Any Given Sunday; Playoff Preview
Now featuring photographs on the right side of the post, here's our preview of Sunday's playoff match-ups. I recently canceled my cable subscription and I'm curious about the hype leading up to this weekend. Has the Brett Favre storyline become as nauseating as I imagine? Please give your opinion about these games in the comments below.
Dallas Cowboys (12-5) at Minnesota Vikings (12-4)
Dallas comes into this game as one of the hottest teams in the league, having won each of the last three weeks including a 34-14 pounding of the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wild Card round. Things have been clicking on both sides of the ball for the Cowboys. Felix Jones rushed for 148 yards against the Eagles defense (the most ever for a Dallas running back in his first postseason game), and their defense has shutout the opposing offense in two of their last three games.
Despite their recent success, the Cowboys come into this game as the underdog. Minnesota is unbeaten at home this season, and they have one of the most experienced quarterbacks in football at the helm. Brett Favre ranks second in NFL postseason history with 438 completions, 721 attempts, 5,311 yards and 39 touchdowns. He is surrounded by a talented cast of playmakers including Adrian Peterson, Offensive Rookie of the Year Percy Harvin, and wide receiver Sidney Rice.
While their offense remains potent, Minnesota's defense has struggled at times. They are ranked first in Run Defense DVOA, but are only 22nd against the pass. The Vikings' secondary seems to be especially vulnerable when they are not able to get pressure on the quarterback with their four down linemen. If the Dallas offensive line can give Tony Romo time to throw, the Minnesota defensive backs will have a hard time slowing down Austin Miles and Tony Witten.
Read the rest of this preview after the jump...
On paper it looks like the Cowboys should have a slight advantage on both offense and defense, but the Vikings have an definite edge when it comes to special teams. Percy Harvin has been electrifying in the return game, piling up 1,136 kick return yards and 2 touchdowns. Overall, Minnesota is ranked 3rd in Special Teams DVOA. With two teams as evenly matched as Dallas and Minnesota are, the third phase of the game is often the difference maker.
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 21 Minnesota Vikings 24
New York Jets (10-7) at San Diego Chargers (13-3)
The San Diego Chargers come into this matchup having won their last 11 games. They have been led by quarterback Phillip Rivers and the leagues' number one passing attack according to DVOA. Rivers passed for 4,254 yards during the regular season and his two favorite targets, Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates, became the second pair of receivers in team history to record at least 1,150 receiving yards each in a single season.
This is a classic matchup of strength on strength as the New York Jets' defense is ranked first in Pass Defense DVOA. Led by Darelle Revis, the unit has excelled under first year Head Coach Rex Ryan. Don't expect the Chargers to run against New York's front seven, but the Jets could have trouble slowing down all of their playmakers in the passing game.
New York's offense can help their defense by continuing to run the football well. They rank 11th in Rush Offense DVOA. In addition to starter Thomas Jones, the Jets have also come to rely on rookie running back Shonne Green. Against the Bengals he rushed for 135 yards; the most by a rookie in a playoff game since 1999 (Fred Taylor). New York should be able to run the ball at will against San Diego, and they will most likely rely on their ground game until the Chargers force them to try something else.
Last week Mark Sanchez posted a 139.4 passer rating, the highest ever by a rookie in a playoff game (minimum 14 attempts). He completed 12 of 15 passes for 182 yards and 1 touchdown, but most importantly he did not turn the ball over. If the Jets can limit his attempts in this game as well, they should be in a good position to pull off an upset. However, if they fall behind and are forced to throw the football I do not like their chances in this game.
Prediction: New York Jets 17 San Diego Chargers 27
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Here is my playoff breakdown
Arizona @ New Orleans – AZ is the veteran team with the right set of tools to hang with NO. I see NO having trouble dealing with the experience AZ has in the playoffs and I think a few of the NO players are marsh mellows that will melt under late game pressure. However, I’m the least sure about this game.
Baltimore @ Indianapolis – Indy is so grossly overrate this season it’s ridiculous. A good defense can cover Wayne and Clark leaving Garcon and Collie to drop passes when left with 1-on-1 coverage.
Dallas @ Minnesota – Everyone is drooling over the Boyz defense against Favre, but Viks are going to battering ram that defense with AP. Good luck with Jared Allen combined with crowd noise and the fast surface.
NY Jets @ San Diego – Beating the Bungles is zero proof of being a good team and having the ability to beat SD rested at home. This is the one sure blowout.
To answer your question, Brett Favre hype has been overlooked for zOMG DA BOYZ R SUPERBOWLZ hype.
Looks like we agree on most everything:) I really hope the Cowboys don’t make it to the Super Bowl. I’m not sure I could stand the media frenzy over “America’s Team.”
i hear you there
Same with the Cardinals. I would hate seeing a team that we beat twice go to the Super Bowl.
My picks are NO BAL MIN and SD as well. I’m really rooting for the Ravens. Ray Rice is one of the beastliest backs I’ve seen in a while.
let's just hope AP holds onto the ball. turnovers screw up all predictions
by srill waiting on Jan 15, 2010 3:07 PM PST up reply actions
Complete agreement on three games
I find it interesting that most everyone is gushing over Dallas while forgetting that Minnesota: won more games; is at home; rested; dominated GB and NY, both of whom went a combined 3-0 vs Dallas; are the first good RB the Cowboys have faced in about five weeks. Dallas hasn’t trailed in the past four games. Impressive for sure. But what happens when Romo is asked to carry the load from behind instead of compliment his running game from ahead? Turnovers. In the second loudest dome in the league.
My only problem with AZ is this team just gave up 45 points in a home game with crowd advantage. If they couldn’t disrupt GB in their own building, how are they going to impact a Saints offense that is just as dangerous at passing yet better at running? I also like Payton (and Norvin the SD game) having two weeks to prepare a game plan. They’re two of if not the best two offensive play callers in the league, with Payton the most aggressive. I don’t see Brees helping out AZ the way Delhomme did last season.
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
I thought the Packers put up 45 points against the Cardinals because they tossed out their playbook and just kept calling the 4 plays they found had worked. Sean Peyton seems to have too much pride to use such a pragmatic approach, he loves his playbook too much. I don’t think the Saints will be as successful as the Packers on offense.
The Dallas hype is out of control. Two consecutive wins against a favorable match up at home and now the Cowboys are the SB favorite? Jets fan are out of control in the same scenario. If the 49ers beat the crap out of the Cardinals two games in row does that mean all problems are solved and are headed to the SB?
But it’s Dallas and everything is bigger in Texas. Oh wait, that includes the false hype. I just hope that when Dallas loses, they’re treated as chokers after being hyped this hard. Who knew that winning consecutive home games against the Eagles was the new measureing stick.
You gotta bring ass to get ass.
I hate to say this
but this may be the Cowboy’s year. This might be Romo’s breakout game or his most impressive game. But hopefully they’re knocked out.
My order of teams to win the Super Bowl
1. Chargers(california love baby(great song))
2. Ravens(the Ray’s, Reed, n Flacco)
3. Saints(would be great for the city)
4. Colts(like them more then the rest of the teams)
5. Jets(eff them)
6. Cardinals(eff them)
7. Vikings(eff favre, but the rest of the team is sick)
8. Cowboys(effffff the cowboys)
Hit like Berry, Score like Jerry.





























