FanPost

Week 11 Prediction Games: groug Screws Over PHUT! for the Title




Back to the contractually obligated scoring results to the prediction contest. No delay this week, a quick turn around so everyone can move onto Thanksgiving. Don't worry we don't predict Thursday games so you got the day off to stuff yourself. Editorial Note: Doing a helluva a job, Brownie. Lets hope the scores are accurate the second time around.

Yes, Thanksgiving is on a Thursday this year ... Week 11 results!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers

  1. illini49er, groug, beecharmer, urnext (34)
  2. manraj7 (40)
  3. these3words, whobob (42)
  4. fanoftheunderdogs (46)

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers

  1. grantmp (4)
  2. David Fucillo (Fooch) (6)
  3. Drew K, ZeroIndulgence, AKinferno, mikeinsp (8)
  4. bonbrillio, mpotter14, foosball4949 (10)
  5. PHUT!, Dub4lif3, jbrown63, bignerd (12)

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

  1. groug, mikeinsp (2)
  2. manraj7, Drew K, whobob, bonbrillio, illini49er, jtoj (6)
  3. DuikeBuike, ro128487, wjackalope, San Fran Niners, mountaindew77, Ten-Man, David Fucillo (Fooch), urnext (8)
  4. chikmagnet_565 (10)
  5. bayboy, mpotter14, SanFranciscoKnights, J2daZ (12)

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

  1. jpgarfunkle (8)
  2. PHUT!, groug (14)
  3. Dub4lif3 (16)
  4. dlh, Drew K, jbrown63 (20)
  5. ro128487, San Fran Niners, mikeinsp, bignerd (22)

Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers

  1. dlh (12)
  2. ZeroIndulgence (14)
  3. DuikeBuike, jbrown63, mikeinsp, David Fucillo (Fooch) (20)
  4. PHUT!, these3words, chikmagnet_565, San Fran Niners, illini49er, Ninerfromacrossthepond, Chukwamu (22)
  5. bonbrillio, MATTCW, mountaindew77 (24)

Atlanta Falcons @ St. Louis Rams

  1. jtoj (2)
  2. whobob, ZeroIndulgence, Andrew Davidson, AKinferno (6)
  3. PHUT!, San Fran Niners (8)
  4. chikmagnet_565, Snitzel, mountaindew77, fanoftheunderdogs (12)
  5. bayboy, grantmp, jpgarfunkle, J2daZ, snowweasel30 (14)

Week 11 Analysis

Those tricky blowouts. Even with a correct blowout prediction it can be tough to nail down any points, that's the nature of the beast. Week 11 was a test of blowout prediction acumen with almost every game a matchup of good team versus bad team.

The Week's Big 5 Prognosticators

PHUT! - Compared him to the Buffalo Bills last week. Thinking maybe the Cleveland Browns is better comparison now. Two consecutive monster weeks has him in the thick of contention. Not bad considering his been trolling at the bottom of the rankings all season.

Jim Ross voice: OMG, OMG, manraj7 is in the ring. He just clobbered PHUT! in the back with a chair! OMG, groug going for the pin! Groug is the new champion, HE'S THE NEW CHAMPION!!! Manraj7 you SOB, what did you do to PHUT?!!? OMG!!!

groug - Continues to GrouG points picking against the 49ers. He'd like to thank everyone for jumping back on that 49ers bandwagon returning him back to the winners circle. He just GrouG'ed PHUT! OMG!!!!

mikeinsp - I'm sensing a Week 11 theme here. Ok, Mike hasn't been as futile cut throat as the two above him groug but this is his first time in the winners circle. He'd be the Jacksonville Jaguars of the prediction contest. You'd never guess but he's been in contention for awhile and playoff chances look hopeful.

ZeroIndulgence - Finally someone I can lace into. At least you lost that not so cool guy bayarearep94, still what are doing back at the top of my standings? Explain yourself? Why can't you write a comment without citing some kind of stat? Do I blame you if the Sharks fail again in the playoffs for the umpteenth thousandth time?

whobob - Scoring error in your favor collect a point. You understand, don't you? There's no other solution. You won't go away. No, you won't. You're just *saying* you will! But then, after I don't kill you, you'll show up again. And you'll do something else to make everyone in my life think you are wonderful and I'm a schmuck.

illini49er - Scoring error in your favor collect a point. You and Bob have a knack for showing up together. I've already contacted the local police, the FBI, Homeland Security, the SEC and the Green Hornet. If you have a confession on this I suggest you tell them. You are on notice!

David Fucillo (Fooch) - This NFL season is so strange Fooch is picking games correctly. 2012 Doomsday was more likely than Fooch ever making the prediction playoffs. He's in a playoff seed right now! Time to pack up and move to Pluto, real estate could be hot seeing it might be deemed a planet again.

PHUT! - Poor PHUT! To think you were the top winner for a mere two hours. Would have gotten away with it too, if it weren't for you meddling kids! Manraj7 had to get his measly couple points and groug didn't have your back. Groug is flexing in the middle in the of the ring to his bumper music while manraj7 holds up his title belt.

Week 10 Comments Recap

Yes, back by popular demand after receiving several hundred emails as to why I skipped the segment last week. You want glib cut and paste, you got glib cut and paste.

Drew K calls outs the scoring, hey I only cheat for myself ... Rabbit T interrupts Drew K ... Drew K calls out the scoring ... AKinferno rebuts Eddgy/Effage pro Alex Smith argument again, it's a full time job ... jbrown63 explains the scoring, be more impressive if he typed the response in hexadecimal ... Drew K 4th place, I hear ya same happened to me this week ... jbrown63 no one understands you in ascii ... these3words other people were closer to nailing it, reminds me of college life ... fortyniners sees the light ... wjackalope a horrible week ... howtheyscored is surprised every week ... chikmagnet_565 notes PHUT! cheated in fantasy football too ... Haggardninja guesses he was guessing wrong ... jbrown63 awwww he sucks, not transmission problem but a data problem ... bignerd like speaking to prediction god ... jbrown63 he loves math ... fanoftheunderdogs barking at jbrown63 ... ZeroIndulgence spot on about the annoying part ... mountaindew77 no I told you! ... howtheyscored finds a formatting error, sorry no reward for you ... bignerd 49excuses it ... howtheyscored cool beans is fine ... fanoftheunderdogs every chance I get ... manraj7 a broken clock is suppose to be right twice ... groug if 4 points is a miracle? ... howtheyscored sweating groug's 4 points ... groug starting to scare me ... chikmagnet_565 more FF talk ... these3words loves Mondays and Seahawks ... grantmp complains about getting points, you don't get to draft Andrew Luck ... bayarearep94 was banned for a week ... these3words your answer, no points for a tie ... howtheyscored ponders points for a tie ... manraj7 claims he receives 10 points for all ties ... fanoftheunderdogs C-C-C-C-Cat got your tongue ... urnext hid your awful score and rig elections too ... PHUT! there is a classier way to thank your mom.

Leader Board After Week 11

  • DuikeBuike - padding his top score
  • these3words - maybe he is legit
  • howtheyscored - a bit of a lull
  • whobob - cold bob than hot bob
  • illini49er - bob's siamese twin
  • ZeroIndulgence - continues to flex his muscle
  • rlott#42 - GTFOHWTB with another goose egg
  • Andrew Davidson - justice for kicking his tail in fantasy football?
  • leaping_larry - a mainstay up here
  • mikeinsp - come on down, a new contestant
  • chikmagnet_565 - keeping above water
  • wjackalope - lost momentum but has hung around
  • bayarearep94 - off reping in the bay
  • mountaindew77 - whoa, he'd be in the playoffs
  • Drew K - welcome back
  • David Fucillo (Fooch) - not the Foochdoza Line I know (gulp below the Foochdoza Line)
Rank Screen Name Points Wk1 Wk2 Wk3 Wk4 Wk5 Wk6 Wk7 Wk8 Wk9 Wk10 Wk11
1. DuikeBuike 76 13 6 9 5 1 3 8 8 10 7 6
2. these3words 66 8 9 0 4 8 6 3 10 1 12 5
3. howtheyscored 64 3 7 4 20 2 5 5 10 6 2 0
4. whobob 62 0 9 12 4 4 6 12 3 1 11
5. illini49er 60 1 8 0 5 0 3 9 12 9 2 11
6. ZeroIndulgence 57 0 6 0 3 14 3 7 0 3 10 11
7. rlott#42 56 11 8 8 8 0 0 9 6 6 0 0
7. Andrew Davidson 56 0 11 0 1 1 11 4 7 12 5 4
9. leaping_larry 55 0 11 5 3 3 11 8 3 9 2 0
9. mikeinsp 55 0 3 2 5 2 8 5 6 5 7 12
11. chikmagnet_565 54 7 9 0 9 4 5 0 3 8 3 6
11. wjackalope 54 0 10 2 3 2 14 7 3 8 2 3
13. bayarearep94 53 1 0 4 16 11 2 9 10
14. mountaindew77 52 0 5 4 2 0 2 3 8 7 15 6
14. Drew K 52 2 5 5 2 10 3 5 1 5 5 9
16. David Fucillo (Fooch) 51 5 3 1 5 0 0 0 13 6 8 10
17. urnext 50 1 5 13 8 8 0 7 8
17. manraj7 50 6 4 1 8 6 3 0 8 3 3 8
17. fanoftheunderdogs 50 9 5 10 10 3 3 6 4
20. Ninerfromacrossthepond 49 5 7 0 4 5 7 0 5 14 2
20. Ten-Man 49 0 8 7 4 6 6 12 3 3
20. Haggardninja 49 2 3 0 1 9 2 10 4 9 9 0
23. jbrown63 48 5 5 0 0 4 5 10 4 6 3 6
23. sf49ers123 48 8 7 9 5 0 5 6 0 8 0
25. foosball4949 47 6 4 5 0 0 13 11 6 2
25. groug 47 0 0 4 0 5 5 12 3 0 4 14
27. Rabbit T 46 4 5 4 6 2 5 9 7 4 0
28. beecharmer 45 4 4 4 1 0 0 5 6 13 3 5
28. bayboy 45 0 3 4 1 0 10 4 2 10 9 2
30. ezoo 44 9 3 4 0 4 8 6 5 4 1 0
30. Chukwamu 44 3 10 7 3 15 4 2
30. Snitzel 44 8 7 3 5 11 0 8 2
30. AKinferno 44 8 2 2 0 3 5 2 1 10 4 7
34. mpotter14 43 0 7 2 4 1 5 1 19 1 0 3
34. snowweasel30 43 8 5 5 4 3 3 0 8 5 1 1
34. bignerd 43 0 3 2 7 13 4 4 3 3 2 2
37. jtoj 42 5 4 0 1 1 4 7 1 5 5 9
38. 49erLou 41 3 8 0 2 1 3 9 5 6 4 0
38. Dub4lif3 41 1 8 0 6 6 3 4 9 4
40. PHUT! 40 1 3 1 7 0 3 0 0 1 14 10
40. bonbrillio 40 1 5 0 1 6 2 8 3 4 3 7
42. fortyniners 38 0 3 4 0 4 2 3 16 6 0
43. jpgarfunkle 36 3 5 4 2 4 0 2 0 6 4 6
44. Delmuir 34 6 5 4 0 3 7 7 0 2 0
44. McTee 34 1 4 1 7 1 5 3 2 4 6 0
44. SpurredOn 34 3 3 7 6 0 2 0 4 5 4 0
47. San Fran Niners 33 7 5 8 4 9
48. SanFranciscoKnights 31 2 3 11 8 6 1
49. J2daZ 30 1 0 0 0 13 3 4 2 5 2
50. grantmp 28 0 3 0 1 0 3 5 1 5 4 6
50. MATTCW 28 12 2 2 0 9 0 2 1
52. Surprise Team 24 1 3 2 7 0 1 6 2 2
53. Number22Drew 23 0 11 0 5 7
53. mr. instigator 23 3 2 1 2 2 10 3
55. Edggy 22 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 4 6 5 0
56. albertoleecho 20 2 7 3 3 0 0 0 5
57. SaintsFanInIraq 19 14 2 3
58. SuspendingBJ 18 3 1 4 3 5 0 2 0
59. ro128487 17 5 3 4 1 4
60. suffrin9erfan 15 7 8
60. RBoogy29 15 5 10 0
62. EcERyda69 14 6 0 6 2 0 0
62. CB30 14 1 3 4 6
62. Dubs fan in Boston 14 4 4 6 0
65. smileyman 12 0 3 3 3 0 3
66. The Sear 11 11
67. eacuna05 9 5 4
67. nocal81 9 0 5 4
69. sundaysfinest 8 3 3 2 0 0
69. YoungWillis 8 3 5
69. price14rays 8 8
72. dlh 7 7
73. TexansDC 6 6
73. SupremeChief 6 6
73. Hoopers Judge 6 6
73. bojackson34 6 6
77. afrikabamboodle 5 5
77. espino 5 5
77. Riding The F Train 5 5 0
80. DivineGrace 4 4
80. Rishi 4 0 4
80. satsunada 4 4
80. mississippisaintsfan 4 4
80. j-man 4 2 2
85. DrWhoDat 3 3
85. BobE 3 0 3
85. TOMZ 3 3
85. Doni S 3 3
85. cassusriff 3 3 0
85. LADubbz45 3 3
91. Kevin Pernick 2 2
91. LASVEGASNINER 2 0 2 0
91. JoeO 2 2
91. TeeKay89 2 2
91. Salukininer 2 0 2
91. MichaelClutchtree 2 2
91. sam23 2 2
91. Rando3 2 2
91. Waiting4JoshMorgan 2 2 0
100. ItBurnzWhenIP 1 1
100. OnCloudNiner 1 1
100. Florida Danny 1 1

Week 11 Big Board Predictions

Fixed the Leader Board. As always check your scores (Aaarrrrrrrgggggggggggg!!!!).

Screen Name TB SF s/p DEN SD s/p NYG PHI s/p GB MIN s/p OAK PIT s/p ATL STL s/p tot
rlott#42 20 31 -/- 23 31 18/- 27 21 -/- -/- -/- 23 24 -/-
manraj7 23 20 40/4 20 23 24/- 17 24 6/4 20 23 -/- 20 23 34/- 23 20 22/- 8
dlh 20 23 -/- 23 34 18/- 38 41 42/- 35 13 20/2 9 31 12/5 23 20 22/- 7
PHUT! 14 21 -/- 20 30 12/1 30 31 26/- 31 10 14/4 13 24 22/2 34 13 8/3 10
McTee 23 31 -/- 14 27 16/- 28 27 -/- 28 31 -/- 20 17 -/- 23 21 22/-
these3words 28 21 42/3 21 28 14/- 35 24 -/- 28 20 34/- 14 24 22/2 21 17 26/- 5
Drew K 19 27 -/- 17 31 8/3 20 24 6/4 30 13 20/2 17 20 30/- 42 10 16/- 9
Rabbit T 21 24 -/- 24 28 20/- 27 31 20/- 24 17 28/- 28 24 -/- 21 23 -/-
DuikeBuike 20 27 -/- 27 38 26/- 20 31 8/3 31 27 48/- 13 28 20/3 24 27 -/- 6
whobob 26 21 42/3 13 28 14/- 20 28 6/4 17 10 28/- 9 21 28/- 31 20 6/4 11
ro128487 17 24 -/- 10 20 30/- 20 31 8/3 34 14 22/1 14 10 -/- 17 20 -/- 4
wjackalope 17 21 -/- 21 28 14/- 21 27 8/3 26 20 34/- 17 24 28/- 23 20 22/- 3
bayboy 21 24 -/- 27 28 26/- 23 27 12/1 24 20 34/- 20 27 34/- 27 20 14/1 2
chikmagnet_565 20 30 -/- 21 27 16/- 22 31 10/2 27 23 40/- 13 24 22/2 28 17 12/2 6
San Fran Niners 17 21 -/- 28 35 28/- 21 28 8/3 28 14 22/1 14 24 22/2 30 20 8/3 9
bonbrillio 16 24 -/- 17 30 10/2 17 30 6/4 30 17 28/- 13 23 24/1 24 20 20/- 7
ZeroIndulgence 20 23 -/- 13 31 8/3 25 33 16/- 31 27 48/- 10 28 14/4 31 20 6/4 11
illini49er 23 17 34/5 17 26 18/- 14 27 6/4 31 21 36/- 10 24 22/2 26 20 16/- 11
Snitzel 10 17 -/- 10 28 14/- 24 31 14/- 21 17 28/- 12 21 28/- 28 14 12/2 2
mpotter14 19 23 -/- 19 35 10/2 17 21 12/1 21 20 34/- 18 22 30/- 21 17 26/- 3
Andrew Davidson 17 21 -/- 31 27 -/- 24 30 14/- 23 16 26/- 13 9 -/- 35 20 6/4 4
MATTCW 7 18 -/- 41 35 -/- 24 36 18/- 28 31 -/- 14 23 24/1 18 14 32/- 1
mountaindew77 17 24 -/- 13 27 16/- 21 30 8/3 24 20 34/- 10 23 24/1 28 21 12/2 6
howtheyscored 20 26 -/- 24 45 20/- 28 21 -/- 34 27 48/- 23 17 -/- 24 20 20/-
Delmuir 9 10 -/- 9 24 22/- 24 35 16/- 24 27 -/- 10 20 30/- 13 24 -/-
Ten-Man 16 24 -/- 19 26 18/- 20 31 8/3 30 23 40/- 20 24 34/- 24 17 20/- 3
Dub4lif3 13 23 -/- 20 34 12/1 27 31 20/- 23 10 16/3 27 20 -/- 24 20 20/- 4
groug 26 17 34/5 14 26 18/- 17 28 2/5 31 10 14/4 13 22 26/- 17 27 -/- 14
Edggy 12 17 -/- 3 42 22/- 27 24 -/- 20 24 -/- 10 20 30/- 24 21 20/-
Ninerfromacrossthepond 21 24 -/- 23 38 18/- 27 33 20/- 28 17 28/- 14 27 22/2 23 24 -/- 2
SanFranciscoKnights 20 24 -/- 24 34 20/- 23 24 12/1 29 23 40/- 15 14 -/- 26 24 16/- 1
grantmp 20 24 -/- 16 35 4/5 28 24 -/- 34 21 36/- 21 24 36/- 30 10 14/1 6
SpurredOn 20 28 -/- 23 31 18/- 27 38 22/- 30 28 50/- 17 20 30/- 16 20 -/-
fanoftheunderdogs 30 23 46/2 30 36 32/- 29 34 24/- 29 23 40/- 29 34 52/- 31 23 12/2 4
AKinferno 24 34 -/- 17 31 8/3 24 37 20/- 27 24 42/- 20 24 34/- 31 17 6/4 7
Chukwamu 17 23 -/- 27 38 26/- 24 31 14/- 27 17 28/- 9 24 22/2 26 24 16/- 2
jtoj 20 30 -/- 27 30 26/- 20 27 6/4 35 21 36/- 23 20 -/- 35 17 2/5 9
Haggardninja 20 28 -/- 24 35 20/- 25 39 24/- 24 21 36/- 13 14 42/- 24 17 20/-
jbrown63 17 21 -/- 20 31 12/1 30 31 26/- 31 13 20/2 13 27 20/3 23 17 22/- 6
jpgarfunkle 17 24 -/- 35 27 -/- 10 24 14/- 35 7 8/5 19 14 -/- 40 24 14/1 6
J2daZ 21 27 -/- 24 31 20/- 23 26 12/1 28 24 42/- 23 20 -/- 35 24 14/1 2
snowweasel30 13 24 -/- 17 23 24/- 27 31 20/- 26 21 36/- 20 16 -/- 27 20 14/1 1
mikeinsp 10 24 -/- 14 31 8/3 17 28 2/5 25 14 22/1 13 27 20/3 20 23 -/- 12
David Fucillo (Fooch) 16 23 -/- 17 34 6/4 21 27 8/3 31 17 28/- 13 27 20/3 13 17 -/- 10
leaping_larry 20 24 -/- 23 31 18/- 24 30 14/- 24 20 34/- 17 23 28/- 23 20 22/-
bignerd 20 27 -/- 20 35 12/1 27 20 -/- 30 14 22/1 16 20 30/- 17 23 -/- 2
sf49ers123 17 24 -/- 20 27 16/- 28 40 26/- 27 20 34/- 16 26 26/- 26 23 16/-
fortyniners 7 31 -/- 34 35 40/- 13 20 14/- 20 23 -/- 17 23 28/- 17 12 34/-
beecharmer 21 17 34/5 21 31 14/- 24 31 14/- 24 21 36/- 17 31 28/- 24 17 20/- 5
foosball4949 17 18 -/- 19 34 10/2 28 38 22/- 28 20 34/- 13 17 36/- 21 16 26/- 2
urnext 23 17 34/5 17 28 14/- 21 30 8/3 16 21 -/- 17 23 28/- 17 23 -/- 8
ezoo 21 24 -/- 30 27 -/- 24 21 -/- 28 20 34/- 20 23 34/- 24 17 20/-
49erLou 17 21 -/- 23 28 18/- 35 38 36/- 27 19 32/- 19 23 32/- 24 20 20/-

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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