What's Your Confidence Level For Frank Gore?
Yesterday, I started the first of many posts on confidence levels, beginning with Alex Smith. People seemed to have a mostly positive view about our previously oft-struggling quarterback, but that seems to be changing, if a little slowly. The ideas of these posts is to gauge the users on their confidence level on certain players - rating from Very High, High, Medium, Low and Very Low levels of confidence.
We'll continue with the 'workhorse' of the 49ers offense, HB Frank Gore. Gore has been a very solid player ever year with the 49ers and doesn't seem to be truly showing down. Yes, he hasn't quite reached that 2006 level of play again, but neither has he received as many carries in a single year since then. In 2006, he carried the ball 312 times, and since then has never surpassed 260 carries. This may or may not be due to recurring injuries.
Still, he has yet to slip below 1000 yards, even last year after missing effectively three games (only missed two starts, but was only in for one running play in week 3 against the Vikings before getting hurt) and playing behind one of the league's worst offensive lines. Teams stacked the box against Gore, Shaun Hill was his quarterback and then Alex Smith before he got a little respect was his quarterback. Teams knew Gore was going to be the guy running the ball and he still rushed for 1,120 yards last year.
Keep in mind the team should have a much-improved offensive line in 2010, along with legitimate receiving threats and if yesterday's confidence ratings are anything to go by, a capable quarterback running an offense he is familiar with. So what are your confidence levels for Frank Gore in 2010 (providing he is to get the general number of carries to obtain each goal - do not include splitting with Coffee, who only received 23 carries last season when he wasn't filling in for Gore's injury)? Let's quantify the confidence levels after the jump.
Very High: Gore is in the top four running backs in the league. He will rush for at the very least on par with his 2006 season, with at least another 400 yards receiving.
High: He'll be close to his 2006 season and be effective in the passing game, top nine running backs in the league.
Medium: He will be one of the top 15 running backs and get at least 1000 yards.
Low: He will approach 1000 yards but not quite get it. This would be considered low for Frank Gore. Somewhere around 750-800 yards, with somewhere around 150 receiving. Not as many touchdowns as previous seasons.
Very Low: JaMarcus Ru-- oh wait. Well, this is just - way below expectations. Gore will hit a veritable wall, will consistently pick up negative yardage, and may still approach 800 yards - albeit on very inflated carries. Very little touchdowns and terrible yard averages.
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Hit ENTER instead of TAB and posted before I was ready to….
I think the original post hit it on the head: even when opposing teams knew Gore was coming, they couldn’t stop him from having a 1000+ yard season. This year we’ve got (IMO) a much improved QB who is a real threat, and has targets who are real threats. That will open up the game for Gore. I think he’s got potential to have a huge season. His fantasy rankings reflect that as well.
Confidence Levels
I’d actually disagree with the breakdown of high and very high. Gore’s 2006 season was the best in franchise history (in terms of yards). I’d argue that’d be very high confidence.
Yds Avg Lng TD Rec Yds Avg Lng TD FUM Lost
1,695 5.4 72 8 61 485 8.0 39 1 6 5
"I will speak at times, when it's necessary, but I don't believe in talking just because you can." - P-52
Let's talk on Twitter
That's kind of what I said up there..
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
I'm expecting a much improved team this year...
plus, a relatively soft schedule. That should lead to games being won in the first 3 quarters. I’m expecting the team to run a lot more in the 4th quarter than it has recently since they will hopefully be playing out in front and not from behind. I do expect Coffee/Dixon to get some of those late game carries, but I still see Gore getting a decent amount of chances late in games, much more so than in the past.
Voted very high. I’m expecting another huge season from Gore on an overall much improved offense.
Health
I voted very high based on Gore staying healthy and fully participating in at least 14 games. If he does this he is going to have a huge 2006 like season or better. StereoPete and Sebaz49 explained why he will have a big season quite well so I will avoid redundancy.
I can't wait for Mango's sig to say "0 days to go".
It's unfortunate but Injury is part of the game.
I don’t doubt the inconvient truth and his productivity. When healthy he is a top 5 running back in the NFL. However, he has tweeked his ankle almost every year because of the heavy load. (Thank goodness he hasn’t ended up like Rams’ Steven Jackson) Although, we drafted in my opinion SEC’s #1 running back last year in Dixon and Coffee who is bigger and motivated to produce Gore’s injury should not be ignored. I voted medium because IF (there’s precedent here) he gets injured again I will loose confidence in him to contribute coming back from injury because there are workhourses who are ready to produce who will be breathing down his neck. All in all, my confidence is very high with the running back position.
GO 49ERS!!!
I think the tweaked ankle is overblown
Yes, he’s missed 1 or 2 games each of the past 3 years, but it’s not like it’s a shoulder or back that keeps getting hurt. He has guys fall on his ankle wrong in the middle of a pile. So it’s not like he has injury prone ankles, he’s just had bad luck. It could happen to anyone and hopefully he’s gotten his share out of the way. And let’s not forget, last year probably could have played in the Atlanta game, but was sat out because we had the bye the following week.
And even with missing a game or two with a tweaked ankle, he still puts up solid enough numbers to put him over 1000. With improvement across the board, that should go up, couple missed games or not.
From these last 2 articles on alex smith n frank gore i see alot of people on this sight '' Likes 2 get high ''i'm
sorry meant 2 say ‘’likes 2 vote high’‘lol,i got ’’myself mixed up’’lol boy this is some ‘’drop dead’‘.But 4 real i voted ’’high again’’cuzz i had 2 take in effect of ’’inuries’’.But i’m more excited 2 see whats behind frank gore(no pun intended) thats what really i’m looking forward 2 n now we say training camp starts ‘’in a matter of weeks n pre-season is right ’’behind that’’.
jay
where are you from bud? im tryin to figure out why you structure your posts like you do. hit me with some knoweledge
"im tryin to figure out why you structure your posts like you do."
I’ve been trying to figure this out for months. Especially the random “quotation” marks.
I can't wait for Mango's sig to say "0 days to go".
He's from Oakland I think
Every Raiders fan I’ve ever seen write has the same usage, (butchering), of the English language.
Gimme 1 round!
by ItBurnzWhenIP on Jul 3, 2010 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions
high
Ít all starts with the oline and that I have high expectations for so that means all areas of offense should improve on what they started last year. I think Gore will have 1300 yards
by random_guy on Jul 1, 2010 2:07 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
I've got a Gore jersey and autographed rookie football card but
I’ll still be rooting for the Panthers when the Niners come to Charlotte in October. =) Seriously I think he’s better at finding and exploding through the hole than anyone. He’ll play 16 games this year and top 1800 all purpose yards with 12+ all purpose TD’s. In terms of strictly raw talent (not supporting cast) I think he’s tied for 3rd in the league – the list would be Chris Johnson, Jonathan Stewart, Frank Gore/Steven Jackson (tie).
Tre a little...
help here with the people above and the ( I ) word…!!
Gotta love a woman that wear's knee pad's to work ...!!
yeah um...
don’t mention the i..n..j word because it’s like bad superstition or something (to some)
"I will speak at times, when it's necessary, but I don't believe in talking just because you can." - P-52
Let's talk on Twitter
Gore shouldnt repeat his 2006 numbers
Sure it’d be cool if we could brag about how awesome our RB is, but there is a huge difference between this year and 2006, he have more weapons. In 2006 Gore needed those numbers for the teams sake, we had no recievers, Vernon wasnt any good, he was our only good running back, and Alex wasnt as good. This year we have 2 sure fire recievers in Vernon and Crabtree, maybe 3 with Morgan, Alex has a lot of potencial, and we have at least 1 more running back Im comfortable carrying the ball in Coffee. I do feel Gore will break 1000 yards again, but he doesnt need 1500 or 1600, in fact I would be upset if he got more than 300 carries simply because we have more playmakers now.
Coffee
is a distinct step down in terms of talent. He’s a good role player and back-up, but he won’t be getting running down carries as long as Gore is in the game and the Niners aren’t blowing out opponents.
I don't know..
I do agree that Coffee is no Gore but I do think a) there will be more throwing and for longer yards than last year b) There will be some spelling of him with Coffee and Dixon as they try and keep Gore fresh. Also there will (possibly) be some more runs of the FB (and maybe some short passes to them) using Miller/Byham. So I don’t think he does quite as much TD wise as last year even but still will be quite a good RB for us.
by ChesapeakeBay9er on Jul 1, 2010 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions
Gore will get
more than 300 carries, but I see your logic. I agree with you. More like 400-425 carries.
"Moving Forward."
425 carries for a single back would ruin him
he wouldn’t play another down of football
Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority
I agree
I would much rather have Gore running, but I am comfortable with Coffee, he’s a good backup IMO
by 49ersfanConner on Jul 1, 2010 4:37 PM PDT up reply actions
I voted Very High and here is my Rational...
Lets look at the facts. Gore rushed for 1,120 yards last year behind an offensive line filled with practice squad rejects in key positions. He never really got any “HOLES” from the offensive line to run through. In fact, Gore has become one of the best reverse field broken play yardage gainers ever! The play would be set to go left, But Gore would know that the left side would do nothing but stalemate against the defense, so he used those few seconds the offensive line gave him to look for cutback lanes and defensive lapses by players not filling their lanes. Then he would make one cut and GO. To the tune of 1,120 yards. Now try to imagine Gore being provided REAL HOLES to run through. The Earth Movers the Niners drafted have been ingrained since Pop Warner to fire off the ball and create holes for the running back. IMAGINE Gore getting into the secondary untouched? He can make his one cut on a safety or a LB and be GONE! I see that adding 2-400 yards to his last year total. This very well might be Gore’s finest year. We know the Rookie Offensive Linemen can run block. Pass Blocking will come at a later date. So the emphasis in camp will have to be run blocking followed by intense pass blocking training to help the youngsters mesh with the other linemen. The youngsters will feel a sense of success if they can spring Gore for big yards. That is why I voted VERY HIGH confidence, because 1) I see the Niners running more this season, 2) I see the Niners offensive line forced to focus early on run blocking, and 3) Gore with HOLES = Yards! I think that Dixon will be better than people think this year, and Coffee will be much improved over last year where he suffered from the lack of holes by the offensive line. But the Lions share of carries will still be done by our workhorse Gore. Lets hope this year he doesn’t suffer his yearly ankle problem until at least game 8, to give the young offensive linemen time to improve their pass blocking skills. Now I’m not saying the Niners wont pass the ball early in the season, I’m just saying that the rookie linemen will be more comfortable in running plays early in the season. They will still pass the ball, and Smith will have to be much improved over his recent seasons. He has too many weapons and a running game that teams will have to honor. There should be open receivers who can catch the ball available to receive passes if Smith will throw them. I am really pulling for Smith this season. This really is it for him. He has been a semi bust to this point. He will probably never be the great QB you would expect from a 1st overall pick. But he may become a viable QB until the Niners can draft and groom a replacement. Smith has the ability and the weapons to succeed this year. The problem rests between his ears, and if he can overcome that problem, he will be a Good QB on a playoff team.
Another year, another chance to hope for the team !!
That took a country hour to read.
I survived the David Carr Press Conference Thread 3/06/2010
Credit to iaalexeeff
It's official: I'm a Buster Posey fan..... Who isn't?
by Hoopers Judge on Jul 1, 2010 7:22 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Everything you said about Gore
I agree with. But with Alex I don’t. Here’s why. There is NO problem with whats between his ears. If there was, he could not learn five playbooks from five OC’s for five years in a row. I think there are some QB’s today who would demand a trade from an organization that can’t keep an OC for more that one year. Alex needs continuity to excel. This year we will start seeing Alex play like a #1 QB or better. I think better! He will be a VERY GOOD QB on a PLAYOFF TEAM!!
"Moving Forward."
High
Clearly one of the top 10 backs in the league even though he gets nicked up from time to time but waht RB doesn’t. He had another 1000yd season with a B.S. OL last year which should tell u everything u need to know. Now he has two road graders added to the line and they will lead him to daylight. Coffee will be improved but I think Dixon will contribute once he gets in the playbook. Gore will be a beast this year no doubt.
Beat Em To The Punch - Bill Walsh
High...
I think Frank has a better year. Even though it’s yet to be proven, I think we have a better OL and I’m so thankful we got a new OL coach. That in itself is reason to be optimistic. Besides that we have an improved receiving corp (again, yet to be proven), which means more honest defenses. Which means the box will not always be stacked against the run. If Gore dosen’t get his ‘06 stats, he still thrives baring injury. Plus I own a Gore jersey as well…so that’s practically a guarantee he’s gonna have a great season.
High NOT very high
Because now we have a legit receiver who is going to get his fair share of chances to make plays. Gore and VD won’t have to be the entire offense anymore. He still gets his usual 1000+ and around 8-10 TD’s but I don’t think he will get as high as his 2006 season. We do have some really high hopes for our OLine and deservedly so but let’s not forget that we will most likely be playing 2 rookies on that line and talented as they may be they still have never seen NFL caliber Dlinemen before outside of practice.

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