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San Francisco 49ers 2010 Draft, One Year Later: RB - Anthony Dixon

This morning I am going to take a look at the 49ers selection of Mississippi State RB, Anthony Dixon, one year after he was selected in the 6th round of the 2010 NFL draft.

This is a player that showed us a great deal during the pre-season, so we expected him to hit the ground running come the regular year. Well, that did not happen. Instead, Dixon really didn't see any playing time until Frank Gore went down due to injury. Once Dixon was able to see the field more it became apparent that he may not have been completely ready to take on such a heavy load. He proved to be a little raw in important aspects of the game.

That said, the upside is there and I expect bigger things from him in 2011. After the jump I am going to talk a little more about Anthony Dixon, look at other options that were available to the 49ers with that pick and play a little "Monday morning RB" and rank the players at that position one year later.

Star-divide

6th Round, 173rd Pick: RB- Anthony Dixon Mississippi State

2010 Stats: 70 Rushes, 237 Yards, 3.4 AVG, 2 TD

Analysis: Some will question if Anthony Dixon will ever be a major contributor in the NFL. I may be in the minority here, but I believe he will. Dixon has the power and strength to succeed as an every down back at this level. Of course, Dixon is still extremely raw; especially at pass protection. That is something that needs to change and I hope Tom Rathman has the ability to work with him on this if the CBA is hashed out relatively soon.

Dixon did most of his damage once Frank Gore was lost for the season because of a hip injury. Although not splashy, Dixon did contribute with Brian Westbrook a great deal as a tandem out of the backfield. He needs to figure out running lanes better, hit the hole quicker, and follow his blockers better. This is another aspect that I meant when I said he was extremely raw. At Mississippi State, Dixon was one-dimensional; mostly because that is all that was asked of him. Moving forward, the 49ers are going to have to work a great deal with him in order to get these issues fixed.

If the 49ers were completely sold on Anthony Dixon they would not have spend a 4th round pick on Kendall Hunter. That said, the pick of the former Oklahoma State standout could be linked as much to Frank Gore's age and injury concern as it is with the front offices opinion on Anthony Dixon. I really do believe that Dixon has a strong future in the NFL, hopefully teaming up well with Hunter once Frank Gore calls it a career.

Both Anthony Dixon and Kendall Hunter are going to split time behind Frank Gore in 2011 and it is going to be interesting to see how that competition plays out during training camp. Dixon and Hunter are two different type of running backs and both bring something different to the table. Throw in Frank Gore and the 49ers could have a real nice 1-2-3 punch in the offensive backfield moving forward.

Listen, you are not going to get a player that isn't without limitations in the 6th round. What the 49ers got in Anthony Dixon last year was a player that shows a nice amount of promise and could eventually be an extremely solid contributor in their offense. I don't know how much more you can ask of a 6th round pick.

 


Other Options Available at #173

 

6th Round, 175th Pick: DE- Greg Hardy Carolina Panthers

2010 Stats: 15 Games, 30 Tackles, 3 Sacks, 2 Forced Fumbles

Analysis: Entering his final season at Mississippi, Hardy was projected to be a first round pick, but a lackluster year caused his stock to drop dramatically. That said, I was still a huge fan of his heading into the draft and had my fingers crossed that the 49ers would select him in the 6th round; obviously that did not happen.

I really likes what Greg Hardy brings to the table and his production in spotty action in 2010 shows that he has tremendous upside. If Charles Johnson leaves via free agency (unlikely) look for Hardy to step right into the starting role on the right side of the Panthers defensive line. If not, he will get more playing time and continue to be a solid contributor.

I think that Hardy has double digit sack potential, it is just up to the Carolina Panthers to utilize him correctly moving forward.

 

6th Round, 178th Pick: LB- Arthur Moats Buffalo Bills

2010 Stats: 15 Games, 4 Starts, 33 Tackles, 3 Sacks, 1 Forced Fumble

Analysis: Moats was a pleasant surprise for the Buffalo Bills in 2010. In fact, he finished the season as the Bills starting right outside linebacker in the 3-4. Small school defenders do seem to do well in the late rounds of the draft, especially in the front 7 and Moats is no different.

The ability to have a 6th round pick start in his rookie season can mean two things. First, that your defense is so weak that there were no other options. Secondly, that the players showed enough to be entrusted in that role. I think that Moats represents the ladder. He has all the physical ability to succeed in the NFL, and I believe that 2011 will be a break out season for him.


6th Round, 180th Pick: RB- Deji Karim Jacksonville Jaguars

2010 Stats: 35 Rushes, 160 Yards, 4.5 AVG, 0 TD

Analysis: I put Karim on this list because the 49ers drafted a RB seven picks earlier; I am sure that Karim was on their radar. Another small school player that showed flashes in 2010, I think that Karim will do a nice job spelling Maurice Jones-Drew in the future.

Karim will never be a full time workhorse in the NFL, but he does bring an intriguing talent to the Jaguars offense. The ability to take it the distance on every play. His ceiling is extremely high right now and he provides another dimension to the Jaguars offense outside of Jones-Drew.

 

Top Running Backs from 2010 NFL Draft Class

1. LeGarrette Blount Tampa Bay Buccaneers Rookie Free Agent 

2. Ryan Matthews San Diego Chargers 1st Round, 12th Pick

3. Jahvid Best Detroit Lions 1st Round, 30th Pick

4. Toby Gerhart Minnesota Vikings 2nd Round, 51st Pick

5. James Starks Green Bay Packers 6th Round, 193rd Pick

6. Anthony Dixon San Francisco 49ers 6th Round, 173rd Pick

 

Synopsis: Picking in the 6th round is really like throwing darts at a board and hoping they stick. Sure, scouting is a major factor this late in the draft, but does anyone here really think that the Patriots front office envisioned Tom Brady being a Super Bowl winning QB? I don't.

Of course, you are going to be more high on certain players in the later rounds and that can help build your team if you go about it right. In selecting Anthony Dixon I believe that the 49ers got both value and need. He brings something different to the 49ers; a basher that can run between the tackles and is hard to bring down.

If Anthony Dixon is able to tweak some of his game this will prove to be a solid pick. Dixon needs to recognize that he isn't an Ahmad Bradshaw type player. Instead, he needs to hit the hole quick, run down field and between the tackles. If he figures this out, you can expect Anthony Dixon to continue to improve as a RB for the 49ers.

Poll
Does Anthony Dixon have a future as a starting RB in the NFL?
Yes
287 votes
No
145 votes
Too early to tell
384 votes

816 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 66 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

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No, Dixon isn't likely to be a starter in his career....

Unless you have a starting quality RB or pro bowler, a RB should step in and be productive immediately; much like Gore in his rookie season, who had nearly as much yards as our starter in much fewer carries. Dixon just doesn’t have it. This is the NFL, you don’t build starting RBs, they come into the league ready to go.

And for anyone who tries to say it was the play calling or the OL, look at what Westbrook did in the final few weeks of the season.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 8:16 AM PDT reply actions  

Gore had 600 yards his first season

Wasn’t Larry and Jennings on the line that year, and who was the OC?

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

600 in relief of Barlow, who was the starter

He averaged 4.8 per carry and ran better than Barlow all year long. As for our OL, it was in shambles. We didn’t have Larry, who came on in ’06, and our OC was McCarthy which is meaningless because the team was still abyssmal.

To think that Dixon is a “starting” RB in the NFL is a joke. If you say it’s too early to tell, I’ll give you the benefit of the doubt, but look at Blount, who was undrafted. Talented RBs come in and perform immediately, they don’t “develop” over time; you got it, or you don’t. He’s a relief back at best, or a part of a RBBC.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 8:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

running backs don't develop?

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

No, not from a back-up into a starter...

If you find someone who has, they’re the exception, not the rule. A RB will become better in some aspects of the game, such as pass blocking or route running, but they aren’t going to get better vision or turn into an all-pro. Like I said, you have it or you don’t.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

what is "it"?

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

How about Foster from Houston

"I hate it! It looks like a stickup at 7-Eleven. Five guys standing there with their hands in the air."

Norm Sloan

"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors."

Weldon Drew

by EcERyda69 on May 17, 2011 9:06 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

he's pretty good

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

Foster didn't develop.

2009 – 4.8 YPC.
2010 – 4.9 YPC

He was just as good his rookie year, he just didn’t get as many carries. Totally different story than Dixon.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 9:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Have you checked out Houstons passing game?

its just a hair better than ours

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

Which totally explains

Why most of Fosters best YPC games came when their passing attack was having an off day.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

Brandon Jacobs

Rookie year 2005: 38 attempts, 2.6 average
2nd year: 96 attempts, 4.4 average
3rd year: 202 attempts, 5.0 average

He also had his best year last season as far as yards per carry, which was 5.6.

by SanFranciscoKnights on May 17, 2011 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

2005

Tiki Barber was still playing, Brandon Jacobs was used primarily as a goal line back.

Kinda hard to get a 4+ YPC when the majority of your playing time is from inside the 4 yard line.

Nice try though.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

That does make a lot of sense.

But other examples do exist of running backs who improved from year 1 to year 2. The notion that running backs never increase their YPC following their rookie season is false. I don’t know if Dixon will be a feature NFL back, but I reject the notion that he cannot improve.

by SanFranciscoKnights on May 17, 2011 6:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't doubt that he can improve some...

but too many people talk about the guy like he’s a hall of famer. He’s average and will not be a starter for this team unless injuries force us into it or he switches positions.

by 9thevolution on May 18, 2011 6:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

This is another example of how aggregate stats are worthless

Out of Gores 6 seasons of play his rookie year was his 3rd best.

He was just as explosive and had better yards per carry than in 2010, 2008, or 2007.
His yards per reception was better than any year except 2010.

His aggregates didn’t look that hot because Nolan stuck with Barlow, who averaged a whole yard and a half less than Gore.

Running Back is one of the few positions in the NFL where you either have it or you don’t, and you can contribute immediately as a rookie — even if you were an UDFA.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 8:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

I've generally felt this as well

The difference between a successful NFL running back and a mediocre one comes down to the ability to anticipate holes. Where-as a successful running back in college is more about being fast and strong, the hole will likely be there, it’s their job to get 8 yards instead of 4 with their athletic ability. In the NFL the hole isn’t there many times, it’s their job to create a whole, and turn 0 into a regular 4,5,6 yard run.

I don’t know that any RB comes into the NFL and develops the ability.

by whistlingmountain on May 17, 2011 8:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Creating a hole is the line and FB's job

If there is one thing Dixon has for sure its vision.

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

I do not mean to say it is the RB's job to create the holes

what I mean is that many times, if not most of the time, there is no hole where it was meant to be. So yes, a great line can create big holes and allow a running back to be great, almost any running back can be great in that scenario. Which is the scenario that is often created in college.

In the NFL, that is rarely the case, particularly in short yardage situations, it’s the running back’s job to feel, to find, and to explode through places where the play was not necessarily designed to go or developing sooner or later than they were supposed to.

If he has the vision and the timing, then he can be a starter. I personally do not think he has it. Players have proven me wrong before, but still, do not see it at this time in Dixon.

by whistlingmountain on May 17, 2011 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

wm, I agree with you completely.

Vince Lombardi created the concept, called it “running to daylight”, even wrote a book entitled “Run to Daylight”. However, I feel that was being coached OUT of Dixon by the 49ers last year. In watching him during the pre-season and then in the regular season, he regressed and it appeared to me he was coached NOT to use his natural ability to “run to daylight”, but was being coached to hit the hole that was called, regardless of whether or not a hole actually existed at that location. Having read comments by some of our opposition last year, that they “knew” pre-snap where the play was going, running to the called hole and not to daylight with our play calling would be disastrous. Only the fact that our O line is becoming a very, very good run-blocking line allowed us to have any production at all in the running game.

After all was said and done, a lot more got said than done.

by OldJock on May 17, 2011 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

So having Raye's offense has nothing to do with it?

What doesn’t Dixon have? Oh wait, the infamous “it” factor.

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

production?

Raye’s offense was productive?

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 9:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Wow I guess Westbrook must hate it here

seeing as he was so productive last year.

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

So his emotional state

is the best indicator of his production?

Now you are just grasping at straws.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Westbrook had two games where he averaged over 4 yards a carry.

That doesnt sound productive.

Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.

by manraj7 on May 17, 2011 9:47 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Compared to Chris Johnson no

Compared to Dixon, yes.

A full yard per carry better than Dixon for the year. 7 more carries 103 more yards.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

His only two games with more than 4 yards per carry was against Arizona.

Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.

by manraj7 on May 17, 2011 10:34 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

These are the two statlines

3.9
3.7
4.3
5.5
2.8
2.0

Or

5.9
3.4
2.6
2.8
4.0
6.1

Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Im not competitive I just addicted to winning.

by manraj7 on May 17, 2011 10:45 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Still

Much better than Dixon.

I don’t know how many ways I can say it.

4.4 is significantly better than 3.4 when it comes to yards per carry with a similar sample of carries.

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

WHa?

Says the guy who never carried a ball in High School.

Look at someone like Dalainina Tomlinson, Reggie Bush, hell, Tim Hightower, if all you’re looking at is YPC, they obviously figured something out from their 1st year to their 2nd and 3rd and on…

Some guys are much more developed in their knowledge of the game, in their “wait for the play to develop” mentality; some guys are more developed than others at finding the hole, but you do get better at it.

By your reasoning, every RB that comes to the league has already hit their plateau? So then you go on to say that guys who have gotten better were, oh, just not given enough carries?

If Arian Foster had shown from the 1st day of Rookie Camp what he showed last year NO COACH in the NFL (with the exception of Jimmy Rae) would have sat him. I mean, if you think he was already as good then as he was last year.

Had Peyton Hillis hit his plateau in College, Denver would not have sat him for 2 seasons…

Think brother, think!

by alexito on May 18, 2011 4:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

I can't believe Dixon didn't blow up last year in this offense

Really? No mention of how terrible our offense was?

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:26 AM PDT reply actions  

As I said above...

Westbrook seemed fine and Gore was on track for another 1100 yard season. Dixon didn’t play up to standard of a “starting” caliber RB, thus the reason he’s being moved to FB and we drafted another RB.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 8:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

He's being moved to FB? where did you hear this?

That’s why we drafted another RB? Did we have 3 on the roster? Isn’t Gore’s contract up soon?

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Interview he did said Harbaugh told him he would be playing FB. It's posted here somewhere.

Yes we drafted another RB because we needed one. We also don’t know if another is coming in through FA. Gore’s contract has nothing to do with Dixon’s status on this team; sorry, but that’s just reaching.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 8:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

Don't see how...

Just because Gore has an expiring contract doesn’t mean that Dixon is going to remain on the team, or that he’ll magically become productive; or, for that matter, A STARTER which is the point of the poll.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

he's just not good enough to be a starter

back-up is fine.

I actually really like Hunter. I think he can be a solid starter, albeit not an electric one.

by whistlingmountain on May 17, 2011 8:39 AM PDT reply actions  

what's he not good at?

pass protections? he came out of a spread
hitting the hole? he came out of a spread
natural talent? yes
size? yes
power? yes
vision? mos def yes
speed? enough (as fast as Gore is)

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

Still find it weird that Frank Gore's age (28) is considered old

but for an RB it is. Short shelf life. Which is why I chose too early to tell.

If Dixon takes 3-4 years to get up to speed with the NFL, which is a reasonable time for a 6th round pick to develop, he’ll be 27 or 28. Might have the quality to have a couple of good season, but he won’t be a franchise RB.

If Dixon breakes out in 1-2 years, he could be a quality 5-6 year starter. We’ll find out in 1-2 years whether he made it.

by reedkrase on May 17, 2011 8:55 AM PDT reply actions  

Really People

It isn’t fair to compare Dixon to Blunt. Blount has a better offensive line, better coaching, better QB, and a better scheme. Sometimes, you have to look at other factors.

Mila "Sweet Lips" Kunis, as stated by Scarlett Johansson. I couldn't agree more. Reverse would be true too!!!!

by nocal81(Vincent) on May 17, 2011 8:58 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

We had other RBs that were productive in our horrible scheme

I just don’t buy into the hype around Dixon and think he’ll be nothing more than a back-up or part of a committee.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 9:01 AM PDT up reply actions  

In what strange twisted view of things

Is the Tampa Bay offensive line a better run blocking unit than our guys?

by Ougadas on May 17, 2011 9:03 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

exactly

Harbaugh will find a QB and he will succeed.

by goatfather on May 17, 2011 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

FB? really a note on that?

If he is moved to FB . . . that could be a major career move for him as I believe he can be a great one.

by KHookerman on May 17, 2011 10:04 AM PDT reply actions  

I was actually just going to say something along those lines

Not that I see it happening but I think he could be a beast FB

by ManBearPig21 on May 17, 2011 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

Will be a solid backup

I think he’ll have a nice little career as a backup/goal line hammer or pontentially in a time-share situation where he splits the carries.

Don’t think he’s versatile enough to be a feature guy. But once he decides to start running downhill like a guy his size should instead of dancing around looking to juke guys he will vastly improve.

I think alot of us are still high on his pre-season numbers, but we always have to take that with a grain of salt, because in the long run its very insignificant.

by ManBearPig21 on May 17, 2011 10:19 AM PDT reply actions  

i like the way he sells out and the raw passion he brings…. i think he will be fine, and we’ll be glad he is on our team…. its hard for a rookie to shine being the 3rd RB for most the season… he got the job done on the goal line when called up, except one time if I remember correctly.

by forwardgunner49 on May 17, 2011 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

Wow people are harsh

I voted it’s too early to tell. Some people have unreasonable expectations. Dixon has only his rookie season under his belt and it was a rookie season in which he had quite arguably the worst offensive coaching in the league. Before you go and say, “Gore and Westbrook did well”, remember that they are both veterans and have had competent offensive coaching in the past. They also are/were superstars in the league. We have to give Rathman more time with Dixon and also a head coach that will actually use him.

by madmatt on May 17, 2011 11:32 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I think you are putting too much stock in a guy being coached up

Being reasonable is saying that Dixon can be replaced on day 1 by a rookie drafted in rounds 1-4. Which is most likely what we’re going to be doing. I’d say he starts this season as the #3 behind Gore and Hunter, unless he’s made a permanent FB.

Fact of the matter is that as a 3rd RB, he’s gonna have to be valuable on special teams to stick around, and then he’s just another Michael Robinson. That equates to a wasted roster spot if the guy can’t come off the bench and get us 4 YPC.

by 9thevolution on May 17, 2011 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Too much stock? I'm just giving the guy a chance to be coached and improve.

Because it CAN happen. And you are already replacing him with a guy that has never seen the NFL field? The only point I’m trying to make is it’s possible he could improve to be a very good back in the NFL. It’s not fair to judge any player based solely on his rookie season in which he had very poor coaching.

by madmatt on May 17, 2011 1:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yep...

And you are already replacing him with a guy that has never seen the NFL field?

Yeah, considering Harbaugh has asked him to play a different position, and he had his GM draft him another RB, that tells me just about all I need to know about how they value him. He may be worth the roster spot to them, but I just see him as Michael Robinson 2.0.

by 9thevolution on May 18, 2011 6:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Anthony Loses His Feet Dixon

I voted no

49er fanhood up in the air with Kaepernick aboard and there not being an QB worth rooting for on the niner roster

by supraman on May 17, 2011 11:52 AM PDT reply actions  

While I voted for "Too early to tell", I've not seen anything from Dixon that says he's starting material

From the 70 carries I’ve watched, I tend to agree with whistlingmountain that Dixon does not have a feel for holes. His dancing around is a symptom of the problem — he lacks “it” for a RB — the instinct to hit the hole early and decisively.

A RB can learn patience for a hole to open up, blitz pickup, route running, etc, but they must identify a hole even as it begins to open up, and hit it really, really fast and hard, to play a starter at the NFL. I suspect some of it is speed at which their brain process the visual information. The other thing one can’t teach a RB is regaining balance after being hit and keeping going,. Gore is very good at both.

Dixon could really surprise us this year, but I think the chances are low. He could still be a productive in a three-headed RB attack in one of Harbaugh’s exotic formations. Dixon has good work ethic and is great team member.

With Hunter, the Niners FO has broken a pattern of drafting that was beginning to form — drafting SEC power runners. I like Hunter’s chances of grabbing the backup role.

by Mood_Indigo on May 17, 2011 12:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Priest

Priest Holmes was a back up for years before he broke out. With his skill set i think he would be best used like La’ron Mcclain.

by Mukkeluk on May 17, 2011 12:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Stats are for dummies

Latter part of the season Dixon was moving the D on 3rd & short. Showed tremendous power. Give him a crease and he’s as fast as Gore.
He’s going to be a valuable back for this team for a long time.

by oldfoggy on May 17, 2011 2:12 PM PDT reply actions  

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