Offensive ineptitude and recovery
For my first FanPost in a few weeks, I would like to share my thoughts on the 49ers offensive performance against the Raiders. However, before I delve in to the meat of the post I would like to comment that I was impressed with the 49ers defense after the Raiders first 2 drives. As Takeo Spikes pointed out, the Raiders had their tricks and emotion drive them downfield for a few field goals, but once the game settled down, the Raiders couldn't do a damn thing against the 49ers defense. Props to the defense for keeping the game in check.
And now to the 49ers offense. That oh-so ugly 49ers offense. Or is it?
Per-usual for the NFL, QBs get the blame or the credit. With the 49ers, even when the QB deserves credit, he rarely receives any unless he was near-perfect, which is almost never in the last 7 years. And that is understandable. We are fans that watched Hall Of Fame QBing for two entire decades.
And then there's Alex Smith. Some love him, some hate him. He has always been an easy target for a losing team. It is what it is, regardless what you feel about him.
Smith had some... interesting numbers. His 16 for 33 (below 50%) doesn't garner much confidence, but he didn't turn the ball over, and he threw two late touchdown passes that were the defining difference in the game. And yet nobody seems to be crediting him for this win. And they shouldn't. The defense kept the Raiders offense out of the endzone, and that almost always leads to a victory.
However, Smith always gets the blame when the 49ers lose. Am I missing something? This is a team sport, and only teams, not individuals, win or lose games. Never has Smith been solely responsible for a loss or a win. He contributes to winning or losing, but is never "the reason." I can never get that point across enough. NFL teams have 53 players for a reason.
With that said, I think a minimum of a half-dozen of Smith's incompletions were on either the offensive line or Josh Morgan. 16-33 looks bad, but if the O-line played decently and Morgan did his job, I could easily see the stat line looking more like 22-33 for 250+ and possibly 3+ TD passes. That would have looked a hell of a lot better. Smith was climbing uphill the entire game. Wet, slick balls (he has never handled that too well, but is not alone in that problem). Terrible pass protection. Bad routes and efforts by Morgan on promising opportunities. Booing crowd. Forget the fact Alex was trying to play another NFL team; he was trying to survive his own team from killing him. Thank God for Frank Gore and the O-line being better at run-blocking.
My entire point is this: The offensive line and the receivers (ahem, Josh Morgan) must do their jobs for Smith to have any success.
Singletary seemed to over-look the offensive line, and I find that heretical. Sure, they played much better in the second half. And yes, as Sing pointed out, a lot of bootlegs led Smith right into defenders (we'll get to that later). However, to say they played well is insane. How many clean pockets did Smith have to work with in the first half? 2? 3? It was pathetically few. If A. Davis wasn't whiffing on a block, Staley would. Even Davis Baas whiffed on a few assignments. In fact, on the 49ers opening drive, there was a play in which Baas, Rachal, and Davis (if you're keeping count, 3 players) only blocked one player combined. Baas whiffed and Rachal and Davis double-teamed one guy as two defenders ran right passed all 3 of them. If that is what Singletary calls playing well, this team will go 1-15 and think they did "a good job."
Josh Morgan started this game out getting behind the Raiders defense. Why? Because finally, FINALLY, to Mike Johnson's credit, the 49ers play-action passed on the opening offensive play of the game and took a deep shot downfield. Not only was the play there to be had, but Smith (getting one of his few clean pockets) made a near-perfect pass down field that should have been a 40-50 yard play, if not a TD. What did Morgan do? Slowed up, made a half-assed attempt at the ball and let it slip right through his hands. Sure, it just goes down as an incomplete pass, but that play would have meant everything to this team. A good receiver catches that ball every time, and a great receiver turns that into a touchdown. Morgan did neither, and he killed any chance the 49ers had at gutting the Raiders early momentum. I'm not even going to get into the rest of Morgan's lame performance. Sure, he had that one nice catch when Smith rolled out late in the 2nd quarter, but Morgan's miscues were consistently hurting the team. If Alex Smith, the nicest guy of them all (not to mention a smart player), is taking you aside and shouting at you... I'm pretty sure you're screwing up. It was nice to see Smith take that leadership role, though. All good QBs get on their WRs when they don't do their job, as they should. The QB has the most responsibility on the field, and he can't do his job without his teammates.
Alex Smith is not without blame here, either. While he was battling uphill in this game as I mentioned before, he is really losing trust in his line, and it is causing him to regress in pocket presence. Of all things Smith may have improved this off-season, it was his footwork, mechanics, and pocket presence. In pre-season and at times in the regular season we saw him regularly stepping up in the pocket or even running downhill at the line of scrimmage before making a throw. It was very promising. However, the more the line and team struggles, the more he is reverting to his run to the right and throw it away history. And while that doesn't hurt the team badly, it is preventing him from having the success he is capable of having. But I don't blame him. The line has been terrible in pass protection. However, he can help the team if he learns to stick in there just a hair longer, and rather than bail and run, just shuffle step forward or sideways to avoid the rush. I'm not saying he needs to be a pure pocket passer (his mobility should be utilized), but I think he could help his struggling line out by stepping up rather than backing up and running away. If your tackle is beaten outside, the best way to help him recover is to step forward so he can get back inside the defender. If you back away and run, your blocker will simply be chasing both of you.
And speaking of that, I have seen way, WAY too many 49ers offensive lineman facing backwards. They are getting beaten immediately, and they end up with their backs to the line of scrimmage as they watch their man chase the quarterback. This MUST stop happening so often.
Oh btw, I'm quite surprised nobody is talking about the wet & slick breast cancer balls (...er, that sentence sounded perverted to all hell, lmao). I think it is rather impressive what Smith was able to do. I could tell both QBs could not get a consistently good grip on the ball, as both of them were not only sailing balls on simple dump off passes, but they were soaring them out of bounds. All the criticism you want to give Smith and Campbell, they are not THAT inaccurate. I have watched each of them enough over the years to know the balls were affecting their accuracy.
One last note: while I appreciate Mike Johnson calling bootlegs during the game, his timing has been terrible. I can't think of a single bootleg where Smith wasn't immediately under pressure. And sure, that happens with bootlegs, but well-designed and planned bootlegs can gash defenses. This may be a simple result of Jimmy Raye's playbook, but it hasn't been having much success. I'm not saying to give up on bootlegs, but I would like to see Smith actually have the chance to run and read a half of the defense before having a guy in his face. I will say the misdirection play-action rollout for Davis' touchdown was fantastic, and has always been one of my favorite plays. In fact, I believe Davis' first career TD reception was on a similar play in Norv Turner's offense back in 2006 against the Cardinals.
Summary: the offensive line must improve, but to be fair, I'm not so sure the footing was great during Sunday's rainy game. Foul conditions always, always, always favor the defense. I was very glad to see the 49ers offense recover in the 2nd half and actually score points. I hope Morgan bounces back with a sound performance at Carolina. As for Alex Smith, I personally think he could be on the verge of very good things. Some may think I'm insane, but I think he could explode... if his teammates help him out. And there is an endless list of former QBs (some hall of famers) that would agree with that assessment. You may be frustrated, or even "done" with Smith, but I advice you to stick it out. You don't have to listen to me, and you can call me crazy or stupid, but I really don't think all hope is lost with this kid. He is still in his infancy when it comes to QBing in the NFL. I could be off by a mile, but what does it matter? This team is 1-5 and might as well see what Smith can do from here on out.
Hey, at least he has 5 TD passes in his last 2 games combined. That's a start.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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No Other Option, I'm Afraid
Alex does just enough to stay the #1 quarterback. Lousy play in Seattle, came back against the Saints on a nice last drive to tie the game. Horrid game in KC, tepid at best in Atlanta, then threw 3 td’s against the Eagles. Putrid first half against the Raiders, 2 td’s on nice throws in second half. He’s a tease. You don’t know which QB will show up for any given game. His terrible plays have cost the Niners numerous games. His fumble against the Eagles was a killer. I have absolutely no idea how he will do in Carolina. Absolutely none. It’s a crap shoot.
All valid points
However, is that not the story of this entire team? Is the defense any more consistent than Smith? Is the offensive line? Or the receivers? I see this as a team problem, and Smith is not alone in having that issue.
For instance, when the offensive line plays well, Smith normally plays well, too.
Touchdown Forty Niners!
True lol
49ers por vida!!!!!!!!!!!!
by 49erSalvatrucha on Oct 20, 2010 11:17 PM PDT up reply actions
Think'n you didn't read this article at all ...!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ...Jimmy Raye your no daisy ...!!
I agree
I think Alex doesn’t get anytime I do think our line is young and will be great yes I saod great in a year or two but If Alex can get sometime which he will against a no pass rush carolina team I do belive by the end of the year Alex’s stats will look good/great he starts the easy part of schdule now with lacklust defenses with exception of green bay so that means our line will be come better cause there is no super pass rushing team again exccept for packers and matthew’s if he is healthy so give alex this time and see what happens I mean we dont have anything to lose cause alex is our best option
cppeter
by foreveryoung66 on Oct 21, 2010 4:29 PM PDT up reply actions
The O-Line has been a huge issue for a while...
I think the 49ers would have been better served signing a couple of quality veterans rather than drafting two rookie linemen and putting them on the O-Line immediately…
Yeah
The line was terrible last year. A few rookies, while maybe a good move for 2 or 3 years into the future, may not be doing the 49ers offense any good at this point.
Touchdown Forty Niners!
Hopefully they pick it up against the panthers
49ers por vida!!!!!!!!!!!!
by 49erSalvatrucha on Oct 20, 2010 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions
miaocca review
His man, Shaughnessy, recorded a sack in second quarter. Staley was between him and Smith the entire time, though Shaughnessy moved him back into the pocket. When Smith stepped up, he moved right into Shaughnessy for the 2-yard sack.
by HUNGRY HUNTER on Oct 21, 2010 7:09 AM PDT up reply actions
they're holding themselves back....
the most curious thing of all, for me anyway, is that i’m yet to see them play a full game
to their utmost potential without turnovers or an abundance of penalties….they do that, it would seem that they have 25 -30 points in them at least……
yes
preseason was no preseason. new oc has been pitting in new plays. i think they should be improving hopefully
by HUNGRY HUNTER on Oct 21, 2010 7:11 AM PDT up reply actions
miaocca review
His man, Shaughnessy, recorded a sack in second quarter. Staley was between him and Smith the entire time, though Shaughnessy moved him back into the pocket. When Smith stepped up, he moved right into Shaughnessy for the 2-yard sack.
Agree for the most part , especially about the O line ...
… thought it might take awhile for the O line to gel , was think’n by week 6 we would see thing’s come together for the O line … so let’s hope it come now and we make better strides and get that win streak going …!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ...Jimmy Raye your no daisy ...!!
A very cleverly disguised,
Alex Smith excuse post.
That makes no sense. I just blamed him for poor pocket presence, and it isn’t exactly a good thing that he has always handled wet balls so poorly (that can get you in trouble late in the season when weather is less than helpful). With that said, I was making a clear statement that this team is as much at fault as Smith. And read into that: Smith is equally at fault as the rest of the team. If you can’t see past that, you’re far too stubborn in your own thoughts about Smith.
The only thing more annoying than someone always making excuses for Smith are people who refuse to see the other flaws of the team for the sole purpose of blaming Smith. That is way too convenient.
Touchdown Forty Niners!
Sorry Effage, but he's right
I would first like to say, I really like reading your posts, because you are always thorough and very articulate. However, it is common for you to heavily favor Alex Smith. Your post title states that this was going to be talking about the overall offensive problems and how they can improve. Yet, if you reread it, it definitely reads much more like a “Smith defense” post. Don’t know if you noticed, but most of the comments here focus on Alex, because your post seemed to as well.
I promise I will take some time tomorrow to write a comment discussing other issues on the offense, of which I feel the play calling is still the #2 problem. But I have to go to bed, so I just have to comment on this particular comment chain that deals with “Smith defense”. And a huge peeve of mine, adjusting stats.
Small samplings of stats are not a good indicator of performance for most positions, but especially a QB. Take Eli’s 400+ yd passing game for a loss. Awesome stats in that game, but they don’t tell the whole story. With small samplings (ie. one game), context is very important. When you take those same stats and modify them, they are even less meaningful. You can adjust the stats either way to make a case for someone being better or worst than they are. For Alex, if I added INT’s for passes that were almost picked off, where the defenders batted them away or almost INTed but dropped the ball, I am sure we could double INTs for most of the QBs in the league. That seems ridiculous, but no more so than saying Smith could be “22-33 for 250+ and possibly 3+ TD passes.” If he fixed his flaws, he could be 25-25, for 300 and 4 TDs. Or he could be 2-20 for 35 and 0TDs and 5 INTs. Anything could happen, but one thing did happen. I know that was just one small line in your entire post, but it seems to be a common trend among folks who support Smith. They adjust his stats and compare them to better QBs stats unmodified.
I wouldn't say he's "right." It's that I see other factors as the problem, and that may come across as a Smith defense.
Thanks for the compliments on my posts. As for this discussion: I’ve never hidden the fact I do support Alex Smith. With that said, it’s not like I’m saying he’s a great QB or isn’t making just as many mistakes as anyone else. If my post (which was talking more about the entire offense’s deficiencies, which I find to be the true problem) seems to defend Smith, it is only my own reaction to how ignorant many 49ers fans have been. When you see person after person after person say “Smith is the problem,” I can’t help but defend the guy. It’s a knee-jerk reaction, because I know it is not justified to put all blame on him. Yes, he has poorly-performed and has made absolutely devastating mistakes this season, but the tone of my posts (“favoring” Smith, as you put it) isn’t as much to do with Alex Smith as it is my strong dislike for how so many people always credit or blame quarterbacks. There will never be a time when Smith deserves blame that I will not blame him (like that atrocious fumble against the Eagles, for instance). It’s all the times when his teammates let him down yet he still gets blamed that gets me irritated. It is what it is, I guess. Haha.
Oh, I certainly understand your peeve about adjusting stats. That is entirely justified, because the truth of the matter is, he didn’t perform well enough for prettier stats. With that said, my point with that stat adjustment was that I personally think he is that close. When I watch the tape of these games, I see a team with poor pass protection (in spurts: sometimes they play well, but more often they’re terrible. Streaky, I suppose). Also, all too often I see Alex taking receivers aside like “Wtf were you doing?!” Alex may not be a guy that will ever be good enough to make everyone else around him better (which could be a major contributing problem), but I do think he would perform very well under a well-oiled machine. In a way, I see Alex’s ceiling similar to a Tony Romo. He is capable of lighting it up when things go right, but when they start going wrong… so does he. It isn’t a championship formula, but it’s certainly better than most. Alex obviously has yet to reach that Pro Bowl point, but I do think he can get there. Some people simply don’t see that the way I do, and that’s perfectly fine. They don’t have to.
This 49ers offense, to me, resembles a new vehicle with great individual parts, but it isn’t lubricated and was poorly built. It can be fast, powerful, and explosive, but it breaks down constantly and prevents itself from reaching the finish line. The driver doesn’t have much of a chance, no matter how good (or bad) he is. So, if I’m defending Smith, it isn’t for the sake of Smith but because if I were the mechanic in charge of fixing this machine’s problems, Smith wouldn’t be the first nut my wrench turns.
Touchdown Forty Niners!
You are mistaken,
I have been watching the Niners play longer than many here have been alive and my comments are far from being knee jerk. I’m also not stubborn regarding Smith’s play, when he has done well I appreciate his talent. Unfortunately there has been far too many poor decisions, fumbles, overthrown and inaccurate passes to allow all the excuses that many people commenting on this blog have been writing. In my opinion people with their insufferable optimism when discussing this Alex Smith debacle are totally myopic.
How am I mistaken?
I didn’t say anything you said was knee jerk. I was referring to myself in reaction to people that always blame Smith when it isn’t justified. And watching the Niners for so long doesn’t really mean anything, just so you know. There are 49ers fans of 50 years that are idiots (I’m not saying you’re an idiot in any way. I was just saying length of time doesn’t mean much). I’ve been watching every game for well over 20 years, but I wouldn’t use that against a guy if I were debating with a 16 year old (unless we were discussing football history).
And I understand the frustration, and you have the right to be fed up with Smith. I simply disagree. And saying you’ve seen enough fumbles… Smith does not fumble very much. Aside from his rookie year, that hasn’t been much of a problem. The Eagles one was horrible, but in general he isn’t a JTO of sorts, just flailing the ball around like a hot potato. I agree he has been frustratingly inconsistent, but his lack of time playing in the league justifies patience.
Also, just because people may see something in Smith you do not (which leads to their optimism), does not make it fair to say their optimism is “insufferable.” If you find it insufferable, that is your problem, not theirs.
Btw, there are several retired, successful quarterbacks (some hall of famers) that like Alex Smith as a player and think he needs a true opportunity (he really hasn’t had an opportunity to succeed in San Francisco… nobody has in over 7 years). I really think the list of current QBs that would have had any chance to succeed in SF over the last half-decade can be counted on one hand. There isn’t a QB in league history that went through all the injuries and coaching changes as Smith and had success during that period. AFTER that period is another story.
Be fed up with Smith all you want, but it doesn’t make you right. I just means you have a differing opinion. And that is perfectly fine. But don’t act like you’re above anyone because you don’t like Smith as a player and they do. Saying their view is “myopic” is absolutely absurd. As far as I see it, people who constantly think Smith is the problem are suffering myopia. If you can’t trust the other 10 guys on the field, how in hell are you going to succeed?
Touchdown Forty Niners!
You do more acting like you are above others than almost anyone.
People write that another QB is not the answer? How do they know? It’s all just an opinion, you seem to think you know more than others about quarterback play in the NFL. The “length of time” issue is attempting to state that there are others who have knowledge as far as this issue is concerned, maybe more than you. The word myopic refers to a narrow view of a topic and statements that say that there is no option other than Alex Smith playing QB for the 49ers the remainder of the season looks narrow to me. Also, insufferability is never a problem to me.
by Natural Red on Oct 23, 2010 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions
If that were the case people would tell me about it, which they have not.
Of course it’s all just opinion, which is why your initial comment pissed me off (if you’re trying to tell me I act like I’m above people, that’s like the the pot calling the kettle black). I put my thoughts out there to share with fellow 49ers fans and all you do is slither in with a smart-ass remark accusing me of disguising an Alex Smith defense.
I wasn’t disguising anything. I think Alex Smith deserves equal blame as anyone, but I think success can be had with him at quarterback if his teammates did more than a terrible job. I’m also of the opinion none of the other 3 options at QB would have equal success as Smith. That doesn’t mean I think I’m above anyone, it’s simply my opinion. I wasn’t acting like I know more about QBs, but when I see person after person making ignorant statements how every bad play is Smith’s fault, I feel the need to share my thoughts.
Perceive it as what you will, but I’m not doing anything to say I know better than you or anyone else. I share what I see on the field with my fellow 49ers fans. They can take it however they want, and I’m always up for discussions and counter-opinions. That is what I am always aiming for. I sure as hell don’t appreciate dishonorable attempts like your initial comment coming in to discreetly bash a blog post.
Touchdown Forty Niners!
Keep the posts coming
Man, I’ve been waiting to read an Effage post for the last few weeks haha. It’s strange though, even though the niners won I wasn’t happy about the win. I did not like the Alex Smith I saw against the raiders and I was truly ready for the Nate Davis era after that ugly, ugly win – but your post gives me at least a little more confidence in Alex.
I really liked the Alex Smith I saw vs both the falcons and the eagles minus the turnovers. I don’t know what it will take for him to play consistently good. Gah the dude is the ultimate tease.
Thanks man
That was a great compliment. It’s really nice to hear someone appreciates my writing, haha.
As for Alex, yeah, he really is such a tease. It kills me. But hey, at least he’s capable of teasing. Some guys are just bad from the first snap to the last. His inconsistency is going to drive him out of the NFL is he doesn’t improve immediately.
It is hard to watch right now, but whether it is my own resiliency, the schedule, or just some sixth sense, I don’t think all is lost. Do I think the 49ers will make the playoffs? Probably not. Do I think they can turn the season into something respectable? Yeah, I do. If they can get to 3-5 going into the bye week (which is very doable) they could (in theory) go something like 8-8 or 9-7 and steal the division.
And while many people think Smith’s career in SF ends this year, I’m not sold on that just yet. It isn’t looking good for him in SF, and the odds say he will indeed be out in the off-season. However, since he was nearly booed off the field against the Eagles, he has thrown 4 touchdowns and only turned the ball over once (which was the last play in the Eagles game). Not to mention the team finally won a game. I’m still intrigued to see what this “vow to play more fearless” Smith is going to do in the next 2 games (particularly when he isn’t playing with a wet ball, which he has never handled well). If he falls on his face and the team plummets to complete crap, I don’t care who they play at QB at that point because it’ll be over. But what if he has a couple great games and the 49ers win?
Touchdown Forty Niners!
Bootlegs...
They only work when the running back is a threat to cut back away from the flow of the run. Gore ALWAYS follows his blocker, so the backside end/LB doesn’t have to close down the line. Also, our play action is not exactly top notch.
On another point, Zeigler should share reps with Morgan as the #2, use Ginn as the #3 to stretch the D, and run more 3WR sets in general.
Good points. Gore isn’t much of a cut-back runner (you know who might be? Dixon). And yeah, the offensive line almost always shows pass on the play-action, and Smith isn’t the best seller of the hand off (though he is better these days than he was in the past). With that said, you can simply do the math on bootlegs: There will either be unblocked, free running defenders, or there won’t be. Normally the 49ers are running into 2 free running defenders at scrimmage on the bootlegs.
Yeah, I’m a big fan of Zeigler. Also, just because Morgan had a bad game doesn’t mean he should lose a bunch of playing time. But if he continues the inconsistency, yeah, Zeigler should steal some reps.
We sure could use Delanie Walker back on the field, too.
Touchdown Forty Niners!
And Dixon is definitely a better cutback runner
The play after he scored the called back TD when we ran the moving pocket, Play-action to VD the DE stayed in tight to prevent a Dixon cutback
Gimme 1 round!
by ItBurnzWhenIP on Oct 22, 2010 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions
He sort of reminds me...
Of a quicker Kevan Barlow. And when I say that, I’m talking the good Barlow from 01-03.
Look at Hearst/Barlow. Hearst was aggressive and attacked the line of scrimmage; always running downhill. He was a one-cut kind of guy. Barlow was big and powerful, but used his quick feet and surprising agility to his advantage. Is it ill-advised to say Gore and Dixon could be a similar 1-2 punch?
Touchdown Forty Niners!
No its not because I know what you're talking about
Dixon is more powerful than Barlow and faster but with the same good feet the young Barlow had.
Gimme 1 round!
by ItBurnzWhenIP on Oct 22, 2010 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions
That is a good point
The DE doesn’t have to worry about the call actually being a counter to Gore at all. He can just follow Alex.
Gimme 1 round!
by ItBurnzWhenIP on Oct 22, 2010 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions














































