FanPost

Week 12 Prediction Games: Mighty MATT


Thanksgiving has past and the home stretch of the NFL season has begun.  Now is the time when the winners are separated from the losers, when the predictors are separated from the not so good predictors.  Good teams go to the playoffs while bad teams watch their fans produce Hitler YouTube videos expounding upon their short comings.  Good predictors go to the Niners Nations Prediction Game Playoffs, bad predictors rejoice in knowing their real names are a concealed from public record.

Lets check the field, Week 12 results ...

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals

  1. MATTCW, sf49ers123 (8)
  2. Snitzel (12)
  3. bayboy, whobob, 49erLou, jbrown63, jtoj, ezoo (14)
  4. bayarearep94, Rabbit T, San Fran Niners, Ten-Man (16)
  5. Andrew Davidson, J2daZ, Rossalex, bonbrillio, Chukwamu, rlott#42 (20)

San Diego Chargers @ Indianapolis Colts

  1. fanoftheunderdogs, leaping_larry (18)
  2. mikeinsp, PHUT!, bayboy, Rossalex, Rabbit T, chikmagnet_565, mpotter14 (20)
  3. these3words, Dub4lif3, jpgarfunkle, snowweasel30 (24)
  4. Haggardninja, bignerd, SpurredOn (26)
  5. Delmuir, Ninerfromacrossthepond, 49erLou, grantmp (28)

Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons

  1. manraj7, illini49er, Rabbit T, urnext (6)
  2. MATTCW (8)
  3. fortyniners, Haggardninja (12)
  4. Edggy, fanoftheunderdogs, jbrown63, snowweasel30 (14)
  5. mikeinsp, Andrew Davidson, Dub4lif3, Rossalex, groug, beecharmer (16)

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

  1. MATTCW (6)
  2. foosball4949 (18)
  3. howtheyscored, groug, jpgarfunkle (20)
  4. mountaindew77, Rossalex, David Fucillo (Fooch), 49erLou, urnext (26)
  5. these3words, San Fran Niners, Haggardninja (28)

Miami Dolphins @ Oakland Raiders

  1. jtoj (12)
  2. Dub4lif3, DuikeBuike, grantmp (18)
  3. mikeinsp (20)
  4. Edggy, ezoo (24)
  5. ZeroIndulgence (26)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

  1. fortyniners (4)
  2. howtheyscored, whobob (6)
  3. Edggy (8)
  4. chikmagnet_565, fanoftheunderdogs (10)
  5. mpotter14 (14)

Week 12 Analysis

Do you really need my analysis? I've sunk like Dennis Miller's career. Even if I do find a way to surface again, I'd be a mere shadow of my former self.

Ok, there is one thing ... were the Raiders playing the Miami Dolphins or the Washington Capitals? Everyone picked the Raiders, THE RAY-DUHS! What the - - - - was everyone thinking? Better question, what the - - - - happened to Tyler Thigpen? I thought he was starting for the Dolphins, I guess not!

The Week's Big 5 Prognosticators (maybe)

MATTCW - The headline was talking about this Matt. Is he secretly Matt Barrows? I don't think so. Matt with all caps, suggesting he could be an arse. Not that I am judging but since he destroyed us this week I will anyways. CONGRATS matt, CONGRATS.

Rabbit T - I liked him better when he was the lovable loser. He's been on a massive roll. He's got this ridiculous Whacko of the Week pick thing he squawks about, it doesn't work but it hasn't mattered. I should mention I've had terrible luck with pet rabbits, I've had several move into the neighbors yard.

fanoftheunderdogs - Speaking of my pets I found out he's a Titan fan. At least I know where I can return him now. He has his good and bad. He marks his territory after every comment. Yet, he's the only known NN outsider who comes to play every week, that's kinda cool.

mikeinsp, fortyniners, Dub4lif3, Rossalex & jtoj - I use the term Top Prognosticators loosely with this crowd, 8 points ... not really Top 5 worthy but what I can do when the rest of the crowd stinks. mikeinsp, sorry I couldn't count 5:38pm as before kickoff. fortyniners, YAAAA!!! Dub4lif3, welcome to the winners circle I know its rare for a Dubs fan. Rossalex, excellent 1st week are you coming back? jtoj, really why don't you call out those who pick against the 49ers, prediction game isn't the same without it.

Week 11 Comments Recap

these3words, 1st the 2nd time around ... these3words gives the double bird [SITE DECORUM] to the rest of the field ... mountaindew77 prediction contest tops his weeks ... manraj7 non sequitur to his fantasy football team and Boise St. football ... chikmagnet_565 and manraj7 are like this ... grantmp a week or two away from passing me ... urnext what if, what if, what if ... fanoftheunderdogs fraternizing with urnext will get you booted ... howtheyscored I thought it was funny, they didn't get it ... urnext what if, what if, what if ... jtoj OMFG, why I never figured out to add the F disappoints me ... wjackalope a nay week ... fanoftheunderdogs marking wjackalope (I told you so) ... Haggardninja you've come a long way student ... howtheyscored reflective nay comment ... groug suggests bringing back wjerkalope, oh you get to say it! .... howtheyscored good burn ... groug come on, do it! ... chikmagnet_565 captain save wjerkalope returns ... groug I'm afraid ... chikmagnet_565 bows to no one ... fanoftheunderdogs marks my fan post ... Andrew Davidson WTF happened to the gambling? ... PHUT! Jags > Browns, PHUT! Now > PHUT! Prior ... 49erLou slobberknocker, +1 rec'd ... PHUT! +2, but don't remember that line ... jbrown63 rate of change = no change ... fanoftheunderdogs pees on jbrown63, marking again.

Leader Board After Week 12 (anti-bignerd board)

  • DuikeBuike - you're good, please help me
  • howtheyscored - has a masters degree in this
  • these3words - maybe changing to that1word will make the difference, go Eilse
  • whobob - not on tops list this week, snicker snicker
  • illini49er - going to the Packers game?
  • mikeinsp - waited to long to submit 49ers pick which cost you points
  • chikmagnet_565 - steady eddie
  • leaping_larry - 5th again next week?
  • fanoftheunderdogs - jumping for joy
  • Andrew Davidson - should have kept gambling
  • ZeroIndulgence - eh, he won't talk to me
  • urnext - whatever, L
  • rlott#42 - one point breaks the goose egg streak
  • Rabbit T - got luck?
  • manraj7 - complains about picks on the fantasy football board
  • bayarearep94 - it's all good, he's a rep in the bay
  • Haggardninja - playoffs baby, if the season ended today
Rank Screen Name Points Wk1 Wk2 Wk3 Wk4 Wk5 Wk6 Wk7 Wk8 Wk9 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12
1. DuikeBuike 80 13 6 9 5 1 3 8 8 10 7 6 4
2. howtheyscored 71 3 7 4 20 2 5 5 10 6 2 0 7
3. these3words 70 8 9 0 4 8 6 3 10 1 12 5 4
4. whobob 69 0 9 12 4 4 6 12 3 1 11 7
5. illini49er 65 1 8 0 5 0 3 9 12 9 2 11 5
6. mikeinsp 63 0 3 2 5 2 8 5 6 5 7 12 8
7. chikmagnet_565 60 7 9 0 9 4 5 0 3 8 3 6 6
7. leaping_larry 60 0 11 5 3 3 11 8 3 9 2 0 5
9. fanoftheunderdogs 59 9 5 10 10 3 3 6 4 9
10. Andrew Davidson 58 0 11 0 1 1 11 4 7 12 5 4 2
10. ZeroIndulgence 58 0 6 0 3 14 3 7 0 3 10 11 1
12. urnext 57 1 5 13 8 8 0 7 8 7
12. rlott#42 57 11 8 8 8 0 0 9 6 6 0 0 1
12. Rabbit T 57 4 5 4 6 2 5 9 7 4 0 11
15. manraj7 55 6 4 1 8 6 3 0 8 3 3 8 5
15. bayarearep94 55 1 0 4 16 11 2 9 10 2
15. Haggardninja 55 2 3 0 1 9 2 10 4 9 9 0 6
18. mountaindew77 54 0 5 4 2 0 2 3 8 7 15 6 2
18. wjackalope 54 0 10 2 3 2 14 7 3 8 2 3 0
20. jbrown63 53 5 5 0 0 4 5 10 4 6 3 6 5
20. David Fucillo (Fooch) 53 5 3 1 5 0 0 0 13 6 8 10 2
20. sf49ers123 53 8 7 9 5 0 5 6 0 8 0 5
23. Drew K 52 2 5 5 2 10 3 5 1 5 5 9 0
23. bayboy 52 0 3 4 1 0 10 4 2 10 9 2 7
25. foosball4949 51 6 4 5 0 0 13 11 6 2 4
25. Ten-Man 51 0 8 7 4 6 6 12 3 3 2
25. groug 51 0 0 4 0 5 5 12 3 0 4 14 4
28. Ninerfromacrossthepond 50 5 7 0 4 5 7 0 5 14 2 1
28. jtoj 50 5 4 0 1 1 4 7 1 5 5 9 8
30. ezoo 49 9 3 4 0 4 8 6 5 4 1 0 5
30. Dub4lif3 49 1 8 0 6 6 3 4 9 4 8
32. mpotter14 48 0 7 2 4 1 5 1 19 1 0 3 5
32. snowweasel30 48 8 5 5 4 3 3 0 8 5 1 1 5
32. Snitzel 48 8 7 3 5 11 0 8 2 4
35. 49erLou 47 3 8 0 2 1 3 9 5 6 4 0 6
36. fortyniners 46 0 3 4 0 4 2 3 16 6 0 8
36. beecharmer 46 4 4 4 1 0 0 5 6 13 3 5 1
38. Chukwamu 45 3 10 7 3 15 4 2 1
38. bignerd 45 0 3 2 7 13 4 4 3 3 2 2 2
40. PHUT! 44 1 3 1 7 0 3 0 0 1 14 10 4
40. AKinferno 44 8 2 2 0 3 5 2 1 10 4 7 0
42. jpgarfunkle 42 3 5 4 2 4 0 2 0 6 4 6 6
42. MATTCW 42 12 2 2 0 9 0 2 1 14
44. bonbrillio 41 1 5 0 1 6 2 8 3 4 3 7 1
45. San Fran Niners 36 7 5 8 4 9 3
45. SpurredOn 36 3 3 7 6 0 2 0 4 5 4 0 2
47. Delmuir 35 6 5 4 0 3 7 7 0 2 0 1
48. McTee 34 1 4 1 7 1 5 3 2 4 6 0 0
49. grantmp 33 0 3 0 1 0 3 5 1 5 4 6 5
50. J2daZ 31 1 0 0 0 13 3 4 2 5 2 1
50. SanFranciscoKnights 31 2 3 11 8 6 1 0
52. Edggy 29 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 4 6 5 0 7
53. Surprise Team 24 1 3 2 7 0 1 6 2 2
54. Number22Drew 23 0 11 0 5 7
54. mr. instigator 23 3 2 1 2 2 10 3
56. albertoleecho 20 2 7 3 3 0 0 0 5
57. SaintsFanInIraq 19 14 2 3
58. SuspendingBJ 18 3 1 4 3 5 0 2 0
59. ro128487 17 5 3 4 1 4
60. suffrin9erfan 15 7 8
60. RBoogy29 15 5 10 0
62. EcERyda69 14 6 0 6 2 0 0
62. CB30 14 1 3 4 6
62. Dubs fan in Boston 14 4 4 6 0
65. smileyman 12 0 3 3 3 0 3
66. The Sear 11 11
67. eacuna05 9 5 4
67. nocal81 9 0 5 4
69. Rossalex 8 8
69. sundaysfinest 8 3 3 2 0 0
69. YoungWillis 8 3 5
69. price14rays 8 8
73. dlh 7 7
74. TexansDC 6 6
74. SupremeChief 6 6
74. Hoopers Judge 6 6
74. bojackson34 6 6
78. afrikabamboodle 5 5
78. espino 5 5
78. Riding The F Train 5 5 0
81. DivineGrace 4 4
81. Rishi 4 0 4
81. satsunada 4 4
81. mississippisaintsfan 4 4
81. j-man 4 2 2
86. DrWhoDat 3 3
86. BobE 3 0 3
86. TOMZ 3 3
86. Doni S 3 3
86. cassusriff 3 3 0
86. LADubbz45 3 3
92. Kevin Pernick 2 2
92. LASVEGASNINER 2 0 2 0
92. JoeO 2 2
92. TeeKay89 2 2
92. Salukininer 2 0 2
92. MichaelClutchtree 2 2
92. sam23 2 2
92. Rando3 2 2
92. Waiting4JoshMorgan 2 2 0
101. ItBurnzWhenIP 1 1
101. OnCloudNiner 1 1
101. Florida Danny 1 1

Week 12 Big Board Predictions

Such little scores this week. The disaster is documented here. Hopefully no scoring errors because I have yet to apologize for last week, just keep watching.

Screen Name SF ARZ s/p SD IND s/p GB ATL s/p TEN HOU s/p MIA OAK s/p PHI CHI s/p tot
mikeinsp -/- 28 24 20/4 21 28 16/1 136 24 -/- 23 20 20/3 31 17 -/- 8
Andrew Davidson 27 16 20/1 28 34 -/- 24 28 16/1 21 28 42/- 6 16 -/- 30 20 -/- 2
J2daZ 17 14 20/1 27 33 -/- 24 21 -/- 21 26 42/- 10 12 -/- 41 23 -/- 1
PHUT! 13 10 28/- 28 24 20/4 31 20 -/- 22 24 44/- 15 18 -/- 38 13 -/- 4
fortyniners 24 21 30/- 26 37 -/- 13 14 12/3 18 21 36/- 20 23 -/- 28 31 4/5 8
these3words 20 23 -/- 31 26 24/3 28 31 22/- 14 20 28/1 7 24 -/- 24 10 -/- 4
MATTCW 24 10 8/5 28 31 -/- 21 24 8/4 0 17 6/5 3 20 -/- 27 3 -/- 14
Edggy 10 20 -/- 24 31 -/- 24 27 14/2 23 20 -/- 21 13 24/2 24 27 8/3 7
manraj7 20 23 -/- 17 24 -/- 20 23 6/5 20 23 40/- 20 23 -/- 24 17 -/- 5
Delmuir 10 9 34/- 31 28 28/1 26 13 -/- 17 30 34/- 17 28 -/- 35 18 -/- 1
Dub4lif3 27 24 36/- 34 26 24/3 24 28 16/1 20 21 40/- 24 17 18/4 38 21 -/- 8
bayarearep94 24 14 16/2 21 31 -/- 24 31 22/- 17 27 34/- 13 21 -/- 35 17 -/- 2
bayboy 24 13 14/3 27 24 20/4 28 16 -/- 23 21 -/- 13 27 -/- 33 20 -/- 7
sf49ers123 24 10 8/5 24 34 -/- 26 27 18/- 17 27 34/- 17 20 -/- 28 21 -/- 5
mountaindew77 27 17 22/- 20 31 -/- 27 26 -/- 13 24 26/2 16 13 34/- 34 17 -/- 2
howtheyscored 26 23 34/- 17 27 -/- 31 23 -/- 10 24 20/3 13 17 -/- 24 28 6/4 7
illini49er 14 20 -/- 20 24 -/- 17 23 6/5 17 27 34/- 13 24 -/- 27 21 -/- 5
Rossalex 17 10 20/1 28 24 20/4 24 28 16/1 13 24 26/2 15 18 -/- 31 17 -/- 8
DuikeBuike 23 17 22/- 27 30 -/- 30 24 -/- 24 20 -/- 24 13 18/4 30 20 -/- 4
Rabbit T 20 14 16/2 31 24 20/4 20 23 6/5 19 30 38/- 17 24 -/- 28 21 -/- 11
chikmagnet_565 14 10 26/- 27 24 20/4 26 20 -/- 20 28 40/- 16 17 -/- 21 26 10/2 6
fanoftheunderdogs 21 17 22/- 27 23 18/5 21 27 14/2 20 17 -/- 10 24 -/- 23 26 10/2 9
Drew K 17 23 -/- 20 29 -/- 20 10 -/- 17 33 34/- 13 26 -/- 28 17 -/-
AKinferno 31 17 22/- 27 31 -/- 24 20 -/- 20 23 40/- 17 23 -/- 31 20 -/-
groug 23 24 -/- 14 28 -/- 17 28 16/1 10 27 20/3 16 27 -/- 31 14 -/- 4
David Fucillo (Fooch) 27 17 22/- 24 30 -/- 24 31 22/- 13 24 26/2 13 20 -/- 34 24 -/- 2
whobob 24 13 14/3 17 31 -/- 20 16 -/- 19 28 38/- 6 13 -/- 23 28 6/4 7
Ninerfromacrossthepond 23 20 28/- 31 28 28/1 34 27 -/- 27 24 -/- 13 24 -/- 27 23 -/- 1
bonbrillio 20 16 20/1 24 31 -/- 23 18 -/- 16 24 32/- 16 24 -/- 28 20 -/- 1
San Fran Niners 28 14 16/2 21 32 -/- 28 21 -/- 14 21 28/1 20 21 -/- 21 10 -/- 3
Chukwamu 17 13 20/1 27 34 -/- 28 17 -/- 17 27 34/- 10 24 -/- 23 20 -/- 1
49erLou 24 13 14/3 33 28 28/1 27 24 -/- 13 26 26/2 10 21 -/- 30 27 -/- 6
Haggardninja 24 20 28/- 31 27 26/2 23 26 12/3 14 24 28/1 9 20 -/- 27 16 -/- 6
jpgarfunkle 13 20 -/- 24 20 24/3 31 17 -/- 10 24 20/3 3 10 -/- 24 13 -/- 6
bignerd 23 27 -/- 31 27 26/2 34 23 -/- 20 24 40/- 10 23 -/- 20 22 18/- 2
SpurredOn 20 17 22/- 31 27 26/2 21 16 -/- 20 31 40/- 10 20 -/- 24 20 -/- 2
Ten-Man 19 13 16/2 20 27 -/- 23 31 22/- 20 26 40/- 13 23 -/- 34 19 -/- 2
jbrown63 20 13 14/3 20 27 -/- 24 27 14/2 20 27 40/- 13 20 -/- 37 17 -/- 5
wjackalope 17 20 -/- 23 28 -/- 24 21 -/- 21 27 42/- 17 21 -/- 28 20 -/-
foosball4949 17 20 -/- 20 28 -/- 30 34 28/- 9 24 18/4 16 14 34/- 27 19 -/- 4
leaping_larry 20 17 22/- 27 23 18/5 27 21 -/- 17 24 34/- 16 20 -/- 24 20 -/- 5
jtoj 26 13 14/3 28 31 -/- 28 17 -/- 27 28 54/- 27 20 12/5 33 27 -/- 8
beecharmer 17 21 -/- 21 28 -/- 24 28 16/1 21 31 42/- 18 21 -/- 24 18 -/- 1
ezoo 20 13 14/3 27 28 -/- 30 27 -/- 27 21 -/- 21 20 24/2 28 6 -/- 5
snowweasel30 31 23 34/- 30 26 24/3 21 27 14/2 17 20 34/- 13 20 -/- 34 20 -/- 5
SanFranciscoKnights 23 20 28/- 38 31 34/- 31 27 -/- 16 26 32/- 16 19 -/- 25 22 -/-
urnext 13 18 -/- 21 31 -/- 17 23 6/5 13 25 26/2 17 14 32/- 17 23 18/- 7
grantmp 24 21 30/- 31 28 28/1 27 20 -/- 17 28 34/- 24 14 18/4 28 21 -/- 5
Snitzel 21 7 12/4 21 28 -/- -/- -/- 14 21 -/- 28 21 -/- 4
rlott#42 20 16 20/1 31 45 -/- -/- -/- 17 23 -/- 20 13 -/- 1
ZeroIndulgence 17 24 -/- 31 38 -/- -/- -/- 20 17 26/1 24 20 -/- 1
mpotter14 23 20 28/- 27 24 20/4 -/- -/- 17 27 -/- 21 24 14/1 5
McTee 20 17 22/- 24 28 -/- -/- -/- 21 24 -/- 28 20 -/-

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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