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Week 13 Prediction Games: Discount Retailer Alex

By on Dec 6 2011, 9:50p 19


Four weeks until the NFL post season along with the illustrious Prediction Game playoffs begin. I've been crunching the numbers and surprising no one has been eliminated. Consider the worst of you the Seahawks or Cardinals, there is still a chance. CheekyMonkey is gonna need at least one 60 point week but it's not mathematically impossible. Two sixty point weeks and he might win the regular season contest. Ok, the math majors will probably point out four modest 30 point weeks will do the trick. Have you been paying attention mcwagner?

Top 16 players move onto the postseason, which is predicting the NFL post season. Does not mean the prediction contest is over for urnext and friends, we have an invitational tournament. Well actually its the same game, just you cannot play in the championship bracket. Still a postseason win is redemption. Unless you are Drew Kerr who probably has no chance considering he doesn't predict 49ers game, but he does say the Saints pass the eyeball test over the 49ers, NFC Championship game rematch with Saints at Packers, like Rocky II it will be better. Despite Ten-Man probably finishing in the Top 10 I'll probably select Rabbit T to his post season spot because he draws more attention in the comment section. More details next week.

Week 13 Scoring Recap

St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

  1. bayboy (PERFECT)
  2. DAD OF VLAD (4)
  3. PHUT! (6)
  4. libra45, bonbrillio, RJames, mikeinsp, Frisco_Kid, Rabbit T, AKinferno, grantmp (12)
  5. nostocksjustbonds, Rhombus, Tim Lincecum's Bong, chap9er, liberty_JAC (14)

San Diego Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

  1. groug, SportsChicken, Ni9er (14)
  2. RJames, bakoninerfan, grantmp (20)
  3. mpotter14, mcwagner, js1987, bayboy, 49erLou, Dukeston1, these3words, teekay, Haggardninja (22)
  4. Edggy, benna11, nostocksjustbonds, Pat Willie, manraj7, renke81, itsAteamGAME, reedkrase, MRandolph, LASVEGASNINER, howtheyscored, David Fucillo (28)
  5. Ten-Man, mikeinsp, Frisco_Kid, Rossalex, J2daZ, illini49er, Str8Balr, AKinferno (30)

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints

  1. Rossalex, Takeo33 (PERFECT)
  2. Pat Willie, reedkrase, Mo9er, Tim Lincecum's Bong, Ni9er, Beamer1960 (6)
  3. Edggy, mikeinsp, 49erLou, neder, SpurredOn, illini49er, LASVEGASNINER, urnext (8)
  4. mpotter14, wjackalope, leaping_larry, jbrown63, Str8Balr, bignerd (12)
  5. benna11, bonbrillio, manraj7, Ten-Man, itsAteamGAME, Rhombus, Stupifyed, Ninerfromacrossthepond, js1987, bayboy, MRandolph, Drew Kerr, chap9er, beecharmer, McTee, bakoninerfan, teekay, AKinferno, David Fucillo, Haggardninja (14)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers

  1. PHUT! (14)
  2. groug (16)
  3. teekay, grantmp (20)
  4. manraj7, Ten-Man, mikeinsp, Mo9er, js1987, Rossalex, Takeo33, neder, Drew Kerr, wjackalope, beecharmer, bakoninerfan, bignerd, Beamer1960 (22)
  5. benna11, Rhombus, Str8Balr (24)

Atlanta Falcons @ Houston Texans

  1. libra45, MATTCW (6)
  2. mikeinsp, Rossalex, howtheyscored (8)
  3. itsAteamGAME, David Fucillo, urnext (12)
  4. mpotter14, Rhombus, Dukeston1, bignerd, Ni9er, AKinferno, HardCorvallis, liberty_JAC (14)
  5. jbrown63, these3words (20)

Green Bay Packers @ New York Giants

  1. these3words (6)
  2. 49erLou, Haggardninja (14)
  3. Pat Willie, Ninerfromacrossthepond, Dukeston1, SharksFanEst.1994, grantmp (16)
  4. HardCorvallis (20)
  5. nostocksjustbonds, bonbrillio, DAD OF VLAD, itsAteamGAME, reedkrase, Rhombus, Takeo33, Rabbit T, leaping_larry, beecharmer, AKinferno, Beamer1960 (22)

The Big Five Finishers

Rank Screen Name Points Comments
Rossalex 1st Rossalex 17 The club house leader with an eagle on the DET @ NO game.
bayboy 2nd bayboy 14 Shot up to the last playoff spot. The horde is coming, can you hold on?
Takeo33 3rd Takeo33 13 In typical Charger fashion would have a playoff spot if he didn't take September off.
grantmp 4th grantmp 12 He is lurking. Watching outside the window now, may sneak in later.
mikeinsp 4th mikeinsp 12 Mr. 5th place. Another green ribon to add to your trophy case.

Week 13 Awards

Perfect Weapons Perfect Weapon
Andy Lee, Rossalex, bayboy, Takeo33
Whammy Awards Whammy
ZeroIndulgence

Week 13 Leader Board

Rank Screen Name Points W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
1. Rossalex 95 9 15 2 16 3 6 0 3 3 3 16 2 17
2. manraj7 93 6 7 5 11 8 5 6 10 2 16 5 7 5
3. mikeinsp 89 5 5 3 6 4 6 5 6 11 14 12 0 12
4. David Fucillo 87 11 0 4 5 17 5 6 7 10 3 6 7 6
5. Ten-Man 84 12 7 0 15 8 9 6 2 15 5 1 0 4
6. teekay 82 9 0 7 4 11 8 5 1 12 14 3 1 7
6. renke81 82 6 4 8 7 6 7 7 9 9 9 2 6 2
6. Ni9er 82 5 10 2 7 12 2 1 10 2 16 4 0 11
9. bakoninerfan 81 19 5 3 14 10 13 0 1 2 3 3 1 7
9. Stupifyed 81 15 4 3 8 7 2 9 5 10 3 12 2 1
11. Beamer1960 79 1 6 5 17 7 13 0 6 2 7 5 3 7
12. 49erLou 76 10 3 0 13 6 5 4 0 0 10 12 3 10
12. AKinferno 76 9 0 2 19 6 12 5 2 0 10 2 2 7
14. jbrown63 74 3 10 0 7 5 7 5 2 9 4 6 13 3
14. McTee 74 8 5 5 5 1 5 5 6 18 8 7 0 1
14. bayboy 74 7 6 4 4 9 0 6 1 8 10 5 14
Playoffs
17. Str8Balr 73 2 12 5 4 6 9 8 6 3 9 5 0 4
18. mpotter14 72 9 16 2 3 13 6 5 1 3 3 4 7
18. benna11 72 4 2 9 8 2 10 8 9 2 2 5 7 4
18. groug 72 1 9 2 2 11 2 2 4 3 3 7 17 9
18. Rabbit T 72 7 6 4 15 4 3 4 6 3 2 5 10 3
22. Rhombus 71 18 2 3 5 5 5 8 0 4 8 3 4 6
22. leaping_larry 71 3 6 7 4 4 4 1 12 4 8 3 12 3
22. Haggardninja 71 14 5 4 8 1 6 10 4 1 4 0 6 8
25. J2daZ 70 0 6 3 0 4 4 6 10 18 7 6 5 1
25. bonbrillio 70 7 2 9 6 6 9 2 8 5 3 6 3 4
27. MATTCW 69 7 10 7 7 7 9 0 2 3 4 8 0 5
28. RJames 68 7 12 4 3 3 9 5 8 3 0 7 1 6
28. PHUT! 68 4 6 2 10 2 7 6 0 0 10 6 7 8
28. illini49er 68 4 3 5 11 1 7 5 8 16 1 3 4
31. grantmp 67 6 5 3 9 6 8 0 5 1 10 1 1 12
31. SportsChicken 67 4 5 5 5 2 0 7 7 2 17 8 5
33. houdeaney 66 12 13 0 11 3 5 0 11 2 5 2 2
34. bignerd 65 0 2 8 8 4 4 0 9 6 1 2 15 6
35. howtheyscored 63 8 2 5 1 0 8 7 8 5 8 5 0 6
35. neder 63 6 9 8 5 6 7 7 6 1 3 5
37. Ninerfromacrossthepond 61 13 3 3 10 4 3 4 4 2 2 9 4
38. LASVEGASNINER 60 8 5 2 13 2 0 1 1 14 2 5 2 5
38. SanFranciscoKnights 60 8 3 2 12 4 12 2 1 5 11 0
40. Edggy 59 5 6 3 7 0 7 6 11 0 7 2 0 5
41. liberty_JAC 58 5 7 4 7 6 5 12 9 3
42. Pat Willie 57 3 4 5 8 0 8 14 1 2 3 9
43. SpurredOn 56 5 1 3 5 6 3 1 8 11 4 3 3 3
43. reedkrase 56 5 3 2 2 1 0 7 4 10 5 8 2 7
45. these3words 55 0 10 7 3 3 4 2 2 13 0 2 9
45. SharksFanEst.1994 55 12 2 11 6 11 10 3
45. San Fran Niners 55 8 2 2 7 14 4 5 0 8 0 5
48. wjackalope 54 9 10 6 3 4 0 2 5 2 4 3 2 4
49. beecharmer 50 0 5 14 0 1 3 1 2 2 7 3 8 4
49. ZeroIndulgence 50 5 5 0 6 4 3 2 1 5 3 16 0
49. Takeo33 50 6 9 5 7 4 6 13
52. nostocksjustbonds 48 6 2 2 2 2 9 1 5 0 11 4 4
53. urnext 47 0 2 2 2 3 1 5 9 3 2 5 7 6
54. MRandolph 44 5 1 7 4 6 5 0 0 12 0 1 0 3
55. HardCorvallis 43 3 2 4 10 8 2 0 10 4
55. Drew Kerr 43 13 0 8 2 4 1 0 3 0 5 3 1 3
57. mcwagner 42 5 2 3 3 4 4 0 0 3 6 5 4 3
58. TriPPinG 41 0 3 15 9 9 2 3
59. Chukwamu 38 6 10 8 7 1 4 0 2
60. rlott#42 36 4 7 4 0 0 0 0 11 1 6 3
60. Tim Lincecum's Bong 36 12 0 1 0 10 6 2 5
62. libra45 35 4 3 2 8 5 0 0 6 7
63. Mo9er 34 9 5 11 3 0 6
64. foosball4949 32 4 3 3 5 6 0 9 2
64. imjuliooo89 32 5 0 2 4 12 9
66. jpgarfunkle 30 5 1 1 5 5 4 4 1 4
66. js1987 30 6 9 1 2 4 2 6
68. Alligator Arms 28 3 7 6 0 1 10 1
68. craziness@analltimehigh 28 10 3 6 5 4
70. sf49ers123 26 4 6 2 6 3 5
71. nocal81(Vincent) 25 17 8
71. DAD OF VLAD 25 0 12 0 8 5
73. sundaysfinest 23 6 1 6 1 7 2 0
73. mountaindew77 23 16 2 2 3
73. Dukeston1 23 6 5 4 8
76. Andrew Davidson 21 4 3 9 5
76. bayarearep94 21 6 6 1 4 4
76. Jesse Reed 21 6 2 8 2 3
76. chap9er 21 2 3 3 3 8 2
80. bhbf08 19 19
80. TheEliTorres 19 7 2 1 0 1 7 1
82. Frisco_Kid 18 0 4 5 6 3
83. EcERyda69 17 9 5 0 3
83. Aaron Emerson 17 0 0 4 6 2 1 2 2 0
85. utah9er 14 7 7
86. mrg80 12 3 5 3 1 0
86. danknerd49 12 7 5
88. supraman 8 8 0 0
88. sanguines 8 8
88. ericalancanty 8 8
91. Number22Drew 7 3 4
91. I'm Friends With Merlin Olsen 7 7
91. Dub4lif3 7 7
91. itsAteamGAME 7 7
91. razertuc 7 7
91. fanoftheunderdogs 7 5 2 0
97. petillius7 6 6
97. dlh 6 0 3 2 1
99. madmatt 5 5
99. 49erfannm 5 5
99. Togna Balogna 5 5
99. ninerpride 5 5 0
103. xARSEFACEx 4 4
103. Dubs fan in Boston 4 4
103. SH0ck-D 4 1 3
103. King$wagTree 4 4
107. djs9989 3 3
107. AHR 3 3
109. CheekyMonkey 2 2

Week 13 Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

Screen Name STL SF s/p SD JAC s/p DET NO s/p CIN PIT s/p ATL HOU s/p GB NYG s/p tot
Edggy 10 35 20/- 24 13 28/2 17 27 8/3 13 17 36/- 20 17 -/- 24 27 -/- 5
libra45 6 30 12/2 13 20 -/- 27 24 -/- 14 13 -/- 10 20 6/5 38 17 36/- 7
benna11 13 27 26/- 24 13 28/2 17 38 14/1 13 23 24/1 28 13 -/- 35 21 28/- 4
nostocksjustbonds 3 33 14/1 24 13 28/2 27 42 22/- 20 27 26/- 24 20 -/- 38 24 22/1 4
bonbrillio 6 24 12/2 17 14 42/- 24 34 14/1 10 18 34/- 23 17 -/- 30 24 22/1 4
Pat Willie 13 28 26/- 24 21 28/2 17 28 6/4 28 17 -/- 24 17 -/- 35 27 16/3 9
manraj7 17 24 34/- 24 17 28/2 17 24 14/1 17 24 22/2 24 17 -/- 17 24 -/- 5
MATTCW 10 48 44/- 21 24 -/- 31 38 28/- 24 21 -/- 13 17 6/5 24 27 -/- 5
RJames 6 31 12/2 28 9 20/4 35 33 -/- 20 27 26/- 20 14 -/- 30 23 24/- 6
groug 13 24 26/- 31 10 14/5 34 31 -/- 10 27 16/4 23 13 -/- 34 20 30/- 9
mpotter14 9 22 18/- 27 17 22/3 23 31 12/2 13 17 36/- 10 24 14/2 27 30 -/- 7
renke81 10 24 20/- 24 13 28/2 28 34 22/- 24 17 -/- 20 17 -/- 24 27 -/- 2
Ten-Man 13 27 26/- 23 13 30/1 24 35 14/1 17 24 22/2 27 19 -/- 31 20 30/- 4
DAD OF VLAD 0 24 4/4 16 12 44/- 45 47 56/- 21 16 -/- 35 12 -/- 33 24 22/1 5
mcwagner 6 37 22/- 27 13 22/3 27 31 20/- 24 27 34/- 20 13 -/- 24 28 -/- 3
itsAteamGAME 10 27 20/- 24 16 28/2 24 34 14/1 17 13 -/- 16 20 12/3 31 24 22/1 7
reedkrase 13 41 30/- 24 17 28/2 20 31 6/4 24 17 -/- 24 16 -/- 33 24 22/1 7
mikeinsp 6 27 12/2 23 14 30/1 17 27 8/3 17 24 22/2 14 20 8/4 35 17 36/- 12
Rhombus 7 31 14/1 17 16 42/- 24 31 14/1 17 23 24/1 17 24 14/2 34 24 22/1 6
Frisco_Kid 6 30 12/2 23 21 30/1 27 35 20/- 20 28 26/- 27 17 -/- 34 17 36/- 3
Mo9er 9 28 18/- 14 24 -/- 20 31 6/4 16 24 22/2 21 17 -/- 28 31 -/- 6
Stupifyed 10 27 20/- 22 14 32/- 24 31 14/1 17 21 28/- 24 14 -/- 28 17 36/- 1
Ninerfromacrossthepond 17 27 34/- 17 13 42/- 24 34 14/1 20 23 26/- 24 17 -/- 38 27 16/3 4
js1987 17 34 34/- 27 16 22/3 24 27 14/1 17 24 22/2 23 20 -/- 23 27 -/- 6
SportsChicken 17 28 34/- 31 20 14/5 31 33 28/- 17 20 30/- 21 9 -/- 20 24 -/- 5
bayboy 0 26 0/10 27 13 22/3 24 31 14/1 20 23 26/- 27 20 -/- 33 20 30/- 14
49erLou 9 26 18/- 27 13 22/3 16 35 8/3 17 21 28/- 24 19 -/- 31 28 14/4 10
Tim Lincecum's Bong 7 23 14/1 17 20 -/- 14 30 6/4 21 14 -/- 24 17 -/- 34 20 30/- 5
Rossalex 9 27 18/- 23 10 30/1 17 31 0/10 17 24 22/2 14 20 8/4 35 17 36/- 17
J2daZ 10 30 20/- 23 20 30/1 20 23 16/- 23 20 -/- 23 20 -/- 20 23 -/- 1
MRandolph 13 35 26/- 24 14 28/2 24 31 14/1 3 15 40/- 21 24 22/- 28 17 36/- 3
Takeo33 10 23 20/- 20 13 36/- 17 31 0/10 17 24 22/2 24 16 -/- 34 24 22/1 13
Dukeston1 17 30 34/- 27 17 22/3 35 45 36/- 20 24 26/- 17 24 14/2 35 27 16/3 8
neder 10 24 20/- 21 14 34/- 21 34 8/3 17 24 22/2 24 21 -/- 31 21 28/- 5
SpurredOn 0 42 32/- 20 13 36/- 20 35 8/3 20 24 26/- 16 13 -/- 31 35 -/- 3
illini49er 17 27 34/- 23 16 30/1 21 31 8/3 13 17 36/- 26 13 -/- 28 17 36/- 4
Drew Kerr -/- 17 20 -/- 21 24 14/1 17 24 22/2 20 17 -/- 24 30 -/- 3
Rabbit T 6 29 12/2 20 13 36/- 27 34 20/- 20 24 26/- 24 10 -/- 37 24 22/1 3
ZeroIndulgence 9 24 18/- 13 16 -/- 35 45 36/- 9 13 44/- 24 20 -/- 48 20 30/-
LASVEGASNINER 14 24 28/- 24 18 28/2 21 33 8/3 19 17 -/- 21 16 -/- 31 21 28/- 5
chap9er 7 23 14/1 17 20 -/- 24 31 14/1 20 23 26/- 24 17 -/- 31 21 28/- 2
PHUT! 3 24 6/3 17 10 42/- 41 20 -/- 14 28 14/5 31 17 -/- 38 21 28/- 8
howtheyscored 13 28 26/- 24 17 28/2 28 34 22/- 21 20 -/- 14 20 8/4 31 23 24/- 6
SharksFanEst.1994 10 31 20/- 15 18 -/- 35 41 36/- 20 24 26/- 27 17 -/- 34 27 16/3 3
wjackalope 14 24 28/- 21 17 34/- 23 31 12/2 17 24 22/2 23 20 -/- 30 23 24/- 4
leaping_larry 9 27 18/- 20 16 36/- 23 31 12/2 20 24 26/- 20 17 -/- 31 24 22/1 3
jbrown63 13 34 26/- 17 23 -/- 23 31 12/2 24 20 -/- 20 23 20/1 31 23 24/- 3
beecharmer 10 28 20/- 20 16 36/- 24 30 14/1 18 24 22/2 21 24 22/- 31 24 22/1 4
McTee 10 24 20/- 20 13 36/- 24 38 14/1 24 27 34/- 27 13 -/- 24 27 -/- 1
Str8Balr 13 27 26/- 23 17 30/1 23 30 12/2 18 23 24/1 31 20 -/- 26 30 -/- 4
bakoninerfan 10 27 20/- 28 13 20/4 18 38 14/1 17 24 22/2 24 13 -/- 38 21 28/- 7
these3words 0 16 20/- 49 17 22/3 28 20 -/- 23 20 -/- 20 24 20/1 35 34 6/5 9
bignerd 0 34 16/- 17 24 -/- 23 27 12/2 13 24 22/2 17 23 14/2 33 23 24/- 6
teekay 9 27 18/- 27 17 22/3 24 31 14/1 17 27 20/3 24 14 -/- 17 24 -/- 7
Ni9er 9 30 18/- 31 17 14/5 20 34 6/4 24 27 34/- 13 24 14/2 31 17 36/- 11
AKinferno 6 27 12/2 23 13 30/1 24 35 14/1 20 24 26/- 17 24 14/2 31 24 22/1 7
HardCorvallis 13 29 26/- 16 17 -/- 28 25 -/- 19 18 -/- 17 24 14/2 33 25 20/2 4
Beamer1960 10 28 20/- 21 17 34/- 17 28 6/4 17 24 22/2 21 17 -/- 28 24 22/1 7
David Fucillo 10 27 20/- 24 14 28/2 24 34 14/1 13 19 32/- 16 20 12/3 27 17 36/- 6
grantmp 6 26 12/2 28 21 20/4 28 38 22/- 17 27 20/3 24 17 -/- 35 27 16/3 12
urnext 17 16 -/- 16 20 -/- 20 35 8/3 14 17 36/- 16 20 12/3 24 27 -/- 6
liberty_JAC 7 27 14/1 16 19 -/- 27 31 20/- 20 24 26/- 17 20 14/2 31 20 30/- 3
Haggardninja 16 34 32/- 27 13 22/3 24 34 14/1 -/- -/- 31 28 14/4 8

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost, it does reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. It does not reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is more important than the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. Any contradictory disclaimers below this one are bold face lies and should be ignored.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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