First off I want to apologize on how long it took me to write this fanpost. I usually don’t write fanpost because of all of the thinking and analysis necessary to make a semi-decent one so I had no idea what I was getting myself into. Also I lied Grantmp didn’t steal my title I just couldn’t think of anything creative.
Jake Locker has been scrutinized by draft experts and internet draft scouts. He was deemed inaccurate so inaccurate that he makes someone who is sniping with a shotgun in Halo look accurate. His completion percentage, 55%, is bad. Ok I lied its not bad its horrendous. Since completion percentage does not equal accuracy I decided to go back and watch as many games as possible. I was unable to locate every game missing four out of the twelve games that Locker played in.
As well as noting the Accuracy issues that Locker possess I will also write about his athletic ability and his character and leadership abilities.
The process was simple. I would watch every game that I could get my hands on and rewatch them. I note if Locker was in the pocket or on the move when throwing the ball. Then note the distance the ball traveled in the air according to the line of scrimmage. So if Locker runs back 10 yards and the ball travels 10 yards beyond the line then the pass only traveled 10 yards instead of 20. If the pass is completed then it is written as complete. If not then I have to notice if it is dropped (the WR dropped the ball), throw away (Jake Threw it away) or incomplete (completely or partially Jake’s fault). I do not give Jake the benefit of the doubt.
This section will be split into two parts. Pocket passing and on the move.
Mostly because of UW O-Line the offensive attack for Washington has a lot to do with the quick pass. Locker attempted 42 passes where the ball ended up behind the line of scrimmage. Of those forty-two he completed 32 of them. Which is about a 76.2%. This is horrible considering that all of this occurred behind the line. Three of the passes were dropped and one was thrown away. Doing my mathematical equation of subtracting total attempts by dropped passes and throw aways, I was able to compute that Locker attempted 38 passes of the previously discussed caliber. His completion percentage improves to about 84.2%.
The majority of the passes attempted were between 0-10 yards. He attempted 61 passes and completed 34. As a completion % it is about 55.7%. Close to his season completion average. Looking deeper, nine of the passes were dropped and two of them were thrown away. The drops were horrific. I wrote down how the drops occurred and the ball hit WR everywhere. Hit them in the chest, the hands, the arms, and the head, in other words it hit them everywhere on the body but the WR still could not wrap it up. Two of the passes were thrown away as well. This leaves 50 attempts that were not dropped or thrown away. 34/50 passes were completed which is exactly 68%.
Locker gets worse the farther he throws down the field. Locker completed only 10 of 34 attempts, for a measly 29.4% when throwing between 10-20 yards. Of course nine of the passes were either dropped or thrown away, 4 dropped 5 thrown aways. It is still horrendous. Completing 10/25, 40%, of his passes is nothing to be proud of.
His completion rate improved slightly when he threw for more than 20+ yards, without including the dropped passes. He attempted 22 passes but only completed 7 of them. Mathematically it is about 31.8%. Three of the passes were dropped and none were thrown away. With the 19 remaining passes Locker still completed seven of them, for a horrible completion rate of 36.8%.
Overall the pocket passing is something that Locker can improve on. He attempted 159 passes from the pocket and completed 83 of them. Without factoring in the dropped passes or throw aways he had a completion rate of 52.2%. Of course there were 19 dropped passes and eight passes were thrown away. Taking out those 27 passes Locker had a completion rate of a respectable 62.9%.
There is definite room for improvement for pocket passing for Locker. I was honestly confused as to why he gets to be so inaccurate. Having all of the tools to be successful he still has trouble. What I noticed is that playing QB is a combination of small details. Missing one or two of them and the entire process goes haywire. UW does not have the greatest O-Line in the NCAA. There were numerous times where the pocket would collapse and Locker would have no where to step into his throw. As a result his throws and his steps are inconsistent.
On the Move
Looking at Locker’s number when he is on the move it is easily seen why UW ran so many roll outs. While Locker was rolling out / running for his life he completed 100% of his passes that occurred behind the line of scrimmage. This doesn’t mean much since he only threw three of them.
He completed 50% of all passes that went between 0-10 yards. This may not seem good in fact it looks terrible. Looking deeper only six of the twenty eight passes were incomplete. Six of them were thrown away and two were dropped. Ignoring the dropped / thrown away passes it improves up to a 70% completion rate.
Without factoring in the dropped passes and throw aways the 10-20 yards were the best completion rate. Locker completed 10/17 which comes to about 58.9%. Three of the passes were thrown away and none were dropped. So of the fourteen passes ten were completed. Which is about 71.4%.
For the Wide Receivers and the Offensive Line the 20+ yard throws were the best. There were zero throw aways and zero dropped passes. Of course Locker only threw seven of these type of passes. Locker completed three and four fell incomplete. This is about 42.9% his lowest of all on the move throws.
As a whole Locker excelled when he rolled out and was on the move. Without factoring in the dropped passes / throw aways he completed 30/55 passes. Of course two of the passes were dropped and nine were thrown away. This leaves 44 passes left. 30/44 is a respectable 68.2%.
This ability to throw on the run is necessary to succeed in the NFL. Looking at most of the young improving QBs they can make something out of nothing. Rodgers, and Roethlisberger are perfect examples of this. They both maneuver around behind the backfield avoiding pressure and make something out of a busted play. There were a couple of times when Locker was moving around and his WRs stood still. I may not know much about how football is played but I assumed that WRs are supposed to move around when they know they are covered. This made Locker do more than what he should have done. These passes usually hit the ground. Since the WR had to adjust I had to mark it down as an incomplete..
This is definitely one of Locker’s strong suit. Out of all of the interviews that Locker has done not once has he thrown his team under the bus. Even though he has a legitimate claim that his WR refused to realize that they have to get open or that the O-Line forgot to remember that part of the game is passing.
Locker is a leader and brings the best out of his teammates. Despite his record Jake Locker actually helps win games. Over the past three years UW has not won a single game that Locker did not start; even going 0-12 one year. This may stem off the fact that Jake gets injured far too often. There is no way to deny this. Jake Locker playing style lands him taking far too many blows. He slides head first to pick up more yards. When wrapped up he refuses to fall down and takes free shots to his ribs and body. When he plays in the NFL he will have to change his playing style so that he can protect his body from further injuries.
Jake works hard and plays hard. There is no way that Jake would fall down just to avoid a hit. Locker work ethic is shown in his improvement on a year to year basis. Locker has improved in every statistical item except from 2009 – 2010, where his completion % went down although everything else improved.
Jake’s athletic ability can be described in one word, legendary. If Jake did not love Football he could play any sport he wished. He got drafted by the Anaheim Angels to play center field. Scouts have even said that if Jake Locker played baseball he could be an all-star center fielder. Locker like Luck is built densely. Hitting him is like hitting a brick wall. Yes you can knock it down but it is going to hurt.
Locker runs extremely well. This ability will help him succeed later on. Once the play collapses Jake will have another weapon to his arm as he tries to make something out of nothing. The one problem I have with Jake running is how he carries the ball. He hangs the ball out and as a direct consequence the ball pops out. It is extremely frustrating and will need to be fixed before he moves on to the next level.
Jake has all of the tools necessary to succeed in the NFL. His arm, his legs, his heart, and his mind are all ready. His one issue is his passing from 10+ yards while in the pocket. This is a pretty big issue as a whole but the fix is really small. His problems start at the feet and walks up to his legs. Having a team that can help him succeed will make Locker’s life a lot easier. Like all rookie QBs it is important to have a young O-line, a strong young game, and/or a decent D. With a HC that is supposed to earn his bread and butter with the QB and a team that has a great supporting cast I could see Locker start day 1 if there was a full offseason.
Hope you enjoyed the post. I will probably not do another one this year. Would be better if I started the research notes during the season.
|On the Move|
|In the Pocket|