Playoff Prediction Games: Round 2
by David Fucillo on Jan 15, 2010 5:30 PM PST
Email
PrintWe certainly had some wild results in the first round, leading to upsets in three of the four prediction playoff matchups. Additionally, we've got 30+ people taking part in the prediction contest (I'm not sure how many exactly since some folks didn't get points), but if you missed out on the first hand, you're more than welcome to join the party now. A few good predictions and you're right in this thing.
For those that are in the tournament, you can either email me your predictions privately (ninersnation@gmail.com), or you can post them here publicly. Obviously if you post them publicly, your opponent has the opportunity to view your picks before making his own picks. If you email me your picks, please include your username so I know who's who. The bracket is after the jump along with the usual rules.
The scoring is altered (I believe it's a 5-point scale, but that info is in the link above), but otherwise predicting the games is the same as always. Remember that the first two games are Saturday though, so get your picks in sooner rather than later. As always, all times are pacific.
Arizona @ New Orleans - Sat., Jan. 16, 1:30 p.m. PST
Baltimore @ Indianapolis - Sat., Jan. 16, 5:15 p.m. PST (PLAYOFF NET YARDAGE TIEBREAKER)
Dallas @ Minnesota - Sun., Jan. 17, 10:00 a.m. PST
NY Jets @ San Diego - Sun., Jan. 17, 1:40 p.m. PST
Remember, for those in the 12 person (now 8-person) playoff, Baltimore @ Indianapolis is the tiebreaker game. Please provide the total net yards when submitting your picks to me via email (or here if you post it publicly). I'll shoot you an email tomorrow (Wednesday) late morning. Or, feel free to email me your picks at ninersnation@gmail.com
Here's the playoff bracket:
IMPORTANT NEW RULE
Up until now, folks have just posted their scores in any particular fashion, although howtheyscored has made requests for a specific format. Given the amount of time and effort howtheyscored has to put into determining the final results, I am implementing a requirement for how to format your scores (based on the spreadsheet howtheyscored has created). If you fail to follow this format, any incorrectly formatted scores for the week will be disqualified. The format is "Team A @ Team B: A score - B score." That basically is visitor @ home: visitor score - home score." Here's an example of how to do it:
Using Dallas @ Minnesota below, if you think Minnesota will win 24-14, here's how it HAS to look:
Dallas @ Minnesota: 14 - 24
If you think Dallas will win 24-14, it needs to appear as this:
Dallas @ Minnesota: 24 - 14
If you'd like you can bold the winner (Dallas @ Minnesota: 14 - 24), but that is not required (although probably a good backup in case you reversed the score by accident.
If you make a mistake in the formatting I'll reply to your score reminding you to correct it. To correct it, simply reply to your picks and post them in the correct format. Do not post your scores again at the bottom of the thread. I'll make sure and include these directions each week so people do not forgot and lose out on points. As I mentioned above, we're doing this to make howtheyscored's life easier in figuring out the scores. The # of regular commenters has increased dramatically since last season, so we're anticipating a greater # of prediction contest participants. While this is a new rule, I don't think it's all that difficult for folks to follow it.
SCORING RULES
Every score is made up of two parts: Point total and point differential. First we see how close your prediction’s point total is to the actual score’s point total. The closer you are to zero, the better. Then, we see how close your prediction’s point differential is to the actual point differential. Again, closer to zero is better. Then, we add those two numbers together. That number gives you a raw score for your prediction.Then, we rank each game by raw scores. The players with the five lowest raw scores get points. The lowest get five points. Next lowest get four. And so on.
As an example of the scoring system, in week 7, the Vikings lost to the Steelers by a score of 17 - 27. The actual score had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10) and a point total of 44 (27+17=44).
For that game, let's look at three predictions: 1) 17 - 23, Pitt; 2) 23 - 27, Pitt; and 3) 17 - 27, Pitt.
Remember, nobody who predicted the Vikings to win the game was eligible for points.
The first prediction had a point differential of 6 (23-17=6). This was 4 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 40 (23+17=40). This was 4 away from the actual point total. All in all, that gives the prediction a raw score of 8.
The second prediction had a point differential of 4 (27-23=4), which was 6 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 50 (27+23=50), which was 6 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 12.
The third prediction had a point differential of 10 (27-17=10), which was 0 away from the actual point differential. It had a total score of 44 (27+17=44), which was 0 away from the actual point total. That gives the prediction a raw score of 0.
Since the lower your raw score is, the better your prediction, the third prediction is ranked as the best and gets the most points (and since it was a perfect prediction, there is no arguing that it was the best). The first prediction had the next lowest raw score, so it ranks as the second best prediction of the group, netting the next most points. The second prediction, therefore, came in third.
If anybody has any questions at all about this, or anything else, feel free to email me at ninersnation@gmail.com.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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Boomshakalaka.
Arizona @ New Orleans – 31-36
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 20-24
Dallas @ Minnesota – 29-27
NY Jets @ San Diego – 17-31
man... i'm out
Arizona @ New Orleans – 30-27
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 14-18 and for kicks, 700 yards
Dallas @ Minnesota – 24-31
NY Jets @ San Diego – 17-20
Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner
That's my site. Check it out!
First time
Arizona @ New Orleans 35-42
Baltimore @ Indianapolis 14-10
Dallas @ Minnesota 10-21
NY Jets @ San Diego 23-17
picks
Arizona @ New Orleans – 25 – 37
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 27 – 23, 655 total yards
Dallas @ Minnesota – 42 – 17
NY Jets @ San Diego – 10 – 34
Ding Ding, Round 2
Arizona @ New Orleans – 27-36 (Don’t like this Pick, But I’ll go with the Saints)
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 14-28 (Can Manning and company turn it back on?)
Dallas @ Minnesota – 31-24 (Like I said before, I have a bad feeling that the Cowgirls get their 6th ring)
NY Jets @ San Diego – 16-26 (Can the Bolts stay hot?)
11-5... So I was overly Optimistic! Maybe Next year!
Picks were e-mailed...
I’ve been scouting Ro128487 for weeks so I was prepared.
Never use a big word where a diminutive alternative would suffice.
let's hope I can get on the board this week
Arizona @ New Orleans – 23 – 38
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 24 – 27
Dallas @ Minnesota – 17 – 33
NY Jets @ San Diego – 23 – 26
"The Football The 49ers Team has The excitement of the bear, the velocity of the deer and strenght of the buffalo.
Picks
Arizona @ New Orleans – 26-34
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 23-31
Dallas @ Minnesota – 27-28
NY Jets @ San Diego – 14-30
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
My picks
Arizona @ New Orleans: 28-34 (I don’t think Arizona’s defense can hold Drew Brees down)
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 19-27 (Net yardage: 588)
Dallas @ Minnesota: 24-30
NY Jets @ San Diego: 23-20
Victory....
Arizona @ New Orleans – 34-28
Baltimore @ Indianapolis –17-28
Dallas @ Minnesota –2717
NY Jets @ San Diego – 13-24
My Preds
Arizona @ New Orleans – 28-35
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 30-27
Dallas @ Minnesota – 27-31
NY Jets @ San Diego – 24-38
MURS for President!!!!!!!
Hopefully better than last weeks debacle
Arizona @ New Orleans – 23-34
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 13-21
Dallas @ Minnesota – 21-31
NY Jets @ San Diego – 17-30
You're not not the only one !!!!
You been doing well, hope you can continue. I would like to see you in the the finals.
by LASVEGASNINER on Jan 13, 2010 11:10 PM PST up reply actions
picksssss!!!!!
Arizona @ New Orleans 34-31
Baltimore @ Indianapolis 16-21
Dallas @ Minnesota 27-17
NY Jets @ San Diego 17-34
ro128487 vs. YoungWillis
ro128487
Arizona @ New Orleans – 38-34
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 24-20 (679 NET YARDAGE TIEBREAKER)
Dallas @ Minnesota – 20-27
NY jets @ San Diego – 17-24
YoungWillis
Arizona @ New Orleans – 23 – 34
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 20 – 24 684 yards
Dallas @ Minnesota – 30 – 22
NY Jets @ San Diego – 13 – 17
Time to get back at it...
Arizona @ New Orleans – 42-38
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 10-20
Dallas @ Minnesota – 30-10
NY Jets @ San Diego – 17-38
Usually its best to pick the home teams in the Divisional Round, but I’m just not too enamored with the road teams in the NFC.
Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!
by ZeroIndulgence on Jan 13, 2010 10:51 PM PST reply actions
Arizona @ New Orleans – 34 – 24
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 21 – 17
Dallas @ Minnesota – 23 – 29
NY Jets @ San Diego – 20 – 31
I predict dinosaur vs. dinosaur in Favre vs. Warner shootout for the NFC Championsip game and Offense vs. Defense in the Chargers vs Ravens representing the AFC Championship…the ultimate test for the statement “Defense wins championships”.
Tim Tebow = 1,432,219 season tickets next year. Who wouldn't pick him in the 1st round with those projections?
wk 2 picks for the free-for-all
Arizona @ New Orleans 30 – 28
Baltimore @ Indianapolis 14 – 27
Dallas @ Minnesota 17 – 28 ..i don’t know, i don’t know i don’t know i don’t know…bah
NY Jets @ San Diego 27 – 30
Divisional Weekend Predictions
Arizona @ New Orleans – 34-38. This is the one that can go either way for me so I’m taking homefield advantage to just be the decider.
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 24-27. Think the Colts will just have too many weapons for the Ravens to stop, and that just wins it for them.
Dallas @ Minnesota – 24-20. AP’s fumbles and great D by the Cowboys the difference here. I hate going for them but have an awful feeling they are going all the way this year.
NY Jets @ San Diego – 20-17. Think the Jets matchup perfectly here,their D,running game and the expectation of the crowd for an easy Chargers victory sees them win.
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Jan 14, 2010 6:20 PM PST reply actions
Arizona @ New Orleans: 17 – 31
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 10 – 24
Dallas @ Minnesota: 27 – 17
NY Jets @ San Diego: 17 – 10
Other kids may be sayin' hi-ho, but The Gooch just says yo.
I see we've picked the same teams this week!
by Ninerfromacrossthepond on Jan 16, 2010 5:39 PM PST up reply actions
Last week I went with my heart. This week I go with my head.
Arizona @ New Orleans: 23 – 31
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 16 – 24
Dallas @ Minnesota: 27 – 34
NY Jets @ San Diego: 19 – 21
My heart says to give San Diego a blowout, but screw my heart.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
Great… so I’m going to predict every winner correctly and get no points. I think I prefer my old strategy of picking three games completely wrong and getting lucky on the last one.
Come on San Diego for a close game! You’re my only hope!
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Jan 17, 2010 12:06 PM PST up reply actions
I haz a major sad.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Jan 18, 2010 5:42 PM PST up reply actions
Divisional - two road teams usually win
Arizona @ New Orleans – 30 – 35
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 23 – 20
Dallas @ Minnesota – 23 – 28
NY Jets @ San Diego – 17 – 27
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
Thanks Bill Simmons for confirming my picks
Arizona @ New Orleans — 37-28
Baltimore @ Indianapolis — 28-20
Dallas @ Minnesota — 23-30
NY Jets @ San Diego — 14-31
Works for me.
If we can be right about Dallas losing it will be a happy football weekend for me.
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
There's Judy Garland taking Buddha by the hand / And then these seven little men get up to dance / They say Confucius does his predictions with a pen / I'm still an angel to a girl who hates to sin
Arizona @ New Orleans – 30-35
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 20-26
Dallas @ Minnesota – 27-24
NY Jets @ San Diego – 20-27
That’s probably my most obscure song choice of the season
A hearty thank you to Rich Aurilia for all the good memories, and to the Niners for finally getting the uni's (mostly) right.
For the playoff tournament
Since bonbrillio has already emailed his picks to Fooch, I will just post mine here.
Arizona @ New Orleans: 24-30
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 19-23 (Net yardage: 645)
Dallas @ Minnesota: 27-23
NY Jets @ San Diego: 17-24
What in the wide, wide world of sports is a-goin' on here?
Bonbrillio picks
Arizona @ New Orleans: 26-35
Batimore @ Indianapolis: 24-20 (717 yds)
Dallas @ Minnesota: 24-20
NY Jets @ San Diego 13-27
by David Fucillo on Jan 15, 2010 10:19 PM PST up reply actions
gbears16 vs. cassusriff
gbears16
Arizona @ New Orleans: 28 – 38
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 24 – 31 Net Yardage: 658
Dallas @ Minnesota: 21 – 24
NY Jets @ San Diego: 17 – 28
cassusriff
Arizona @ New Orleans: 27 – 34
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 14 – 23 Total yards: 750
Dallas @ Minnesota: 31 – 27
NY Jets @ San Diego: 17 – 20
LASVEGASNINER vs. groug
LASVEGASNINER
Arizona @ New Orleans: 31 -38
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 23 17 - Net yards : 675 Yards
Dallas @ Minnesota: 24 -30
NY Jets @ San Diego : 24 -21
groug
Arizona @ New Orleans – 38-23
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 10-24 (706 yards)
Dallas @ Minnesota – 30-13
NY Jets @ San Diego – 6-30
Wow, we picked every game differently
That one should be easy to calculate.
GROUGTHINK ALERT
The first Chester Arthur fanboy ever.
Who would have thought that.
What happens if we tie at 2-2 ? Does it go to the tie breaker ? I don’t have a clue.
Anyway, it has been fun
Good luck, today !
LASVEGASNINER !
by LASVEGASNINER on Jan 17, 2010 10:04 AM PST up reply actions
It goes to the tiebreakers. You’d tie the first one, and the second one is total raw scores. Then if you’re still tied, it’ll go to the yardage tiebreaker.
I don't know about that, to the groin.
by howtheyscored on Jan 17, 2010 12:05 PM PST up reply actions
You did well to get inti the playoffs.
by LASVEGASNINER on Jan 18, 2010 5:41 PM PST up reply actions
My picks
Arizona @ New Orleans: 24 – 34
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 16 – 20
Dallas @ Minnesota: 27 – 24
NY Jets @ San Diego: 17 – 27
I went all home games last week and split em. We’re gonna mix it up just a little bit this time.
round 2 picks
Arizona @ New Orleans: 21-37
Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 10-28
Dallas @ Minnesota: 31-23
NY Jets @ San Diego: 18-21
Jason Hill is turning the corner!
I must be really bad if Fooch is ahead of me...
Arizona @ New Orleans – 27-33
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – 24-28
Dallas @ Minnesota – 26-28
NY Jets @ San Diego – 21-28
Oops. Forgot about games on Saturday
Baltimore @ Indianapolis 21-31
Dallas @ Minnesota 24-17
NY Jets @ San Diego 14-27
Don't trust this guy. He lies.
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