Niners Nation Predictions for 2010: Remember, We're NOT "Experts"

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 9, 2010 4:30 PM PDT in 49ers Statistical Preview and Review

So yesterday I spent about 4,000 words showing you how little confidence you should have in the preseason predictions of NFL experts. Naturally, of course, the logical follow-up to such a thorough eviceration of prognostication is for us here at Niners Nation to do some prognosticating. But, remember, nobody said we're NFL experts. Now, if we totally whiff on our Niner predictions, a team for which we should be considered experts, then I fully expect some cynical blogger to write at least 4,000 words making fun of us. Such is life on the interwebs.

I'm not going to do much commentary here, so let me just briefly list the picks we made:

Win totals for all 32 teams
Division champions
Playoff teams in each conference
Conference Championship Game teams
Super Bowl Teams
Super Bowl Champion

Once the season ends, I'll do a post recapping the picks and evaluating our accuracy. And, of course, I'll be including these picks in next year's installment of my Expert (In)Accuracy Rankings.

After the jump, our picks...

Here are our win total projections for the 32 NFL teams. Teams in each division are listed in order of the average wins we've predicted, which is shown in the last column (division champs in bold):

AFC East
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
NE	12	8	9	11	10	10	11
NYJ	11	10	10	9	12	9	10
MIA	7	7	10	9	7	9	8
BUF	5	3	6	4	1	5	5
AFC North
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
BAL	10	13	12	12	10	11	10
CIN	11	11	8	9	12	7	9
PIT	7	6	10	9	10	8	8
CLE	3	5	7	5	2	6	5
AFC South
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
IND	13	11	10	12	14	12	12
HOU	9	9	9	10	12	9	9
TEN	8	8	6	7	7	8	8
JAX	5	7	8	6	5	5	5
AFC West
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
SD	11	10	9	9	11	13	12
DEN	8	8	6	7	5	6	8
OAK	7	7	5	6	4	7	8
KC	4	4	6	6	8	6	5
NFC East
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
DAL	12	12	10	11	9	12	11
NYG	9	8	9	9	13	9	9
PHI	6	9	9	8	7	7	9
WAS	7	6	8	7	8	6	5
NFC North
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
GB	11	13	11	13	10	10	11
MIN	10	11	9	9	12	9	10
CHI	5	5	6	6	2	8	7
DET	6	7	5	3	5	4	4
NFC South
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
NO	12	12	10	12	14	11	11
ATL	10	10	9	10	10	11	10
CAR	7	6	9	7	6	8	5
TB	3	3	5	2	2	3	4
NFC West
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
SF	10	10	10	11	14	11	10
ARI	8	8	6	8	6	6	6
SEA	5	7	4	6	6	6	8
STL	4	5	2	3	2	4	3

And here are our picks pertaining to division championships, playoff participation, championship game participation, Super Bowl participation, and Super Bowl champion:

Playoff Teams
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
AFC East	NE	NYJ	NYJ	NE	NYJ	NE	NE
AFC North	CIN	BAL	BAL	BAL	CIN	BAL	BAL
AFC South	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND	IND
AFC West	SD	SD	SD	SD	SD	SD	SD
AFC WC	BAL	HOU	PIT	HOU	HOU	HOU	CIN
AFC WC	NYJ	CIN	MIA	CIN	BAL	MIA	NYJ
NFC East	DAL	DAL	DAL	DAL	NYG	DAL	DAL
NFC North	GB	GB	GB	GB	MIN	GB	GB
NFC South	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	ATL	NO
NFC West	SF	SF	SF	SF	SF	SF	SF
NFC WC	MIN	MIN	NYG	MIN	ATL	NO	MIN
NFC WC	ATL	PHI	ATL	ATL	GB	NYG	ATL
Conference Championship Games
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
AFC1	IND	BAL	BAL	BAL	CIN	BAL	SD
AFC2	NE	NYJ	NYJ	SD	IND	IND	IND
NFC1	GB	GB	GB	GB	MIN	SF	GB
NFC2	MIN	DAL	DAL	SF	NYG	DAL	NO
Super Bowl
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
AFC	NE	BAL	NYJ	BAL	NYG	BAL	SD
NFC	GB	GB	GB	GB	CIN	SF	GB
Champion
	Andrew Davidson	Drew K	Florida Danny	Fooch	Ninjames	urnext	wjackalope
NFL	GB	GB	GB	BAL	CIN	SF	SD

Looks like it's 1996 all over again. Packers, Niners, and Cowboys win their divisions and the Packers win it all. OK, fire away in the comments section!

Poll

Which of the following teams do you think will win this year's Super Bowl?

Packers

89 votes

Ravens

84 votes

Cowboys

4 votes

Jets

11 votes

49ers

305 votes

Colts

52 votes

Chargers

6 votes

Saints

25 votes

Patriots

5 votes

Vikings

5 votes

None of the above (specify in comments section)

12 votes

598 votes | Poll has closed

Tweet Comment 71 comments | 0 recs |

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Comments

Ravens are my Super Bowl pick.

by mikeinsp on Sep 9, 2010 4:35 PM PDT reply actions

Glad at least one of you picked Seattle w/ more wins than Arizona. I’m jumping on that bandwagon myself.

by cybermaldonado on Sep 9, 2010 4:40 PM PDT reply actions

I said right around draft day that the Seahawks would be in the 49ers way this year. Now that I’ve seen the 33-or-so roster turnover, I’m not touching the Seahawks.

And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.

by James Brady on Sep 9, 2010 4:41 PM PDT up reply actions

I voted 49ers in the poll

but I really think it’ll be the Pack

Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority

by smileyman on Sep 9, 2010 4:50 PM PDT reply actions

Hey, why didn’t you participate? Afraid to go out on that shaky limb, or were you just too busy? You are passing up a great opportunity to look silly. ;)

by Andrew Davidson on Sep 9, 2010 5:10 PM PDT up reply actions

Like the procastinator I am I put it off 'til this week

and then I got busy with the NFC West previews.

I predict a Saints win tonight and if it’s not too late I’ll get some turned in before Sunday

Logic merely enables one to be wrong with authority

by smileyman on Sep 9, 2010 5:28 PM PDT up reply actions

Baha. I put it off until thirty minutes before it was supposed to be posted.

In fact, I was a couple minutes late.

And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.

by James Brady on Sep 9, 2010 6:11 PM PDT up reply actions

I’d really like the 9ers to win, but I think it’s more likely that the ravens will win it all

by ro128487 on Sep 9, 2010 4:59 PM PDT reply actions

My thoughts exactly!

I voted for the Niners just so I can say I went out on a limb and picked um when others doubted!

But in the land that is NOT make believe, I really think the Ravens are a solid team that no one is giving enough credit. Flacco is solid, Ray Rice is very good, and that defense is still very good. Even though Green Bay and the Saints are the trendy picks in the NFC, and the Colts and J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets Jets are getting a lot of hype, I think a team like the Ravens could sneak up on teams and then peak at just the right time.

But I STILL hold out hope the Niners go on a tear and win it ALL!

Gotta catch up with those No GOOD Steelers!

Another year, another chance to hope for the team !!

by FaStRmAn on Sep 10, 2010 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions

I think

We all did a fantastic job. Give ourselves a round of applause and pat ourselves on the back. For the sake of my own sanity, I hope my SB winner is not accurate (and for the record, I’ve never ever accurately predicted the SB winner anytime I’ve tried). Also, I’m glad to see Ninjames not the only giving the Bengals a bit of love (although SB champs is quite a bit of love!).

by Andrew Davidson on Sep 9, 2010 5:04 PM PDT reply actions

I’m pretty sure that last sentence wasn’t english.

by Andrew Davidson on Sep 9, 2010 5:04 PM PDT up reply actions

It’s a strong feeling. Looked at each match and said “Well, Cincy should win this…” and then “Well.. Cincy should win this…” all the way until the Super Bowl.

I also have a hunch the Giants will be very good and I’m not sure why.

I did these picks in like thirty minutes, too.

And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.

by James Brady on Sep 9, 2010 6:13 PM PDT up reply actions

Wait

You actually put some thought into this? I just randomly picked numbers off the top of my head.

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions

I initially used letters, then Danny emailed me some rather choice words.

by Andrew Davidson on Sep 9, 2010 11:26 PM PDT up reply actions

wait...

you sound like the beetle i used in the accuracy rankings post.

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 9, 2010 11:39 PM PDT up reply actions

Funny you should mention that

Since I had the very kafkaesque experience of waking up a few days ago as a giant beetle.

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:53 PM PDT up reply actions

this...

is far too intellectual of a site to be making Metamorphosis references.

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 9, 2010 11:55 PM PDT up reply actions

Intellectual or unintellectual

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:58 PM PDT up reply actions

intellectual...

i was trying to give us the benefit of the doubt.

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 10, 2010 12:04 AM PDT up reply actions

You're probably right

49er fans are a lot more educated than those heathens across the bay in Oakland.

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 10, 2010 12:07 AM PDT up reply actions

The funny thing is...

this is the second time in the last week I’ve tried to make a Metamorphosis joke. Maybe I should just stop now.

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 10, 2010 12:03 AM PDT up reply actions

Metamorphosis joke, does not exist.

by bignerd on Sep 10, 2010 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions

definitely....

there will be no metamrophoses on NN anytime soon.

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 10, 2010 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions

What was the underlying point of that book again? I was buried in a 50 minute facepalm for a semester trying to tune out my immediate environment.

by bignerd on Sep 10, 2010 12:12 AM PDT up reply actions

That you can wake up any day and find out the you are F

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 10, 2010 12:13 AM PDT up reply actions

That is it!?!?!?!?

Now I’m even more pissed.

Could pretty much surmise that reading the first 10 pages. Jesus H. Christ, what was the benefit in reading the rest? No wonder those classes where the bane of my existence and I suffer from repressed memory syndrome.

by bignerd on Sep 10, 2010 12:23 AM PDT up reply actions

There might be more

Something about the sister throwing an apple into his exoskeleton and how he eventualy dies and his parents find out that his sister has become a beautiful woman. I guess there’s supposed to be some anology, but I don’t get it.

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 10, 2010 12:29 AM PDT up reply actions

nice use of...

“jesus h. christ”. splendid.

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 10, 2010 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions

I should know this

I wrote a paper on it in college.

I think I said it had to do with the existential dilemma. Identity and the meaning of one’s existence. The choices one makes and the purpose towards which one lives. And how it all comes crumbling down around him or somesuch.

Proud member of the "Bring Back Semenov" Club

by PNK on Sep 10, 2010 8:11 AM PDT up reply actions

Thanks for the awful flash back to English class. I remember I was given a “C” grade for not carrying a strong enough positive attitude.

I remember those Metamorphosis class discussions. Thankfully I had no access to cyanide capsules.

by bignerd on Sep 10, 2010 12:03 AM PDT up reply actions

You're welcome

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 10, 2010 12:08 AM PDT up reply actions

I wouldn’t have understood the reference if Danny hadn’t spelled it out.

by bignerd on Sep 10, 2010 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions

that's what i'm here for...

to spell things out…like, N-E-R-D.

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 10, 2010 12:11 AM PDT up reply actions

I put thought into it twenty minutes before the post was supposed to go up

And then God created Saturn... and he liked it, so he put a ring on it.
Twitter me and what not.

by James Brady on Sep 10, 2010 2:40 AM PDT up reply actions

Jesus Christ, what a bunch of homers

Seriously? 56 votes for the 49ers, and 11 for the Packers? Honestly, come on

Dashon, Mays, and Bamm Bamm will get the record for most decapitations in one season

by MichaelClutchtree on Sep 9, 2010 5:11 PM PDT reply actions

If we play the packers in the playoffs

Not only will we beat them it will be a blowout.

Gimme 1 round!

by ItBurnzWhenIP on Sep 9, 2010 6:08 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions 1 recs

Nothing wrong with being a homer brother

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:29 PM PDT up reply actions

i believe you meant...

“jesus h. christ”

by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Sep 10, 2010 12:11 AM PDT up reply actions

Nothing wrong with being a homer

If you are at home. What is the name of this blog again???

Another year, another chance to hope for the team !!

by FaStRmAn on Sep 10, 2010 9:56 PM PDT up reply actions

I believe

49ers los mejores!!!

by 49erSalvatrucha on Sep 9, 2010 5:12 PM PDT reply actions

Ninjames

Is in the either win a lot or not at all camp. We appreciate the confidence for the 49ers though

by mcwagner on Sep 9, 2010 5:19 PM PDT via mobile reply actions

So because experts are wrong

and you are not experts that means you are right.

by manraj7 on Sep 9, 2010 5:26 PM PDT reply actions

Why Not

Team / (W-L) / (Division Rank) / (Overall Rank) * playoff team in bold

AFC East
Dolphins (10-6) / 1st / 6th
Patriots (10-6) / 2nd / 8th
Jets (9-7) / 3rd / 15th
Bills (3-13) / 4th / 31st

AFC North
Bengals (10-6) / 1st / 4th
Ravens (9-7) / 2nd / 13th
Steelers (8-8) / 3rd / 18th
Browns (6-10) / 4th / 26th

AFC South
Colts (13-3) / 1st / 1st
Texans (9-7) / 2nd / 16th
Jaguars (7-9) / 3rd / 21st
Titans (7-9) / 4th / 24th

AFC West
Broncos (9-7) / 1st / 11th
Raiders (9-7) / 2nd / 12th
Chargers (9-7) / 3rd / 17th
Chiefs (5-11) / 4th / 27th

NFC East
Redskins (10-6) / 1st / 7th
Cowboys (9-7) / 2nd / 14th
Giants (7-9) / 3rd / 22nd
Eagles (6-10) / 4th / 25th

NFC North
Packers (12-4) / 1st / 2nd
Vikings (10-6) / 2nd / 9th
Lions (7-9) / 3rd / 23rd
Bears (3-13) / 4th / 30th

NFC South
Saints (10-6) / 1st / 5th
Falcons (10-6) / 2nd / 10th
Panthers (7-9) / 3rd / 20th
Buccaneers (5-11) / 4th / 29th

NFC West
49ers (11-5) / 1st / 3rd
Cardinals (8-8) / 2nd / 19th
Rams (5-11) / 3rd / 28th
Seahawks (3-13) / 4th / 32nd

SB Appearance Handicap
NFC: Vikings (50%), 49ers (22.5%), Packers (15%), Saints (12.5%)
AFC: Colts (55%), Patriots (20%), Bengals (15%), Dolphins (10%)

by bignerd on Sep 9, 2010 5:30 PM PDT reply actions

enter your predictions on my site

http://nickem.net/users/predictions.php

by whistlingmountain on Sep 9, 2010 5:38 PM PDT up reply actions

People really don't understand the difference between "think" and "hope"

by whistlingmountain on Sep 9, 2010 5:35 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs

What?

There’s a difference?

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions

If Alex just has a little bit above average year and no major injuries…we go to the SUPERBOWL!!! And everyone knows…WE DON’T LOSE SUPERBOWLS!!!

by riggs68 on Sep 9, 2010 5:38 PM PDT reply actions

Amen Brother

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:23 PM PDT up reply actions

You experts are crazy

Except urnext, that prediction seems right

by fortyniners on Sep 9, 2010 6:10 PM PDT reply actions

Amen Brother

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions

niners vs ravens super bowl!!!!

And you know how we roll in the Super Bowl!

by Sammallory on Sep 9, 2010 6:11 PM PDT reply actions

Amen Brother

Don't trust this guy. He lies.

by urnext on Sep 9, 2010 11:23 PM PDT up reply actions

Super Bowl

’Aints vs Crows.

NFC champion losers 49ers
AFC champion losers Colts

2nd round losers NFC Dallas and GB
2nd round losers AFC NE and Houston

Gimme 1 round!

by ItBurnzWhenIP on Sep 9, 2010 6:23 PM PDT via mobile reply actions

I took the Colts to win the SB

Also: Ninjames, you’re insane and I mean that in the absolute best possible way.
It’s a much more interesting read that way. And hell you could be right…Although I’d prefer if urnext was right.

by RedWings49 on Sep 9, 2010 7:04 PM PDT reply actions