lubrication, honey / my kielbasa sausage has just got to predict / now get it on!
Arizona @ 49ers – 24-20
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 26-23
Green Bay @ Chicago – 26-21
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 23-27
Miami @ Jacksonville – 24-21
San Diego @ Dallas – 24-27
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
Predictions
Arizona @ 49ers: 23 – 27
Philadelphia @ NY Giants: 13 – 20
Green Bay @ Chicago: 21 – 31
Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 17 – 34
Miami @ Jacksonville: 7 – 17
San Diego @ Dallas: 14 – 24
It's all about the road teams
Arizona @ 49ers 28-20
Philadelphia @ NY Giants 30-20
Green Bay @ Chicago 31-17
Cincinnati @ Minnesota 21-28
Miami @ Jacksonville 24-17
San Diego @ Dallas 30-20
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
My Preds
Arizona @ 49ers – 24-28
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 27-20
Green Bay @ Chicago – 31-16
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 27-31
Miami @ Jacksonville – 21-30
San Diego @ Dallas – 31-23
MURS for President!!!!!!!
Week 14
Arizona @ 49ers – 24-18
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 28-25
Green Bay @ Chicago – 21-17
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 21-28
Miami @ Jacksonville – 21-24
San Diego @ Dallas – 27-21
picks
Arizona @ 49ers: 21-24
Philadelphia @ NY Giants: 27-20
Green Bay @ Chicago: 13-23
Cincinnati @ Minnesota: 13-15
Miami @ Jacksonville: 24-14
San Diego @ Dallas: 24-31
Other kids may be sayin' hi-ho, but The Gooch just says yo.
Home stretch...with a lot of ground to cover
Arizona @ 49ers – 19 – 24
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 24-28
Green Bay @ Chicago – 31 – 14
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 17-14
Miami@ Jacksonville – 24-10
San Diego@ Dallas – 34-20
Jason Hill is turning the corner!
Wk 14 Prediction Games
Arizona @ 49ers – 31-24.
Philadelphia @ NY Giants – 24-16.
Green Bay @ Chicago – 35-21.
Cincinnati @ Minnesota – 17-20.
Miami @ Jacksonville – 13-17.
San Diego @ Dallas – 34-24.
Can’t believe I’ve gone for so many road teams,not my normal policy with homefield advantage being so big. Worried about this.
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Dec 13, 2009 5:28 AM PST reply actions
Arizona @ 49ers — 30-27
Philadelphia @ NY Giants — 27-21
Green Bay @ Chicago — 33-20
Cincinnati @ Minnesota — 20-27
Miami @ Jacksonville — 23-24
San Diego @ Dallas — 24-28
HELP PLEASE!
I have class tmrw during the 49er game.
Does anyone here know of a website where I can watch the game live.
That would be amazing… or is NFL.com play by play the best I can do???
Ask again in the open thread. Somebody will have something there.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 14, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions
To clarify: I mean the open thread that goes active about an hour before kickoff.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Dec 14, 2009 8:09 AM PST up reply actions
HELP PLEASE
If you have DTV you can get the superfan for 16.99 a month and then you can go onto the web by getting directions from a rep on the phone and they will walk you through it. There is another way by ordering something on the web if you don’t have DTV but I don’t know how to do that.
I hope this helps fellow 9ER FAN
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