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Know Thy Enemy 2009: Houston Texans - Sunday October 25

So much for posting these every Wednesday.  Well, I think you guys will survive with getting it a day late.  This week we look at an intriguing opponent, at an intriguing time of the season for the 49ers - @ Houston, coming off the bye week.  More importantly, it's the start of a 3-game jaunt versus the AFC South: @ Houston, @ Indianapolis, vs. Tennessee.  Arguably the toughest 3-game stretch all season.

The Houston Texans are represented at SB Nation by Tim over at Battle Red Blog.  Head on over and enjoy the constant stream of Dunta Robinson contract updates.

Overview
I have to admit, Matt Schaub is one of my favorite non-49ers in the league.  A college buddy of mine was a huge Virginia fan and he turned me on to Schaub back in his Wahoo days.  Schaub took a very solid step forward last season, but early season struggles for the team, yet again, sumbarined any playoff chances.  They finished 8-8 for the second straight year, but once again they fell short of the playoffs in the always tough AFC South.

The Texans were in excellent shape on offense.  Their offense finished the season 11th 14th in the league thanks to a career year from Andre Johnson and a huge rookie season for 3rd round pick Steve Slaton.  That seems like a recipe for success.  Unfortunately, their defense finished a robust 29th in the league overall, equally abysmal against the run and the pass.

Additions
In the draft, the Texans added some defensive talent early on in OLB Brian Cushing and DE Connor Barwin.  To say Battle Red Blog was not pleased with the Cushing pick is putting it mildly.  On the other hand, they seem to be excited about Connor Barwin bringing a pass rushing presence to join the formerly panned Mario Williams.  On offense, the team drafted Antoine Caldwell in the hopes that he'll unseat Chris Myers at center.

Elsewhere, the biggest offseason addition has to be the duo of Dan Orlovsky and Rex Grossman........ok, maybe not.  The Texans were fairly active in free agency, adding a lot of depth guys like Cato June and hoping to find some defensive line answers in Shaun Cody and Antonio Smith.  Cody has yet to reach his potential, so we'll see if he's able to provide some answers in Houston.  We'll see if Smith can build off his solid playoff performance for the Cardinals.

Subtractions
The Texans didn't do too bad in the minus department.  Most of their losses came from releases that were just as much to do with ineffective performance as anything else.  The notables include Ahman Green, Will Demps, Ephraim Salaam and Anthony Weaver among many others.  As you'll see in the Q&A below, the question becomes who will be a sufficient backup to Steve Slaton now?

2009 Questions & Answers
Personally, I'm most curious to see how the running back unit plays out for the Texans.  Steve Slaton blew up in his rookie season without much of anything in the way of help (294 yards from Ahman Green).  There is of course the worry of a sophomore slump.  However, beyond that is who will help out in the backfield?  Ryan Moats?  The team did not add any running backs of significance so at this point Slaton will have to carry the load.

The offense seems well put together otherwise.  The question then becomes whether the defense will show some improvement.  They've added some talented football players, but it's tough to tell if they've really sufficiently solved the problems they had last year.  As great as that offense can look, it won't matter much if they can't stop the other team.

vs. San Francisco
In our schedule discussion, ProfessorBigelow and I both predicted a 49ers win.  As I said in the discussion, if the 49ers are going to take that proverbial step forward as a team, this is a must-win game for them.  At the same time, I think this ends up a battle down to the wire.  While the teams are built in very different ways, I think they're similar in the sense that they're both on the verge of taking that step into the playoff promise land.  A loss here could send the Texans to yet another .500 season and home for the playoffs.  Either way, I think this has the potential to be the most entertaining game of the season for 49ers fans.

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I'm moving to Texas

And I will be at this game for sure!!

by Real Deal P Will on Jul 9, 2009 9:32 AM PDT reply actions  

i don't think this is a must win game.

the texans will be too good this year, a lot of playoff teams will lose to them. it doesn’t eliminate you from contention this early.

I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.

by these3words on Jul 9, 2009 5:16 PM PDT reply actions  

To be a PLAYOFF team

the Forty Niners are going to need to do what it takes to be these guys.

 Fearless Frog is absolutely correct.. Getting the Playoffs is only part of the challenge…Making a stand and winning playoff games is yet another whole level of play requiring a level of heart and focus combined everyone to play at the highest level.. To win the Championship and SB well,, lets not go there yet…

Go Niners.

by WC-Ninerhead on Jul 10, 2009 6:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Check your facts...

The Texans had the number 3 ranked offense, NOT the 11th ranked.

by MissingNo. on Jul 10, 2009 8:16 AM PDT reply actions  

ranks

I’m going from Football Outsiders rankings, not straight yards per game. Although it would certainly boost my argument to go with the traditional measure. If you click on the link for that where it says 11th in the league you can get an explanation for it.

by David Fucillo on Jul 10, 2009 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

?

I’m looking at the link right now and I see them ranked at 9, their passing ranked at 11, and rushing ranked at 13. At least, that’s in the weighted section…Am I still missing something?

by MissingNo. on Jul 10, 2009 8:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

that's odd

I could’ve sworn they were 11th overall when I wrote it. Oh well. I just corrected it. They were actually 14th. The weighted offense is adjusted to "better reflect[] how the team was playing at the end of the season. The 14 ranking is on the far left side for overall offensive DVOA. Thanks for the heads-up.

by David Fucillo on Jul 10, 2009 9:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

figured it out i think

I think I was looking at their offensive DVOA, which was 11.0%. Maybe that was it.

by David Fucillo on Jul 10, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

yea i was about to say

they are third not eleventh. dont criticize us ! :)

"We don't need refs, but i guess white guys need something to do."- Charles Barkley

by Rockets 4 Life on Jul 24, 2009 12:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Umm what?

RANK:11
TEAM:JAC
OFF. DVOA:12.6%
LAST YEAR:3
WEIGHTED OFFENSE:13.1%
RANK:11
PASS OFF.:24.3%
PASS RANK:12
RUSH OFF.:7.2%
RUSH RANK:13
NON-ADJUSTED:
 - TOTAL:11.3%
 - PASS:20.2%
 - RUSH:9.2%
VAR.:5.1%
RANK:4

by Sebaz49 on Jul 10, 2009 9:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

As long as this isn’t another Reggie Bush Bowl, I think it’s going to be an entertaining game. I’m a Texans fan (the 49ers are my NFC team because they drafted Crabtree), and I’m looking forward to comparing Crabtree and Johnson on the same field.

After all is said and done, more is said than done.

by ayleein on Jul 12, 2009 8:08 AM PDT reply actions  

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