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Antonio Gates lead blocking for Vernon Davis?

Yesterday the Chargers agreed to a five year deal with Antonio Gates. The deal is worth $36.175 million. It includes $20.4 million in guarantees and averages just over $7 million per year, making him the highest paid TE in the league. Dallas Clark earned $6.77 million making him the highest paid TE in the league last year.

This is an interesting deal for several reasons. First off there's the obvious implications regarding Vernon Davis. Secondly there's the whole issue with the contracts for Vincent Jackson and Marcus McNeil who must be furious right now. Join me after the jump for some number crunching. 

Star-divide

Let's compare stats first:

 

Antonio Gates

Career Stats 
Season Team Receiving Rushing Fumbles
G GS Rec Yds Avg Lng TD Att Yds Avg Lng TD FUM Lost
2009 San Diego Chargers 16 16 79 1,157 14.6 56 8 -- -- -- -- -- 1 0
2008 San Diego Chargers 16 16 60 704 11.7 34 8 -- -- -- -- -- 1 1
2007 San Diego Chargers 16 16 75 984 13.1 49T 9 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2006 San Diego Chargers 16 16 71 924 13.0 57T 9 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2005 San Diego Chargers 15 15 89 1,101 12.4 38 10 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2004 San Diego Chargers 15 15 81 964 11.9 72T 13 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2003 San Diego Chargers 15 11 24 389 16.2 48 2 -- -- -- -- -- 1 1
TOTAL 479 6,223 13.0 72 59 0 0 0.0 0 0 3 2

 

Vernon Davis

Career Stats
Season Team Receiving Rushing Fumbles
G GS Rec Yds Avg Lng TD Att Yds Avg Lng TD FUM Lost
2009 San Francisco 49ers 16 16 78 965 12.4 73T 13 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2008 San Francisco 49ers 16 16 31 358 11.5 57 2 1 11 11.0 11 0 2 1
2007 San Francisco 49ers 14 14 52 509 9.8 31 4 -- -- -- -- -- 1 1
2006 San Francisco 49ers 10 8 20 265 13.3 52T 3 2 5 2.5 9 0 1 1
TOTAL 181 2,097 11.6 73 22 3 16 5.3 11 0 4 3

 

Now Antonio Gates has been productive for longer than Vernon Davis but I think it's safe to assume that if VD has even close to the same kind of year in 2010 that he did in 2009 we'll be locking him up fast. He's younger, more talented and has more upside to his career so there's no reason we can't pay him more.

My guess it'll be six years $45 million. with $25 million guaranteed. We've talked about this before, back when Celek extended and when we extended Patrick Willis and I think this is the most realistic figure, however I wouldn't be totally shocked to see a 7 year deal worth close to $50 million. 

The way I'd structure it is to split the bonuses up over 2011 and 2012, with the rest of the money coming in 2013-2016. What do you guys think?  Personally I think we extend him before the end of the regular season. 

Poll
When will the 49ers extend Vernon Davis?
After the rookie sign, but before the start of the season
236 votes
Before the end of the regular season
359 votes
Between the end of the regular season and free agency
196 votes
We let him test free agency
24 votes

815 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 10 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I say they sign him during the season

They powers that be probably want to see just a little more from him to justify what he will get, but they’ll sign him, I’m not worried about that. If he was the best receiver on the team last season and looks to be right up there this year, they’d be on some pretty good crack not to! :)

17 days to go!

I'm on twitter now. Please follow me! www.twitter.com/@yougomango

by Mangoman on Jul 29, 2010 9:00 AM PDT reply actions  

Thank you for the stat comparison

Vernon’s last two seasons look almost identical to Antonio’s first two seasons. If the pattern continues we should get over 1000 yards from him and 10 TD’s. Anything remotely close to that should get him a comparable contract to Gates with ANY team in the league. I believe it’s in the 49ers BEST interest to sign Vernon now before the price tag goes UP. I can fully understand why Vernon isn’t sweating the contract issues. He’s going to be rich no matter what.

by Pat Willie on Jul 29, 2010 9:25 AM PDT reply actions  

Gates has earned that salary

Vernon still has some proving to do. Hopefully he gets a nice and fair contract.

Coach Boone: And who's team is this, Gary? Is this your team? Or is this your daddy's team?
Bertier: Yours.
Coach Boone: Now get on the bus. Put on your jacket first and then get on the bus.

by Amigo on Jul 29, 2010 9:33 AM PDT reply actions  

I'd be happy to see 8 years 50 million

With 30 million guaranteed. Vernon has the offseason work ethic where little nicks don’t keep him off the field and he’s turned into a leader. He doesn’t need the highest avg pay for a TE but make him secure and give him a lot guaranteed.

Gimme 1 round!

by ItBurnzWhenIP on Jul 29, 2010 9:38 AM PDT reply actions  

It’s hard to say if I would pay him that much. If we were to sign him now, I would expect to pay a little less than Gates, because of the fact that Vernon hasn’t been consistent. By his 4th year, Gates was already an elite player having 3 900+ yard seasons, one of which was 1100.

If they DON’T sign him until the regular season starts, and use the “wait and see” approach, well, it could come back to bite us in the ass. If Vernon shows he can remain consistent this year, he’ll definitely be worth as much or more than Gates.

by aBulldog on Jul 29, 2010 11:19 AM PDT reply actions  

The CBA will complicate a lot of things. The Niners might not want to sign Davis until a new CBA is signed. And Davis might want to sign during the current CBA because he might make more money under the current format.

"Dodger fans aren’t happy when foul balls get into their section, because it interferes with their playing with the beachball"- Mike Krukow

by 49er16 on Jul 29, 2010 11:29 AM PDT reply actions  

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