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49ers vs. Rams: Christmas Odds & Ends

While everybody is hopefully enjoying the holidays, I wanted to get up an afternoon post for a little more specific 49ers discussion. In looking around the Internet, I've come across some random information and statistics and thought I'd take a look at each and what it means for tomorrow's game against the St. Louis Rams.

We posted the final injury report yesterday and I wanted to take a look at one particular player on the report. Jason Smith is the Rams starting right tackle and is listed as questionable for the game with an ankle injury. It appears as though he injured the ankle in practice on Wednesday because he was a full participant that day and then limited on Thursday and Friday.

If he's even a little bit limited, it would seem logical for the 49ers to blitz like crazy on that side early on to test Smith's ankle. He might be perfectly fine, but if he is even remotely limited, the 49ers really need to take advantage. Sam Bradford is having a solid rookie season, but if the 49ers can force him to make quick decisions and generally get him out of any rhythm, they would certainly benefit.

I also thought I'd point out Mike Sando's Final Word post yesterday. He had a lot to say about the 49ers-Rams matchup, including some very interesting statistics:

3. Troy Smith and the deep ball. The Rams have had increasing problems defending the deep ball. Opponents' passer ratings have risen from 32.8 in the first eight games to 100.0 in the past six games on passes traveling at least 15 yards in the air, according to ESPN Stats & Information. The 49ers' Troy Smith completed 6 of 10 such passes for 193 yards and a touchdown against the Rams earlier this season.

Passer rating is a fairly dubious statistic, but that kind of disparity (32.8 vs. 100.0) at least shows a drastic change, no matter what you think of passer rating as an overall statistic.

To go along with the deep ball stat, Vernon Davis had a 73-yard touchdown reception last year against the Rams. It's obviously not connected to the Rams deep ball issues the last six games mentioned above, but it's still worth keeping in mind. The 49ers really could use a solid performance from Vernon Davis to take down the Rams. Davis was taken out of the picture by the Chargers last week, so the 49ers need to figure out a way to get him involved early and often, much like Alex Smith did on the first drive against the Seahawks two weeks ago.

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That passer rating stat might be even a bit more dubious in this situation.

I’d like to see the actual number of passes used to calculate that.

If the sample size is really small, one interception can destroy the rating for the early season stat, and one touchdown can really inflate the rating for the later season stat. While normally I think the passer rating stat does a decent job of presenting an overall combination rating of important quarterbacking stats.

But in this case I don’t think you need a combination stat. When you’re talking about deep passes only, I think by far the most important stat to consider would be completion percentage. At least that would best indicate how well a defense can defend deep passes. I think the other stats just get in the way when looking at the combo stat of passer rating.

by jveezy on Dec 25, 2010 5:58 PM PST reply actions  

The Cowgirls loss to the Cardinals

guarantees a HC search for them. If you’re a great coach which team will you choose:
1. 49ers 2. Cowboys 3. Vikings 4. Broncos.

by Ni9er on Dec 25, 2010 8:29 PM PST reply actions  

Meh

I think Garret gets the job

Bochy & Co. -- Your 2010 World Series Champions

by GrayDilla on Dec 26, 2010 1:22 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

*tt

Bochy & Co. -- Your 2010 World Series Champions

by GrayDilla on Dec 26, 2010 1:22 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Few espn analyst say whoever coaches the Broncos has to be 100%

committed to Tebow,, I’m sure the top coaches don’t like players forced on them.

by mrdev4 on Dec 25, 2010 8:47 PM PST reply actions  

Few ALL ESPN analysts are imbeciles

Bochy & Co. -- Your 2010 World Series Champions

by GrayDilla on Dec 26, 2010 1:50 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

All I want for Christmas is a win in St Louis

Santa, please just let the Cardinal game I’m going to next week mean something

by sactownbull on Dec 25, 2010 11:46 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

NINERS PLEASE DON'T LET ME DOWN!

Bochy & Co. -- Your 2010 World Series Champions

by GrayDilla on Dec 26, 2010 1:24 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

go smoke a chimney fish

I don’t think that at all… and of course this is all speculation on your behalf
by Drew K on Apr 14, 2010 2:05 PM PDT

by goatfather on Dec 26, 2010 9:06 AM PST up reply actions  

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