2009 NFL Free Agency: 49ers Prediction Thread
At 9:01pm pacific time tomorrow night, free agency kicks off. As we've discussed ad nauseum, the 49ers have multiple needs to fill in free agency and the draft. Maiocco has stated several times that the NFL grapevine tells him the 49ers would like to address right tackle, safety and wide receiver in free agency. Whether or not those positions are filled, I definitely think that fullback is another position that will be filled via free agency.
With all that in mind (and of course Danny's statistcal previews), we are left to wonder what exactly the 49ers are going to do. Ever since the Lance Briggs/Stoolies incident, the 49ers have played things close to the vest to avoid any tampering charges (something that clearly isn't bothering Dan Snyder). So it certainly doesn't make life easier in making free agent predictions.
One of our newest members, Dre, put together a list of free agent targets he liked and didn't like. I like that, but for the purposes of this thread, I want to just focus on who the 49ers will sign. Most predictions will include a bit of hoping, but let's see who can nail the upcoming free agent signings. Unlike prior contests, the only prize this time will be the same self-congratulatory glory you feel after winning a Super Bowl in Madden.
So who are my predictions? Well, given the predictions of more internal extensions than anything else, I thought I'd include some predictions of that since that seems like it may take up a nice chunk of cap space.
For reference on current free agents, the SBN football sites came up with a Google Spreadsheet listing all free agents by position. Here are my 49ers predictions for this free agency period:
Moran Norris, FB: With Leonard Weaver apparently not the right man for the job and Tony Richardson possibly about to resign with the J-E-T-S, I think Moran Norris is the short-term answer at fullback. It's a relatively inexpensive signing and we all know that Frank Gore is all about his former fullback. If Richardson were to hit the market I could see him still ending up in the Bay Area, but I'll stick with Moran as my prediction.
Igor Olshansky, DE: This goes more towards wishing, but I just have this feeling. I mentioned him briefly in the look back/look forward about the defensive line, he came back up in the comments of Danny's pass rush piece and Dre mentioned him as well. Olshansky's been rather inconsistent at times and supposedly the Chargers aren't likely to try and re-sign him. Ray McDonald might turn into something eventually, but Olshansky could at least give him some serious competition for the DE spot opposite Justin Smith. I think I'm going out on a limb with this one, but call it a hunch.
Parys Haralson, OLB: I think the 49ers will do what they can to lock up the young pass rusher. He was the leading sack-man without even being an every down type of guy, thanks to the big sub, among other things. I worry about throwing too much money at a guy with one truly decent season, but I also think that sometimes you have to roll the dice. Given all the cap room they've got, it makes sense to handle this now.
Takeo Spikes, ILB: Talks are apparently going in a "positive direction" with Spikes. Rotoworld stated that Spikes would likely want a 2-3 year deal in the $7-10M range. I don't even they're just making that up, but it seems pretty reasonable for a guy who is clearly still quite productive. Furthermore, a short deal like that would not be a cap crippler if the team eventually decided to cut him. I think a deal definitely gets done.
James Sanders, FS: There is probably a really good chance the Patriots go all out to re-sign this guy. Ten days ago Barrows threw out Sanders as a guy who might interest the 49ers. Sanders is a California guy (from north of Bakersfield, went to Fresno State), so maybe the lure of Cali will get him. I think the 49ers will have to overpay for this kind of young talent, and I'm predicting they will. They may end up spending more on him than any of their other free agents. Scot McCloughan said the 2009 free safety is very likely to already be on the roster. So if Goldson is the guy they really think can do the job, then Sanders is not even a guy they'll make an offer to. This is a pick that is very much hit or miss with no middle ground.
David Baas, G: I recall hearing somewhere that McCloughan (or maybe it was Nolan) didn't hav much interest in doling out big cash for guards, thus the reason Justin Smiley walked. Given the need for consistency on the offensive line (something that has reared its ugly head a lot the last two years), I really think David Baas gets a decent pay-day this offseason to prevent him from hitting the market in 2010. Given their 2009 cap space, the 49ers could really front load this kind of deal and put themselves in a solid position going forward.
So there you have it. Fooch's predictions. I'm sure I'll be wildly inaccurate, but that's life. I don't see Houshmandnzadeh or Haynesworth ending up in San Francisco. In the case of Haynesworth, with rumors of a potential $100 million deal, I REALLY don't want in on any of that.
I think the signings I've predicted would leave the 49ers in a very manageable financial situation, while filling some key holes. Now that Vernon Carey is off the market, there are not a lot of options left to fill the right tackle position. And wide receiver? Well, let's just say I'm not wowed there. Houshmandzadeh is around but I think the 49ers are more inclined to roll with the youngsters and see what they can snag in the draft. Of course, if Isaac Bruce decides he's done, I could definitely see the 49ers trying to grab a veteran somewhere along the way, just not Housh.
So, now it's your turn. I suppose you could just list one or two guys, but it'd be more fun to see folks roll out 4 or 5 guys the 49ers will sign and/or re-sign. It's a chance to get a little creative. I think Olshansky and Sanders were a little bit outside the box and aren't entirely unrealistic options. I'm sure there are other players that would fit that description. So, have at it and we'll do a comparison later in the offseason to see who does best. That person could even get a front page post to discuss their awesomeness at predicting free agent signings.
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a few names...
I know Olshansky was named but what about a guy like Chris Canty?
Another scenario- according to Demarcus Ware, Ray Lewis wants to sign with the Cowboys. Now i know this is only speculation but if he did sign with them, they would have Bradie James and Ray Lewis in the middle for the next few years making Bobby Carpenter expendable. I’ve always liked this guy and if we could get him for a late round pick I think he’d be a good option at the TED spot.
As far as tackle goes Khalif Barnes is young at only 26 and has expeience and shown results playing LT. He is an option at the right price moving Staley back to RT where I think he’s better suited for his skill set.
Barnes?
dude led the league in sacks allowed last year….not even close to worth starting LT money.
"It’s a hobby of mine. Kind of like collecting your fingernail clippings or pooping in jars." -olympic mike
Yeah
If Barnes comes over, it’ll be so that HE can switch to RT. But can he even run block?
Ya true..
The problem I see is we need an immediate upgrade come season opener to start at OT and pass rush (either DE/NT/OLB). Realistically, only 1st and 2nd round picks have the potential to start come the season opener. If we don’t address one of these needs in free agency, we’ll be in my opinion forced to draft OT and OLB 1-2(as NT/DE tend not to start in their first year). This means no chance of getting guys like Raji, Brace, or a top flight WR to stretch the field in rounds 1-2, unless we trade down from pick 10 and get another mid-late second rounder.
Well...
… if the 49ers are to be believed, they’ll be taking the player they believe is the best player available, regardless of need with the #10 pick. So theoretically, it doesn’t matter what the team does in free agency, if they feel Raji is the best at #10, they’ll take him.
I THINK WHAT THE NINERS REALLY NEED IS A GOOD QB… IS QUINCY CARTER STILL AROUND!!!! I THINK I WOULD CHOOSE HIM OVER ANY OF THE CURRENT QB’S ON THE NINERS ROSTER!!
by RAVENJADE on Feb 25, 2009 10:50 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
yea
Ravenjade IS Quincy Carter
"It’s a hobby of mine. Kind of like collecting your fingernail clippings or pooping in jars." -olympic mike
Ravenjade is Quincy Carter?
I don’t think so. QC doesn’t seem like an all-caps kind of guy. I don’t recall his coaches and teammates complaining about him shouting all the time—in contract negotiations, team meetings, on the sideline, in the huddle, etc. Then again, Quincy Carter’s lack of NFL success could be explained if it were the case that he was one to shout out the play that they were going to run. That would be the one case in which the defense would be the team asking the crowd to quiet down.
Throwback unis? Yes. Throwback afros? YES!
Quincy
I think he’d be an all-caps kind of guy when he’s coked up.
by David Fucillo on Feb 25, 2009 5:51 PM PST up reply actions
I just read where SI.com had Matt Stafford going to the 9ers at 10.
It also had Michael Oher going in the 2nd round.
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
Derrick Brooks, Joey Galloway, and Cato June were just cut by the Bucs
They aren’t young (though June’s only 29) but I can’t say I’d mind bringing any of them in. Brooks would give us great defensive leadership if we could get him for a 2-year deal and would allow us to groom an OLB. June could actually be a feasible option if he took a modest deal. I liked him a lot when he was a Colt and could never understand why they let him walk. He reminded me a lot of Jamie Winborn (sp?), who I still regret the niners letting walk. The only reason I consider Galloway would be as a Bruce replacement as a guy who could teach the younger WRs and who (somehow) still has decent deep speed and good route running ability.
Cato June
Is strickly a cover 2 LB. He’s tiny. There’s no position for him in the Niners 3-4.
Don't sweat it. I'm illiterate.
by methodrampage on Feb 25, 2009 1:24 PM PST up reply actions
Brooks, at this point in his career, is an ILB, especially in the 3-4. In that regard, the only ILB position I could imagine him playing would be the Mike, which is the position Willis already fills, as he’s a bit on the small side for a Ted. I definitely can’t imaging him playing OLB.
June kind of falls under the same category as Brooks, IMO.
What is going on with Jonas Jennings? I get the feeling we are keeping him and his salary . . . lets hope he plays!
Jennings
They’re on the hook for his bonus money regardless, so they could just be waiting to see if they’re able to sign a more viable option this coming weekend/week.
Offseason Predictions
Here is what I think the offseason will look like:
The 49ers will not make any huge signings but here are a couple I know they will make:
Daniel Loper, Titans RT-There are only a couple well-known RT’s in FA after a few were either franchised or resigned. Loper is a backup on the Titans behind one of the best Tackle combinations in the league. He is a cheaper option with a lot of potential, and he probably would have started on most teams in the league.
Moran Norris, Lions FB-Not too many FB’s available and Norris has a history with the 49ers. he is worth bringing back.
Jim Leonhard Ravens Safety-Leonhard is a hard working safety who was all over the field in the playoffs. He didn’t get a ton of playing time due to the talent on Baltimore, but he still racked up 70 tackles on the season. He is a bit undersized but he is the perfect Singletary player because of his work effort and determination.
Then in the draft:
1st round:if BJ Raji is there the 49ers will take him. If he is not, expect a pass rusher like Everette Brown or Brian Orakpo.
2nd round: Either a safety or a Wide Receiver. If Rashad Johnson or William Moore is here they may go with one of them.
*If Raji is gone in the first before the 49ers pick. Expect them to take Andre Brance from BC or Terrence Traylor from Michigan
3rd round: Tackle or safety
4th round: QB/WR/RB
rest is a crapshoot.
Expect the 49ers not to spend too much $ this offseason.
free agents OT
Joe Runyan is still available for OT. He is an excellent tackleand he still has a few good years left. He will cost a bunch but he would really be worth it. Why not?
49ers offseason
Jon Runyan?? are you serious.
Anyways I’m looking at SF to sign Spikes, Allen Rossum, Leigh Bolden CB from the Lions, Sean Jones from Cleveland for FS, and Marvel Smith. (Oh Pleeease Happen)
If the Niners can’t draft Raji, Brown,Oher, Smith (lt), Maclin, or Crabtree they will trade down and take Mauluaga.
2nd Andre Brance
2nd(from trade down) Pat White
3rd Ramses Barden Wr Cal-Poly
4th RB Tyrell Sutton
5 LT
6 DE/DT
7 WR
Compensatory draft picks
Don’t forget, the Niners have two (or so) compensatory selections on the line:
http://blog.pressdemocrat.com/49ers/2008/07/49ers-likely-to-receive-two-compensatory-picks-in-09-draft.html
Also, who’s this “Brance” character? Do you mean Branch? Or do you mean Ron Brace?
Throwback unis? Yes. Throwback afros? YES!
Rey
I think the guy could be a great Ted, so I understand people who’d want to draft him so that the ILB pair are set for at least the next 5 years (assuming Willis signs an extension). I agree it’s a bit high for a Ted, but if he’s the BPA when it’s their turn to pick, I wouldn’t fault them (the 49ers) for taking him.
As of right now, I doubt he’s the BPA at #10, and I don’t think he’d be BPA until the late teens or early 20s. I could be wrong, though.
predictions...
i dont think that the niners are going to sign any big name guys in free agency… i’m predicting only 2nd tier guys for depth… there just isnt any real quality out there… there are some big name receivers, but they’re all old and we arent going to use them enough… and McCloughan said that they are waiting for Jennings to pass his physical before they cut him… that way they can avoid any injusry settlements…
as for the draft… if any of the top 3 OT’s are available at 10, then go that way… if not… Maclin all the way!

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