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How the 49ers May Lose on Sunday

Sitting at 5-1, the 49ers must be about as confident as ever. For nearly every single player on the team, their careers in San Francisco have been marked by, at best, mediocrity with a dash of hope and a halftime of "pants on the ground / pants on the ground / lookin' like a fool with your pants on the ground."

I'll admit it: I'm about as confident as a fan as I have ever been since the day Steve Young went down. In 1999, I was 9 years old and even then I knew that replacing him was going to be pretty much impossible. I had a sense that the Niners were going to suck for a while. It took until 2002, but it was never the same.

So, I hate being confident. I can't help it, but if the apocalyptic years from 2002 until the post-apocalyptic "Harbaugh Age" taught me anything, it's that being confident will get one into major trouble. The 49ers have let me down hard. Like a bad break up hard.

In light of this wonderfully optimistic sentiment, let's imagine how the Browns can beat the 49ers on Sunday.

Star-divide

According to most anybody who knows anything about football, the 49ers should win. We are pretty clear favorites going into the game. But, what if? What if the Niners should lose? How do I see this happening?

The most overarching potential problem is the bye-week. Most teams use it for a bit of R&R, and usually this is a benefit. But who knows? Maybe all the "let's not get soft" talk is just talk. I don't think so, as Harbaugh seems to have a great grasp of the team's attitude and seems, again, to be very good at pushing them. But, it has happened before that teams get complacent and soft while coaches deny it to the media.

More specifically, though, let's look at the three facets of the game, shall we?

Special Teams:

In some regards, I think Andy Lee and David Akers should sit around the locker room all day and just sing, "I am a rock / I am an island."  Not because they are sad (and if you are, Andy and David, come on over to my place! I would love to entertain you guys into pure joy. I've got some fava beans and a nice Chianti. Oh yeah, don't mind all that stuff in boxes - it's my roommate's. He's recently ... disposed of. Here, have some liver!). No, not because they are sad, but because they are about as constant and unmovable as an island. Unless you have tectonic powers (fyi, you don't), they will kick about as well as any demi-god until the day they die.

But hey, should a freak accident of nature occur, and they both have an off day, losing the field position battle would be a huge start for a Brown's victory. Couple this with a bad day from Ted Ginn Jr. and the Niners might have an uphill battle going for them.

The Offense:

This, to me, is the most likely facet in which the Niners might stall. We have seen it countless times. AleX may turn into plain ol' Alex Smith. It could happen. The clock strikes midnight, and Alex runs from the ball dressed as an ugly step-daughter.

With the shutdown of Alex comes the stacking of the box. Bad Alex and excellent Haden leads to no room for Frank Gore. The worst case scenario would be another injury. The man hasn't been the fountain of health since, well, ever. It's nearly a medical miracle that he is standing up still. There must be all sorts of new knees inside of his reconstructed knees. More likely, though, is that he would simply have nowhere to run. The man is amazing, but he can only do so much.

The Defense:

This is the hardest to imagine, I think. Willis et al. on defense are such a formidable bunch, that I simply don't see much going the Browns' way. However, Colt McCoy did have a pretty nice preseason (from what I understand - I didn't really scout him at all) and that Hillis guy is supposed to be good (or something like that), when not injured, so it is a possibility that the Niners' defense could get gashed enough that the offense cannot keep up, especially if the defense has to be on the field for the majority of the game.

So, while I don't think it likely that the Niners lose Sunday, an attitude of humility is always good from us fans. Plus, this exercise is pretty fun too, in a sadistic sort of way. Tell me, Plebeians of Niners Nation, how do you see a Niners' lose happening, if it does?

Oh yeah, don't forget to go vote for the absolutely deserving Aldon Smith when you vote in the pop-up Pro Bowl Ballot I made with construction paper and glitter. And then, go vote for all the other Niners in the actual Pro Bowl Ballot.

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How they may lose?

What if the defense thought it was a away game and they are in Cleveland.

by gee man on Oct 29, 2011 10:22 AM PDT reply actions  

I like this very much. This is good.

by WesHanson on Oct 29, 2011 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think he meant that the D flew to Cleveland.

"Hi my name is Cliff Harris and I am here to lock [site decorum] down" - Cliff Harris introduction at his Freshman Orientation
"Stopping the run doesn't come because of scheme. It come because of want to." - Donte Whitner

When Jim Harbaugh says "more is more" I think he is trying to say Moore is more.

by manraj7 on Oct 29, 2011 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fumbles &

muffed punt & int returned for TD. And Alex thinking all receivers are Braylon where high lobs will work.

by oldfoggy on Oct 29, 2011 10:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Should Gore's be bionic at this point? lol

But seriously, the only way the Niners would lose is if they fail to show up to the stadium at all lol

by sanfranfanmdk on Oct 29, 2011 10:29 AM PDT reply actions  

*Gore's knees

got to stop posting while watching tv lol

by sanfranfanmdk on Oct 29, 2011 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

having a great game plan.

It is good to be humble and hungry for sure.

One thing that I am starting to see and feel is that each week we have a game plane that is better than the other teams. A smart coach and great staff all around. Every game is dangerous, but having a superior game plan provides an edge. And is completely reminiscent of the Walsh era.

by zacksf on Oct 29, 2011 10:31 AM PDT reply actions  

whoooaa there buddy… I think it’s a bit too early to make that comparison.

"That’s the reality of it and I live in that reality." Shurmur

by LocalMan on Oct 29, 2011 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

5-1 for the first time in a decade

looking like we’re going to the playoffs for the first time in 8 years, so the comparison seems spot on right now, can always retract it later.

by reedkrase on Oct 29, 2011 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

Better watch out, name-dropping and comparing this team to Bill Walsh’s teams is pretty lame.

/sarc

by Legoman0721 on Oct 29, 2011 5:48 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Gameplan mastery is key

Someone (Maiocco, I think) did a good break-down of the staff, explaining how each man contributes to the whole. Result: proven game plan; result: motivation for the players to follow the plan and execute it well; result: excellent team play; result: making the plays that matter and making sure mistakes don’t matter; result: 5-1.

Football is an incredible game. Sometimes it's so incredible, it's unbelievable.
Tom Landry

by backonthebandwagon on Oct 29, 2011 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Only way I see the Niners losing

Is if they have 3+ turnovers. And the Browns capitalize on at least 1 for a return for a touchdown.

by AthleticsReign on Oct 29, 2011 10:53 AM PDT reply actions  

defense

And the Cleveland defense plays well. After all, they are professional football players. The Jags secondary raised up and locked down on the Ravens. This could happen to us…though I see a win for us. I’m guesing 23-10.

by reoninja on Oct 29, 2011 11:14 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

this

the way the niners get beat this sunday is if the browns rise up and play great football. it’s not impossible.

by t p on Oct 29, 2011 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

I hope you don’t mind a Browns fan chipping in, but this is pretty much how I see it. I think this game will be determined by whoever gets a big play and capitalizes on it. It looks like it’s going to be a defensive struggle, so whoever can force turnovers and score off of them will probably win the game.

by Legoman0721 on Oct 29, 2011 11:19 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Welcome Legoman

As a counter-point, I would argue the only way SF looses is if their D faulters and gives up a big play (or two) and the Browns D does a very solid job stopping the run and putting pressure on Alex.

I can see it being a good game, and possibly close, but I just don’t it going against SF with them playing at home…

by ColoradoNiner on Oct 29, 2011 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

Other than the stats Legoman...

how has your defense looked this year? I know your offense has had some injuries, and I think a lot of people had McCoy pegged to have a breakout season…I’m a little surprised the Browns haven’t won more games yet.

Thoughts or explanations? I haven’t seen them play much yet this season…

"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will

by lottwasgangsta on Oct 29, 2011 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’ve been very happy with our defense. We get good pressure and generally have good coverage. However, our outside backers and safeties can be picked on by athletic players.

by Legoman0721 on Oct 29, 2011 5:52 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Blasphemy

Blasphemy I tell you, blasphemy how could you even speak such things

by Nicholas Kitchman on Oct 29, 2011 11:26 AM PDT reply actions  

Someone needs to make a post about how they might DESTROY the Browns.

Ive been waiting for a season like this one for years. Im not gonna keep waiting for the Niners to skrew up like they have in the past.

Im riding this wave till i crash face first in the sand. Go Niners.

by Beatclash on Oct 29, 2011 12:17 PM PDT reply actions  

The Niners will absolutely crush the Browns in all likelihood.

The Niners outmatch them at every position, offense, defense and special teams. You don’t need a long post to show this is the case. The only way the Browns win this is a fluke, plain and simple.

However, I would like to see a post showing these matchups and showing how the Niners can and will exploit them. I’m getting a bit tired of this “stay humble” stuff, as the Niners have no reason to stay humble. You’re allowed to be proud, understand your strengths, etc. One thing I know the Niners will not do is come unprepared, so get that out of your minds right now. If this game is close, it’ll be because of a few random mistakes in a row rather than a concerted effort by the Browns.

by Rhombus on Oct 29, 2011 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

The only way the niners lose this game is if Mike Singletary walks out as the head coach.

period.

Sometimes you just have to look yourself in the mirror and say....Tyreke Evans.
That just happened.

by darkadun on Oct 29, 2011 12:30 PM PDT reply actions  

Tectonic Powers

One of the most powerful of the powers. i wish i had that.

by t p on Oct 29, 2011 1:00 PM PDT reply actions  

And the whole overconfidence thing....

I don’t get the feeling that the Niners’ would get too overconfident, mostly because of your first point…they haven’t been a winning club in a lonnnng time. Pat’s not ready to go back to losing.

by t p on Oct 29, 2011 1:03 PM PDT reply actions  

I don't think the Niners will be overconfident.

Reading these comments, I wish I could be so certain about their fans.

What I think most people don’t understand is that the margin between being a good NFL team and a bad one can be pretty darn small. It doesn’t take a lot for the worse team to prevail.

(Football outsiders ran 10,000 season simulations, with a clearly-defined team order – eg, the 28th team was clearly worse than the 27th, and so on. The worst team won the super bowl in one of their seasons.)

If our offense doesn’t put points on the board, then the game could easily come down to a late-game mistake. An Alex Smith INT? Another defensive brainlock like we saw at the end of the Dallas game? A great/lucky play by one of their receivers? (You don’t have to be a good player to make a great, game-changing play: the guy who made the helmet catch for the Giants in the super bowl never caught another NFL pass).

If Braylon isn’t 100%, we might have a hard time stretching the defense enough to keep them from stacking the box. That could bottle up the whole offense and put the game into “fluke” territory.

I wouldn’t call any of that likely, but far less likely things happen all the time in the NFL.

by Ronaldinho on Oct 29, 2011 1:09 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

am i missing

Something in the post? I thunk you meant 99 when mentioning Steve’s last concussion. Because that 02 team was actually really good. We lost so many games by 3 pts or less than a td and that was with Rattay starting multiple games. We blew that team up too early

by MetsKnicksRutgers on Oct 29, 2011 2:08 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Nice catch. Thanks.

by WesHanson on Oct 29, 2011 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

your only 21 years old

by engsmurf on Oct 29, 2011 4:06 PM PDT reply actions  

Banned

bad Juju/karma.

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Oct 29, 2011 5:38 PM PDT reply actions  

It would be by two early offensive turnovers and one later on special teams

in their own territory, combined with one semi-lucky 70-yard touchdown throw from McCoy. That could lose this game.

by TortureOpp on Oct 30, 2011 12:20 AM PDT reply actions  

Got to here ...

let’s imagine how the Browns can beat the 49ers on Sunday.

 which made me think of this …http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekWnz5zAGKk&feature=related

I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ...Jimmy Raye your no daisy ...!!

by Edggy on Oct 30, 2011 5:10 AM PDT reply actions  

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