San Francisco 49ers Statistical Analysis Mailbag: The Maiden Voyage
OK, it's the offseason. And even more so than the offseasons of the past 20 years, this offseason is shaping up to be unbelievably boring; well, that is, unbelievably boring to everyone except avid followers of labor law (I'm talking about you, Fooch). So, to help you pass the time between now and whenever the next game of professional football is played, I'm starting up a mailbag post for NN.
The concept should be pretty familiar to anyone who's ever been on the internet. Given that you're reading this via the internet at the moment, that means you. If, somehow, you've been on the internet for any length of time, and still have never seen a mailbag post, you must have missed the past 3 years of Golden Nuggets, wherein Ninjames has repeatedly linked to Matt Maiocco's Niner-specific mailbag post and Mike Sando's NFC-West-specific mailbag post among others. The basic idea, of course, is that the readers submit questions, and the blogger answers a select few.
The nerdy little twist of our mailbag feature is that we're going to be limiting the questions to Niner-related statistics. So, if you you've been dying to know how many times Joe Montana threw for 300 yards in a game, but just don't have the time to look up yourself, ask me, and I'll try to tell you. If you think the 49ers should draft a Cat a C at #7, and want to know how good Cs drafted that high have been during their NFL careers, ask me. If you and your friends argue about whether Jerry Rice and John Taylor were a better WR duo than Lynn Swann and John Stallworth, ask me, and I'll try to settle the debate as best I can. Basically, if there's anything you want to know that stats can possibly provide an answer to, I'm game for trying to figure it out for you -- provided it relates in some way to the San Francisco 49ers.
For right now, you'll be able to submit questions to me (1) in the comments section of this mailbag post, (2) via NN's Twitter account, or (3) via NN's Facebook profile. At some point, when I feel like my opinions matter to people other than myself, I'll join Twitter. When that happens, I'll let you know, and you can also submit mailbag questions there.
So, fire away!
p.s. It should go without saying, but I'll say it anyway. I won't be able to get to all of your questions. The ones I answer will be those that (a) don't require Master's thesis-level amounts of research/data collection, and (b) are especially interesting, timely, etc.
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Draft Efficiency Question
In last 20 years:
% of 49ers draft picks that were pro bowlers
% of 49ers draft picks that had careers for 5 yrs or longer
vs.
% of league draft picks that were pro bowlers
% of league draft picks that had careers for 5 yrs or longer
if possible, most efficent draft / scouting team
That's a tremendous amount to ask for
1.QB Ryan Mallett 2.G Ben Ijalana 3.CB Jalil Brown 4.NT Kendrick Ellis 4.CB Kendric Burney 5.S Tyler Sash 6.WR Lester Jean 6.RB Chad Spann 7.OLB Jamari Lattimore 7.Kicker 7.CB Richard Sherman
not when asking Florida Danny
he’s the chuck norris of stat crunching at NN. I’m pretty sure he can even divide by zero.
by reedkrase on Mar 30, 2011 4:59 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
pardon talking in 3rd person but...
Zero had to be invented because Florida Danny crunched all the other numbers…literally.
by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Mar 30, 2011 7:37 PM PDT up reply actions
did something just like that already...
2 years ago in my draft history series. here are the posts:
by (Florida) Danny Tuccitto on Mar 30, 2011 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions
You must have your folders organized
I usually go through 8 thumb drives, two computers and a few file cabinet drawers.
Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.
The success rates of rookie head coaches in a three year window and the current trends.
by mcwagner on Mar 30, 2011 5:13 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
I hope we can win it by 2012!
Before the world ends, we need one more trophy!
Jay Cruise
Chuck Norris Gym Zeolit Arthritis Remedies
the worlds not going to end in '12
That’s the rapture. We still have time. The team that can endure the locusts longer wins.
by mcwagner on Mar 30, 2011 7:43 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
im pretty sure a team like the bengals or the cowgirls will win though
because all the christians will be taken away before the rapture. As I wrote that it made sense, until i realized that all of those people who shoot and kill and rape people in the nfl, always pretend to to be christians, and since all it takes is to pretend, they will probably have their rosters wiped. Not too sure how many atheist football players there are, or of course followers or islam or confuscious.
And the dogma i grew up with was that christians would magically disappear before all the bad stuff of the rapture, i know there are differing views.
thats a goo dmailbag question
How many of the 49ers players would survive the rapture under the differing christian theologies.
hate to reply to my post twice
but you could expand it to include how many 49ers will achieve bliss with 49 virgins by praising allah when the fatah is declared, or how many will achieve zen when they find the right tree.
I think we are starting to drift. The Bengals will survive because they train at a dump and Armageddon would be like a typical day.
I don’t want to get religion involved. Let’s get a statistical analysis of which team has more insects in their locker room
by mcwagner on Mar 30, 2011 8:20 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
i concur
a strictly scientific approach to the problem of the rapture would be most prudent
I'd like to know Joe Montana's completion percentage
broken down in short, mid and long range attempts, compared to, say, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Drew Brees (or any other modern elite QB) for a given number of years.

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