2011 NFL Draft, No. 5 Pick: Who Will The Arizona Cardinals Pick? My Prediction
The Arizona Cardinals are on the clock with the 5th pick of the 2011 NFL Draft. The Niners Nation community was in complete agreement with me in regards to the top four picks of this weeks draft.
1. Carolina Panthers - Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
2. Denver Broncos - Marcell Dareus, DL, Alabama
3. Buffalo Bills - Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M
4. Cincinnati Bengals - A.J. Green, WR, Georgia
So, today I will focus on the Arizona Cardinals; a team that made our San Francisco 49ers look like Super Bowl champions on a couple different occasions last season. They were a complete disaster for most of the season, thus removing any goodwill that they had built with their fan base over the course of the last couple seasons.
Onto my predictions......
Cincinnati Bengals Arizona Cardinals 2010 Stats
Passing Yards: 182.6 (31st NFL)
Rushing Yards: 86.8 (32nd NFL)
Passing Defense: 228.4 (23rd NFL)
Rushing Defense: 145.2 (30th NFL)
Derek Anderson: 51.7 Comp %, 2065 Yards, 7 TD, 10 INT, 25 Sacks (65.9 Rating)
Tim Hightower: 153 Attempts, 736 Yards, 4.8 AVG, 5 TD
Larry Fitzgerald: 90 Receptions, 1137 Yards, 6 TD
As you can see this team was absolutely dreadful last season. They ranked last or near the bottom at every major offensive category. The QB play was abysmal with Derek Anderson looking like a joke most of the time. This situation got worse when the likes of John Skelton, Max Hall and Richard Bartel got into the game. One would assume that Arizona would be looking strictly QB in the 1st round, right? Well, it isn't that clear cut.
The Cardinals also ranked 30th in rush defense last season, which placed them third from the bottom. Their base 3-4 scheme just didn't work, at least when it came to the front seven. Dan Williams and Bryan Robinson just didn't get it done on the interior of the defensive line. Simply said, the Cardinals have a lot of holes to fill; too many than they can address in this draft.
#1: Quarterback: This was probably the worse positional problem that any team endured during the 2010 season. Derek Anderson was brought over from the Cleveland Browns to become a stable starting QB in replacing Kurt Warner; well it did not happen. Not only was Anderson completely ineffective on the field, he lost it a couple times with the press. The starting QB is supposed to be the leader on and off the field, Anderson wasn't. The Cardinals threw for less than 200 yards 11 times in 2010.
Combined all four QBs threw only 10 touchdown passes and had a QB rating just over 60. Additionally, Arizona failed to hit double digits on the scoreboard 6 different times. This started and ended with the passing game. Max Hall, an undrafted rookie free agent, came in and started three games, but only threw one touchdown pass. John Skelton, another rookie, started four games and only had two touchdowns. Needless to say, their starting QB for 2011 is not on the roster. Other teams with QB needs such as Carolina, Buffalo, Cincinnati, San Francisco, Tennessee and Washington all have fall back options on their roster; Arizona doesn't.
Top Available Quarterbacks
1. Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
2. Christian Ponder, Florida State
3. Jake Locker, Washington
4. Andy Dalton, Texas Christian
5. Ryan Mallett, Arkansas
#2: Defensive Tackle: Bryan Robinson and Dan Williams are just not going to get it done. Neither played to a level in which Arizona can have any confidence in them moving forward. I don't care that Williams was young, you cannot allow over 140 rushing yards a game and use the excuse of being young; it just doesn't work in my books. Gabe Watson, a former Michigan standout, doesn't play in the future plans for Arizona either. They are going to have to find a stout run defender in this draft.
Top Available Defensive Tackles
1. Nick Fairley, Auburn
2. Corey Liuget, Illinois
3. Phil Taylor, Baylor
#3: Cornerback: Arizona was so bad on rush defense that their horrible secondary play may have been overlooked, but they were really bad in that area as well. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is a solid cornerback, but shouldn't be more than #2 on the depth chart for any solid secondary. Simply put, he is not a #1 corner on a good team. Other players such as Greg Toler and Trumaine McBride are just not that good. It means something when your best cover corner is Mike Adams, a player that was picked up off the scrap heap from our 49ers. They need to upgrade at this position immediately, but the question is; are they willing to spend such an high draft pick here?
Top Cornerbacks Available
1. Patrick Peterson, Louisiana State
2. Prince Amukamara, Nebraska
My Pick: QB- Blaine Gabbert, Missouri: When your passing game was so horrendous and you have no viable option moving forward it is a necessity that you go after one early in the draft. This is one of those situations where need completely trumps BPA.
It doesn't matter how good Arizona's roster is in 2011, if they have the same QB play they had last season, it doesn't mean anything. Blaine Gabbert is the best QB in the draft, and they get him with the #5 pick; not bad. He is a player that can come in immediately and outperform any QB they currently have on the roster.
Listen, Arizona does have talent on the offensive side of the ball with Tim Hightower, Beanie Wells, Larry Fitzgerald and Steve Breaston. They just need someone to came in and play the QB position effectively. You can talk about BPA until you are blue in the face, but sometimes it is imparitive to address the most important position on the field and then move forward. This is what I see Arizona doing at #5.
One again, I am going to include a poll at the bottom. This poll will only include players that are available to the Cardinals at #5 in accordance to previous results. Therefore, Cam Newton, Marcell Dareus, Von Miller and A.J. Green are unavailable.
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"Cincinnati Bengals 2010 Stats"
Still listed
by whistlingmountain on Apr 25, 2011 8:19 AM PDT reply actions
it kills me that people think it would be Peterson
I am not trying to make Peterson fall to us but lets use logic. They have RDC and they our picking 5th which means they our a bad team and dont have the luxery to just pick whoever the best player is there secondary is proably the best part of the team and plus there not gonna have 2 high paid corners if Peterson makes it to cards that means he will fall to us cause browns just drafted Joe Haden and he is highly paid now a team could trade up but you guys need to think like the cards we have a good corner and have QB needs line needs both sides and linebacker needs defantinly. I just think its weird they would take best player avalible instead of need which almost any team in the top 5 always do.
cppeter
by foreveryoung66 on Apr 25, 2011 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions
PP probably.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
by manraj7 on Apr 25, 2011 8:28 AM PDT via mobile reply actions
My instinct is Peterson
He would be a much safer pick IMO. But when you think about their QB situation, it’s not as bad as ours, but nonetheless still very bad . They don’t have a franchise QB. At least right now they don’t appear to. So would they go this soon for a QB? The only reason why I’d say no is because they have four options currently on the roster, and could quite easily bring in a fifth (Bulger?) when the league opens for business again. It’s a really tough call for AZ. They may have as many as four viable options to go for at that point. But my guess would be Peterson because of stronger value & he can potentially fit more than one need for them.
Don't mind me, I'm on a roller coaster. . .
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"... their QB situation, it's not as bad as ours ..."? That's pretty hard to swollow ...
If you are assuming that our only QB is David Carr, then we may be about even. But, if you assume that AS will resign (and I don’t care about personal opinions of Alex … only actual performance), we are light-years ahead of AZ. Even at his historical performance level, Alex Smith is far better than any QB that Arizona has or is likely to get.
by 49erFanSince1950 on Apr 25, 2011 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Voters seem to have Gabbert winning
which shows more the NN community’s collective wish than who arizona will take. Why would arizona pass on PP, the best draft prospect at #5?
Agreed.
The most foreseeable way I see Peterson dropping to us, is if Gabbert goes #1 overall, which would allow the Bills to pick Cam and the Cardinals to pick Von. Otherwise, I think Peterson is off the board at 5.
by VigilanteSteve on Apr 25, 2011 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions
and if not, then off the board at 6.
by whistlingmountain on Apr 25, 2011 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions
Don't the Browns draft at 6?
I think they have more needs than CB, considering they drafted Haden. They can’t afford to not address other problems. At least that’s my guess/hope.
"Bears are crazy, Willie. They'll bite your head off if you're wearing steak on it."
Holmgren values dbs, always has.
your hope his similar to other fans’ hopes though, completely dismissing the likelihood. It is however likely that they have Peterson on a tier that they will not hold other available players.
by whistlingmountain on Apr 25, 2011 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions
They have alot of needs.
I think maybe it’s more likely they let somebody in the 8 to 16 range jump in front of us and pick up that extra second or third rounder themselves.
Peterson or Quinn
Whiz is not going to take Gabbert who needs some serious development. He’s going to poach a seasoned veteran off another roster. Don’t be surprised to see Hass, McNabb, Kolb, Smith, Palmer or anyone already in the league lining up under center for them.
Whiz can’t develop a QB on his own, so he’ll try to get a vet. He also can’t rely on his defense to carry a young QB like he had in Pittsburgh, so he’ll strengthen that defense with a top prospect. It’s wishful thinking to believe we will get Peterson at #7.
Whats your guys opinion....
sorry ..i know this is off subject…how bout trading our 7th overall this year to either Carolina or Cincy…Carolina can then take Darius then with our 7th get Gabbert /Newton…we get their 1st next year and a 2nd or 3rd….or Cincy drafts Green and Gabbert/Newton weith our 7 …we get their 1st next year AND Palmer……..Those 2 teams will be drafting 1 -2 next year anyway ..(either Carolina or Cincy with either rookie qb will be have top pick next year) we get Luck and still have our original 1st next year plus extra 2 or 3 ( 2nd from Carolina or Cincy would be like another 1st…we’d be loaded …besides …this years screwed up anyway…
So let me get this straight
You want to trade this years first for Panthers next year 2nd? Ya that isn’t a good idea.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
sorry if i wrote that wrong…no i ment trade our 1st (#7) for Carolina 1st next year…or Cincys…if we trade with Carolina besides their 2012 1St…they iinclude a 2 or third…If we trade our 37 to Cincy for their 2012 1st and Palmer ..then we draft Luck next year …im thinking Cincy and Carolina would be pobubly be fighting for the worst record…..and we’d have the 1st or 2nd pick next year from Carolina or Cincy…along with our own 1st
by tonys2lucky on Apr 25, 2011 10:04 AM PDT up reply actions
I wouldn't trade away our first round pick for just future picks.
They might not end up with the first overall pick. Luck may get injured. Barkley and Jones may not declare. I would be ok with trading back and getting a future 1st as well as a pick this year. Or trading away our 2nd round pick for a future first.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
I don't think Harbaugh needs Luck as much as Luck needs Harbaugh, either.
I think our coach is good enough (I hope) that he doesn’t need a specific guy at QB.
My opinion we should definitely keep our first this year and use it wisely.
"Bears are crazy, Willie. They'll bite your head off if you're wearing steak on it."
Whats up ya'll whats good its been a looong minute,but im back n looking forward
to the draft,just won’t 2 say thanks for the people on here who kept my moms in their prayers i really appreciate that she passed on the april 13th ,she’s in a better place n not suffering anymore ‘’so thanks ’’
by Jayubb415rebirth on Apr 25, 2011 9:19 AM PDT reply actions
Good to have you back
You came back at the perfect time. Because its almost draft day.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
Sorry to hear about your Mum
I lost my Dad in 2000. It’s tough. Well done for coming to terms so quickly, and stay strong.
Get it sorted NFL and NFLPA. My Sunday evenings are special to me.
by LondonNiner on Apr 25, 2011 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions
Sorry to hear that
I’ve dealt with losses in the last few years myself.
Hope nothing but the best for your family.
"Bears are crazy, Willie. They'll bite your head off if you're wearing steak on it."
Can someone tell me if there doing the 1st n 2nd round thursday or just the 1st????
by Jayubb415rebirth on Apr 25, 2011 9:21 AM PDT reply actions
How long do you think it will take to get to the seventh pick? I’m going to stay up for the draft but it doesn’t even start until 1am here.
Get it sorted NFL and NFLPA. My Sunday evenings are special to me.
by LondonNiner on Apr 25, 2011 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions
30 mins max
5 min clock. 6*5 = 30
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
It’s five mins? Cool. I thought it was 10. And no messing around in between? Good news. I’ll be in bed by two, with Patrick Peterson (metaphorically, of course).
Get it sorted NFL and NFLPA. My Sunday evenings are special to me.
by LondonNiner on Apr 25, 2011 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions
nevermind it is 10 mins
so 1 hour before our pick. But they should go faster than that.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
But what if the Niners trade back up in the first?
Then you miss a whole 1st round pick. Stay up through everything.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
Darn. You got my hopes up there! Seriously, because I can’t remember from year to year – how much messing around is there between picks?
Get it sorted NFL and NFLPA. My Sunday evenings are special to me.
by LondonNiner on Apr 25, 2011 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions
Goes like this
With the 7th pick in the NFL draft the Niners select Patrick Peterson
The Titans are on the clock.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.
I was in Switzerland for the 2005 draft. I remember being so happy with Alex Smith and Mike Nolan.
by mcwagner on Apr 25, 2011 10:40 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Crazy - I was in Geneva for that draft
and I remember thinking I’d been out of the country too long because I didn’t even know who Alex Smith was. In hindsight, ignorance is bliss.
Gabbert is the pick....he does what Warner did well.
Warner played out of the shotgun alot and threw the deep ball.
Peterson is a dream
The more I look at the teams ahead of us the less likely I think we are to land PP. Don’t get your hopes up people. I don’t think he lasts past Arizona. Even if he does, the Browns are going to trade down a few picks for some other team to grab him assuming they don’t grab him themselves. Unless we trade up (possible), PP does not drop to us. Just my opinion.
i'm still skeptical that any of the top teams have given Gabbert a top 20 grade
by whistlingmountain on Apr 25, 2011 10:04 AM PDT reply actions
I am as well
When a college QB has that horrible a stat-line in a pass happy spread offense he better look damn good on tape to be considered a Top 10 pick.
He doesn’t.
I think they take Gabbert
It’s their biggest need and fits their system well, and will probably be plugged right in. He may give them a little hope to compete against Hasselhoff in Seattle.
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It isnt wishful thinking to me
Arizona’s QB situation is worse than ours. I would rather have Alex Smith than all four of their QBS combined. On that note, I am not doing these projections just to have Peterson fall to the 49ers. My picks are solely based on these teams needs, and Arizona needs Gabbert more than Peterson Also, it wouldn’t be the end of the world if Gabbert was our choice at even
Mila "Sweet Lips" Kunis, as stated by Scarlett Johansson. I couldn't agree more. Reverse would be true too!!!!
by nocal81(Vincent) on Apr 25, 2011 1:22 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
Is it just me?
Or does Gabbert remind anyone else a lot of Alex Smith?
Jim Harbaugh find a quarterback of the future soon please!
I think he's a far worse prospect than Smith was.
Just my opinion of course, but I think he’s benefiting a lot from the apparent weakness of this years QB class. Personally, I have him higher than Cam “The HB who occasionally throws the ball” Newton, but I wouldn’t take him in the first round.
"Blackmail is such an ugly word. I prefer "extortion." The "X" makes it sound cool." - Bender Bending Rodriguez
Eleanor Rigby - "Greatest Song" or "The Greatest Song"?
Yeah it doesn’t honestly seem like any of the top tier guys will make franchise quarterbacks i.e. Newton, Gabbert, Mallet. I hope the Niners can find quality somewhere after the first at QB.
Jim Harbaugh find a quarterback of the future soon please!
Same here.
Just a few more days to the draft, then we’ll get a glimpse of the plan.
"Blackmail is such an ugly word. I prefer "extortion." The "X" makes it sound cool." - Bender Bending Rodriguez
Eleanor Rigby - "Greatest Song" or "The Greatest Song"?
Gabbert.
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