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Shaun Hill vs. Alex Smith: Round 2

FOOCH'S UPDATE 11:05AM: Maiocco tweeted that Singletary named Smith the starter for tomorrow's game.  It'll be interesting to see how much playing time he gets.

At some point today we'll probably find out who the 49ers will be rolling out at starting quarterback for tomorrow's matchup with the rival Oakland Raiders.  A couple days ago, Maiocco indicated the starter would probably be Alex Smith.  If that announcement does come down, I'd hope nobody would read too much into that.  As Maiocco indicated, and one would imagine is fairly obvious at this point, Shaun Hill is leading the battle for the starting QB position.

One could first look at the fact that Hill had so little playing time against the Broncos, even as the starting quarterback.  Jimmy Raye addressed it yesterday when asked about the split time for this coming weekend:

On the quarterbacks getting an equal amount of playing time this Saturday:
"Yes, that’s what we’d like to do.  We made the decision last week because of the play sequence not to put the guy that started the game back in because it would spill over and run us in to a situation in the second half that we didn’t want to be in with the time and the offensive line. Whoever we talk about in the Thursday meeting to start the game, the next guy that’s in competition with him we hope that he gets the snaps. That’s controlled a little bit by how they control the ball and the quarters running out and the time, so we’ll either go snap and series based on how the game is unfolding, but we’d like to get each one of them about 15 snaps a piece."

I realize there are play sequence issues, but I just think if the race was all that close at this point, we would have seen more of Shaun Hill.  He was 2/2 for 41 yards on one offensive series.  Alex Smith ended up with four offensive series through the end of the second quarter.  I suppose the timing does lend credence to the play sequence explanation, as Smith came in with less than a minute left in the first quarter. 

But still, given how little they played Nate Davis, they could have fit in a bit more playing time for Hill if they really wanted to see more.  It's safe to say they know what they're expecting from Hill.  Obviously he needs to show that he can smoothly run the offense.  However, the 49ers have reached a point where they probably have a good idea of what to get out of Hill.  Alex Smith, on the other hand, is finally healthy and could show them who knows what.

So, at this point, can Alex Smith win the job?  Obviously anything is possible when you don't have a Peyton Manning or Tom Brady as your QB.  However, it seems like we've reached a point where Hill would have to totally melt down in an extended preseason appearance.  Of course, based on the spread of playing time, his only extended preseason appearance would likely be next week at Dallas.  Time is ticking for Alex Smith, at least as far as the early part of the preseason is concerned.  Although I'm curious to see both QBs performance tomorrow, at this point I'm even more intrigued by Singletary's post-game press conference.

Poll
Who will be the 49ers starting QB week 1?
Shaun Hill
869 votes
Alex Smith
301 votes

1170 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 60 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Well

I can guarantee he won’t be starting week 6…

by Sebaz49 on Aug 21, 2009 9:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Really?

Pro Bowl season all the way.

And honestly, I'm down like the economy

by Rishi on Aug 21, 2009 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

Shaun Hill will win that game too.

And honestly, I'm down like the economy

by Rishi on Aug 25, 2009 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hill is a MAN

playing QB like a seasoned veteran should, exhibiting accuracy, poise, and excellent game management skills. Alex still looks like a high school kid trying to play QB in college. The game is WAY too fast for him and without the natural instincts required of a QB, he has reached his apex.

Kezarvet

by kezarvet on Aug 21, 2009 8:53 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

+ 10

"Those boos really motivate me to make something happen." - Bonds

by Persiflage on Aug 21, 2009 6:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hmm.
…exhibiting accuracy, poise, and excellent game management skills

I remember one drive that had two pass completions and included a couple sacks…before ending with a field goal try. Perhaps you saw something I didn’t?

My pessimism goes to the point of suspecting the sincerity of the pessimists.

by shlecko on Aug 21, 2009 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Youth before boring?

If both QBs are really this close, why go with a guy pushing 30 that will be around for another 5 years when we could go with a 25 year old who we could have for the next ten seasons.

by Ninerfan! on Aug 21, 2009 9:08 AM PDT reply actions  

absoulutely agree

Shaun Hill has peaked and has no more room to grow – Alex on the other hand has a huge amount of potential and that should not be wasted by putting him on the bench. Sing is not stupid he willmake the right choice. Go Alex! Go Niners!

by NickWood on Aug 21, 2009 9:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

The problem is, when is Alex going to show that improvement?

"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"

by Eastbayjim on Aug 21, 2009 10:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

5 Years...

… of winning football is a lot less stressful (and a lot more fan-friendly) than potentially two years of frustrating play from a QB who has shown he may not have the ability to adjust to the NFL.

Hill clearly gives the 49ers the best chance to win RIGHT NOW. I like Smith and I think he definitely has a higher ceiling, but what good is a high ceiling if you can’t reach it?

by sfgfan on Aug 21, 2009 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

a 25 year old who we could have for the next ten seasons

ahahahahahahahaha

"Those boos really motivate me to make something happen." - Bonds

by Persiflage on Aug 21, 2009 6:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't think the competition is as close as all the reports say it is.

We kind of hear the same thing every preseason. “Both quarterbacks are playing great!” “Smith looks better than ever!” “The coach says he’d be comfortable with either one!”

Hill has the consistency, accuracy and winning percentage last season that Smith hasn’t shown. I think he’d really have to blow Singletary away to win the starting position.

by cbsf on Aug 21, 2009 7:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

“he” as in Alex Smih.

by cbsf on Aug 21, 2009 7:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

This is how I hoped it would be.

I expect to see Hill start the season and play well, with Smith in reserve in case of injury. I think he can be a better quarterback in the long run, but we’re talking a real long run, next year or the year after, and in that time the Niners may find someone else (Davis or someone they sign next year).

I am not a Smith hater at all and hope he does eventually succeed. I just feel that Hill is the better quarterback now and should fit in real well with the running game and a realistic (un-Martz) passing scheme.

by Bob In Beaverton on Aug 21, 2009 9:59 AM PDT reply actions  

Smith had to have a superb preseason to have a shot at starting, and so far he has not shown much. Though it is supposed to be fair competition, Hill had the edge the whole time simply because of his better track record even in its smaller sample size. Singletary knows exactly what he has with Hill, a guy that can manage the offense to sustain drives, goes through his reads pretty quickly and he can even run a little bit when the pocket’s gone. Hill won’t be chucking 70 yard bombs but his arm is good enough with decent accuracy under 25 yards.

Smith has the strong arm but he looks gunshy at times that has resulted in sacks. He simply can’t read the defense quick enough to go through his progressions and sometimes he failed to step up in the pocket to pass rather than run outside. If he starts tomorrow, I would like to see him to show some improvements and get a score or two against the Raiders’ 1st team defense who actually is decent.

Win the inning.

by Scooter Ellis on Aug 21, 2009 10:26 AM PDT reply actions  

Don´t give up on Alex

I know his performance so far on the NFL has been more than disapointing, but I supose that a number 1 overall pick must have some potential, the guy has gone through a lot during his short career, but now he is more mature, and it´s about time for him to show what level he can achieve. I think if given the chance, he could be a real surprise this year.

by Stevie8 on Aug 21, 2009 10:39 AM PDT reply actions  

What worries me about Smith’s long-term development is his accuracy (which may or may not be injury related), but most importantly his decision making. He seems so unsure about when/where to deliver the ball and tends to delay much too long. This could be a factor of the OC changes, but Hill is on the same playing field as far as that goes and he has shown a lot more comfort/control in the pocket.

I hope he improves that, I’m just not sure if he’s up to it.

by cbsf on Aug 21, 2009 8:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Smiths long tern development is not my concern

My concern is after 4 yrs. Is Smith even close to being an NFL caliber QB. The next two weeks will decide. If he isn’t starter worthy, then his value to the organization may be his trade value rather a roster spot. I think this start tomorrow will be the make or brake for Smith.

by WC-Ninerhead on Aug 21, 2009 9:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good point.

Long term is the wrong outlook for a guy 4 years into the league.

by cbsf on Aug 21, 2009 9:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’m an Alex fan and entering camp I was hoping he would out play Hill and take the starting job. It’s Hill’s job to lose based on last year and Alex hasn’t done enough yet to make a switch. I hope Alex steps it up the rest of preseason, but for now it’s Hill’s job.

by illini49er on Aug 21, 2009 11:03 AM PDT reply actions  

UPDATE

Alex Smith starting tomorrow (per Maiocco’s Twitter). Not a surprise, but worth noting.

by David Fucillo on Aug 21, 2009 11:04 AM PDT reply actions  

Not enough snaps for both QBs

I think people are being too critical of Smith when there were so few snaps to really get a good feel for him. After going back and watching the game again, I think he did pretty good job. There were 5 mistakes, 1 of which was for sure his fault on the screen to Coffee. The other 3, not so much.

One the sack, I saw him looking to his right towards Davis and Battle. It looked like he was trying to hit an open Davis when he was tripped up by the defender (although he stayed on his feet) and Battle was well covered. Smith pulled it back and started to look left, but the pocket collapsed. The completed pass to Morgan was risky, but he threw it before Morgan was out of his break and trusted the receiver would get there and he did. On his incomplete throw to empty grass, it looked like the pass was intended for Spurlock and was possibly Spurlock’s fault for running the wrong route. Last was the touchdown throw, and many people thought he held on too long and couldn’t pull the trigger. But what he saw was two men open and a corner in between. Smith pump faked and hesitated because he was trying to get the corner to commit so he could throw to the other receiver.

I thought he did good minus a couple of miscues and most importantly, he didn’t turn the ball over. But hey, maybe I’m wrong. I would like to hear from other people what they saw.

by agchee on Aug 21, 2009 11:06 AM PDT reply actions  

There were 5 mistakes, 1 of which was for sure his fault on the screen to Coffee. The other 3, not so much.

Sounds like the type of math Alex Smith uses when going through his progressions: 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2…

I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.

by these3words on Aug 21, 2009 3:44 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

… and I immediately corrected it. But I guess you don’t have anything valuable to say if you’re knocking on people’s typos huh?

by agchee on Aug 22, 2009 3:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

i was knocking on alex smith

the typo was just a jumping off point.

I take full responsibility for my irresponsibility.

by these3words on Aug 22, 2009 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

*Correction

The other 4, not so much

by agchee on Aug 21, 2009 11:07 AM PDT reply actions  

Needs a Nate Davis/Damon Huard option.

jk

Question: If Shaun Hill wins the QB job, can we say Smith is a bust?

"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."

by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:47 PM PDT reply actions  

yes....

Especially if he doesnt win it over the course of the season

by dalien82 on Aug 21, 2009 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

I say..

… give it until the end of the season. If for some reason he takes over the starting job mid-season (injury, Hill-sucktitude, etc) and still fails, then he’s definitely a bust and will probably never get another starting shot anywhere again.

by sfgfan on Aug 21, 2009 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Seems fair enough.

"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."

by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

No, he’s too mobile to call him a statue.

And honestly, I'm down like the economy

by Rishi on Aug 21, 2009 3:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Lol, nice

"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."

by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

/crosses fingers it will be Hill

by 49er16 on Aug 21, 2009 3:52 PM PDT reply actions  

Alex Smith

Alex Smith is better than John Brodie, Joe Montana and Steve Young combined. I wish (Ute fan). We are all still waiting in Utah to see all that potential so we don’t have to call him the next Scott Mitchell. One more year Alex, one more year….. Go Niners!!!!

by utah pens fan on Aug 21, 2009 3:53 PM PDT reply actions  

Last Chance for Alex

This is really do or die tomorrow. Nobody can ever say he didn’t get his fair shot. Starting tomorrow – no more excuses.

by mr. instigator on Aug 21, 2009 4:24 PM PDT reply actions  

and it is against Oakland’s defense

"Those boos really motivate me to make something happen." - Bonds

by Persiflage on Aug 21, 2009 6:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Did Alex’s Mom vote 168 times ? Must be,because I find it hard to believe that there are actually 168 Niner’s fans out there who don’t want to win. 1 out of 4 fans can’t possibly want Alex to start,can they??? Oh wait a minute,maybe those voting for Smith were Cardinal or Seahawk fans ,lol.

by TOP_CAT on Aug 21, 2009 5:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Guilty as charged.

"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."

by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 9:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Shouldnt next week bee Smith's last chance.

We play our next 3 games away from home. @ cowboys, @ Chargers, @ ARIZONA!! Lets see how our guys react after next weeks games. I know its preseason, but ANY one can have great games & practices vs the Broncos and Raiders, both at home.

whatever happens… i still have Hill over Smith to start Game 1.

NINERS 4 LIFE

by LADubbz45 on Aug 21, 2009 5:03 PM PDT reply actions  

Niner84: Are you kidding,Come Sunday morning you will have every phoney old excuse brought out by the irrational Smith followers. And probably some new ones,lol.

by TOP_CAT on Aug 21, 2009 5:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Yeah

I don’t doubt it. But I’ve kept an open mind about Smith, but it’s almost case closed on the guy, if Smith bombs out there tomorrow, I’d have serious reservations about any so called Niner fans that support him winning the job.

by mr. instigator on Aug 21, 2009 5:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

the +reply button works great for responding to people.

Context, people. More context is good. Less context is bad. If you're willing to be reductive, then you're willing to be wrong.

by howtheyscored on Aug 21, 2009 8:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

We all know that Huard is much,much better than Smith. Smith should be trying to improve so he can earn the backup spot over Huard,not even thinking about trying to compete with the undisputed starter,HILL.
 So far Alex is a waste of a roster spot and really has no future, because Davis is the QB of the future on this roster.

by TOP_CAT on Aug 21, 2009 5:11 PM PDT reply actions  

49er QB plan I'm praying for ...

1 – start Shaun Hill for the next year or two (where it would not be unrealistic to say we’d be competing in the playoffs)

2 – find another QB soon (either a developing Nate Davis, or another young guy in next year’s draft – there’s no reason we can’t find another great QB again)

3 – either (a) keep Smith for career backup role, or (b) let Smith work on realizing his “1st round potential” for 6-8 years on someone else’s team

"Those boos really motivate me to make something happen." - Bonds

by Persiflage on Aug 21, 2009 6:20 PM PDT reply actions  

As far as number 2, I'm hoping

Jake Delhomme blows out his elbow, then the Niners can take a QB with the Panthers’ (now theoretically very high) first round pick next year.

by the guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Jake Delhomme would not be a significant loss to the Panthers.

Better off praying Jordan Gross or Chris Gamble blow out a knee or something.

"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."

by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 9:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

BREAKING NEWS!

The entire Panthers o-line tears their ACL during a blitz pick-up drill.

by 49seattle on Aug 21, 2009 9:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

They have a collective ACL?

And honestly, I'm down like the economy

by Rishi on Aug 25, 2009 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Second coming of the Grossman disease is upon us

You take a GM (Scot MC) and a Qb who just doesn’t have IT (alex) and you get the same situation that was in Chicago a few years back. Not letting the obvious be the obvious, A Smith was not worthy of a number one overall pick regardless of how weak the draft was. This Gm could possibly be giving him another shot and another and another so he doesn’t look like the IDIOT he feels like, but in reality he makes the organization look Stupid, Hill has earned the starting nod, and since a proven QB isn’t in competition with him, it should be his. Hopefully this is an attempt at reverse psychology at motivating Hill, I think confidence in his small body of work should be good enough.

Optimist Prime, and your favorite adjitator
Is this what it's all about Manny?

by rlott#42 on Aug 21, 2009 10:28 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Alex

First of all i think alex is the man and just because he had 2 rough years in the nfl and had some really serious injuries during that time alot of you are giving up on him, First of all lets just go back before the injurie. Alex was well on his way to becoming a franchise qb, his numbers went up the 06s season after we had norv turner as our offensive coordinator. Beating seattle on monday night football and frank gore believed and said after the game “hes ready and grown up” i mean i dont know how many of you guys watched the game but that qb in that game looked like the real starting niners qb, and in the beggining of the 07 season who can forget the monday night win against the cardinals won in the last second by a drive led by smith. And if i recall well thats something hill couldnt do, so i think you guys are being real harsh on a qb whos been out of this league basically since his injurie in 07, and you guys expect him to come out like a tom brady or a peyton manning?? i think he just needs time and practice i also agree with him not starting for now but once the first 3 games of the regular season start his number is gonna get called and im sure hes gonna answer to the calling. Dont get me wrong i like hill but to me his wins were all against bad or awful teams and i know they are still wins but once the season starts and we play a real team hes gonna be helpless.

by demise87 on Aug 22, 2009 8:31 AM PDT reply actions  

Proof Alex Smith!!

In need of a statement game, the 49ers traveled to Seattle for a Thursday Night Football game against their division rivals. During the broadcast on NFL Network, Cris Collinsworth noted that were he starting an NFL franchise, he had take the Broncos rookie quarterback Jay Cutler before Alex Smith and fellow rookies Matt Leinart and Vince Young – and that Smith was not even close to the others.4 Going into the 4th quarter, the 49ers were trailing the Seahawks 7-3, and pulling out a win looked unlikely. Smith however performed brilliantly in the fourth quarter, and drove the 49ers on a long touchdown drive down the field early, taking a narrow 10-7 lead. Late in the quarter, with the same score, Smith struck again – shaking off an almost certain sack, rolling to the left and completing a pass to Frank Gore for a touchdown to give the 49ers a 10 point lead. On the next drive, Smith cemented the victory by leading yet another touchdown drive, and rushing for a touchdown on a naked bootleg. Collinsworth had earlier in the game observed that “Alex Smith is the best I’ve ever seen him. That drive is the best I saw,” and on seeing his touchdown run, commented that that was “What a second-half he has had!”.5

After losing to the Cardinals the following week, the 49ers final game of the 2006 season was against a Denver Broncos team looking for a playoff berth. In a major upset, the 49ers defeated the Broncos and knocked them out of the playoffs. During the game at INVESCO Field, Smith threw for 194 yards and a touchdown, leading the team to a come from behind victory for the second time in three weeks.

Overall, Smith improved in his second year by throwing as many touchdowns as interceptions. He threw for 16 TDs, 16 interceptions, 2,890 yards and a 74.8 quarterback rating, all improvements over his rookie year, and all well above what would normally be expected of a 22-year-old-quarterback.
Smith entered the 2007 season learning under a third offensive coordinator in three seasons. Norv Turner was hired as the head coach by the San Diego Chargers. Jim Hostler replaced Turner. Hostler’s system is a mixture of the offensive system installed by Turner with elements of the West Coast offense installed by Mike McCarthy for the 2005 season. During the offseason, the 49ers added wide receivers Darrell Jackson, Ashley Lelie, and rookie Jason Hill as new offensive weapons for Smith.

In the season opener on Monday Night Football against the Arizona Cardinals, Smith led the 49ers to a 20-17 win in a two-minute comeback. While down 17-13 with less than two-minutes left, Smith drove down the field, highlighted by a 25-yard scramble. After the scramble, he threw a 22 yard pass to Arnaz Battle that was fumbled on the one-yard line, but recovered by a 49er so the ball was placed back on the one-yard line with 26 seconds left. The following play Battle ran an end around for the game-winning touchdown. Smith finished the game 15 for 31 with 126 yards and two rushes for 37 yards.6 Had Darrell Jackson not dropped a perfectly thrown pass in the end zone prior to Smith completing the comeback, his numbers would have been even better.

On September 30 in the first quarter of a game against the Seattle Seahawks, Smith injured his right shoulder after getting sacked by Seahawks defensive tackle Rocky Bernard. Smith suffered a grade-three separation and the initial diagnosis was that surgery would not be required. Smith missed the next three games before returning to the 49ers’ starting lineup on Sunday, October 28, 2007.

by demise87 on Aug 22, 2009 8:55 AM PDT reply actions  

True story.

And honestly, I'm down like the economy

by Rishi on Aug 25, 2009 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

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