FanPost

Week 1 Prediction Games: It's Time!!!


Welcome back to another spectacular season of the Prediction Game.  A full 17 week season with the Top 16ish going to the playoffs to crown our 2011 champion.  Last years champion 49erLou returns to defend his iron thrown.  Lou after wallowing in mediocrity most of the season rose like a phoenix from the ashes to eviscerate all opponents.  Chasing Lou once again is our army of regulars.  I noticed urnext bothered to get his picks in Week 1 this season. I guess he is going all in without the excuses.  Even my lovely little bee manged to fall out of bed before 5pm Sunday to get a few of her picks in.  Alas, welcome all new comers to the game.   Let me be first to say to who the [site decorum] are these guys?  They dominated Week 1.

I'm going to leave the rest of the recap as vanilla as the 49ers offensive game plan.  I'm already planning a revamp of the Top 5 Winners which will probably arrive next week.  Also the leader board will soon denote those holding a playoff seed.  Finally I'm kicking around a visual scoring explanation.   Typically Prediction Game results will be posted on Tuesday evenings.  There will be times where it will be a day late because of work schedule (like this week).  Ok, lets get to it.

 

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

  1. bakoninerfan, bhbf08, utah9er (4)
  2. teekay, howtheyscored, sundaysfinest, nocal81(Vincent) (8)
  3. danknerd49, Stupifyed (10)
  4. reedkrase, supraman, ZeroIndulgence, bonbrillio, mountaindew77, Str8Balr, neder, nostocksjustbonds, David Fucillo (12)
  5. Rhombus, McTee, sf49ers123, SanFranciscoKnights, houdeaney, EcERyda69, MATTCW, razertuc, San Fran Niners, AKinferno (14)

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins

  1. mountaindew77 (6)
  2. grantmp, supraman, Dubs fan in Boston, AKinferno (8)
  3. Rhombus, McTee, reedkrase, SpurredOn, MATTCW, bonbrillio, bhbf08, mpotter14, Ninerfromacrossthepond, San Fran Niners, Stupifyed, Number22Drew, jpgarfunkle, Chukwamu, David Fucillo (14)
  4. danknerd49, LASVEGASNINER, illini49er, Rossalex (16)
  5. Ni9er, 49erLou, Beamer1960, renke81, Rabbit T, imjuliooo89, groug (20)

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos

  1. Rhombus, bakoninerfan, 49erLou, nocal81(Vincent) (2)
  2. howtheyscored, bhbf08 (4)
  3. mcwagner, RJames, houdeaney, wjackalope, Ninerfromacrossthepond, David Fucillo (6)
  4. Haggardninja, mpotter14, jpgarfunkle (8)
  5. AKinferno (10)

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets

  1. Drew Kerr (PERFECT)
  2. bakoninerfan, Ninerfromacrossthepond (2)
  3. sf49ers123, Ten-Man, houdeaney, Stupifyed (6)
  4. PHUT!, Rhombus, mcwagner, Dub4lif3, Ni9er, mpotter14, wjackalope, mountaindew77, utah9er, nocal81(Vincent) (8)
  5. benna11 (12)

Philadelphia Eagles @ St. Louis Rams

  1. Rhombus, bakoninerfan, Ten-Man, mikeinsp, Stupifyed (6)
  2. McTee, RJames, SanFranciscoKnights, Dub4lif3, Rossalex, 49erLou, EcERyda69, bhbf08, mountaindew77, nocal81(Vincent), San Fran Niners, imjuliooo89 (8)
  3. manraj7, Drew Kerr, benna11, LASVEGASNINER, Edggy, ZeroIndulgence, razertuc, Ninerfromacrossthepond, renke81, Rabbit T, Andrew Davidson, Alligator Arms, leaping_larry, David Fucillo, AKinferno (14)
  4. PHUT!, grantmp, Haggardninja, supraman, MRandolph, houdeaney, illini49er, mpotter14 (16)
  5. teekay, wjackalope, neder, Chukwamu (20)

Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  1. Haggardninja (PERFECT)
  2. Ten-Man, teekay, EcERyda69, nostocksjustbonds (2)
  3. manraj7, SanFranciscoKnights, jbrown63, LASVEGASNINER, MRandolph, houdeaney, Rossalex, djs9989, MATTCW, bhbf08, wjackalope, razertuc, mountaindew77, neder, Rabbit T (6)
  4. Rhombus, danknerd49, SpurredOn, Ni9er, Edggy, sundaysfinest, bonbrillio, renke81, nocal81(Vincent), Chukwamu (8)
  5. Dub4lif3, Stupifyed, Andrew Davidson (12)

The Week's Big 5 Prognosticators

  1. bhbf08 - Who?
  2. bakoninerfan - Huh?
  3. Rhombus - Mmmmmm?
  4. nocal81(Vincent) - outwitted by Bleacher Report /facepalm
  5. mountaindew77 - Yaaaa Dew!!!
Rank Screen Name Points W1
1. bhbf08 19 19
1. bakoninerfan 19 19
3. Rhombus 18 18
4. nocal81(Vincent) 17 17
5. mountaindew77 16 16
6. Stupifyed 15 15
7. Haggardninja 14 14
8. Ninerfromacrossthepond 13 13
8. Drew Kerr 13 13
10. Ten-Man 12 12
10. houdeaney 12 12
12. David Fucillo 11 11
13. 49erLou 10 10
14. Rossalex 9 9
14. EcERyda69 9 9
14. teekay 9 9
14. mpotter14 9 9
14. wjackalope 9 9
14. AKinferno 9 9
20. supraman 8 8
20. McTee 8 8
20. LASVEGASNINER 8 8
20. howtheyscored 8 8
20. SanFranciscoKnights 8 8
20. San Fran Niners 8 8
26. RJames 7 7
26. utah9er 7 7
26. MATTCW 7 7
26. danknerd49 7 7
26. Dub4lif3 7 7
26. bonbrillio 7 7
26. Rabbit T 7 7
26. razertuc 7 7
34. grantmp 6 6
34. Chukwamu 6 6
34. sundaysfinest 6 6
34. manraj7 6 6
34. renke81 6 6
34. nostocksjustbonds 6 6
34. neder 6 6
41. MRandolph 5 5
41. jpgarfunkle 5 5
41. imjuliooo89 5 5
41. ZeroIndulgence 5 5
41. mcwagner 5 5
41. SpurredOn 5 5
41. Ni9er 5 5
41. reedkrase 5 5
41. Edggy 5 5
41. mikeinsp 5 5
51. Dubs fan in Boston 4 4
51. sf49ers123 4 4
51. Andrew Davidson 4 4
51. PHUT! 4 4
51. benna11 4 4
51. illini49er 4 4
57. jbrown63 3 3
57. djs9989 3 3
57. Number22Drew 3 3
57. leaping_larry 3 3
57. Alligator Arms 3 3
62. Str8Balr 2 2
63. groug 1 1
63. Beamer1960 1 1

Week 1 Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

Screen Name SEA SF s/p NE MIA s/p OAK DEN s/p DAL NYJ s/p PHI STL s/p DET TB s/p tot
PHUT! 14 17 32/- 24 10 28/- 22 14 12/- 20 27 8/2 31 21 16/2 20 14 14/- 4
Rhombus 10 27 14/1 31 21 14/3 23 21 2/5 20 24 8/2 34 13 6/5 27 24 8/2 18
grantmp 14 21 24/- 34 21 8/4 14 17 -/- 21 20 -/- 24 21 16/2 24 28 -/- 6
mcwagner 16 24 18/- 34 6 36/- 21 17 6/3 20 27 8/2 27 24 22/- 14 17 -/- 5
dlh 16 20 26/- 31 13 22/- 20 24 -/- 20 17 -/- 17 24 -/- 21 23 -/-
ProfessorBigelow 13 23 20/- 42 12 24/- 21 13 14/- 16 24 16/- 35 31 36/- 32 27 14/-
McTee 10 31 14/1 33 17 14/3 13 17 -/- 17 14 -/- 27 13 8/4 20 17 14/- 8
Haggardninja 13 24 18/- 34 13 22/- 24 16 8/2 10 17 28/- 28 21 16/2 27 20 0/10 14
RJames 28 17 -/- 34 9 30/- 20 17 6/3 24 20 -/- 31 17 8/4 17 21 -/- 7
reedkrase 20 27 12/2 31 17 14/3 17 16 12/- 10 24 28/- 31 24 22/- 20 17 14/- 5
supraman 14 27 12/2 38 20 8/4 10 24 -/- 20 17 -/- 26 21 16/2 34 37 -/- 8
J2daZ 13 23 20/- 26 27 -/- 15 21 -/- 28 24 -/- 30 24 22/- 20 17 14/-
manraj7 17 24 18/- 24 17 28/- 17 24 -/- 17 24 14/- 24 17 14/3 24 17 6/3 6
sf49ers123 15 26 14/1 27 10 28/- 15 17 -/- 23 24 6/3 30 24 22/- 20 27 -/- 4
danknerd49 20 28 10/3 30 17 16/2 17 20 -/- 16 27 16/- 30 24 22/- 23 17 8/2 7
Drew Kerr 10 23 20/- 17 3 42/- 22 13 14/- 24 27 0/10 38 20 14/3 20 23 -/- 13
bakoninerfan 17 31 4/5 35 10 28/- 24 21 2/5 24 28 2/4 28 14 6/5 14 3 34/- 19
Ten-Man 16 24 18/- 30 13 22/- 19 24 -/- 21 27 6/3 33 10 6/5 26 20 2/4 12
benna11 10 24 18/- 31 6 36/- 3 17 -/- 20 21 12/1 24 10 14/3 17 7 26/- 4
SanFranciscoKnights 16 26 14/1 23 20 30/- 18 25 -/- 22 17 -/- 27 13 8/4 24 23 6/3 8
these3words 21 17 -/- 23 7 34/- 14 24 -/- 15 17 20/- 20 23 -/- 27 28 -/-
jbrown63 3 23 28/- 38 10 28/- 26 31 -/- 17 23 14/- 17 20 -/- 27 23 6/3 3
Dub4lif3 10 24 18/- 27 21 22/- 27 13 14/- 20 23 8/2 31 17 8/4 21 14 12/1 7
LASVEGASNINER 21 17 -/- 30 17 16/2 19 24 -/- 27 20 -/- 24 17 14/3 24 21 6/3 8
MRandolph 17 24 18/- 28 7 34/- 17 27 -/- 14 24 20/- 31 21 16/2 24 21 6/3 5
Dubs fan in Boston 10 20 26/- 35 20 8/4 10 21 -/- 9 24 30/- 30 31 -/- 20 23 -/- 4
SpurredOn 9 27 16/- 31 17 14/3 24 27 -/- 10 20 28/- 16 24 -/- 23 20 8/2 5
Ni9er 17 24 18/- 38 14 20/1 27 14 12/- 23 31 8/2 34 28 30/- 23 20 8/2 5
houdeaney 10 35 14/1 28 7 34/- 21 17 6/3 21 24 6/3 30 21 16/2 24 20 6/3 12
teekay 13 35 8/4 28 9 30/- 20 10 20/- 17 20 14/- 35 3 20/1 28 21 2/4 9
Edggy 12 42 18/- 35 13 22/- 7 13 -/- 10 13 28/- 24 14 14/3 23 21 8/2 5
illini49er 13 20 26/- 30 17 16/2 24 14 12/- 13 24 22/- 27 21 16/2 14 17 -/- 4
Rossalex 10 20 26/- 31 16 16/2 27 13 14/- 13 17 22/- 27 10 8/4 24 20 6/3 9
49erLou 13 21 24/- 28 17 20/1 24 19 2/5 13 23 22/- 27 13 8/4 24 27 -/- 10
EcERyda69 10 28 14/1 31 7 34/- 21 24 -/- 13 17 22/- 35 10 8/4 27 21 2/4 9
howtheyscored 13 34 8/4 27 12 24/- 21 18 4/4 7 17 34/- 17 14 28/- 30 38 -/- 8
mikeinsp 14 20 26/- 35 7 34/- 20 24 -/- 27 17 -/- 28 14 6/5 24 13 14/- 5
sundaysfinest 13 31 8/4 27 17 22/- 16 24 -/- 17 20 14/- 31 24 22/- 23 17 8/2 6
YoungEv7 10 24 18/- 31 10 28/- 13 21 -/- 14 17 20/- 28 24 22/- 24 34 -/-
djs9989 17 24 18/- 35 7 34/- 10 17 -/- 13 17 22/- 28 27 28/- 24 17 6/3 3
ZeroIndulgence 20 27 12/2 38 10 28/- 10 24 -/- 20 17 -/- 24 20 14/3 20 21 -/- 5
MATTCW 10 36 14/1 45 24 14/3 10 13 -/- 24 9 -/- 45 16 28/- 24 21 6/3 7
bonbrillio 13 27 12/2 31 20 14/3 16 20 -/- 17 20 14/- 30 24 22/- 23 17 8/2 7
bhbf08 16 31 4/5 31 17 14/3 21 20 4/4 16 23 16/- 27 16 8/4 24 23 6/3 19
Beamer1960 9 24 18/- 28 16 20/1 12 17 -/- -/- 20 10 22/- 14 13 26/- 1
mpotter14 17 24 18/- 35 17 14/3 27 21 8/2 21 31 8/2 35 21 16/2 21 24 -/- 9
wjackalope 17 23 20/- 27 20 22/- 20 17 6/3 20 23 8/2 30 23 20/1 26 23 6/3 9
razertuc 10 35 14/1 42 13 22/- 31 24 16/- 14 24 20/- 35 6 14/3 24 17 6/3 7
mountaindew77 14 27 12/2 37 21 6/5 17 30 -/- 20 27 8/2 31 17 8/4 26 23 6/3 16
Ninerfromacrossthepond 13 20 26/- 34 17 14/3 24 23 6/3 24 28 2/4 27 20 14/3 30 35 -/- 13
utah9er 17 31 4/5 35 13 22/- 17 21 -/- 21 31 8/2 28 24 22/- 14 24 -/- 7
bignerd 13 23 20/- 20 23 -/- 24 27 -/- 17 23 14/- 23 24 -/- 14 17 -/-
renke81 16 23 20/- 28 17 20/1 20 21 -/- 24 20 -/- 31 20 14/3 28 24 8/2 6
nocal81(Vincent) 13 31 8/4 35 10 28/- 24 21 2/5 20 27 8/2 28 17 8/4 31 20 8/2 17
San Fran Niners 10 28 14/1 31 17 14/3 14 17 -/- 17 24 14/- 35 14 8/4 30 27 14/- 8
Stupifyed 17 28 10/3 32 17 14/3 10 17 -/- 21 27 6/3 32 10 6/5 33 21 12/1 15
Str8Balr 16 27 12/2 31 13 22/- 13 17 -/- 16 21 16/- 33 24 22/- 18 16 18/- 2
neder 13 27 12/2 24 21 28/- 17 24 -/- 13 17 22/- 21 17 20/1 24 21 6/3 6
Rabbit T 13 23 20/- 28 17 20/1 20 30 -/- 17 27 14/- 24 16 14/3 27 23 6/3 7
imjuliooo89 13 24 18/- 28 17 20/1 17 24 -/- 13 21 22/- 28 17 8/4 21 24 -/- 5
Number22Drew 14 24 18/- 31 20 14/3 17 20 -/- 14 28 20/- 20 17 22/- 14 20 -/- 3
Andrew Davidson 14 20 26/- 27 9 30/- 17 21 -/- 10 20 28/- 24 17 14/3 21 20 12/1 4
Alligator Arms 17 24 18/- 31 13 22/- 21 24 -/- 20 17 -/- 24 10 14/3 27 28 -/- 3
nostocksjustbonds 17 27 12/2 38 13 22/- 9 23 -/- 13 23 22/- 32 27 28/- 28 20 2/4 6
jpgarfunkle 13 17 32/- 31 17 14/3 27 17 8/2 17 20 14/- 17 24 -/- 27 31 -/- 5
Chukwamu 16 24 18/- 41 17 14/3 20 23 -/- 17 21 14/- 35 23 20/1 31 24 8/2 6
leaping_larry 16 21 24/- 27 17 22/- 19 23 -/- 17 20 14/- 24 20 14/3 20 23 -/- 3
David Fucillo 13 27 12/2 34 17 14/3 23 17 6/3 17 7 -/- 27 20 14/3 21 31 -/- 11
AKinferno 24 27 14/1 34 24 8/4 28 20 10/1 17 20 14/- 24 17 14/3 21 24 -/- 9
urnext 20 14 -/- 20 26 -/- 19 13 14/- 20 14 -/- 17 23 -/- 21 27 -/-
beecharmer -/- 21 24 -/- 18 10 20/- 17 24 14/- -/- -/-
groug -/- 34 14 20/1 16 10 20/- -/- -/- -/- 1

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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