The closer and closer it gets to the draft (two weeks to the day as I write this) we are all starting to realize the potential position the 49ers could find themselves in at the 13th and 17th spot. In fact, those spots now seem like bad places to be picking for the 49ers.
Now, I'm not saying it's bad that we have those two picks in the first round...just that the players likely to be available at those spots might not be guys who can come in and help the 49ers in a big way. For this reason, I believe that Trent Baalke and Company must have a "Hair Trigger" set and ready for trading down.
After the jump, I'll explain why.
I'm going to come up with a scenario that's probably unlikely, but I'm doing it to illustrate my point about trading down.
In this scenario, the following players are off the board by pick 13:
- G. McCoy
- Trent Williams
- E. Thomas
- Derrick Morgan
Now, here the 49ers sit at 13 with the following guys (who are mostly worthy of being picked here, or close):
- Kyle Wilson
- Anthony Davis
- Dan Williams
Some of these guys are a stretch, some of them might be gone before this. For the sake of argument, let's say that the team doesn't want any of these guys at 13.
Arguably the 49ers don't need another OLB just yet with the promising futures of Lawson/Haralson/Brooks. This is really high for Iupati, Davis has questions (say the interview didn't go well), JPP is a workout warrior, and Dan Williams is probably a stretch here.
Again, humor me.
I don't know about you guys, but I want immediate impact players, and as many of them as we can get at positions of need. Now, I know you can't draft solely for need, ie. reaching for a guy because you need to fill that position. But that's precisely why trading down is key here.
The 13th pick might be high for some of these guys, not others. Teams beneath us will be interested in trading up to get a Brandon Graham, Kindle, probably even Clausen. Let's trade the 13th pick to Philly for their 24th overall, 55th overall and their 4th rounder as well.
Now, at 17 we can re-evaluate the guys on the board. Who's left that is worthy of a 17th pick and that would be an impact player in 2010 for the 49ers?
Maybe we take Iupati...maybe someone else wants him bad enough to give something up to get him? I'd also add Pouncey into the mix at 17 since he's rumored to be liked by a lot of teams picking in the 20's.
Let's trade down the 17th pick to the end of the 1st round, to the Jets for their 29th and 61st (2nd round), and maybe a 7th rounder...but forget that for now.
Now at around 24th overall we decide to start picking based on who is left. So here's the picks we have:
Give me your mock draft of these picks and let's play around with what the 49ers could get with 5 picks in the first two rounds.
Another scenario would be to trade the 13th pick down for the 28th and 40th (Chargers) and end up with something like this:
One less pick, but much earlier in the 2nd round to grab a guy like Saffold (or whomever you like).
Give me some picks for these scenarios below.