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Feel for NinersNation projected 2010 wins.

All offseason we talk about the 49ers; we talk about coaches, players, stats, free agents, next years schedule, last years performances, etc. From all this talk, speculation and stat driven hypotheses we all as individual fans begin to picture the 2010 season in our heads. Best case season, worst case season, playoffs hopes.

My goal with this post is to get a feel for the average amount of wins the NinersNation reader thinks the 49ers will have in 2010.

After the jump I will list out the schedule, my (short, since I'm writing this during my lunch break) prediction for each game, my projected 2010 final record, and finally my best and worst case scenarios for the 2010 season.

 

Star-divide


Week 1: @ Seattle Seahawks - WIN
  • Yes, Quest Field is loud (louder than any other place I've ever seen a sports event) and yes the Hawks seem to be slowly figuring out that whole wining games thing again. Despite this, I see the Niners coming out of Seattle with a win in Week 1. Taylor Mays will play (even if only on special teams) like he has something to prove to Carroll, and Mays in that mode should scare anyone. Defense will shut down the lackluster Hawks offense.

Week 2: New Orleans Saints (MNF) - LOSS

  • Some (if not a majority) of people here on NinersNation see the 49ers wining this game, I can't buy into it. The Saints defense will struggle containing the 49ers offense, however the 49ers somewhat lacking secondary will have an even tougher time trying to stop the Brees run offensive machine that is the Saints. It will be a close, exciting MNF game, unfortunately I see the Niners coming of this game with their first loss.

Week 3: @ Kansas City Chiefs - WIN

  • Week 17 last year the Chiefs spoiled the Broncos season by running them over with Jamaal Charles, the 49ers have to good a run defense to let this happen. The Niners offense, backed up by a stellar defense, propels the Niners to win number two.

Week 4: @ Atlanta Falcons - WIN

  • The 49ers were embarrassed by the Falcons last year; revenge is a strong motivator in sports, especially football, and the 49ers know this. This team will not take it lying down like last year, but will gut out a win. Another great, close game, this time with the Niners winning.

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles - WIN

  • The 49ers being at home, in addition to my predicted struggles for Kolb in Philly will combine to get the Niners their first home win.

Week 6: Oakland Raiders - WIN

  • Not much needs to be said here. Like the Seahawks, it looks as if the Raiders may be on a slow upswing; the progress will not be enough this early in the rebuilding process. 49ers get a decidedly onesided win in The Stick.

Week 7: @ Carolina Panthers - LOSS

  • Gotta admit, haven't heard a lot out of Panther territory this offseason. I feel this may be a team the 49ers underestimate, which is dangerous in this sport. 49ers lose in Carolina, snap a 4-game win streak. Sad face.

Week 8: Denver Broncos - WIN

  • Technically a home game, in London (Mr. York says: "You're welcome LondonNiner.") The large travel distance and time zone change will make this game tougher than it needs to be, nonetheless, Niners come out with the win over a struggling Broncos team.

Week 9: BYE

  • How weird would it be if the NFL decided to spell this week the "Bi Week"...

Week 10: St. Louis Rams - WIN

  • Yay a Rams game! 49ers unexpectedly struggle, but come away with the win.

Week 11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - WIN

  • Third straight win for the 49ers (boy they sure seem to be legit this year) and third straight at home. Again there is not a whole lot to say, the 49ers are clearly the better team on paper, and apparently on the field too.

Week 12: @ Arizona Cardinals (MNF) - LOSS

  • BOO! Win streak snapped on the road in Arizona on MNF. Being in the Cardinals house on Monday Night is tough, and it takes its toll on the Niners. A close game once again, but Leinart isn't as bad as we thought (darn him) and the Cards d-line manages to stop a last minute fourth quarter drive by the Niners.

Week 13: @ Green Bay Packers - LOSS

  • Well it's our first losing streak of the season. Sucks doesn't it? This game turns into a real struggle for the 49ers defense, trying to keep up with not only the arm of Aaron Rodgers, but the legs too.

Week 14: Seattle Seahawks - WIN

  • A still struggling Seahawks team battling injuries (sounds familir doesn't it?) come into The Stick and takes the loss. No massive rush TDs from Gore this time, but two impressive TD grabs from Crabtree helps the Niners win this one (my first statistic prediction!)

Week 15: @ San Diego Chargers - LOSS

  • I see a pattern emerging here, the 49ers are still struggling against good passing offenses. Rivers and Jackson (yes I'm assuming he plays) thrive in this game and help the Chargers win this game.

Week 16: @ St. Louis Rams - WIN

  • Unlike week 10, they Niners do not struggle against the Rams. Defense puts on a show in their best effort of the season (not tough to do against the Rams) and the offense shows off its weapons to the unhappy St. Louis crowd. Sad face for Rams fans.

Week 17: Arizona Cardinals - WIN

  • Now we have you right where we want you! At home. Second year in a row, the 49ers go 5-1 in the division by beating the Cardinals week 17.

 

So there you have it! My predicted 2010 season has the 49ers going 11-5 and into the playoffs. Happy face.

I said I would be posting my best/worse case scenarios down here as well. Let my above breakdown serve as my best case scenario for 2010, while the following short (I promise!) paragraph will be my worst case scenario.

Same as best case, only with added losses to the Seahawks week 1, the Falcons week 4, the Eagles week 5, and the Broncos week 8. Season ends with the 49ers 6-10, and clearly not in the playoffs.

So, NinersNation, what do you think? Agree with me? Disagree with me? Think I'm brilliant? Or think I'm totally insane? Let me know what you think in the comments, and please vote on the poll!

Poll
How many wins do you, the 49ers fan/NinersNation reader, see the 49ers getting in the 2010 season?
1
0 votes
2
0 votes
3
0 votes
4
0 votes
5
0 votes
6
2 votes
7
0 votes
8
4 votes
9
21 votes
10
105 votes
11
45 votes
12
39 votes
13
4 votes
14
1 votes
15
0 votes
16
7 votes

228 votes | Poll has closed

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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I have had the same feeling about carolina

think its the yearly surprise loss

Um, how am i supposed to sign this thing? It's a computer?!

by mikeinsp on Jul 27, 2010 3:59 PM PDT reply actions  

but the predictions are pretty solid! i agree with almost all of them. and i would gladly trade in a div. loss for a win vs bolts, pack, or falcons, and saints

Um, how am i supposed to sign this thing? It's a computer?!

by mikeinsp on Jul 27, 2010 4:01 PM PDT reply actions  

umm you say 10-6....

but according to the game results, it shows 11-5….just fyi

by sanfranfanmdk on Jul 27, 2010 4:20 PM PDT reply actions  

Thanks for letting me know.

I wouldn’t of caught that myself, haha. Never could edit my own articles well.

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 27, 2010 4:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah no prob....

I am feeling more of a 11-5 season too….they showed at worst be 9-7, and their ceiling is probably 12-4….they have a great chance to go 6-0 in the division, 3-1 in the AFC West, 2-2 in the NFC South, and split the GB/Philly games

by sanfranfanmdk on Jul 28, 2010 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

When you look at the schedule

it looks like we can win every game and the only games we might lose are Saints, Packers and Chargers

by Willy G on Jul 27, 2010 4:48 PM PDT reply actions  

I agree all three of those are losses

I just don’t think going 13-3 is realistic this year. We have the talent for possibly 13-3, but I don’t see it happening until next year (assuming we do well this year)

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 27, 2010 4:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think 10-6 is incredibly liklely

Really solid picks, good reasoning. I’m sure there will be a couple WTF surprises thrown in, but sadly, I DO agree with you that AZ won’t lose 4 straight to our guys, so the Monday Night game makes sense.

We predict the same record, but I’m going to switch two games from yours:

For some reason, I’m looking at that Philly game, and don’t get a good feeling about it. That said, I think we surprise the Chargers this year, catch them while they’re flat, and poke a big, Patrick Willis-sized-hole in their December mystique.

But either way, 5-1 division and 10 wins overall will keep me happy until the playoffs.

"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will

by lottwasgangsta on Jul 27, 2010 7:03 PM PDT reply actions  

10-6

some of those losses I dont know we need to beat some of the top teams in the League. If we go 10-6 and make the playoffs i dont see us advancing past our first game.

Yeah we still make the playoffs but I see the niners beating some of those teams you had us losing to. We cant just keep losing to these top tier teams. If the niners want to do any damage in the playoffs we got to beat the likes of GB, Saints, and the Chargers. If we take 2 of those 3 games i see us going far in the playoffs

by EcERyda69 on Jul 27, 2010 7:59 PM PDT reply actions  

I think 10-6 or 11-5 are the most reasonable

Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority

by smileyman on Jul 27, 2010 8:23 PM PDT reply actions  

The most important games for us to win are Atlanta, Saints, Philly, SD, and Green Bay. If we can get 2 or 3 wins i think we can get far in the playoffs.

Um, how am i supposed to sign this thing? It's a computer?!

by mikeinsp on Jul 27, 2010 8:36 PM PDT reply actions  

I think the most important games for us are all of them. If we can get 10-11 wins I think we can get into the playoffs.

I don’t think that at all… and of course this is all speculation on your behalf
by Drew K on Apr 14, 2010 2:05 PM PDT

by goatfather on Jul 27, 2010 8:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

True

But if we get into the playoffs by only winning teams like the Rams, Seahawks, Raiders, Chiefs, etc. We aren’t gonna go any where.

Um, how am i supposed to sign this thing? It's a computer?!

by mikeinsp on Jul 28, 2010 12:34 AM PDT up reply actions  

Umm the Cards were 9-7

with 6 wins in the division, and made it to the Superbowl lol

by sanfranfanmdk on Jul 28, 2010 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

I have us getting 11 wins, but my scenario is

we sweep our division (we were 5-1 last season, and I feel that we’ve improved more than anybody else in the division), go 5-5 against the rest of the league…

I also think that we can win a first-round playoff game, since, if we win the division we’ll probably not be a #1 or #2 seed, so it will be against a wild card team…

After all was said and done, a lot more got said than done.

by OldJock on Jul 27, 2010 8:58 PM PDT reply actions  

I'd agree with the sweep of the division but...

Lottwasgangsta brought up a point I failed to mention on my predicted loss to the Cards on MNF. I just don’t see them losing to us 4 consecutive times, no matter how superior we are. They’re too good a team to let that happen.

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 27, 2010 9:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

I can see us splitting the cards

The MNF game is in AZ. OTOH this team gets extremely hyped up for prime time games.

Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority

by smileyman on Jul 27, 2010 9:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

They most definitely do

Which clearly plays to our advantage. I could see this game going either way, I just feel it’s more likely to go against us. But hey, if they can pull it off all the better, gives us more respect in the playoffs.

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 27, 2010 9:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

I;m assuming this was supposed to be a reply...

But yeah, hey man good for you, I wish I did too, haha. I don’t know if it’s realism or pessimism, I just can’t see it.

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 27, 2010 9:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

give give give!

that could sound weird…

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 27, 2010 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Oh it does, but still... Be realistic, haha

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 28, 2010 8:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

16 games TOTAL

13-3 regular season plus 3 in post season.

by mr. instigator on Jul 28, 2010 8:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

I know

I was being facetious. I don’t think we’ll win 13 games TOTAL. I still say 11-5 with a playoff win over the visiting Green Bay Packers.

by mr. instigator on Jul 28, 2010 9:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

Man beating Green Bay in the playoffs would be incredible.

Kind of shed new light on the whole Alex Smith v Aaron Rodgers argument.

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 28, 2010 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Up

this is what I think too. I don’t think we make it to the divisional conference this year.

Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority

by smileyman on Jul 28, 2010 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

No!

I selected 16 because it is what I want and it is more than just a mere possibility that each individual game can be won. At the end of the season I confess that I will be surprised if they do win them all, but during each game I will still hope and expect the niners to win until the game is over or out of reach. When I was a few (actually many) years younger, and I was coaching HS girls soccer I went into every game believing that we would win because I believed that I had coached well, planned well, and positioned well; I was ready and the team was ready. It didn’t happen, but I was always optimistic. And I think the same way with regard to the niners. It just the way my brain works.

by CorneliusJ on Jul 28, 2010 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

No, I am not joking, but maybe addicted to too much hope.

I selected 16 because it is what I want and it is more than just a mere possibility that each individual game can be won. At the end of the season I confess that I will be surprised if they do win them all, but during each game I will still hope and expect the niners to win until the game is over or out of reach. When I was a few (actually many) years younger, and I was coaching HS girls soccer I went into every game believing that we would win because I believed that I had coached well, planned well, and positioned well; I was ready and the team was ready. It didn’t happen, but I was always optimistic. And I think the same way with regard to the niners. It just the way my brain works.

by CorneliusJ on Jul 28, 2010 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah

Look where it got us in ‘08…just sayin’.

by mr. instigator on Jul 28, 2010 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, but without hope, what is Heaven for???

After all was said and done, a lot more got said than done.

by OldJock on Jul 28, 2010 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

"In all things it is better to hope than to despair"...!!

Gotta love a woman that wear's knee pad's to work ...!!

by Edggy on Jul 28, 2010 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think the 9ers Make the playoffs this year

But I don’t think it will be with an 11-5 record. The entire NFC West is under a unique state of rebuild in one form or another.

The 49ers are the most solid team in the West, but the off and on QB play is a question mark. Crabtree is set to emerge as a true breakout player in 2010, but the only other receiving option dependable enough to list is Vernon Davis, he is definitely a beast. Gore puts up solid numbers as well and has to be accounted for. I think you will make the playoffs with a 9-7 or possibly 10-6 record.

I am a firm believer that Arizona is your biggest challenger, but I think 8-8 for thiem is a best case scenario. With Warner’s retirement, Boldin and Dansby’s departure they are left to rebuild with a spotty QB, an aging LB and fresh WR talent still looking for their big break.

Seattle will do good if they hit 6-10. New head coach means new ideas, and that sometimes does not translate well with players. Add in a few new players and you are looking at struggling to get to .500.

The Rams, 5-11 is about their best hope this year. After the run of horrible seasons as of late, their luck will only get slightly better as their new ray of hope does his best with the talent at his disposal. Steven Jackson is the brightest star on that team. They will improve a little, but they still have a questionable line and little talent to truely surround Bradford with.

Underestimate No One, Take Nothing For Granted

by SaintsFanInIraq on Jul 28, 2010 12:21 AM PDT reply actions  

I don't bet on football

Every time I bet, my team loses. It could be the Rams, and I could bet a quarter, and the Saints would lose.

Underestimate No One, Take Nothing For Granted

by SaintsFanInIraq on Jul 28, 2010 8:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

What if they lose this game because you DIDN'T bet...

You never know when things like that shift sides…

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 28, 2010 9:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

They just shifted

He jinxed it…now every time he DOESN’T bet, the Saints stand to lose. If Saints win I’ll set my signature to “Saints>Niners” or something like that.

by mr. instigator on Jul 29, 2010 12:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

There is no way to reverse that curse.

I have tried several times, and it never fails, anytime I bet on them, even if it is just a beer, they lose. I still owe my Fiancee for the Dallas game this past year.

Underestimate No One, Take Nothing For Granted

by SaintsFanInIraq on Jul 31, 2010 2:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

Best Case: 12-4; Worst Case: 10-6; here's how I get there ...

Wins (10) — At Seattle, Kansas City, Oakland, Denver (in UK), St. Louis, Tampa Bay, at Arizona, Seattle, at St. Louis, Arizona.

Losses (4) — New Orleans, at Atlanta*, at Green Bay, at San Diego.
      * annual “we should have won that one” game

Could Go Either Way / Maybe (2) — Philadelphia, at Carolina

So, if we win both “maybe games” we go 12-4; if we lose both “maybes” we go 10-6; I’ll guess that we split the “maybes” and thus go 11-5. After so many years of losing mediocrity, any of these records would please me, AS LONG AS WE WIN THE DIVISION AND THEREBY MAKE THE PLAYOFFS.

by 49erFanSince1950 on Jul 28, 2010 10:00 AM PDT reply actions  

Your last part is right on

As long as we win the West and get into the playoffs, the win-loss record doesn’t matter a whole lot to me. Although, I would like to see 1 or 2 wins agaisnt higher end teams in the regular season. Striclty because it will make me feel better about our chances of winning a couple playoff games.

-Brett Gleason
-Daily Evergreen Staff Sports Writer

by Brett the 49er on Jul 28, 2010 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

And if we win the west, we get a HOME playoff game vs a wildcard... and that's winable.

(This, of course, assumes we’re the #3 or #4 seed…)

After all was said and done, a lot more got said than done.

by OldJock on Jul 28, 2010 1:57 PM PDT reply actions  

I have fantasies of us taking on the Vikings...

and being the team to FINALLY knock Favre into retirement, and watching Iupati manhandle the “Williams Wall”…it’ll come down to another last second play, only this time, Willis will drill Favre as he’s throwing a pick-6 to Dashon Goldson… my god that would make me happy.

"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will

by lottwasgangsta on Jul 29, 2010 9:34 PM PDT reply actions  

Damn

Millions of fans across the country would owe us a debt of gratitude for ending Favre’s career once and for all. It would be fitting that the team he once tortured rises from the ashes to put the final nail in his coffin, throttling the Vikings on our way to a 6th Super Bowl title.

by mr. instigator on Jul 29, 2010 10:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

"Willis will drill Favre as he’s throwing a pick-6 to Dashon Goldson"

Favre did throw a pick six in that awful game, but Dre was being Dre, and forgot to catch it!

by CorneliusJ on Jul 30, 2010 7:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think they win @ SD

Mostly because I think SD doesn’t make the playoffs.

Plus, I’ll be there…so they have to win.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

"I'm just like you, but 10 times better"

by SportsChicken on Aug 1, 2010 5:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Problem is it's a late season game

and the Chargers are always on fire late in the year.

Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority

by smileyman on Aug 1, 2010 5:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Like I told my friend (Charger fan going to the game with me)

The streak has to end at some point.

What we've got here is a failure to communicate.

"I'm just like you, but 10 times better"

by SportsChicken on Aug 2, 2010 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Win the Division games

and the rest of the schedule – regular season will take care of itself

by DrRick009 on Aug 2, 2010 1:44 PM PDT reply actions  

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