FanPost

Week 4 Prediction Games: Perfect Prediction Inferno


It has already been a good weekend for 49ers fans. The prediction contest results are here to bring more good news.  We may have set a record for perfect predictions in a weekend with a total of ... wait for it ... 9 perfect predictions.  Might of had nine perfect predictions total all last season.  With this kind of prediction point inflation someone is going to accuse me treason during next Republican Presidential debate.  I'd normally use this reference to stump for my preferred Republican presidential candidate but mcwagner is itching to toss me a third warning for the month.  But for the record the checks from 49erLou don't start rolling in til Week 13, that still leaves twelve weeks of honest competition.

Still its like 2005 all over again with the bullish point market giving everyone a bump, except of course urnext (everyone nods their head in community agreement).  Maybe our Bruin mathematical prodigy is onto something.  Or maybe bakoninerfan is running a ponzi scheme, LASVEGASNINER is a risk drunk hedge fund manager who so far has gotten lucky and Ninerfromacrossthepond is actually short selling others picks (watch out SanFranciscoKnights).  Lets count the profits.

 

Week 4 Scoring Recap

San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles

  1. SanFranciscoKnights (PERFECT)
  2. 49erLou, rlott#42 (4)
  3. houdeaney, bignerd, MRandolph, Rossalex, bayboy, Number22Drew, SportsChicken, Stupifyed, bonbrillio, McTee, Chukwamu, jbrown63, AKinferno, imjuliooo89, David Fucillo, mrg80 (6)
  4. Str8Balr (10)
  5. manraj7, Rhombus, mcwagner, Ten-Man, howtheyscored, Haggardninja, Beamer1960, teekay, sundaysfinest (12)

Indianapolis Colts @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  1. manraj7, Rossalex, LASVEGASNINER, bakoninerfan, AKinferno (PERFECT)
  2. PHUT!, houdeaney, Ten-Man, foosball4949 (2)
  3. bignerd, Rabbit T, mikeinsp, renke81, Andrew Davidson, Haggardninja, sf49ers123, grantmp, Ni9er, jpgarfunkle (6)
  4. dlh, Rhombus, benna11, groug, Edggy, illini49er, MATTCW, San Fran Niners, Stupifyed, nostocksjustbonds, RJames, Beamer1960, wjackalope, Str8Balr, Ninerfromacrossthepond, leaping_larry, Chukwamu, jbrown63, EcERyda69, 49erLou, urnext (8)
  5. imjuliooo89 (10)

New York Jets @ Baltimore Ravens

  1. MATTCW (2)
  2. PHUT!, TriPPinG, 49erLou (6)
  3. houdeaney, these3words, LASVEGASNINER, Pat Willie, bonbrillio, Haggardninja, Beamer1960, Ni9er, bakoninerfan (12)
  4. neder, mpotter14, Rhombus, mcwagner, benna11, bignerd, mikeinsp, Ten-Man, renke81, reedkrase, SanFranciscoKnights, Andrew Davidson, McTee, jpgarfunkle, Chukwamu, jbrown63, AKinferno, David Fucillo (14)
  5. grantmp (16)

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys

  1. Rabbit T (PERFECT)
  2. grantmp, AKinferno (2)
  3. neder, Ninerfromacrossthepond (6)
  4. Jesse Reed (8)
  5. houdeaney, Number22Drew, San Fran Niners, Haggardninja, bakoninerfan (12)

Washington Redskins @ St. Louis Rams

  1. TriPPinG, Beamer1960 (PERFECT)
  2. Edggy (4)
  3. Rossalex, Ten-Man, Stupifyed, teekay, 49erLou (6)
  4. neder, PHUT!, Aaron Emerson, illini49er, CheekyMonkey, Chukwamu (8)
  5. MRandolph, grantmp, bayarearep94 (12)

New England Patriots @ Oakland Raiders

  1. Ten-Man, SpurredOn, Ninerfromacrossthepond (2)
  2. benna11, San Fran Niners (4)
  3. sf49ers123 (6)
  4. Aaron Emerson, Rabbit T, Drew Kerr, renke81, SportsChicken, leaping_larry, mrg80 (8)
  5. neder, mikeinsp, TriPPinG, Edggy, illini49er, bayboy, Pat Willie, RJames, Beamer1960, wjackalope, Ni9er, Chukwamu, EcERyda69 (10)

 

The Big Five Finishers

Rank Screen Name Points Comments
AKinferno 1st AKinferno 19 My favorite poster residing near Wassila. He took time away from his delusional Alex hating meth lab to drop an impressive 19 point week on us. Best of all he gave us a 24-17 perfect prediction on the Bucs game WITHOUT BEING ANNOYING ABOUT IT!
Beamer1960 2nd Beamer1960 17 Not sure if the username is a reference to the 4th car parked in my spacial garage or that pocket of 49ers fans in Virginia is bigger than imagined.
Rossalex 3rd Rossalex 16 I believe the first repeat offender on the Top 5 list this season, also #1 in our rankings. Trust me, his prediction prowess is more sketchy than the other Alex's QB Rating.
TriPPinG 4th TriPPinG 15 C'mon and get ready! I mean really ready. Are you ready for some censorship? A Monday night banning! The whole house must stop talkin', let's get the apology started. Launch this thing, clear the room, that's right. All my rowdy friends are here minus Hank on Monday night.
Ten-Man 4th Ten-Man 15 Successfully implemented beecharmer's 5 step plan for a Perfect Prediction Weekend ... oh beecharmer, that was a groug like title defense.
Rabbit T 4th Rabbit T 15 Superstitious Rabbit is back on the podium. I'm a big fan of his wife Jessica, although manraj7 says she is a tad mature for his taste.

 

Week 4 Leader Board

Rank Screen Name Points W1 W2 W3 W4
1. Rossalex 42 9 15 2 16
2. bakoninerfan 41 19 5 3 14
3. houdeaney 36 12 13 0 11
4. Ten-Man 34 12 7 0 15
5. Rabbit T 32 7 6 4 15
6. MATTCW 31 7 10 7 7
6. Haggardninja 31 14 5 4 8
8. Stupifyed 30 15 4 3 8
8. AKinferno 30 9 0 2 19
10. Ninerfromacrossthepond 29 13 3 3 10
10. manraj7 29 6 7 5 11
10. Beamer1960 29 1 6 5 17
13. Rhombus 28 18 2 3 5
13. LASVEGASNINER 28 8 5 2 13
13. wjackalope 28 9 10 6 3
16. mpotter14 27 9 16 2
Playoffs
17. 49erLou 26 10 3 0 13
17. RJames 26 7 12 4 3
19. nocal81(Vincent) 25 17 8
19. renke81 25 6 4 8 7
19. SanFranciscoKnights 25 8 3 2 12
22. bonbrillio 24 7 2 9 6
22. Ni9er 24 5 10 2 7
24. grantmp 23 6 5 3 9
24. McTee 23 8 5 5 5
24. Drew Kerr 23 13 0 8 2
24. Str8Balr 23 2 12 5 4
24. benna11 23 4 2 9 8
24. neder 23 6 9 8
30. PHUT! 22 4 6 2 10
31. Andrew Davidson 21 4 3 9 5
31. Edggy 21 5 6 3 7
33. these3words 20 0 10 7 3
33. jbrown63 20 3 10 0 7
33. teekay 20 9 0 7 4
33. David Fucillo 20 11 0 4 5
33. mountaindew77 20 16 2 2
33. leaping_larry 20 3 6 7 4
39. bhbf08 19 19
39. beecharmer 19 0 5 14 0
39. San Fran Niners 19 8 2 2 7
39. mikeinsp 19 5 5 3 6
43. TriPPinG 18 0 3 15
43. sf49ers123 18 4 6 2 6
43. bignerd 18 0 2 8 8
46. MRandolph 17 5 1 7 4
46. EcERyda69 17 9 5 0 3
46. bayboy 17 7 6 4
49. Chukwamu 16 6 10
49. howtheyscored 16 8 2 5 1
49. Alligator Arms 16 3 7 6 0
52. rlott#42 15 4 7 4
53. SharksFanEst.1994 14 12 2
53. sundaysfinest 14 6 1 6 1
53. SportsChicken 14 4 5 5
53. utah9er 14 7 7
53. groug 14 1 9 2 2
53. SpurredOn 14 5 1 3 5
59. bayarearep94 13 6 6 1
59. mcwagner 13 5 2 3 3
61. jpgarfunkle 12 5 1 1 5
61. nostocksjustbonds 12 6 2 2 2
61. danknerd49 12 7 5
61. illini49er 12 4 3 5
61. reedkrase 12 5 3 2 2
66. imjuliooo89 11 5 0 2 4
67. ZeroIndulgence 10 5 5 0
68. J2daZ 9 0 6 3 0
69. supraman 8 8 0
69. mrg80 8 3 5
69. Jesse Reed 8 6 2
72. Number22Drew 7 3 4
72. Dub4lif3 7 7
72. razertuc 7 7
72. Pat Willie 7 3 4
76. urnext 6 0 2 2 2
77. madmatt 5 5
77. dlh 5 0 3 2
79. foosball4949 4 4
79. Dubs fan in Boston 4 4
79. Aaron Emerson 4 0 0 4
82. djs9989 3 3
83. CheekyMonkey 2 2

 

Week 4 Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

Screen Name SF PHI s/p IND TB s/p NYJ BAL s/p DET DAL s/p WAS STL s/p NE OAK s/p tot
neder 13 21 -/- 10 23 14/- 17 27 14/2 31 27 6/3 20 14 8/2 34 24 10/1 8
manraj7 24 17 12/1 17 24 0/10 17 24 20/- 24 17 26/- 24 17 14/- 24 17 14/- 11
PHUT! 17 20 -/- 17 23 2/4 20 31 6/4 31 13 34/- 21 7 8/2 41 31 24/- 10
dlh 17 16 14/- 17 20 8/2 20 24 20/- 21 10 40/- 24 17 14/- 31 28 18/- 2
houdeaney 24 20 6/3 16 24 2/4 16 28 12/3 34 24 12/1 21 17 14/- 30 28 18/- 11
Jesse Reed 23 30 -/- 10 24 14/- 20 24 20/- 38 27 8/2 27 10 20/- 38 17 14/- 2
mpotter14 17 16 14/- 10 24 14/- 24 28 14/2 17 27 -/- 17 20 -/- 28 31 -/- 2
Rhombus 30 21 12/1 13 24 8/2 21 27 14/2 30 21 18/- 31 9 28/- 35 34 30/- 5
mcwagner 19 17 12/1 14 17 14/- 24 27 14/2 20 9 42/- 14 24 -/- 38 13 14/- 3
benna11 10 34 -/- 13 27 8/2 21 27 14/2 24 27 -/- 13 17 -/- 31 17 4/4 8
these3words 23 24 -/- 27 24 -/- 17 28 12/3 45 26 22/- 17 24 -/- 24 21 14/- 3
bignerd 24 20 6/3 14 27 6/3 17 27 14/2 23 24 -/- 20 23 -/- 23 27 -/- 8
Aaron Emerson 20 16 14/- 17 33 18/- 35 31 -/- 27 17 26/- 21 7 8/2 35 23 8/2 4
Rabbit T 20 24 -/- 19 27 6/3 16 13 -/- 34 30 0/10 20 17 14/- 28 23 8/2 15
mikeinsp 16 24 -/- 14 24 6/3 17 27 14/2 28 17 26/- 21 24 -/- 27 14 10/1 6
Drew Kerr -/- 20 17 -/- 23 24 20/- 20 30 -/- 13 21 -/- 27 17 8/2 2
MRandolph 27 21 6/3 10 17 14/- 17 21 26/- 31 21 18/- 17 16 12/1 24 31 -/- 4
Rossalex 23 20 6/3 17 24 0/10 17 24 20/- 28 20 20/- 20 13 6/3 38 24 14/- 16
J2daZ 23 26 -/- 17 31 14/- 14 20 28/- 28 16 28/- 30 17 26/- 24 27 -/-
Alligator Arms 13 27 -/- 10 24 14/- 17 24 20/- 31 20 20/- 24 17 14/- 34 27 16/-
kinsaLL 34 31 20/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/-
TriPPinG 17 28 -/- 10 21 14/- 20 31 6/4 31 21 18/- 17 10 0/10 27 24 10/1 15
groug 16 23 -/- 13 24 8/2 17 10 -/- 21 30 -/- 16 27 -/- 31 33 -/- 2
Edggy 19 13 20/- 13 24 8/2 15 23 22/- 28 13 34/- 17 12 4/4 35 24 10/1 7
illini49er 13 31 -/- 13 27 8/2 20 24 20/- 27 21 18/- 21 13 8/2 26 17 10/1 5
Ten-Man 19 17 12/1 16 24 2/4 19 27 14/2 29 23 14/- 20 13 6/3 31 20 2/5 15
MATTCW 31 24 14/- 13 27 8/2 18 33 2/5 36 17 26/- 24 17 14/- 28 41 -/- 7
LASVEGASNINER 21 27 -/- 17 24 0/10 21 28 12/3 24 17 26/- 23 17 14/- 34 28 18/- 13
renke81 17 24 -/- 20 24 6/3 20 27 14/2 21 24 -/- 20 24 -/- 31 23 8/2 7
reedkrase 33 27 18/- 13 31 14/- 23 27 14/2 27 24 14/- 30 17 26/- 34 31 24/- 2
bayboy 24 20 6/3 10 27 14/- 20 23 22/- 24 20 20/- 24 13 14/- 33 24 10/1 4
CheekyMonkey 17 20 -/- 13 17 14/- 10 14 40/- 27 20 20/- 21 13 8/2 31 27 16/- 2
Number22Drew 27 24 6/3 10 17 14/- 10 17 34/- 28 24 12/1 20 23 -/- 42 38 38/- 4
SportsChicken 24 20 6/3 9 28 16/- 17 23 22/- 23 20 22/- 13 16 -/- 31 23 8/2 5
foosball4949 17 20 -/- 16 23 2/4 20 21 26/- 14 21 -/- 27 16 20/- 38 9 20/- 4
San Fran Niners 24 16 14/- 21 28 8/2 14 10 -/- 30 24 12/1 17 3 14/- 30 21 4/4 7
SanFranciscoKnights 24 23 0/10 13 30 12/- 13 27 14/2 33 17 26/- 22 25 -/- 26 34 -/- 12
SpurredOn 13 21 -/- 9 24 16/- 16 24 20/- 21 20 26/- 16 20 -/- 30 20 2/5 5
Pat Willie 24 10 26/- 10 22 14/- 16 28 12/3 12 30 -/- 16 26 -/- 31 24 10/1 4
Stupifyed 27 21 6/3 13 21 8/2 17 21 26/- 33 17 26/- 17 13 6/3 21 20 20/- 8
bonbrillio 23 20 6/3 10 20 14/- 18 28 12/3 20 23 -/- 24 17 14/- 35 27 16/- 6
Andrew Davidson 30 9 28/- 14 24 6/3 24 30 14/2 34 21 18/- 17 23 -/- 35 30 22/- 5
nostocksjustbonds 17 24 -/- 13 27 8/2 20 24 20/- 20 17 28/- 27 16 20/- 38 33 28/- 2
howtheyscored 20 17 12/1 13 31 14/- 7 27 20/- 28 23 14/- 20 21 -/- 24 14 14/- 1
RJames 20 27 -/- 17 20 8/2 17 20 28/- 31 23 14/- 24 20 20/- 31 24 10/1 3
Haggardninja 20 17 12/1 20 24 6/3 17 28 12/3 30 24 12/1 20 23 -/- 34 31 24/- 8
Beamer1960 20 17 12/1 13 24 8/2 14 28 12/3 24 13 34/- 17 10 0/10 31 24 10/1 17
wjackalope 20 26 -/- 13 23 8/2 20 24 20/- 24 21 20/- 23 20 20/- 28 24 10/1 3
sf49ers123 20 27 -/- 14 27 6/3 19 20 28/- 24 22 20/- 20 17 14/- 28 21 6/3 6
grantmp 17 28 -/- 14 24 6/3 24 26 16/1 35 31 2/4 21 16 12/1 38 30 22/- 9
McTee 21 20 6/3 20 17 -/- 20 27 14/2 16 27 -/- 17 20 -/- 34 31 24/- 5
Str8Balr 22 18 10/2 15 20 8/2 16 23 22/- 20 19 28/- 17 18 -/- 27 29 -/- 4
Ni9er 23 30 -/- 20 27 6/3 23 30 12/3 27 24 14/- 24 17 14/- 33 24 10/1 7
bayarearep94 13 28 -/- 10 20 14/- 17 24 20/- 27 14 32/- 23 13 12/1 38 30 22/- 1
Ninerfromacrossthepond 16 27 -/- 13 24 8/2 20 23 22/- 34 27 6/3 24 16 14/- 31 20 2/5 10
jpgarfunkle 13 24 -/- 17 27 6/3 10 30 14/2 19 15 30/- 17 24 -/- 42 31 24/- 5
teekay 30 17 12/1 3 27 28/- 17 24 20/- 35 21 18/- 20 10 6/3 21 28 -/- 4
bakoninerfan 24 14 18/- 17 24 0/10 23 38 12/3 28 27 12/1 27 23 26/- 35 28 18/- 14
MichaelClutchtree 3 42 -/- -/- -/- -/- -/- -/-
leaping_larry 17 24 -/- 13 24 8/2 19 23 22/- 20 23 -/- 23 17 14/- 28 23 8/2 4
Chukwamu 24 20 6/3 13 23 8/2 13 27 14/2 23 17 26/- 21 10 8/2 31 24 10/1 10
sundaysfinest 27 17 12/1 10 24 14/- 13 16 36/- 34 20 20/- 17 20 -/- 37 34 30/- 1
jbrown63 27 21 6/3 13 24 8/2 21 27 14/2 38 21 18/- 31 13 28/- 38 34 30/- 7
beecharmer 18 27 -/- 10 28 14/- 21 24 20/- 24 20 20/- 21 18 16/- 31 34 -/-
AKinferno 23 20 6/3 17 24 0/10 17 27 14/2 34 31 2/4 27 14 20/- 38 27 16/- 19
EcERyda69 32 28 16/- 21 27 8/2 10 17 34/- 10 9 48/- 20 28 -/- 35 24 10/1 3
imjuliooo89 21 20 6/3 12 28 10/1 28 27 -/- 35 20 20/- 14 17 -/- 14 17 -/- 4
49erLou 24 21 4/4 13 27 8/2 17 31 6/4 28 20 20/- 19 13 6/3 31 28 18/- 13
David Fucillo 27 24 6/3 13 31 14/- 24 34 14/2 17 20 -/- 13 16 -/- 31 34 -/- 5
rlott#42 23 21 4/4 19 17 -/- 13 23 22/- 38 20 20/- 20 19 18/- 37 31 24/- 4
urnext 19 27 -/- 13 27 8/2 21 17 -/- 17 24 -/- 16 23 -/- 38 24 14/- 2
mrg80 21 20 6/3 16 34 20/- 21 24 20/- 28 20 20/- 17 20 -/- 35 23 8/2 5

 

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost, it does reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. It does not reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is more important than the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. Any contradictory disclaimers below this one are bold face lies and should be ignored.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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