FanPost

Week 13 Prediction Games: Foosball Part Deux


Trying to write this recap as I watch the show Monster Quest hunt down the Mothman.  I've never watched Monster Quest but I love me some Mothman, good movie.  When Richard Gere isn't making the obvious money-grab-popcorn-chick-flick he manages to pick out sold roles in under advertised psychological thrillers, Mothman Prophecies included.

For those who don't know the Mothman its a giant flying creature with large penetrating red eyes who often appears frequently around an area prior to a major disaster.  At some point during the offseason Mothman must have been appearing around 49ers Santa Clara headquarters but no one took notice.  Maybe McCloughan spotted him but his report was perceived as a drunken rouse and promptly dismissed as having private personal matters.  The last Mothman reporting was in Sacramento Fall 2009.  So either he was on his way to the Bay or foreshadowing the resurrection of the Dante Culpepper's career with the Sacramento Mountain Lions.

Drunk, searching for a connection to the Prediction Contest ... like the Mothman, fooseball4949 has been a monster.  Also like the Mothman, fooseball4949 appears to surface around a major disaster.  The last time fooseball4949 topped the Prediction Games the 49ers were beat by the uber awful Carolina Pathetics, no joke that's the team now.  This time around fooseball4949 absolutely crushes everyone while 49ers defenders collapse like the Silver Bridge around Donald Driver trotting to the end zone.

Yes, I really did reopen the floodgates to 49ers/Richard Gere jokes. Your Week 13 results ....

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers

  1. foosball4949 (PERFECT)
  2. ZeroIndulgence, bayarearep94, grantmp (6)
  3. Rossalex, McTee, Ninerfromacrossthepond, jpgarfunkle (8)
  4. Dub4lif3, groug, mountaindew77, Chukwamu, beecharmer (12)
  5. Drew K, mikeinsp, whobob, leaping_larry, ezoo (14)

New York Jets @ New England Patriots

  1. PHUT!, sf49ers123, jbrown63, AKinferno (28)
  2. J2daZ (30)
  3. Andrew Davidson (32)
  4. mikeinsp, 49erLou, Delmuir, Jesse Reed, jpgarfunkle, bayarearep94 (34)
  5. rlott#42, bonbrillio, chikmagnet_565, illini49er, mpotter14, David Fucillo (Fooch) (36)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

  1. albertoleecho (PERFECT)
  2. San Fran Niners (2)
  3. imjuliooo89, mountaindew77 (6)
  4. McTee (8)
  5. PHUT! (12)

Cleveland Browns @ Miami Dolphins

  1. foosball4949 (2)
  2. ezoo (8)
  3. 49erLou (12)
  4. rlott#42, McTee, Delmuir (14)
  5. imjuliooo89 (16)

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  1. foosball4949, 49erLou, sf49ers123, howtheyscored, ezoo (6)
  2. bayboy, chikmagnet_565, SanFranciscoKnights, these3words, illini49er, wjackalope, Haggardninja, leaping_larry, Chukwamu (8)
  3. manraj7 (10)
  4. beecharmer (12)
  5. bonbrillio, Andrew Davidson, ZeroIndulgence, McTee, Rabbit T, San Fran Niners, jtoj, whobob, bignerd, mountaindew77, Ten-Man, AKinferno (14)

St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

  1. these3words (4)
  2. 49erLou, San Fran Niners (6)
  3. mikeinsp, groug (8)
  4. imjuliooo89, PHUT!, Dub4lif3, grantmp, snowweasel30, urnext (10)
  5. jpgarfunkle (12)

Week 13 Analysis

It's been the kind of the year where the computers are often right. It seems most games end at the most predicable outcome. SF @ GB 34-16 check ... PIT @ BAL 13-10 check ... ATL @ TB 28-24 check ... STL @ ARZ 19-6 check. We play the games because the outcomes aren't suppose to be so obvious. Maybe it's time to put that axiom on the shelf for awhile.

The Week's Big 5 Prognosticators

foosball4949 - Ya, you probably already know. Perfect score in the SF @ GB game while landing in 1st place with two other predictions. He had a great week, will probably take next week off.

49erLou - His partial payment arrived in my mail so his partial points arrived on my board. Don't bother with an audit on 49erLou's predictions. It doesn't matter I made up his points because there are no rules on how I should score the prediction contest. Bottom line is he paid me, I have some X-Mas money and he has his points. It's called capitalism, not IGiveAMoral[SiteDecorum]ism.

albertoleecho - Mr. Alberto Leecho or Albert O'Lee Cho or Albert OLe Echo (Google suggested). It's one of those or none of those. Not like he stormed the castle, he got one perfect pick, whoopdeedoo! Here is your 10 points and my jealous cattiness.

sf49ers123 - The password man again. Seriously, all our screen names suck on some level but you didn't even try. I'm pretty sure smileyman was a Mega Man enemy. bignerd is at least character descriptive. Before Andrew Davidson he was Dre, meaning you thought he was douche SoCal white kid really reaching for some street cred. Turns out he's a maple, hockey loving hoser barely clinging onto his football fan existence. Notice I how I spent all this time talking about you, not talking about you. Come back next week with a more entertaining screen name. Disclaimer: Accrued point totals don't carry over to a new screen name.

ezoo - He's German and proud of his short efficient screen name. I'm not sure how much I can poke at him due to that famous German sense of humor, I understand my sister has it. Since any joke tossed your way will be stoned faced maybe we can share this special moment with you telling me how to fix the heater on my German car?

Week 12 Comments Recap

these3words you thought ... these3words Elise's ain't giving me a ride in her pink convertible ... Rabbit T squawks rabbits cannot squawk, retires whacko of the week ... manraj7 23-17 ... wjackalope bears are embarrassed ... howtheyscored beating the horse ... grantmp 49th ... fanoftheunderdogs is that a growl? ... chikmagnet_565 the cats meow ... ZeroIndulgence cannot predict a 49ers loss, LOL ... urnext what ifs graduate to the butterfly effect ... fanoftheunderdogs bets the least likelier end of the world date ... urnext world ends Dec 21 ... fanoftheunderdogs world ends Dec 22 ... jbrown63 posts a Dilbert comic, who didn't see this coming? ... MATTCW contemplates a name change, +1 for me ... these3words provides MATTCW with a how-to ... urnext shut it! ... bonbrillio can you find an error my point totals? ... Drew K yep got yahooed ... mikeinsp really you didn't tell us Rusty Smith would lead to the Titans to 136 points? ... mikeinsp don't complain to me about lateness ... chikmagnet_565 big prize, if you win? ... groug denies trying to GrouG points ... PHUT! marching towards a comeback ... chikmagnet_565 zing ... mikeinsp where is my $2 dollars, I need my $2 dollars ... 49erLou offers cash under the table ... bignerd thank you, here are your points!

Leader Board After Week 13

  • DuikeBuike - I want people who want to predict ... nice bye week!
  • these3words - just gonna continue to move forward
  • howtheyscored - he did a nice job
  • foosball4949 - he's getting there
  • whobob - the game plan was fine, players didn't execute
  • mikeinsp - predicting his tail off
  • illini49er - he's passionate, I like his passion
  • chikmagnet_565 - we'll see him again in the playoffs
  • leaping_larry - working his tail off
  • sf49ers123 - very excited for this opportunity
  • ZeroIndulgence - he's a special player
  • Andrew Davidson - just keep watching
  • 49erLou - he's alright he's from the hood
  • bayarearep94 - gonna make me knock him out
  • rlott#42 - thanks everyone for kicking his tail
  • mountaindew77 - won't try to make playoffs, will be in the playoffs!
  • the rest - gotta check the film
Rank Screen Name Points Wk1 Wk2 Wk3 Wk4 Wk5 Wk6 Wk7 Wk8 Wk9 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13
1. DuikeBuike 80 13 6 9 5 1 3 8 8 10 7 6 4
2. these3words 79 8 9 0 4 8 6 3 10 1 12 5 4 9
3. howtheyscored 76 3 7 4 20 2 5 5 10 6 2 0 7 5
4. foosball4949 71 6 4 5 0 0 13 11 6 2 4 20
4. whobob 71 0 9 12 4 4 6 12 3 1 11 7 2
4. mikeinsp 71 0 3 2 5 2 8 5 6 5 7 12 10 6
7. illini49er 70 1 8 0 5 0 3 9 12 9 2 11 5 5
8. chikmagnet_565 65 7 9 0 9 4 5 0 3 8 3 6 6 5
8. leaping_larry 65 0 11 5 3 3 11 8 3 9 2 0 5 5
10. sf49ers123 63 8 7 9 5 0 5 6 0 8 0 5 10
10. ZeroIndulgence 63 0 6 0 3 14 3 7 0 3 10 11 1 5
12. Andrew Davidson 62 0 11 0 1 1 11 4 7 12 5 4 2 4
13. 49erLou 61 3 8 0 2 1 3 9 5 6 4 0 6 14
13. bayarearep94 61 1 0 4 16 11 2 9 10 2 6
15. rlott#42 60 11 8 8 8 0 0 9 6 6 0 0 1 3
15. mountaindew77 60 0 5 4 2 0 2 3 8 7 15 6 2 6
17. ezoo 59 9 3 4 0 4 8 6 5 4 1 0 5 10
17. urnext 59 1 5 13 8 8 0 7 8 7 2
17. Haggardninja 59 2 3 0 1 9 2 10 4 9 9 0 6 4
17. fanoftheunderdogs 59 9 5 10 10 3 3 6 4 9 0
21. jbrown63 58 5 5 0 0 4 5 10 4 6 3 6 5 5
21. manraj7 58 6 4 1 8 6 3 0 8 3 3 8 5 3
21. Rabbit T 58 4 5 4 6 2 5 9 7 4 0 11 1
21. wjackalope 58 0 10 2 3 2 14 7 3 8 2 3 0 4
25. groug 56 0 0 4 0 5 5 12 3 0 4 14 4 5
25. bayboy 56 0 3 4 1 0 10 4 2 10 9 2 7 4
27. David Fucillo (Fooch) 54 5 3 1 5 0 0 0 13 6 8 10 2 1
28. Ninerfromacrossthepond 53 5 7 0 4 5 7 0 5 14 2 1 3
28. Dub4lif3 53 1 8 0 6 6 3 4 9 4 8 4
28. Drew K 53 2 5 5 2 10 3 5 1 5 5 9 0 1
31. Ten-Man 52 0 8 7 4 6 6 12 3 3 2 1
31. PHUT! 52 1 3 1 7 0 3 0 0 1 14 10 4 8
33. Chukwamu 51 3 10 7 3 15 4 2 1 6
33. jtoj 51 5 4 0 1 1 4 7 1 5 5 9 8 1
35. beecharmer 50 4 4 4 1 0 0 5 6 13 3 5 1 4
35. snowweasel30 50 8 5 5 4 3 3 0 8 5 1 1 5 2
35. AKinferno 50 8 2 2 0 3 5 2 1 10 4 7 0 6
38. mpotter14 49 0 7 2 4 1 5 1 19 1 0 3 5 1
39. jpgarfunkle 48 3 5 4 2 4 0 2 0 6 4 6 6 6
39. bonbrillio 48 1 5 0 1 6 2 8 3 4 3 7 6 2
39. Snitzel 48 8 7 3 5 11 0 8 2 4 0
42. fortyniners 46 0 3 4 0 4 2 3 16 6 0 8 0
42. bignerd 46 0 3 2 7 13 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 1
44. San Fran Niners 45 7 5 8 4 9 3 9
45. McTee 42 1 4 1 7 1 5 3 2 4 6 0 0 8
45. MATTCW 42 12 2 2 0 9 0 2 1 14 0
47. grantmp 39 0 3 0 1 0 3 5 1 5 4 6 5 6
47. Delmuir 39 6 5 4 0 3 7 7 0 2 0 1 4
49. SpurredOn 36 3 3 7 6 0 2 0 4 5 4 0 2 0
50. J2daZ 35 1 0 0 0 13 3 4 2 5 2 1 4
50. SanFranciscoKnights 35 2 3 11 8 6 1 0 4
52. albertoleecho 30 2 7 3 3 0 0 0 5 10
53. Edggy 29 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 4 6 5 0 7 0
54. Surprise Team 24 1 3 2 7 0 1 6 2 2
55. Number22Drew 23 0 11 0 5 7
55. mr. instigator 23 3 2 1 2 2 10 3
57. SaintsFanInIraq 19 14 2 3
58. SuspendingBJ 18 3 1 4 3 5 0 2 0
59. ro128487 17 5 3 4 1 4
60. suffrin9erfan 15 7 8
60. RBoogy29 15 5 10 0
62. EcERyda69 14 6 0 6 2 0 0
62. CB30 14 1 3 4 6
62. Dubs fan in Boston 14 4 4 6 0
65. smileyman 12 0 3 3 3 0 3
66. Rossalex 11 8 3
66. The Sear 11 11
68. eacuna05 9 5 4
68. nocal81 9 0 5 4
70. sundaysfinest 8 3 3 2 0 0
70. YoungWillis 8 3 5
70. price14rays 8 8
73. dlh 7 7
74. TexansDC 6 6
74. SupremeChief 6 6
74. Hoopers Judge 6 6
74. imjuliooo89 6 6
74. bojackson34 6 6
79. afrikabamboodle 5 5
79. espino 5 5
79. Riding The F Train 5 5 0
82. DivineGrace 4 4
82. Rishi 4 0 4
82. satsunada 4 4
82. mississippisaintsfan 4 4
82. j-man 4 2 2
87. DrWhoDat 3 3
87. BobE 3 0 3
87. TOMZ 3 3
87. Doni S 3 3
87. cassusriff 3 3 0
87. LADubbz45 3 3
93. Kevin Pernick 2 2
93. LASVEGASNINER 2 0 2 0
93. JoeO 2 2
93. TeeKay89 2 2
93. Salukininer 2 0 2
93. MichaelClutchtree 2 2
93. sam23 2 2
93. Rando3 2 2
93. Jesse Reed 2 2
93. Waiting4JoshMorgan 2 2 0
103. ItBurnzWhenIP 1 1
103. OnCloudNiner 1 1
103. Florida Danny 1 1

Week 13 Big Board Predictions

:)~ hehe

Screen Name SF GB s/p NYJ NE s/p PIT BAL s/p CLE MIA s/p ATL TB s/p STL ARZ s/p tot
rlott#42 6 31 20/- 16 27 36/1 20 16 14/- 20 9 14/2 23 16 16/- 24 25 -/- 3
imjuliooo89 14 7 -/- 14 10 -/- 14 7 6/3 21 7 16/1 14 21 -/- 14 3 10/2 6
PHUT! 17 20 28/- 10 31 28/5 17 16 12/1 28 12 30/- 27 10 28/- 24 7 10/2 8
MATTCW 21 18 -/- 14 10 -/- 14 17 -/- 24 28 -/- 18 21 -/- 22 24 -/-
bayboy 20 17 -/- 17 20 50/- 17 23 -/- 13 20 -/- 24 21 8/4 27 10 16/- 4
bonbrillio 14 24 20/- 20 27 36/1 14 20 -/- 17 23 -/- 23 17 14/1 27 14 16/- 2
fanoftheunderdogs 0 31 32/- 23 20 -/- 23 27 -/- 17 21 -/- 31 10 28/- 10 14 -/-
Andrew Davidson 20 17 -/- 19 30 32/3 21 27 -/- 17 19 -/- 35 20 14/1 24 28 -/- 4
ZeroIndulgence 13 31 6/4 20 26 38/- 16 20 -/- 24 20 22/- 27 17 14/1 30 10 22/- 5
foosball4949 16 34 0/10 18 21 48/- 21 28 -/- 14 10 2/5 31 21 6/5 27 16 20/- 20
J2daZ 21 14 -/- 17 30 30/4 23 17 20/- 20 26 -/- 28 16 16/- 21 24 -/- 4
Drew K 17 41 14/1 17 24 42/- 14 17 -/- 17 27 -/- 30 13 22/- 20 23 -/- 1
chikmagnet_565 27 20 -/- 21 30 36/1 19 22 -/- 13 21 -/- 24 21 8/4 30 17 22/- 5
mikeinsp 17 27 14/1 20 28 34/2 17 21 -/- 20 23 -/- 24 10 28/- 23 7 8/3 6
Rossalex 17 30 8/3 24 27 42/- 17 27 -/- 24 20 22/- 20 16 16/- 30 20 28/- 3
Snitzel 27 24 -/- 17 24 42/- 21 20 20/- 17 21 -/- 28 14 20/- 28 14 18/-
McTee 20 37 8/3 28 27 -/- 17 14 8/2 20 13 14/2 28 17 14/1 21 24 -/- 8
49erLou 21 24 20/- 19 28 34/2 23 26 -/- 19 9 12/3 31 27 6/5 21 9 6/4 14
SanFranciscoKnights 17 24 20/- 24 21 -/- 25 18 24/- 13 30 -/- 27 20 8/4 24 20 28/- 4
these3words 16 26 16/- 20 23 44/- 10 17 -/- 23 6 20/- 31 20 8/4 17 7 4/5 9
manraj7 17 24 20/- 20 23 44/- 13 17 -/- 20 23 -/- 23 20 10/3 20 23 -/- 3
Rabbit T 13 17 34/- 27 24 -/- 17 20 -/- 14 23 -/- 21 20 14/1 27 19 26/- 1
Edggy 27 24 -/- 12 24 42/- 9 15 -/- 24 17 22/- 24 12 24/- 31 17 24/-
illini49er 13 24 20/- 20 27 36/1 13 17 -/- 14 27 -/- 24 20 8/4 20 17 22/- 5
wjackalope 14 26 16/- 20 24 42/- 17 21 -/- 20 24 -/- 27 20 8/4 23 17 22/- 4
Delmuir 26 23 -/- 17 28 34/2 22 34 -/- 20 17 14/2 16 28 -/- 14 28 -/- 4
San Fran Niners 24 21 -/- 28 21 -/- 14 10 2/4 31 24 36/- 21 17 14/1 21 3 6/4 9
mpotter14 27 20 -/- 21 28 36/1 17 19 -/- 24 25 -/- 28 31 -/- 24 27 -/- 1
albertoleecho 6 30 20/- 31 28 -/- 13 10 0/10 17 20 -/- 20 17 16/- 28 20 28/- 10
Dub4lif3 20 28 12/2 23 20 -/- 17 27 -/- 21 20 20/- 24 26 -/- 24 10 10/2 4
Jesse Reed 21 17 -/- 20 34 34/2 13 17 -/- 24 27 -/- 31 10 28/- 10 9 18/- 2
jtoj 25 20 -/- 23 20 -/- 23 20 20/- 20 24 -/- 31 17 14/1 21 17 22/- 1
whobob 13 27 14/1 17 24 42/- 20 23 -/- 13 17 -/- 35 28 14/1 17 19 -/- 2
these3words_smartarse 130 270 472/- 170 240 390/- 200 230 -/- 130 170 -/- 350 280 644/- 170 190 -/-
bignerd 23 20 -/- 27 17 -/- 16 23 -/- 17 31 -/- 24 17 14/1 30 10 22/- 1
groug 10 34 12/2 26 14 -/- 20 26 -/- 13 27 -/- 17 24 -/- 22 10 8/3 5
sf49ers123 24 23 -/- 17 31 28/5 17 20 -/- 24 25 -/- 28 21 6/5 27 6 16/- 10
Ninerfromacrossthepond 13 30 8/3 23 20 -/- 14 17 -/- 23 24 -/- 24 27 -/- 30 10 22/- 3
jpgarfunkle 17 30 8/3 20 30 34/2 17 24 -/- 31 17 36/- 20 10 28/- 14 0 12/1 6
howtheyscored 22 17 -/- 20 24 42/- 7 21 -/- 21 20 20/- 31 23 6/5 28 17 22/- 5
mountaindew77 13 28 12/2 21 17 -/- 16 13 6/3 23 24 -/- 31 17 14/1 20 13 14/- 6
fortyniners 21 20 -/- 27 35 48/- 28 19 30/- 10 15 -/- 17 24 -/- 21 24 -/-
SpurredOn 24 20 -/- 21 20 -/- 17 20 -/- 20 27 -/- 20 28 -/- 23 27 -/-
Haggardninja 20 17 -/- 24 21 -/- 9 17 -/- 24 28 -/- 31 20 8/4 34 12 30/- 4
Ten-Man 21 20 -/- 27 23 -/- 17 24 -/- 14 24 -/- 34 17 14/1 21 24 -/- 1
bayarearep94 14 31 6/4 20 30 34/2 17 20 -/- 14 24 -/- 31 14 20/- 34 17 30/- 6
David Fucillo (Fooch) 27 24 -/- 21 31 36/1 17 27 -/- 20 24 -/- 17 20 -/- 24 13 14/- 1
jbrown63 20 17 -/- 17 31 28/5 17 27 -/- 24 20 22/- 20 17 16/- 27 13 16/- 5
leaping_larry 14 27 14/1 20 26 38/- 20 23 -/- 17 23 -/- 24 20 8/4 24 16 20/- 5
Chukwamu 10 34 12/2 28 31 50/- 15 23 -/- 17 24 -/- 24 21 8/4 27 13 16/- 6
beecharmer 17 28 12/2 24 21 -/- 17 21 -/- 17 24 -/- 28 18 12/2 21 14 16/- 4
AKinferno 23 20 -/- 17 31 28/5 17 20 -/- 23 13 20/- 27 17 14/1 17 23 -/- 6
grantmp 17 31 6/4 20 26 38/- 14 17 -/- 21 23 -/- 17 21 -/- 24 10 10/2 6
snowweasel30 27 20 -/- 14 23 44/- 13 17 -/- 17 23 -/- 27 14 20/- 24 10 10/2 2
ezoo 17 27 14/1 20 23 44/- 13 21 -/- 17 14 8/4 30 21 6/5 24 14 16/- 10
urnext 17 23 22/- 21 16 -/- 20 14 14/- 17 23 -/- 18 24 -/- 24 9 10/2 2

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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