Golden Nuggets: One day away?
by James Brady on Sep 11, 2010 3:01 AM PDT
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I can't believe we're a day away. One day away from some real, tangible NFL action. Action that matters. Action that dictates the future of a team, that has an effect on where we'll be come postseason time. As far as news goes, we didn't have a whole lot yesterday. I have some good links for you though, some inactives were announced and we have some player quotes and things of that nature. We had plenty in the way of posting at Niners Nation yesterday, and we'll have plenty more today. You guys were slacking in the comments in the Nuggets, though. I say it should be required that we hit 100 in every day of the regular season. Tre9er and his multiple personalities were also slacking, and I'm thinking about banning a couple of them. We'll have to see. Anyway, enjoy folks.
Vernon Davis isn't ready for fewer looks this season. He wants the ball, and I think he should get it, personally. I also love the way Jimmy Raye talks and his choice of words. Always entertaining, now about that playbook ... (PressDemocrat.com)
How the 49ers can win the NFC West. Well, it's nice that Phil (hey look, it's Phil!) compiled this list, but I think it mostly boils down to "not sucking as much as the other three teams in the division." Good read, though. (PressDemocrat.com)
The 49ers are preparing these rookie offensive lineman for the Seattle crowd. We've read a lot about this in the past few days, and heck, I've written a lot about it — and that's because it's a very real concern. (SacBee.com)
I have to be honest, I love the attitude from Mike Sando in this article. Sando isn't my favorite of the beat writers, and I have accused him of being biased in the past, but I've seen lately that it wasn't so much bias as it was legitimately believing in the Seahawks, which I can see. He basically takes this article and says, "Hey. I'm Mike Sando. I'm right, and you suck for thinking I'm not right. Suck it! Also, that Ninjames fella is sexy and I love him." I'm paraphrasing slightly, but the smugness in this article is legitimately appreciated by myself. (ESPN.com)
It appears that WR Ted Ginn Jr. will be returning punts against Seattle tomorrow. This really does come as a surprise to me. I think we all got a little bit ahead of ourselves in thinking that Phillip Adams should be thrust in there, but I still an surprised. I don't like Ginn back there on punts, is all I'm saying. (CSNBayArea.com)
Points of the Game: Seattle Seahawks (49ers.com)
WR Michael Crabtree asks, "What is a diva?" You know, at times, I have trouble figuring it out, too. Someone is a diva if they're all about themselves. Someone is a diva when they're all up on the media. Apparently, somebody with an aversion to the media is also a diva. All I know is, I'm hungry, so I'm going to stop writing this sentence right in the middle of it when I really shoul (ProFootballTalk.com)
Why not? Some more preview action for tomorrow's game. (SFGate.com)
Sando has his final word on the NFC West before their week one action begins. (ESPN.com)
Teams Talk: Andy Lee on Seattle. I enjoy these segments. (49ers.com)
Maiocco has some matchups to watch for tomorrow's game. I hate the tiny column of writing next to all the unnecessary pictures and video on the right. (CSNBayArea.com)
Yesterday On Niners Nation
Golden Nuggets: Dynasty (Ninjames)
49ers-Seahawks: Lower profile key matchups and players (Fooch)
Caption This! (Howtheyscored)
Xfinity Presents… An Exclusive Q&A With NFL RedZone Host Scott Hanson (Fooch)
2010 San Francisco 49ers Updated Odds (Fooch)
49ers-Seahawks Final Injury Report (Fooch)
Niners Nation Predictions for 2010: II. Our Thoughts on the 49ers (Florida Danny)
Today On Niners Nation(All times pacific and subject to change)
6:00 a.m. 49ers-Seahawks: Defensive matchups and players (Fooch)
8:45 a.m. 2010 College Football Gameday Thead: Week 2 (Fooch)
11:00 a.m. TBD, Preview Post (Josh Branco)
1:00 p.m. 49ers-Seahawks: The World According To Madden (Ninjames)
Throughout the day we'll have more.
Something Else
I generally don't include personal things in the Nuggets and ask for anything (though a "will provide daily links for food," section may be oncoming) but I got a buddy with a lot of things up for sale on eBay, and if you're into video games at all, it's worth checking out. The only reason I include this is because he's selling these things for his mom — who had surgery recently and they're pressed for cash. I'm not asking that you buy anything, but hey, there might be something there you like. Thanks.
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Cant wait...
Even more so because ill be there in person. Is it tomorrow yet?
by BangingHebrew on Sep 11, 2010 5:42 AM PDT via mobile reply actions
When did Eric Branch take over for Phil Barber?
I’m so used to just reading the articles (Thanks James!) that I can’t remember noticing Barber not there anymore.
"We've set out to win the division. We're going to win the division, I promise you. Remember me when we do." - Mike Singletary
(Support Alex Smith)
by return2greatness on Sep 11, 2010 5:47 AM PDT reply actions
Branch took over something like two days ago. The commute was too much for Phil, who doesn’t want to move his kids. Branch is looking good so far, I just dislike his too-frequent line breaks at this point!
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
I just tried to "rec" a text message I received from Tre9er.
Yeah …
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
MSN conversation that just happened
Edited for appropriateness, kind of.
Jukkie says:
*hehehe
*im ready man
*im on the 49er wagon
*fo sho
ninjaculate says:
*WAGON?
*THIS [site decorum]
*IS A [site decorum]
*WAR TRAIN
*FROM HELL
Jukkie says:
*hehe
ninjaculate says:
*ON THE TRACKS
*TO THE CHAMPIONSHIP
*AND YO MOMMA
*[site decorum].
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
by James Brady on Sep 11, 2010 6:32 AM PDT reply actions 2 recs
You know what would be great?
If Michael Crabtree did one of those Snickers Diva commercials. Like he’s sitting in a back seat of a car, complaining about something, and Vernon Davis turns to him and says “Michael have a Snickers, you’re a real diva when you’re hungry.” Then instead of transforming from Crabtree into another player, he just looks at the camera and winks. VD then starts wrasslin’ around in the backseat with Crabs, when Coach Singletary turns around from the driver seat and threatens to “turn this car around”. Then, as the final Snickers promo comes up, subtitles can read “Media Hungry? Grab yourselves a Snickers.”
by Andrew Davidson on Sep 11, 2010 7:49 AM PDT reply actions 8 recs
that is a GREAT idea
Can u c coach sing's vision? I do!......We all know PATRICK WILLIS is our future!
May 12 2010 comment of the day award winner on the nuggets!
One of the best ideas I've ever heard
"We've set out to win the division. We're going to win the division, I promise you. Remember me when we do." - Mike Singletary
(Support Alex Smith)
by return2greatness on Sep 11, 2010 8:28 AM PDT up reply actions
idea
That’s a pretty amazing idea. If you want I’d be happy to poke around and find the marketing company that could handle this.
by David Fucillo on Sep 11, 2010 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions
As long as we all remember where the commercial’s idea came from when it airs during the Super Bowl (after VD and Crabs both had All-Pro seasons and Coach Sing wins CoTY).
by Andrew Davidson on Sep 11, 2010 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions
i dont think ill be able to sleep tonight
im so jacked for this game
Can u c coach sing's vision? I do!......We all know PATRICK WILLIS is our future!
May 12 2010 comment of the day award winner on the nuggets!
please don't ban any of Tre9er's personalities;
I think I might be one of them. I’ve never seen myself and Tre9er in the same place at the same time.
When life gives you fruit, add a bunch of sugar to it.
Ginn
Why don’t you like him on punts? Fear of injury or not getting it done? I thought Adams looked great… but I think Ginn is more then capable.
"We've set out to win the division. We're going to win the division, I promise you. Remember me when we do." - Mike Singletary
(Support Alex Smith)
by return2greatness on Sep 11, 2010 8:45 AM PDT reply actions
He's never been impressive on punts.
He doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence returning punts. Kickoffs is a whole different thing. His PR average isn’t good – I feel like he’s already shown everything he can there, and I don’t see it as being enough. I’d rather have someone promising and unproven there (because let’s face it, Arnaz Battle and Brandon Jones were NEVER promising) as opposed to someone I know will be “just ok.”
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
Wait....
So you’e saying Battle WASN’T a great PR?
"We've set out to win the division. We're going to win the division, I promise you. Remember me when we do." - Mike Singletary
(Support Alex Smith)
by return2greatness on Sep 11, 2010 8:51 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
lol
"We've set out to win the division. We're going to win the division, I promise you. Remember me when we do." - Mike Singletary
(Support Alex Smith)
by return2greatness on Sep 11, 2010 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions
another thing that might be a bit nerve-racking about Ginn returning punts is that he’s only returned 12 in the previous two seasons. I just hope he doesn’t have any brain farts back there, fair catches the balls he should and doesn’t try to catch any balls inside the 5.
With Philip Adams back there, it’s a wild card in a good way, I agree.
by Andrew Davidson on Sep 11, 2010 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions
Ground rules for Sando and the other math nerds + Ted Ginn
Sando claims 81.3% accuracy on his 2009 predictions. Wrong! The total number of games predicted was 64—-precision to three significant numbers (that extra 0.3) is not mathematically valid, and proves that he has no idea of what he is talking about (and N is actually less than 64 because 6 games for each team are with each other so are double counted). Football Outsider goes to the fourth significant number with small sample sizes—-same fallacy. If probabilities are expressed to far too many significant digits, they are most probably being calculated by someone who knows not what they are doing. To summarize, I am right 99.55567895% of the time, so don’t argue with me (Danny, are you out there somewhere?).
Ginn is a veteran PR who will field punts tomorrow in the noisiest stadium in the NFL. Yardage gained is secondary to ball security. He doesn’t usually drop punts. Why are you criticizing Coach Singletary for making what on paper is a safer choice for PR? If we roll up a big lead, Adams will get his chances at PR under a lot less pressure for his debut. Eventually Kyle Williams will be doing this task and all will be good in this little corner of NN.
I love this comment.
I don’t understand it at all, regardless I love that blog post from Sando.
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
so it would’ve made more sense for Sando to just say 81% instead of 81.3% is what you’re saying? He states he was 52-12 (which is a winning percentage of .8125), but you’re also saying because the teams played one another twice it inflates that game total. I agree that it inflates the game total, but it could backfire and give him an 0-1 for each team if he picks the incorrect winner. However, I do think he should’ve simply beeng 1-0 or 0-1, and not 2-0 or 0-2, because it is a relatively innaccurate total. We’d have to go back and check his predictions on each divisional game to getter a better grip on what his actual WP was.
He was accurate in predicting 5 of the 6 games for San Francisco in 2009’s divisional opponents. So that’s 5 wins, 1 loss total and know we don’t need to know the outcome of 2 games each per NFC West Team. In Rams games, he was 4-0, another 2 per team scratched off. In Cardinals games, he was 1-1, and we also eliminate the rest of the Seahawks divisional games in the process. In other words, Sando was 10-2 predicting the outcomes of NFC West divisional games. By my terrible math, that’s 10 inflated wins and 2 inflated losses. Therefore, Sando was actually 42-10, or 80.76923% right. Still pretty good.
by Andrew Davidson on Sep 11, 2010 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions
You have it just about exactly right
Actually, using my abacus rather than an electronic calculator, he was right 80.76924% of the time.
52-12 is 52/64 (uncorrected for the double counting; I’m doing these in my head as I type), or 81%. Since 53 or 51 right would differ by about 2%, 80%, 81%, and 82% are not significantly different from each other or the correct answer, so “about 80%” or even “about 81%” is probably the best description of his accuracy. But doesn’t 80.76923% sound a lot more like he really nailed it?
by seafood lover on Sep 11, 2010 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions
lmao
And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.
by James Brady on Sep 11, 2010 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions
Florida Danny, we need you.
If Sando had just predicted the favorite in each of those 64 games last year, what would his correct prediction percentage have been? I would guess the answer is between 75% and 80%, so his 80.76923% is not particularly impressive (sort of like if you had enough monkeys typing for long enough you could end up with the works of Shakespeare). Is that guess of 75-80% correct? I haven’t tried to go back and actually figure this out from last year’s results. On the other hand if he could get 81% of the winners right after allowing for the point spread, that would make his column worth reading.
Well, unless I made a tragic mistake,
it would appear as though Sando did significantly better then he would have done by just picking the favorites in each game. Using data from
http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_point_spreads.shtml, and NFL.com, together with Excel, by picking the favorites each week he would have gone an adjusted 34-18, quite a bit worse than his actual adjusted 42-10.
"Blackmail is such an ugly word. I prefer "extortion." The "X" makes it sound cool." - Bender Bending Rodriguez
Thank you
A record picking of 34-18 is about 65% right, which if these numbers are correct is what you get by just picking the favorites and not having any real knowledge of NFL football. So Sando’s 81% makes him pretty good, or at least better than all of my monkeys typing away. Once again, data is better than my best guess, which is why I’m only right 99.55567895% of the time and can’t get to that pesky 100% mark.
Kidding aside, thank you jbrown63 for the information. I did not know about this site. I will also have a bit more respect for Sando from here on, although I still prefer Maiocco as a writer and a 49ers talent evaluator.
by seafood lover on Sep 11, 2010 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions
No problem.
I was also curious to see just how well Sando had done and, as it is Saturday, I had nothing else to do with my time. I also prefer Maiocco, though Sando is pretty good for an ESPN guy.
"Blackmail is such an ugly word. I prefer "extortion." The "X" makes it sound cool." - Bender Bending Rodriguez
VD just signed a 5-year extension
$37M, $23M guaranteed. Great job, now on to the next one. Dashon, Aubrayo or Manny should be next.
Don't mind me, I'm on a roller coaster. . .
I'm on twitter now. Please follow me! www.twitter.com/@yougomango
by Mangoman on Sep 11, 2010 12:33 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
Regarding Raye
the more I read his press transcripts the more respect I get for him—the guy is really smart and knows his football stuff. He just needs to develop a sense of adventure is all.
Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority
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