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San Francisco 49ers 2011 Cornerback Options: An Abundance Of Options

There has been a lot of talk about the 49ers cornerback situation. Reports have surfaced that Nate Clements may not be on the team once the lockout ends. Some of this could be pure speculation at this point, but if he doesn't take a pay cut it is likely San Francisco will cut ties.

So where does that leave the 49ers at that position? Extremely young, inexperienced and relatively weak. This if San Francisco decides not to retain Clements or opts against replacing him with a veteran. The good news is that there is an abundance of options for San Francisco in the free agent market. 

Star-divide

Nnamdi Asomugha: Obviously the shutdown corner is the cream of this years free agent crop. However, there are a lot of issues in regards to the possibility of him joining San Francisco. First, there are going to be at least a dozen teams interested in Nnamdi, which will drive up the price. I doubt the 49ers get into a bidding contest for the 30 year old corner. Secondly, as mentioned he is 30 years old. The expectation is that he will get a 5-6 year contract, which could draw San Francisco away from him. Finally, Nnamdi is going to get between 12-15MM, which might price him out of San Francisco. I highly doubt the 49ers sign Nnamdi, but I can guarantee they have had internal discussions about the prospect.

Johnathan Joseph: There have been several reports that Joseph wants to return to Cincinnati, however, some seem to think the chances of that happening aren't great. Joe Reedy of the Cincinnati Enquirer puts the prospects at between 35-40 percent. 

Joseph is the second best corner in the free agent market, so he is going to get a lot of play. You are looking at a six or seven year contract averaging over 10MM per season. Is that too high of a price for a player that has never been selected to the Pro Bowl? Some might tend to thing so. However, I do believe that Joseph has a chance to be a real shutdown corner, if he isn't already. My personal opinion is that Joseph ends up in either Washington or Tampa Bay, not San Francisco.

Antonio Cromartie: He seems like a more realistic target for San Francisco, but is he going to price himself out of the market? Cromartie's biggest fan at this point is himself, and there seems to be a great deal of character issues in regards to him. However, you cannot deny the talent he has. Cromartie is a true #1 corner on a good team and will get paid like that. I don't think you are looking at him getting 10MM per season, so his contract could be affordable for San Francisco. It would be a situation of replacing Clements not teaming up with him

Carlos Rogers: He was a shutdown corner for the first five years of his career, but struggled big time under a new scheme in 2010. Rogers has the ability to regain that form and is still relatively young. There are indications that San Francisco will have conversations with Rogers once free agency begins. If the 49ers do sign a top tier corner my money is on Rogers. He has an incredibly high ceiling and would be an immediate upgrade over Nate Clements. However, there is a scenario in which Rogers is brought in to team up with Clements and push Spencer down to the nickel position; that would be the ideal scenario moving forward. 

Ike Taylor: He has stepped it up big time since struggling a great deal in 2009, however, a lot of people close to Pittsburgh seem to believe that Taylor isn't worth #1 corner money. There is going to be stiff competition for his services in free agency, it is unlikely that Pittsburgh will get into bidding war for Taylor, that isn't their MO. 

I think that Taylor's value has been overestimated around the league and once free agency starts it will go back down to earth. You are looking at a 31 year old corner that hasn't been incredibly consistent over the years. I fully expect San Francisco to make a play if his price goes down to about 5-6MM, which is likely in my opinion. 

Richard Marshall: Like many Carolina Panthers last season, Marshall struggled a great deal in 2010. There is no doubt in my mind that he wont be retained by Carolina. Sources indicate that he is extremely unhappy with their unwillingness to sign him to an extension during the 2010 season. Like Cromartie, it is possible that Marshall prices himself out of the market and may have to settle for a lesser deal.

However, there is a lot of money that is going to be thrown around when free agency starts next weekend, so he might get that huge deal; I really doubt it though. Marshall is not a #1 corner in the NFL, but wants to be paid like one; this is a major issue in my opinion. Plus, I don't really see Marshall as much of an upgrade over Nate Clements. There is a possibility that he could be brought in to join Nate Clements in the starting lineup.

Chris Carr: He really surprised the Baltimore Ravens last season and took over as their #1 corner. I think he projects as a possible shutdown player moving forward. But, for some reason the Ravens don't seem to look at Carr as even a starting corner, so he will not be back there. I think that San Francisco will make a play for him this off-season if they are unable to obtain a top tier corner. Realistically, he could be a nice under the radar addition to the 49ers roster. If San Francisco does make a play for Carr it would be to join, not replace Clements.

Josh Wilson: Another surprise for the Baltimore Ravens, but he is more likely than Carr to return. Baltimore also seems to be higher on Wilson than they are on Carr, which doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me. I am not a huge fan of Wilson's and don't believe he would even be an upgrade over Shawntae Spencer at this point 

Chris Houston: After initially struggling with the Atlanta Falcons early in his career, Houston had a breakout 2011 season after being traded to the Detroit Lions. He projects more as a #2 corner and will get paid that way. There is absolutely nothing wrong with San Francisco looking to upgrade at that position this off-season. A CB rotation that consists of Nate Clements, Chris Houston and Shawntae Spencer wouldn't be the end of the world. Houston does remain a strong possibility for San Francisco because he would be affordable at about 4-5MM.

Eric Wright: His 2010 season was so bad that Wright received death threats for Cleveland Browns fans; talk about taking football a little to seriously. However, you have to look at the sum of all parts in regards to Wright. He has incredible physical talent and could be a real steal this off-season. I think San Francisco will kick around the idea of bringing Wright in as the #2 corner, while retaining Clements.

Other Free Agent Options

Kelly Jennings: Wouldn't be an upgrade over any of San Francisco's top three corners.

Fabian Washington: Injury plagued, but talented. It wouldn't be a smart bet for any team to rely on him

Drayton Florence: Marginal starter at best, pretty god nickel. Would be upgrade over Spencer

Kendric Burney: Have no idea what happened to him, should have been at least a 4th round pick. 

Brian Williams; Would be a nice addition as a nickel corner, likely returning to Atlanta

 

Analysis: I think it is extremely likely that San Francisco pursues a corner in free agency, even if Nate Clements returns at a reduced salary. There have been several indications that they will look to hit the market at that position, and there remains several options. 

In regards to Nate Clements, Mike Sando of ESPN told me that Clements "will not be back under current deal" and "Players who take significant paycuts often more willing to do that elsewhere". Well, that seems to fit into what most "experts" are talking about in regards to Clements. This seems to indicate that Clements will not be with San Francisco in 2011. 

So, there is absolutely no way that San Francisco goes into the 2011 season with Shawntae Spencer and Tarell Brown as their top two corners with Phillip Adams, Chris Culliver and Curtis Holcomb vying for the nickel slot. That would be an incredible weak cornerback rotation and would cost San Francisco multiple games in 2011. While I am a fan of both Culliver and Holcomb; they are not ready to contribute like that just yet.

I think you are looking at Carlos Rogers, Ike Taylor, Antonio Cromartie and Richard Marshall as the top possibilities for San Francisco when free agency starts. Out of that group I would prefer Cromartie, with Rogers coming in as a cheaper alternative. There does remain a slight possibility that Clements restructures his contract, but that doesn't mean San Francisco will be out of the CB market. They will probably still look to add a veteran as an upgrade over Shawntae Spencer.

Chances that San Francisco acquires a corner has to be at about 75-80 percent in my estimation.

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they just had him on a list that may or may not be cut, they also had his right base salary but not his roster bonus of the same amount. Nate early said he expects to be back on the niners, to me that is more solid than any of this speculation becuase Baalke said it would be up to Nate whether he is back or not, this was all early lockout when this was said.

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jul 25, 2011 11:14 AM PDT reply actions  

Rogers according to ESPN made only 1.5 mil

Last year so my thought is we have to either restucutre Clements contract. Than sign Rodgers we could proably get him I bet around 6 mil a year or less. I would be way happy with that. I would say if Clements doesnt come back. we absolutly need to sign another guy wheather thats spend big on cormartie or richardson and still bring in rodgers or whatever but we need clements and 1 more guy or 2 new guys otherwise we should just give up on this season cause teams will continue to pass on us all day.

cppeter

by foreveryoung66 on Jul 25, 2011 12:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

i think the niners will go for a top cb or no cb at all in free agency. so I would guess that rogers is not an option.

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jul 25, 2011 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

character issues are a big deal to this team

which is why i think there’s no way we go after Cromartie

by MattSFfrd on Jul 25, 2011 11:18 AM PDT reply actions  

agreed, frankly I've gotten tired of bringing this up

when people talk about Cromartie, or Harrison, or Porter. The 49ers have very deliberately avoided bringing in personalities like that.

It’s a plus on Nnamdi’s side, but Nnamdi’s money is going to be too much, and could very well be above the 12-15 range listed above.

by whistlingmountain on Jul 25, 2011 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

Nnamdi

is supposed to get between 15-20million

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jul 25, 2011 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

players not as good as him make almost that much. look at how much he has made the last two years.

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jul 25, 2011 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

His current deal was for $15 million per year and people thought that was

ridiculous. I can’t see him getting more than $15 million per year with any other team—not on a long term deal at any rate.

I think it’ll be around $12 million per with extra money for incentives.

by smileyman on Jul 25, 2011 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

I really don't want Cromartie on this team

I’d rather deal with a worse CB group than last season if it meant having to get Cromartie

by smileyman on Jul 25, 2011 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Baalke is genius

please get carlos rogers

49er fanhood up in the air with Kaepernick aboard and there not being an QB worth rooting for on the niner roster

by supraman on Jul 25, 2011 11:37 AM PDT reply actions  

I am hopeing for JJ and NA lol
Nate would be gone for any chance for that to happen. lol

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jul 25, 2011 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

Kendric Burney

He measured in short and ran a 4.7 40-time. But I still think he can be one of the better nickel corners in the league.

49er fanhood up in the air with Kaepernick aboard and there not being an QB worth rooting for on the niner roster

by supraman on Jul 25, 2011 11:40 AM PDT reply actions  

Now

that would be pathetic. There would be no need for teams to run against SF, they could just throw it 50+ times and gain 500 yards.

Yes, I just did Twitter. Follow me for ultra intelligent insight.
"I am our future, forget Kory"

by nocal81(Vincent) on Jul 25, 2011 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Spencer as a starting CB is terrifying alone...

Alex Smith 86%+ QB rating with 22+ TDs in 2012, hopefully! :)

by teekay on Jul 25, 2011 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

they are the top two cb's to be cut from the team.

that is almost 5 million right there.

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jul 25, 2011 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

If we cut Spencer we're in horrible trouble

if Clements leaves and we cut Brown and Spence, we are left with CBs who aren’t even good enough to be the nickel. Even if we bring in the best CB on the market, we’re still stuck with garbage on the other side, and then what do we do when we need 3 or 4 CBs on the field?

by smileyman on Jul 25, 2011 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

But we'd have

the number 1 run defense in the league!

by Sebaz49 on Jul 25, 2011 12:35 PM PDT reply actions  

reply fail...

was supposed to be a reply to nocal

by Sebaz49 on Jul 25, 2011 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

I really am not a big fan of Rogers

Would rather overpay for Joseph, or get Carr on the cheap

Alex Smith 86%+ QB rating with 22+ TDs in 2012, hopefully! :)

by teekay on Jul 25, 2011 1:01 PM PDT reply actions  

The rundown

I think Asomugha is definitely out of our price range.

I’m not a fan of Cromartie. He takes way too many gambles that result in big plays.

I’d love to bring in Joseph, but with the amount of cap room Cincy has to play with I doubt he’ll see the light of day.

Taylor, Wilson and Carr — I wouldn’t bring in a corner from Baltimore or Pittsburgh. They get protected like crazy by the pressure in their current schemes, and you never know what you are getting.

Marshall is way overrated here. People remember the Panthers game where our scrub QB’s made him look like Darrelle Revis. But head on over to the Panthers board and you’ll find a chorus of “good riddance” to him because he can’t cover worth a damn. He’s very good at tackling the receiver after he allows the catch though.

Wright is a guy I would also like to bring in. He’s young and talented — and he was getting death threats in Cleveland over 2 bad games. If it was Kansas City and Detroit it wouldn’t have been a big deal. But it was against Baltimore and Pittsburgh, and that doesn’t bode well in Cleveland.

It’s a rough market full of guys who will want way more than they are worth — and maybe a couple gems in the rough.

by Ougadas on Jul 25, 2011 1:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Nnamdi's a very unrealistic option in my eyes, but I'm still holding out hope.

I really like the four you mentioned as alternatives, though and would be happy if one of them signed with us.

"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky"-Michael Scott.

by SharksFanEst.1994 on Jul 25, 2011 2:18 PM PDT reply actions  

Vincent ... appreciate your analysis although I don't agree with some of your assessments or your conclusions; here's how I see it ...

Using a process of elimination for prospective CB FAs:

I would eliminate these guys just on the basis of performance (not significant upgrade over present roster): Burney (too small), Florence, Houston, Jennings, Washington, Williams, Wilson, Wright.

I would eliminate Cromartie simply on the basis of character issues and Taylor on the basis of age.

I would love to sign Asomuga for every non-economic reason that you can possibly think of; however, given his likely cumulative cost (signing bonus, annual salaries, incentives, contract length versus age, etc. etc.) I think that he will simply be too expensive for the Niners’ blood; maybe we get incredibly lucky for cosmic reasons, but that won’t happen … sorry about that!

All of which leaves me with four desirable CB FA candidates: Joseph, Marshall, Carr, Rogers.

IF Nate is willing to (1) agree to a substantially-reduced-$ contract, and (2) move to Nickel Corner, I sign him. Else, bye!

I take the “contract savings” from Clements, Heitmann, David Carr, Troy Smith, Westbrook, Norris, Ginn and Nedney, and I sign the TWO best FA CBs that I can get in this order: 1. Jonathan Joseph, 2. Richard Marshall, 3. Chris Carr, 4. Carlos Rogers. As a result, here is my CB roster to start the season:

LCB Richard Marshall
RCB Jonathan Joseph
NCB Nate Clements

Back-Ups: Shawntae Spencer, Chris Culliver, Phillip Adams

Practice Squad: Curtis Holcomb

Released: Tarell Brown, Will James, Tramaine Brock

Some folks will probably question the release of Brown; I simply believe that his performance has leveled off (at best) or diminished and is generally mediocre, and he has little additional upside; consequently, I’d simply prefer to give the younger guys more playing time.

by 49erFanSince1950 on Jul 25, 2011 2:20 PM PDT reply actions  

I like your reasoning

I would put adams as lead back up as long as he’s fully healed from his injury. I could def see Nate excelling as a nickel back, blitzing, jamming slot WRs, and supporting the run ala Chuck Woodson.

Now that i think about it, Nate would be perfect as a nickle back.

Give tha guy a break...I remember losing most of our games because of mistakes by players that did not play the quarterback position.

I'm sure Norv Turner is a good judge of a good QB...even he said the guy can be good w/ quality people around him.

by NewAgecorner1 on Jul 25, 2011 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nate's best asset is his run defense

and you want to move him to a position where he can’t use that?

by smileyman on Jul 25, 2011 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Clements as nickel?

why in the world would we want that? Who in the world do we have on the roster that would be the starting CBs and better than Nate?

by smileyman on Jul 25, 2011 2:22 PM PDT reply actions  

I’m sure Nate would naturally resist being demoted..its one thing to take a pay cut but to lose your spot is downright maddening. We currently don’t have 2 corners that could start ahead of him anyway. I think its an intriguing scenario however unlikely it is.

Give tha guy a break...I remember losing most of our games because of mistakes by players that did not play the quarterback position.

I'm sure Norv Turner is a good judge of a good QB...even he said the guy can be good w/ quality people around him.

by NewAgecorner1 on Jul 25, 2011 3:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think Holcomb is going to explode once camp starts. I think he will start at some point throughout the season.

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by Drew Kerr on Jul 25, 2011 2:40 PM PDT reply actions  

Depends on the 3-4 style

If we use a blitz heavy scheme you have to have fast corners who can also tackle well. Clements is slow and Spencer can’t tackle. I can’t see either playing the outside. Clements would be great as a Woodson like nickle corner though.

I like Joseph as a FA other wise we have enough talent on the roster. There’s no rule against doing 3 safety sets.

by Mukkeluk on Jul 25, 2011 5:44 PM PDT reply actions  

Keep in mind that Cromartie

isnt a physical corner and doesnt support the run well. I cant see Harbaugh and Fangio tolerating Cromartie whiffing on a few tackles.

by rileyg1 on Jul 25, 2011 6:50 PM PDT reply actions  

To be honest, I think we can discount the possibility of Nnamdi, Joseph, or Cromartie.

We will be more in the market for players like Taylor, Wright, or Washington.

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by Drew Kerr on Jul 26, 2011 2:01 AM PDT reply actions  

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