Free Agency Impact on the 2010 NFL Draft
Every year we have different phases of the off-season and everyone of those phases leads in to the next. These phases all have different impacts on one and other. First phase of the off-season usually kicks off with the East-West Shrine Game and the Senior Bowl. Pro Scouts and Pro Coaches watch closely as the college players showcase their skills in these games. Usually, initial evaluations are formed before this by the scouts but it's the first time that the Pro Coaches get the chance to really zero in. Pro teams then start building their boards and watch lists. The next step is the NFL Scouting Combine which took place about two weeks ago. We are now in phase three (free agency) and a lot has already happened. These free agency signings will dictate how certain teams draft and will also undoubtedly shake things up a bit. After the dust settles and a majority of the big moves in free agency have been made, we move forward to the Draft which takes place in April this year.
Some years have more movement than others but we are in an unusual year with all of the Collective Bargaining Agreement stuff going on... or not going on. Either way, usually there is more movement because of the Restricted Free Agent requirements being different.
Today, I wanted to takes some time out to look at some of the bigger signings in free agency and what they mean to the respective teams that have signed them as well as how it affects the draft. After the jump, I will go in to a bit more depth of how the process is unfolding.
I would like to begin with the Bears since they have made the biggest splash in the primary free agency market. The Bears do not have a first round pick this year nor do they have a second round pick, so it was crucial for them to dip their toes in to the deep end and then jump right in to the free agency pool. Last year the Bears struggled in a lot of different areas. Jay Cutler was brought in to be the savior of the franchise but did not have a lot of weapons surrounding him which led to a less than stellar season. Recently, the Bears hired Coach Mike Martz (who we're all familiar with) to be their Offensive Coordinator to come in and see what he can do to spice up that bland offense that struggled last year. But that has not been what all the buzz has been about in recent days in the Chicago area. The signing of Defensive End Julius Peppers, Running Back Chester Taylor, and Tight End Brandon Manumaleuna has by and far been the most talked about transactions in free agency. Without the draft picks their hand was really forced to do something. The way I see it, Peppers basically is a sub for the first round money they would have had to spend, Taylor for the money that could have been spent on a second round pick give or take, and Manumaleuna as just a regular ol' free agent signing. With the return of Urlacher next season, and the picks that they do have Rounds 3-7, the Bears have put themselves back in to a place where they could be contenders. But they will still have to beat out the Packers and the Vikings for that NFC North Division.
The Lions (another NFC North Team) have also been relatively active in free agency impacting how they may have drafted in rounds 2-7 pre-free agency. It's very possible that the team was looking to add players both in the defensive end category and cornerback catergory early on in their draft but recently have done so though free agency. The Lions didn't waste anytime and signed Nate Burleson as the very first free agent in the beginning minutes of free agency. Head Coach Jim Schwartz's second stop was literally at Kyle Vanden Bosch's front door step; they came to terms and signed Vanden Bosch to a $26 Million Dollar Deal. After this signing, the Lions released Corner Phillip Buchanon and went out and signed themselves a couple of veteran defensive backs. They have made other moves that may or may not impact the way they draft but I can tell you that they will not be drafting a defensive end or wide receiver in the first and possibly second round.
The Chargers, Jets and Cardinals have been shuffling big name players around such as Ladanian Tomlinson, Antonio Cromartie, Anquan Boldin, Karlos Dansby, Antrel Rolle, Kerry Rhodes, and Thomas Jones; all of which are or will be wearing new jersey's on Sunday's which will shift the balance in the way teams will or could draft.
Our very own beloved 49ers haven't kicked up that much dust in the free agent market but did go out and sign David Carr. While it won't have much, if any, impact on how we draft, it has sparked some debate on who will stay and who will go out of Nate Davis and Shaun Hill. We have lost Arnaz Battle who was with us since the '03 Season and Tony Pashos who proved in the short amount of time he played to be a factor at the Right Tackle position; an area of current concern. The move on not resigning Pashos leads me to believe that the Niners will be drafting multiple lineman in this years draft. Free agency is not over, so there is always a chance that they bring in a guy similar to what they did last year with Pashos to replace him, although it could end up being much like picking from a berry patch with no fruit and lots of thorns with the way the market is this year. McCloughan has stated that the 49ers would not make any major moves in free agency so that they could focus on the draft and for the most part has stuck to his word.
There have been several teams that have re-signed players (notable: Brackett with the Colts and Bodden with the Pats) and a lot of other transactions that have taken place that will make a difference in how teams will draft. The free agency storm is not over, but all of the major transactions could be behind us in such a thin free agency class. There may be one or two significant signings that will go down but I don't expect anything as big as the Peppers signing to take place from here on out. The draft class seems to be fairly deep this year and I think most teams will bank on and try and build through that.
All in all, it should be interesting to see what else happens in between now and April 22nd.
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Comments
A different variation than the above stated
I agree with Draft a Right Tackle in the 1st Round and go with the guys we have already, except we don’t have any guys already with Pashos gone and Sims having 1.5 feet out the door unless Alex Boone can make the roster. It seems to be time for Snyder to go back to being a back-up guard except for emergencies at tackle. The different variation should be drafting a second tackle in the later rounds (hopefully we will be getting a compensatory pick or two to make drafting for depth feasible).
Draft a Right Tackle in the 1st Round and go with the guys we have already
Surprising that this vote is leading in the early going. I can’t see this working unless either A) Snyder suddenly shows dramatic improvement, B) We re-sign Sims and replace Snyder with him as starting RT, or (the worst of the three) C) Determine that Alex Boone or Chris Patrick have developed sufficiently enough to inherit the starting role. There is a D) Immediately make the 1st rounder the starter, but I would be very much in fear of Alex’s success & a bit for his well-being if that happened. RT is very much a critical position at least for this team and the position in general seems to be at a commodity right now. The powers that be have a very important decision to make in this area this offseason.
Staley started at RT his rookie year
He held his own pretty well. I’m hoping Chilo is far enough along after this year that he can help out the RT as far as mentoring etc. since they will ideally be next to each other for a long time to come.
all we need to do
is try to get the gaither tender down to a 2nd rounder and then trade up to get berry!
DREAM DRAFT:
1a. Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
1b. CJ Spiller, RB, Clemson
2. Best CB available
3. Freddie Barnes, WR, Bowling Green
by MichaelClutchtree on Mar 10, 2010 4:49 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
Anyone see this? Hilarious
http://deadspin.com/5490513/donavon-mcnabb-traded-to-san-fransisco-donovan-mcnabb-still-on-eagles
by Rod Blogojevich on Mar 10, 2010 5:44 PM PST reply actions
I am against drafting a RT in the first since we decided not to last year. Plus there are some T's that will be there that will be fine, IMO.
Equation= 1,2,2,3,3 is a lot better than 1,1,2,3 in a deep draft, especially when your 1 nets you E berry.
RT issues
If Trent Williams slips to 13, the team should pull the trigger on drafting RT immediately. Right now, I’d say the first linemen off the board will be Okung, Bulaga, Campbell, and Williams in that order. If Williams is taken in any of the 12 picks before San Francisco, that would likely mean 4 of the top 12 players taken were OL. Anthony Davis had a poor combine, so it wouldn’t be worth the 49ers taking a guy that favors athleticism over strength – the 49ers need a MAULER at RT. I’m not even going to acknowledge Charles Brown at 13, or 17, because that would be a serious mistake.
Trent Williams at 13 would be nice, but other than that, RT can wait. If those 4 Tackles are gone, it would be wiser for the 49ers to draft BPA. I think drafting Williams at 13 would be a BPA move any how (but in this scenario let’s say he isn’t). I think it would be wiser to address either a secondary issue (in the secondary) and ending up with BPA (see: Crabtree, Michael).
As far as I’m concerned, the team can go ahead and draft BPA at 13, and I think Williams would be BPA if he’s available. If not, I think certainly other players would be ahead of the next best OT on SF’s draft board.
by Andrew Davidson on Mar 10, 2010 7:36 PM PST reply actions
Other than maybe size
What do you see about Charles Brown that would be a big mistake? In watching his highlights, there were some things about his skills that I thought appeared to be better than Williams’.
by Mangoman on Mar 10, 2010 7:49 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
If we draft a RT to replace Snyder,
Anyone think that it is possible that they move Snyder to LG to replace Bass? Anyone recall him playing LG at all?
I was "Deific16"
The cake is a lie.
by Sultan of Seitan on Mar 10, 2010 11:38 PM PST reply actions
Acquire tackle via trade and draft another in late rounds
Since we don’t have a true tackle for depth, I think it’s absolutely necessary to draft a depth tackle and not someone like Snyder who you hope can play all over the place. I’m talking about a true tackle that doesn’t ever need to consider playing guard.

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