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Know Thy Enemy 2009: Detroit Lions - December 27

Let's start by stating that a lot could certainly change between now and the last two games of the year.  However, at this point, if the 49ers are in the midst of a playoff chase, they face a potentially easy close to the season at home against Detroit and on the road at St. Louis.  Certainly not gimmes, but exceedingly winnable games.  Those could be seriously exciting games when we reach that point.  At the same time, both teams, and particularly the Detroit Lions are intriguing this year.  The Lions have made some major additions that will make or break this season (at least in terms of actually winning a few games).

The Detroit Lions are represented here at SB Nation by Sean Yuille over at Pride of Detroit.

2008 Overview
Not much needs to be said about the 2008 Detroit Lions.  There are train wrecks and then there are train wrecks.  For those that were living under a rock, the Lions managed to become the first team in league history to finish 0-16.  There had been numerous opportunities in the past, but the Lions stepped up to claim the prize.  It's not exactly shocking then to take a look at their offensive and defensive DVOA and general team efficiency and see a team at or near the bottom in every category.  One interesting note is that in looking at their overall efficiency, they really weren't that much worse than the Rams.  Of course, the question becomes, do you want to go 2-14 and be generally ignored?  Or would you rather go 0-16 and take history with you?  Me, personally, I want infamy.  Why be bad when you can be historically bad?  It's one reason (of many) 7-9 can drive me crazy.  You're middle of the pack of mediocrity and nobody cares about that.  Either be good or god-awful.

After the jump we look at the Lions offseason additions and subtractions, 2009 Questions and Answers and a quick preview of the matchup...

Star-divide

Additions
Aside from the #1 pick, the Lions dealt for the 20th pick in the first round, giving them 3 of the first 33 picks.  For believers in building through the draft, that's definitely a good start.  They added QB Matt Stafford, TE Brandon Pettigrew and S Louis Delmas with those picks.  Injuries have gotten in the way of Pettigrew and Delmas but both are expected to get extensive playing time early on.  One draft pick of particular note for Bay Area sports fans was 7th round pick, OLB Zack Follett.  Lions fans were happy with the pick and I have to say I can't blame them.  Maybe he doesn't have superstar athleticism, but he's a badass plain and simple.

Outside of the draft, the Lions were extremely busy in the offseason.  Of course, given how awful they were is that all that surprising?  Their most high profile move was a trade that sent away DT Cory Redding and a fifth round pick for old 49er favorite OLB Julian Peterson.  They also got former 49ers WR Bryant Johnson.  He's been banged up in camp (shocker there) and continues to struggle to make the "leap."  We'll see if he can do it with a rookie QB (or even Daunte Culpepper).  Aside from that they added an assortment of new starters including CB Phillip Buchanon, TE Will Heller, DT Grady Jackson, MLB Larry Foote, and LG Daniel Loper among others.  We'll see if they improve, but at least they look a heck of a lot different.

Subtractions
Considering the Lions made a lot of offseason additions, it's only natural that they would also have numerous subtractions.  They of course dealt Redding away for Peterson.  In free agency they lost DT Shaun Cody and FB Moran Norris, among many others.  Given how bad they were I'd imagine a lot of turnover is not really a bad thing, even if it included their leading tackler Paris Lenon.  Rather than go into more depth here, I thought I'd move it down to the more fitting...

2009 Questions and Answers
My biggest question in a broad sense is how quickly the turnover will be reflected in the record?  The team has added a variety of players across the board, and also added a new coach in former Titans defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz.  The 49ers made some drastic moves back in 2005, but it did not really seem to be along the lines of this.  It was more build down in order to eventually build up (or something like that).  One way to assess it: The over/under on Lions wins in 2009 is 4.5.  Would you go over or under that number?

Getting a little more specific, a big early question is the QB position.  The Lions drafted Matt Stafford #1 overall and I'm wondering how long it will take for him to claim the starting job.  The current unofficial depth chart at Lions.com lists Culpepper #1 and Stafford #2.  I wouldn't be surprised to see Culpepper rolled out early on, but I'm wondering if he'll hold onto the job all season long.  Given how bad the Lions look to be, is it worth just rolling out Stafford, or do you let him sit and learn for a year?  Good teams tend to sit the QB while bad teams throw him to the wolves.  Personally I say sit him and avoid getting him killed.  Maybe they'll struggle but why destroy his confidence within the first month of the season?

Other than that it's really a question of how the youngsters (such as Kevin Smith and Gosder Cherilus) continue to develop.  If the Lions can continue to grow, they could get back to respectability in the not too distant future.  They simply need to show patience in the process (fitting coming from a 49ers fan).

@ San Francisco
I don't care how quickly the Lions improve, the 49ers simply cannot lose this game.  In Bigelow and I's early season discussion, it was fairly easy to agree on a win here.  As I said then, I do think the Lions will be an improved team, but I think the 49ers are simply better at this point, no question about it.  The 49ers had very few statement games last year, but the home win over Detroit was probably the easiest.  It's safe to say we would like a lot more statement games in 2009.

0 recs  |  Comment 4 comments |

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Best Lions offseason move? Firing Matt Millen.

Matt was a great LB but the worst GM in NFL history. How many bad draft picks did he waste in his time there? But I still think it was a mistake to take Stafford in this year’s draft. The rest of the team won’t be up to par for another three years given their lack of talent – a situation 49er fans are all too familiar with. I would have taken a LT instead and then a mid-to-late round developmental QB that could be groomed while the talent level is improved. Chances are they will have another shot at a top 5 pick next year, so what’s the rush on getting a QB into place? Image? Only winning is going to change the Lions’ image. Detroit is either going to be paying huge $$$ to Stafford to sit on the bench for a year or two or watch him get beat up when the OL can’t hold off the pass rush. They should learn from the 49ers’ mistakes. It’s very rare for a team to have an Atlanta-like turnaround in one year.

by MontanaPass on Aug 26, 2009 11:21 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree

they would have been better going with Jason Smith to help protect Culpepper or whoever. Get a QB or two to groom later on. I like that the dolphins did that last year. Maybe they were trying to get a Matt Ryan type player, who excels his rookie year. A solid LT can help you for years. They could have even gotten 2 Ts in the draft. I also didn’t like the Pettigrew pick. Getting Oher would have been a better IMO. If you have an expensive QB you need someone to protect him. We’ll see how the worst team in NFL history emerges this year.

Go 49ers

by iaalexeeff on Aug 26, 2009 10:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Remember the FO quote?...

About the 49ers would be the Lions in another division?

Well, we're waiting....

by drummer on Aug 26, 2009 11:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep.

Hopefully not this year though.

by Brendan Scolari on Aug 27, 2009 3:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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