FanPost

Week 15 Prediction Games: Dre'idel

Better late than never.  Holiday season is suppose to be a time to slow down.  Not here, it's time to pile on so everyone else can whisk away for the holidays.  BTW, have a happy holiday and don't forget to get your predictions in prior to Sunday.

Playoff Format:

I've been thinking long and hard about the appropriate playoff format.  Last year an NCAA tournament bracket format was tried with one on one match ups leading up to the SB to determine the champion.  This years playoff format is going to attempt to be as similar to the regular season format as possible while incorporating an elimination process. 

1. The top sixteen finishers in the regular season prediction contest move onto the playoffs.  Everyone tied for 16th place is included in the playoffs, meaning if 5 people are tied at 16th place than the playoffs will start out with 20 contestants.

2. The scoring system will remain the same as the regular season. Predict the game winner and score closest to the actual score to accumulate points.  Still 10 points for predicting a perfect score, if not 5 points for 1st place, 4 points for 2nd, 3 points for 3rd, 2 points for 4th and 1 point for 5th place.

3. Each week will have eliminations.  The bottom tier predictors will be eliminated with the rest moving on to play another week til the SB where a winner will be crowned.  Each week is scored individually, meaning everyone starts back at zero points.  Ideally the bottom four people will be eliminated each week.

4. All 16 contestants play the Wild Card round. Top 12 advance onto the Divisional Round.  Top 8 advance onto the Championship Games.  Top 4 advance onto the Super Bowl.

5. Like entering the playoffs, being tied for the last advancement spot will move a contestant onto the next round.  For example if two people tie for 12th place on Wild Card weekend than both will advance to the next round.  If your score is zero after any round than you are eliminated. Sorry even if tied for the final advancement spot a zero gets you eliminated.  Why I say ideally the contest will try to eliminate the bottom 4 players each round, possibly more than four get eliminated, possibly less than four get eliminated.

Those not in the Playoffs:

Those who do not qualify for the playoff tournament receive an invitation to the Bignerd Invitational Tournament (BIT).  What's an invitation?  Well, if you see the prediction contest and want to play than you are invited.  Like the regular season the scoring format will remain same.  Points will accumulate each week with the top scorer after the SB is crowned the winner.

Ok, now onto Week 15 results ...

San Francisco 49ers @ San Diego Chargers

  1. PHUT! (8)
  2. groug, whobob (12)
  3. Andrew Davidson (16)
  4. grantmp, Drew K, ezoo, Ninerfromacrossthepond, mpotter14, illini49er, leaping_larry, DuikeBuike (20)
  5. these3words, manraj7, ZeroIndulgence, Rabbit T, jpgarfunkle, mikeinsp (26)

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings

  1. 49erLou (14)
  2. jpgarfunkle (18)
  3. Andrew Davidson, J2daZ, howtheyscored (20)
  4. Rhombus, PHUT!, San Fran Niners, reedkrase, sf49ers123, Haggardninja, imjuliooo89 (24)
  5. grantmp, Rabbit T, Drew K, fanoftheunderdogs, whobob, jbrown63, mpotter14, Chukwamu, DuikeBuike, mountaindew77 (26)

Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots

  1. DuikeBuike (6)
  2. Ninerfromacrossthepond, McTee (8)
  3. Drew K, wjackalope (14)
  4. Rhombus, manraj7, ZeroIndulgence, sf49ers123, fanoftheunderdogs, whobob, Delmuir, mpotter14, Ten-Man, mountaindew77 (20)
  5. fortyniners, TeeKay89, David Fucillo (Fooch) (22)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts

  1. fortyniners (2)
  2. grantmp, chikmagnet_565, Drew K, J2daZ, Haggardninja, whobob, jbrown63, Edggy, leaping_larry, bignerd (6)
  3. groug, San Fran Niners, Andrew Davidson, Rossalex, ezoo, howtheyscored, illini49er, Chukwamu (8)
  4. Ten-Man (10)
  5. sf49ers123, MATTCW, McTee, 49erLou (12)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

  1. Haggardninja (8)
  2. SpurredOn (10)
  3. foosball4949, Chukwamu (14)
  4. Drew K (16)
  5. Rabbit T, beecharmer (20)

Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks

  1. Andrew Davidson (4)
  2. ZeroIndulgence, sf49ers123, illini49er, bignerd, beecharmer (6)
  3. Rossalex, Delmuir, leaping_larry, 49erLou (8)
  4. fanoftheunderdogs, Ten-Man (10)
  5. groug, TeeKay89, wjackalope, urnext (12)

The Week's Big 5 Prognosticators

Andrew Davidson - Was harassing me earlier in the week as to where were the prediction results, now I know why. Yes you are good, got your likeness in the fan post title and have generally been disgruntled throughout the 49ers season.

Drew K - How appropriate we feature Drew with draft talk kicking off this week. Stick around and we will get to see which of his picks are better, prediction contest or draft.

Haggardninja - You'd never guess he had no clue what he was doing at the start of this contest. A top 5 placement puts him in better position to secure a playoff spot. I'm sure I'll have explain the rules to him all over again.

whobob - Bob is constantly ranking in the Top 5. If I'm rooting for ninja than I'm definitely rooting for bob to crash and burn in the playoffs. whobob, please finish 6th and get off my list for one week.

sf49ers123, illini49er, leaping_larry and 49erLou - Yep, all of them again. It was that kind of week.

Leader Board After Week 15

  • DuikeBuike - 1st place ... so far
  • howtheyscored - Excellent job ... so far
  • 49erLou - Doing well ... so far
  • whobob - Right on pace ... so far
  • leaping_larry - Looking good ... so far
  • Andrew Davidson - A good performance ... so far
  • foosball4949 - Nice job ... so far
  • illini49er - Feeling good ... so far
  • these3words - Impressive ... so far
  • Haggardninja - Good job ... so far
  • mikeinsp - Peer recognition ... so far
  • sf49ers123 - Keeping pace ... so far
  • ZeroIndulgence - Making the grade ... so far
  • groug - Holding on ... so far
  • Rabbit T - Above the crowd ... so far
  • rlott#42 - Marching along ... so far
  • PHUT! - You Qualify ... so far
  • wjackalope - Continuing to cling on ... so far
Rank Screen Name Points W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15
1. DuikeBuike 88 13 6 9 5 1 3 8 8 10 7 6 4 0 8
2. howtheyscored 85 3 7 4 20 2 5 5 10 6 2 0 7 5 3 6
3. 49erLou 84 3 8 0 2 1 3 9 5 6 4 0 6 14 14 9
4. whobob 82 0 9 12 4 4 6 12 3 1 11 7 2 0 11
4. leaping_larry 82 0 11 5 3 3 11 8 3 9 2 0 5 5 8 9
4. Andrew Davidson 82 0 11 0 1 1 11 4 7 12 5 4 2 4 6 14
7. foosball4949 81 6 4 5 0 0 13 11 6 2 4 20 7 3
7. illini49er 81 1 8 0 5 0 3 9 12 9 2 11 5 5 2 9
9. these3words 80 8 9 0 4 8 6 3 10 1 12 5 4 9 0 1
10. Haggardninja 78 2 3 0 1 9 2 10 4 9 9 0 6 4 8 11
10. mikeinsp 78 0 3 2 5 2 8 5 6 5 7 12 10 6 6 1
12. sf49ers123 76 8 7 9 5 0 5 6 0 8 0 5 10 4 9
13. ZeroIndulgence 74 0 6 0 3 14 3 7 0 3 10 11 1 5 4 7
14. groug 72 0 0 4 0 5 5 12 3 0 4 14 4 5 8 8
14. Rabbit T 72 4 5 4 6 2 5 9 7 4 0 11 1 11 3
16. rlott#42 71 11 8 8 8 0 0 9 6 6 0 0 1 3 11 0
16. PHUT! 71 1 3 1 7 0 3 0 0 1 14 10 4 8 12 7
16. wjackalope 71 0 10 2 3 2 14 7 3 8 2 3 0 4 9 4
19. chikmagnet_565 70 7 9 0 9 4 5 0 3 8 3 6 6 5 1 4
20. jbrown63 68 5 5 0 0 4 5 10 4 6 3 6 5 5 5 5
20. Drew K 68 2 5 5 2 10 3 5 1 5 5 9 0 1 3 12
20. fanoftheunderdogs 68 9 5 10 10 3 3 6 4 9 0 4 5
23. urnext 67 1 5 13 8 8 0 7 8 7 2 7 1
23. mpotter14 67 0 7 2 4 1 5 1 19 1 0 3 5 1 13 5
25. ezoo 66 9 3 4 0 4 8 6 5 4 1 0 5 10 2 5
25. Chukwamu 66 3 10 7 3 15 4 2 1 6 8 7
25. Ninerfromacrossthepond 66 5 7 0 4 5 7 0 5 14 2 1 3 7 6
28. manraj7 64 6 4 1 8 6 3 0 8 3 3 8 5 3 3 3
29. mountaindew77 63 0 5 4 2 0 2 3 8 7 15 6 2 6 0 3
30. snowweasel30 62 8 5 5 4 3 3 0 8 5 1 1 5 2 12 0
31. bayarearep94 61 1 0 4 16 11 2 9 10 2 6
32. David Fucillo (Fooch) 60 5 3 1 5 0 0 0 13 6 8 10 2 1 5 1
32. beecharmer 60 4 4 4 1 0 0 5 6 13 3 5 1 4 5 5
32. Ten-Man 60 0 8 7 4 6 6 12 3 3 2 1 2 6
32. Dub4lif3 60 1 8 0 6 6 3 4 9 4 8 4 7 0
32. bonbrillio 60 1 5 0 1 6 2 8 3 4 3 7 6 2 12 0
32. bayboy 60 0 3 4 1 0 10 4 2 10 9 2 7 4 4 0
38. jtoj 58 5 4 0 1 1 4 7 1 5 5 9 8 1 7 0
39. San Fran Niners 57 7 5 8 4 9 3 9 7 5
40. fortyniners 56 0 3 4 0 4 2 3 16 6 0 8 0 4 6
40. AKinferno 56 8 2 2 0 3 5 2 1 10 4 7 0 6 6
42. jpgarfunkle 55 3 5 4 2 4 0 2 0 6 4 6 6 6 2 5
43. bignerd 54 0 3 2 7 13 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 0 8
44. McTee 52 1 4 1 7 1 5 3 2 4 6 0 0 8 5 5
45. grantmp 51 0 3 0 1 0 3 5 1 5 4 6 5 6 5 7
46. Delmuir 49 6 5 4 0 3 7 7 0 2 0 1 4 5 5
47. Snitzel 48 8 7 3 5 11 0 8 2 4 0
48. MATTCW 47 12 2 2 0 9 0 2 1 14 0 4 1
49. SpurredOn 46 3 3 7 6 0 2 0 4 5 4 0 2 0 6 4
50. J2daZ 42 1 0 0 0 13 3 4 2 5 2 1 4 0 7
51. SanFranciscoKnights 41 2 3 11 8 6 1 0 4 6
52. Edggy 39 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 4 6 5 0 7 0 6 4
53. albertoleecho 30 2 7 3 3 0 0 0 5 10
54. Surprise Team 24 1 3 2 7 0 1 6 2 2
55. Rossalex 23 8 3 6 6
55. Number22Drew 23 0 11 0 5 7
55. mr. instigator 23 3 2 1 2 2 10 3
58. SaintsFanInIraq 19 14 2 3
59. SuspendingBJ 18 3 1 4 3 5 0 2 0
60. ro128487 17 5 3 4 1 4
61. suffrin9erfan 15 7 8
61. RBoogy29 15 5 10 0
63. EcERyda69 14 6 0 6 2 0 0
63. CB30 14 1 3 4 6
63. Dubs fan in Boston 14 4 4 6 0
66. imjuliooo89 13 6 5 2
67. smileyman 12 0 3 3 3 0 3
68. The Sear 11 11
69. TeeKay89 10 2 6 2
70. eacuna05 9 5 4
70. nocal81 9 0 5 4
72. sundaysfinest 8 3 3 2 0 0
72. YoungWillis 8 3 5
72. price14rays 8 8
75. dlh 7 7
76. TexansDC 6 6
76. SupremeChief 6 6
76. Hoopers Judge 6 6
76. bojackson34 6 6
80. afrikabamboodle 5 5
80. espino 5 5
80. Riding The F Train 5 5 0
83. Rhombus 4 4
83. DivineGrace 4 4
83. Rishi 4 0 4
83. satsunada 4 4
83. mississippisaintsfan 4 4
83. j-man 4 2 2
89. DrWhoDat 3 3
89. BobE 3 0 3
89. TOMZ 3 3
89. Doni S 3 3
89. cassusriff 3 3 0
89. LADubbz45 3 3
95. Kevin Pernick 2 2
95. LASVEGASNINER 2 0 2 0
95. JoeO 2 2
95. Salukininer 2 0 2
95. MichaelClutchtree 2 2
95. sam23 2 2
95. Rando3 2 2
95. Jesse Reed 2 2
95. reedkrase 2 2
95. Waiting4JoshMorgan 2 2 0
105. ItBurnzWhenIP 1 1
105. OnCloudNiner 1 1
105. Florida Danny 1 1

Week 15 Big Board Predictions

I was in a rush, the format for last week was funky so please check your scores. Any errors resulting in point correction will show up in next week's results.

Screen Name SF SD s/p CHI MIN s/p GB NE s/p JAC IND s/p PHI NYG s/p ATL SEA s/p tot
Rhombus 27 20 -/- 28 21 24/2 17 31 20/2 13 28 22/- 27 24 22/- 24 10 20/- 4
PHUT! 10 30 8/5 28 10 24/2 10 31 34/- 29 28 -/- 27 21 22/- 40 7 22/- 7
bayboy 27 23 -/- 20 17 40/- 10 24 34/- 27 23 -/- 23 24 -/- 27 13 14/-
groug 13 31 12/4 20 14 40/- 6 34 42/- 23 30 8/3 27 17 28/- 28 13 12/1 8
San Fran Niners 21 20 -/- 28 10 24/2 10 35 34/- 21 30 8/3 24 21 28/- 28 3 30/- 5
fortyniners 19 15 -/- 17 9 46/- 16 36 22/1 24 33 2/5 24 21 28/- 35 28 20/- 6
these3words 20 30 26/1 21 7 38/- 13 23 28/- 30 26 -/- 27 35 -/- 21 26 -/- 1
grantmp 17 28 20/2 27 13 26/1 10 30 34/- 21 31 6/4 21 24 -/- 27 17 14/- 7
manraj7 20 23 26/1 24 17 32/- 17 24 20/2 20 23 22/- 24 17 28/- 24 17 20/- 3
bonbrillio 24 20 -/- 17 6 46/- 7 30 40/- 27 24 -/- 27 24 22/- 23 16 22/-
chikmagnet_565 25 20 -/- 20 3 40/- 10 20 34/- 24 31 6/4 17 21 -/- 27 20 14/- 4
ZeroIndulgence 20 31 26/1 16 20 -/- 17 38 20/2 24 27 14/- 20 23 -/- 31 17 6/4 7
Andrew Davidson 14 42 16/3 30 17 20/3 14 38 26/- 20 30 8/3 24 21 28/- 34 16 4/5 14
reedkrase 27 26 -/- 31 2 24/2 34 24 -/- 13 27 22/- 16 24 -/- 41 13 14/- 2
Rossalex 27 24 -/- 20 10 40/- 10 41 34/- 20 31 8/3 27 21 22/- 38 17 8/3 6
Rabbit T 20 34 26/1 27 9 26/1 12 30 30/- 20 24 20/- 28 23 20/1 27 17 14/- 3
sf49ers123 28 26 -/- 28 10 24/2 17 40 20/2 26 28 12/1 27 28 -/- 31 20 6/4 9
Drew K 17 31 20/2 27 14 26/1 20 34 14/3 23 31 6/4 30 24 16/2 24 17 20/- 12
MATTCW 33 27 -/- 24 6 32/- 24 18 -/- 24 28 12/1 14 17 -/- 34 6 24/- 1
fanoftheunderdogs 24 37 34/- 27 13 26/1 17 28 20/2 23 27 14/- 24 14 34/- 29 13 10/2 5
J2daZ 23 28 32/- 30 12 20/3 9 28 36/- 21 31 6/4 26 23 24/- 35 3 30/- 7
Haggardninja 27 23 -/- 28 13 24/2 10 34 34/- 23 31 6/4 34 27 8/5 23 14 22/- 11
whobob 13 35 12/4 27 14 26/1 20 21 20/2 24 31 6/4 27 31 -/- 20 23 -/- 11
ezoo 13 24 20/2 10 13 -/- 6 27 42/- 27 30 8/3 23 20 30/- 28 10 16/- 5
jbrown63 27 24 -/- 27 13 26/1 -/- 24 31 6/4 27 20 22/- 24 10 20/- 5
Ninerfromacrossthepond 17 31 20/2 27 31 -/- 24 27 8/4 30 13 -/- 17 34 -/- 24 13 20/- 6
jpgarfunkle 20 24 26/1 31 10 18/4 7 28 40/- 28 20 -/- 30 20 22/- 24 17 20/- 5
snowweasel30 28 23 -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/-
foosball4949 24 38 34/- 26 19 28/- 10 34 34/- 14 21 26/- 31 28 14/3 27 10 16/- 3
howtheyscored 27 20 -/- 30 13 20/3 7 28 40/- 24 30 8/3 17 24 -/- 42 9 18/- 6
mikeinsp 20 24 26/1 21 10 38/- 6 31 42/- 17 31 14/- 27 20 22/- 24 7 22/- 1
jtoj 26 23 -/- 24 10 32/- 10 35 34/- -/- -/- -/-
Delmuir 21 20 -/- 24 9 32/- 17 35 20/2 20 24 20/- 19 28 -/- 30 17 8/3 5
SpurredOn 34 27 -/- 20 13 40/- 14 23 26/- 20 24 20/- 33 28 10/4 27 24 14/- 4
imjuliooo89 21 10 -/- 28 6 24/2 14 28 26/- 21 20 -/- 35 14 34/- 42 9 18/- 2
Edggy 31 27 -/- 24 10 32/- 3 42 48/- 21 31 6/4 17 24 -/- 35 10 16/- 4
mpotter14 17 28 20/2 27 13 26/1 17 32 20/2 17 20 28/- 27 24 22/- 21 24 -/- 5
McTee 21 31 28/- 17 13 46/- 31 34 8/4 27 28 12/1 24 27 -/- 20 10 28/- 5
illini49er 17 27 20/2 17 12 46/- 13 24 28/- 20 31 8/3 26 21 24/- 31 17 6/4 9
TeeKay89 35 24 -/- 15 17 -/- 16 30 22/1 21 45 22/- 17 24 -/- 28 13 12/1 2
Ten-Man 31 26 -/- 24 10 32/- 17 38 20/2 23 29 10/2 27 20 22/- 38 13 10/2 6
wjackalope 21 27 28/- 24 20 32/- 20 31 14/3 21 27 14/- 23 26 -/- 28 20 12/1 4
leaping_larry 17 30 20/2 24 13 32/- 13 30 28/- 27 31 6/4 23 27 -/- 30 16 8/3 9
bignerd 27 34 40/- 21 10 38/- 10 40 34/- 27 33 6/4 24 27 -/- 31 20 6/4 8
David Fucillo (Fooch) 27 17 -/- 23 13 34/- 16 34 22/1 17 27 14/- 20 27 -/- 17 24 -/- 1
rlott#42 35 33 -/- 13 10 54/- 6 27 42/- 23 19 -/- 23 24 -/- 23 16 22/-
49erLou 24 28 34/- 33 17 14/5 13 28 28/- 30 31 12/1 27 26 22/- 35 14 8/3 9
Chukwamu 24 31 34/- 27 10 26/1 13 24 28/- 20 31 8/3 31 27 14/3 35 10 16/- 7
DuikeBuike 17 30 20/2 27 13 26/1 24 34 6/5 13 30 22/- 30 20 22/- 28 10 16/- 8
beecharmer 21 34 28/- 24 9 32/- 13 38 28/- 28 24 -/- 28 26 20/1 31 21 6/4 5
Dub4lif3 27 24 -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/-
mountaindew77 -/- 27 16 26/1 17 34 20/2 30 27 -/- 24 21 28/- 41 17 14/- 3
urnext -/- 17 23 -/- 10 35 34/- 24 20 -/- 21 27 -/- 28 17 12/1 1

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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