2011 NCAA Football: A Preview of the Pac 12 (Part 2 of 2)
Fooch's Note: For those wondering why we have a preview of a college football conference, although this goes a bit beyond normal scouting reports for the draft, this will hopefully help you better understand college football heading into the 2011 season, and thus be able to better follow draft prospects.
Last Saturday, I started in a series of previewing the NCAA Division I-A Conferences. I kicked things off in looking at what I believe to be the top six teams of the newly realigned Pac-12. In this offseason, the Pac-12 added Colorado (who was formerly in the Big XII) and Utah (who was formerly in the Mountain West Conference).
It has yet to be seen what these two teams will do in their new conference but it sure to shake things up a bit. In recent years, it seems as though schools like Oregon and USC have dominated. But with the addition of Colorado coming from a much more powerful Big XII and a rising team like Utah entering the fold, it should make for some exciting college football out west.
While a team like Oregon, who has plenty of returning players from last years National Championship team, is going to be the preseason favorite, it's quite possible that the realignment and a tougher schedule could impact that by season's end; a team like Stanford, who was on the rise last season, could also push for that number one spot in the conference with the leadership of a quarterback like Andrew Luck (who will be a front runner for the Heisman Trophy in 2011). But the great thing about college football because of the frequent turn-around in personnel is that anything is possible from year to year.
Here were the standings from the 2010-2011 season:
North
1. Oregon - Conference 9-0, Overall 12-1
2. Stanford - Conference 8-1, Overall 12-1
3. Washington - Conference 5-4, Overall 7-6
4. Oregon State - Conference 4-5, Overall 5-7
5. California - Conference 3-6, Overall 5-7
6. Washington State - Conference 1-8, Overall 2-10
South
1. USC - Conference 5-4, Overall 8-5
2. Arizona - Conference 4-5, Overall 7-6
3. Arizona State - Conference 4-5, Overall 6-6
4. UCLA - Conference 2-7, Overall 4-8
Last week's 1-6 preseason conference rankings: 1 - Oregon, 2 - Stanford, 3 - USC, 4 - Arizona, 5 - Colorado, 6 - Washington.
7 - UTAH UTES
This will be coach Kyle Wittingham's 7th year as a head coach but first year in the Pac-12.
In the recent move from the MWC to the Pac-12, the Utes will face a bit tougher competition than they did over int he MWC (with exception to Boise State and TCU). However, one may argue that there are really only two powerhouse teams in the Pac-12 in Oregon and Stanford. It's very difficult to argue something that hasn't happened yet, so time will be the ultimate factor involved in the equation.
Wittingham has an overall record of 58-20 while in the Mountain West which has lead to big-time optimism in the move.
The Utes will be led by quarterback Jordan Wynn who had a very impressive season in 2010 throwing for over 2,000 yards coupled with 17 touchdown passes. The two go-to guys last year were Devonte Christopher and Jereme Brooks who combined for over 1,200 yards in total offense and 10 of the 17 touchdowns that Wynn threw. The Utes will be losing Brooks, so look for Christopher to see more action this year.
The Utes also lost senior running backs, Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata so the run attack could take a significant hit. They were utilized in the pass game and it is uncertain as to whether or not there will be a significant replacement in that loss. Not to mention the loss of the leader on their offensive line in center, Zane Taylor.
The defense did not lose too many significant pieces, so that will stay in tact for the most part. They finished ranked 24th in the nation in points-against.
8 - ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS
The Sun Devils would be much better off without Dennis Erickson. Most fans believe that and most former fans of other teams that Erickson has coached feel the same. Erickson struggled in his short tenure in the NFL and now he is doing it at a school that has had hidden talent for quite some time. Guys like Ryan Torian (Washington Redskins) and Kyle Williams (San Francisco 49ers) are being drafted much later than they should be because of the lack of attention this university gets for it's football program.
Erickson has a career record barely over .500 at 25-24 which is just about on par with his coaching.
The Sun Devils do have some talent on the roster there though. And there will be a few more guys that get overlooked because of the shortfalls of the program.
The loss of Steven Threet to concussions means Brock Osweiler will likely be the starting quarterback in 2011. He will be looking to build on solid performances in limited action thus far.
The Sun Devils have two very gifted running backs in Cameron Marshall and Deantre Lewis who can on any given snap provide points as they showcased last year.
Former Sun Devil Kerry Taylor will be missed as a receiver but big target Mike Willie should be a solid go-to in replacing Taylor. Look for T.J. Simpson to elevate his game as well.
Defensively, the Devils have an experienced secondary and will also rely on the leadership of linebacker Vontaze Burfict.
In short, the Sun Devils look good on paper but talent will be limited due to poor coaching.
9 - CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS
Ah, where to start?
It seems as though every year recently, the Golden Bears provide sheer quality NFL talent but somehow, someway wind up with a losing record. Does that reflect poor coaching? Or is it more of a reflection in that the pieces missing each year are pretty significant? It's really hard to say. But with guys like Tyson Alualu, Cameron Jordan, Jahvid Best, and Shane Vereen heading in to the NFL, I'd bank on the former despite Jeff Tedford's legacy for second most victories in school history and a career record of 72-42.
Although, I point out Teford's inconsistencies in recent years, it could very well also be a case of having a lack of a true quarterback. It will be interesting to see if transfer Zach Maynard will be able to secure the starting position or if Brock Mansion or Allan Bridgford will be able to creep up and take the spot. Either way, it still doesn't look too promising.
Sofele and DeBoskie-Johnson may be promising in the ground attack but it is going to be very tough to replace guys like Shane Vereen (who was drafted by the New England Patriots). Neither Sofele or DeBoskie-Johnson have seen the endzone yet in their careers.
Defensively the Golden Bears could be tougher this year. Although there is some youth there, there is some very promising players. Linebacker David Wilkerson has speed and great agility and gets here and there in a hurry. The two corners in Steve Williams and Marc Anthony (not related to J-Lo's husband) are young but could thrive in a system that sends it's front seven in a variety of schemes and blitzes.
Even though I have them ranked this low, you just never know for sure with the Golden Bears. They could very well be a wildcard in the conference.
10 - OREGON STATE BEAVERS
The Beavers still have quarterback Ryan Katz, so that should work in their favor. However, losing both Rodgers brothers will indefinitely leave a bit of a vacancy at both the running back and wide receiver positions. Those will be some pretty large shoes to fill.
Markus Wheaton will now have to step his game up immensely and will get every opportunity to do so.
There were just so many areas of concern for the Beavers and they weren't that inexperienced of a team. Head coach, Mike Riley certainly has his work cut out for him as there are no Steven Jackson's, Chad Ochocinco's, or Nick Barnett's to work with this year... or even JacQuizz and James Rodgers' for that matter.
It could very well be a dark and gloomy season up in Oregon for Riley and his team.
11 - UCLA BRUINS
Maybe they'll figure out a way to get Jerry Rice Jr. in the game this year. That is all.
On a serious note, I don't think it would hurt to try and get him in the game more. You just never know... sometimes guys like that are late bloomers. It took Michael Jordan a while to emerge, right? Okay, I wasn't being quite 100% serious again, but still.
The problem for the Bruins is that they recruit law students better than they do football players. UCLA has had a couple good players in recent years though. See: Brian Price (Tampa Bay Bucs).
Head coach Rick Neuhiesel hasn't given the students of the renowned school much to cheer about in his tenure there thus far. He better figure it out real quick because he is most certainly on the hot seat.
Kevin Prince will be in his final year as the Bruins quarterback and will really need to crank up the volume in his performances. He, however, will need to find some legit targets to throw the ball to. Wide receiver, Taylor Embree is good but he is not great.
Jordon James is an extremely promising running back but may struggle to see any action as long as Neuheisel is the head coach and Johnathan Franklin and Derrick Coleman are there, unfortunately. Franklin put up some fairly good numbers against the opposition last year, so we will see if that can continue this year.
12 - WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS
The Curse of Ryan Leaf lives on. Just kidding. The Cougars have had a bit of a rough patch though since the early 2000's; not having done much since 2003. Just about the time that Ryan Leaf was 'officially' considered a bust. Okay, I lied - he officially was a bust in 2001 after his short 4 game stint with the Dallas Cowboys. But it's always nice to associate a "curse" with a player; similar to the Babe Ruth "curse". But in reality, the Cougars will bounce back someday but that someday will not be with the current head coach.
With a record of 5-32, somebody please tell me why Paul Wulff is still the head coach. Will nobody else take the job?
The Cougars have too much ground to gain in the conference. The lack of good to decent coaching coupled with a lack of good or decent talent is a sure-fire way to find yourself at the bottom of the barrel. Quarterback, Jeff Tuel is just about the only bright spot on a dismal Cougars roster.
Had he opted to go to a contending school, we very well could be talking much more about this kid's potential as a pro. Unfortunately, I just don't think it is in the cards for him at this point. Same goes for his favorite target last season in receiver, Marquess Wilson who reeled in 55 passes for 1006 yards with 8 touchdowns.
Their defense, well their defense ranked 110th in the nation allowing 35.8 points-per-game. That's about as rotten as it gets and I can't seeing it get much better this season as there were no major changes.
So in essence, and by division of the conference, here are how my rankings stack up:
North
1. Oregon
2. Stanford
3. Washington
4. California
5. Oregon State
6. Washington State
South
1. USC
2. Arizona
3. Colorado
4. Utah
5. Arizona State
6. UCLA
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Drew I don't like you anymore.
UCLA national champions
"Hi my name is Cliff Harris and I am here to lock [site decorum] down" - Cliff Harris introduction at his Freshman Orientation
Reporter : "What do you remember about the BCS title game"
Cliff Harris: "That we lost"
by manraj7 on Jul 2, 2011 12:48 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
Not if Kevin Prince is the quarterback
Heres to hopin Brett Hundley really is the future
colorado???
although colorado may come from a traditionally good conference they are absolutely awful. also, last year the pac 10 was superior to the big 12 in terms of average strength of teams. colorado was throttled by cal to the tune of 52-7. while their future looks bright with a stronger ability to recruit southern california, anything other than a last place finish in the pac 12 south would be a surprise.
Big XII vs. Pac-10
Disagree. Guess we will see whenever they start playing.
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The Hometown Fan
SC needs to shore up O-Line & Defense
If they do that team has waaay too much talent to repeat last years bysmal 8-5 record for their standards.
Niners,Nets,Reds & USC!!!
"We'll be the first really global team in the NBA. For me, being the first foreign owner, I want to do my best to invite all the fans for the team all over the world. I think the NBA is worldwide. But other teams [possess a] more local mentality. We are going to create and to build a global franchise to sell all around the world. I think I have a competitive advantage compared to other owners." - Mikhail Prokhorov
agreed
usc is probably the most talented team other than oregon and stanford and should “win” the south, even though they won’t be allowed to play in the title game. even a horrible coach like kiffin should be able to score a lot of points with barkley. and there is no way monte kiffin will allow their defense to be as terrible as it was last year
That's the intresting point....
Have likely scenerio were a division champion is not playing for an inaugural title. NC SPOILERS HERE WE COME!!
Niners,Nets,Reds & USC!!!
"We'll be the first really global team in the NBA. For me, being the first foreign owner, I want to do my best to invite all the fans for the team all over the world. I think the NBA is worldwide. But other teams [possess a] more local mentality. We are going to create and to build a global franchise to sell all around the world. I think I have a competitive advantage compared to other owners." - Mikhail Prokhorov
by Kidd2Petrovic on Jul 2, 2011 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions
I think you have
Utah and CAL too low. Both have a tremendous amount of talent and a history of winning over the last decade or so; Utah more so. Their switch to the PAC-12 isn’t going to have a steep as many think. The MWC did have a nice amount of solid teams, not just Boise State and Texas Christian.
The PAC-12 is still a weak conference, so there will be some time that will jump out and surprise. My pick is either CAL or Utah at this point.
Mila "Sweet Lips" Kunis, as stated by Scarlett Johansson. I couldn't agree more. Reverse would be true too!!!!
by nocal81(Vincent) on Jul 2, 2011 1:35 PM PDT reply actions
Cal is going to have to make up for the loss of Shane Vereen and Cam Jordan both of which are tough shoes to fill for the guys they have in those positions.
Also, who other besides Boise and TCU do you consider “solid”? I just want to know what the definition of “solid” is to you.
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boise wasn't even in mountain west last year
so they had one good team in tcu, two decent teams in byu and utah. and the rest are a joke. air force should have a pretty good team this year, but they weren’t too great last year. mountain west was even worse than the big east.
San Diego State and Air Force
But, I do understand what you are talking about in regards to Cam and Shane; those are going to be two difficult losses to overcome.
Mila "Sweet Lips" Kunis, as stated by Scarlett Johansson. I couldn't agree more. Reverse would be true too!!!!
by nocal81(Vincent) on Jul 2, 2011 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions
nitpicking here but Boise hasn't been in the conference
but still, the MWC also had BYU during those years and Air Force is a solid team most of the tiome as well. SDSU has been improving and looked really good last year. The MWC has been arguably better than the Big East, so just because its a non-AAC conference doesn’t mean there wasn’t talented teams there. Also Utah did well against teams outside of the MWC in OOC play and in bowl games. So yeah, I agree they’re too low.
Good read though, very informative
Can’t wait for College Football. It is my second favorite behind the NFL in all of sports!!!
Mila "Sweet Lips" Kunis, as stated by Scarlett Johansson. I couldn't agree more. Reverse would be true too!!!!
by nocal81(Vincent) on Jul 2, 2011 1:35 PM PDT reply actions
Ah, Jeff Tedford
The only coach who can use the “At least I’m not Tom Holmoe” defense for any and all poor performance and manage to get away with it year after year.
Cal
It seems as though every year recently, the Golden Bears provide sheer quality NFL talent but somehow, someway wind up with a losing record.
I think I know what you are trying to say here, Cal has a lot of NFL talent but has disappointed the past few years. However, last year (2010) was Cal’s first losing record since 2001 (the last season before Tedford).
Neither Sofele or DeBoskie-Johnson have seen the endzone yet in their careers.
Sofele doesn’t have any rushing TDs, but he does have 2 receiving TDs. I know what you mean though, not much experience between Sofele or DeBoskie-Johnson. In fact, Tedford has stood behind Sofele, but many think that the 2nd RB role might go to walk-on Mike Manual or one of the true freshmen.
Cal always seems to pull running backs from somewhere and get a reasonable amount of production from those guys. Quarterback is the team’s biggest concern.
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by OnDeck_Matt on Jul 2, 2011 3:33 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
I’d flip-flop Utah and Colorado, as well as Cal and Washington.
Regarding WSU’s Jeff Tuel, I don’t think it’s fair to completely dismiss his chances to make the jump to the NFL someday just because the rest of the team is lousy. Jake Locker was easily the best player on some truly awful UW squads, but I’d argue Tuel’s accuracy (60% for his career) trumps Locker’s athleticism. Guys like Jay Cutler and Ryan Fitzpatrick have also come from programs that definitely aren’t football powerhouses.
Please please please help Red Wave Central become the official Fresno State Bulldogs blog of SB Nation! If you're a Bulldog diehard who wants to help, check here for contact information.
by OnDeck_Matt on Jul 2, 2011 3:32 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
I think you're overly critical of Dennis Erickson
He was a dud as an NFL head coach for sure, but he’s got a very good resume as a college coach. He’s got a 173-89-1 career record with two national championships to his name from his time with Miami. He also has won a share of the Pac-10 title a couple times in the past, once with Oregon St. which had been a doormat prior to his arrival and again in 2007, his first year with Arizona St.
I understand that his time with the 49ers was awful and he was a dumb hire but as a college coach he’s got a pretty solid resume.
Utah is making a transition from the spread to the WCO
I don’t see their first year going all that well. They have spread type players trying to run a power run game and a wco passing game. And they have Chow as their OC and look how UCLA did with him at the helm.
"I hate it! It looks like a stickup at 7-Eleven. Five guys standing there with their hands in the air."
Norm Sloan
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors."
Weldon Drew
by EcERyda69 on Jul 2, 2011 11:56 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
college football
Plenty do but for the purposes of this blog the draft prospects are what matters.
by David Fucillo on Jul 3, 2011 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions
on that topic
love this blog, helps me get the NFL news I usually miss because I’m not looking for it, and I prefer a fans approach to it rather than the media. keep up the good work.
thanks
Glad you enjoy the site. Are you a 49ers fan or a Packers fan?
by David Fucillo on Jul 3, 2011 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions
I am a Wolf Pack fan
I’m here to follow Kaepernick. Never had a favorite NFL team, so I keep up with the NFL pretty sporadically these days. If Kaep does anything with the Niners, it will be likely I end up a Niners fan.
Boooo, Wolf Pack!
Go David Carr! Go Fresno State!
Please please please help Red Wave Central become the official Fresno State Bulldogs blog of SB Nation! If you're a Bulldog diehard who wants to help, check here for contact information.
by OnDeck_Matt on Jul 3, 2011 8:49 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Great!!Try to get the man to become a NinerFaithful...
And this appears….he’s definitely running once DC is mentioned lol.
Niners,Nets,Reds & USC!!!
"We'll be the first really global team in the NBA. For me, being the first foreign owner, I want to do my best to invite all the fans for the team all over the world. I think the NBA is worldwide. But other teams [possess a] more local mentality. We are going to create and to build a global franchise to sell all around the world. I think I have a competitive advantage compared to other owners." - Mikhail Prokhorov
by Kidd2Petrovic on Jul 4, 2011 6:04 AM PDT up reply actions

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